RTX a defense contractor large cap LONGRTX has earnings on April 23rd. It has been on a good trend higher since the last earnings. The
Russian war means US defense contractors will be in a growth mode for the intermediate
future. Depleted stores of weapons systems need to be replenished. Pieces and parts are
needed for damaged systems in need of maintenance. I see RTX and others such as GD and
LMT as good long-term trades or investments. Smaller companies in the areas of robotics and
drones may be worth a look. RTX is at its all-time high but it seems much higher is in its future.
GD
RTX falls on good earnings and defense budget issuesRTX is part of the boom defense sector thriving because of back orders created by
the Russian war against Ukraine. No matter good earnings it fell this week because
of the defense budget debate in Congress. No matter good intents to rein in the
defend spending escalation and spend in other areas such as social and infrastructure,
Russia has made the world more dangerous and national security of the US and its allies
trumps most spending except perhaps insterest on the national debt and paying the
holders of Treasuries. RTX dropped more than 10% from its tight consolidation range,
I see this dip as an excellent buying opportunity into a leader in the defense sector.
Currency scuffleAs you can see we prepared update for the currency agenda, we have added gd, jpy, rub, and inr to the fuse, as you can see fibonacci cycles stayed the same in the anbsence. We think or at least clearly see on a chart that rub was the most profitable currency available. In the later arrivals we will try to discover most profitable assets nominated in rubles and compare them to assets in other curencies. Feel free to read, analyse, comment and enjoy the party.
LMT a defense sector leader setup LONGOn the daily LMT, over the long term is shown to have descended into the support
of the ascending support trendline in what appears to be an ascending wedge.
Confluent with the support trendline is the mean VWAP and the mean band of
the Bollinger Bands. I see an opening for a long trade targeting the resistance
trendline and also the second standard deviation of the anchored VWAP ( red
thick line) Fundamentally, LMT just beat on both the top and bottom lines.
It is in a obvious growth industry with a bakclog of production in the setting
of the Russian Ukraine war and the need for US and NATO to replenish their
stockpiles. This long trade is best for investors content with slow moving blue
chip Dow Jones type stocks or alternatively agile options traders able to leverage
low magnitude up trends. I see about 10% upside and will buy some call options
to exploit this setup.
Is the DFEN dip buyable?I think that the dip is very buyable. Fundamentally, Russia has made the world more
dangerous. Shipments of weapons to Ukraine have depleted US and European stockpiles.
NATO is in a growth mode as proposed by former president Trump some years ago.
While many would like less defense spending and shift it into social spending or
infrastructure or clean technology government funding. the pragmatics are that
national security is generally higher on the priority list. DFEN just dropped below
the high volume area of the volume profile on the 15 minute chart in a VWAP breakdown.
The relative strength lines did a bottom bounce on the indicator. I will exploit this
as a long buying opportunity looking to a modest 5% upside target at minimal risk.
General Dynamics - Bullish On EarningsSupposedly the earnings whisper number is better than expected, I am convinced industrials stand to benefit with war, like it or not. We have just had a nice gap fill down on a pull back leaving a gap above. Will earnings and sentiment help take us to the upside? We have buyers coming in with significant strength.
GD Swing Short SetupBMV:GD
GD has bounced down from resistance of sell order blocks.
Relative Strengh downturn confirms.
This is setup as a swing short with a Reward to Risk of 4.
GD will recover from this reversal as this defense contractor
is in a boom sector, giving the geopolitical /macro overlay.
Also check RTX and LMT.
BAH - rocketWhen I think of Booz Allen Hamilton, I think of rockets. You think of Booze. That's the difference between you and I... Lay off the Booze and get some calls in BOOZ! This rocket is about to take off!
The 200MA battle. On the daily here we see consistency. Can it do it all over again? Wait for that cross to happen. Be patient. This is the daily chart so once it happens your probability of success is high for the coming weeks. Cheers and good luck on this one!
If you like my charts press that like button/follow, and ask me any questions you may have! Thank you!
Signals for 17/07/2020Signals 17/07/2020
Hi Guys, we were away for a while, but we’re back with some signals
EURUSD – the price is trying to hold above 1.14030, if it manages, long with a target at 1.15. If it impulses below, short at a pullback with a target 1.134
XAUUSD – The price is trying to hold above 1795, I recommend a long with a target at 1900
MSFT – I expect a pullback to 197, reversal model (false breakout OR bounce), followed by an up move, target at 215
SNPS – I recommend a long with a target at 203
CRM – the price tried for a false breakout of 184, either that works out, in which case enter with a target at 202, but what might happen is a drop to 171, in which case wait for a reversal model and then long with targets at 184 and 202
GD – I expect a pullback to 144, a reversal model, and then an up move. Long with a target at 156.
Right, that’s about it, I hope you found this useful, have a good one.
GD: $140 Short Target -> $160+ June PotentialFirst off, don't take anything I say seriously or as financial advice. This is on opinion basis (as always). That being said, let get into my analysis. I am hoping for a positive earnings call for General Dynamics tomorrow, which is why I recommend getting this ASAP as it is worth the risk to me. Likely, it will pass the $140 price point if that is true real soon and has a bullish potential to go all the way up to $160 within two month. It is too early to call this a long, but I think as a short it isn't high risk.
GD approaching resistance, potential drop!GD is approaching our first resistance at 187.10 (horiozntal overlap resistance, 61.8% fibonacci extension, 50% fibonacci retracement) where a strong drop might occur below this level pushing price down to our major support at 165.58 (horizontal overlap support, 50% fiboancci retracement).
Stochastic (55,5,3) is also approaching resistance where we might see a corresponding drop in price.
AJRD - Defense Budget SpendingAug 13 approval of D-plan spending. This one to join top 5 D-stocks.
Call it a vice stock. Come to own conclusions.