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GDX

Gold - GC Gold Futures are rising as non-commercials add to their long positions. - Currently net long 192.3k, up 21.5k. In the week to Wednesday, for the first time in 16 weeks, GLD (SPDR Gold ETF) saw positive flows, gaining $340 million (courtesy of ETF.com). In the meantime, non-commercials raised net longs in gold futures to an 11-week high. Last week, the metal jumped 3.6 percent after repeatedly defending $1,760s-$1,770s. The nearest support lies at $1,800, and of course $1,760s-$1,770s after that.
COMEX:GC1!
by TH_Analysis
4
GDX higher , can VOX Royalty benefitIn 2021 Vox set out ambitious corporate targets for the year with an aim to grow and acquire additional NAV-accretive royalties. By February Vox Royalty announced that it had agreed to acquire a Western Australian gold royalty portfolio from Gibb River Diamonds Ltd for A$325,000 in cash. With a total of 31 Australian royalties, Vox is now the second-largest publicly traded holder of royalty interests in Australia by royalty count, behind Franco Nevada Corporation.    Vox's gold royalty portfolio includes three advanced exploration gold royalties in Western Australia. The royalties include a 1% Net Smelter Return (NSR) royalty over the Bulgera Gold project operated by Norwest Mineral Ltd, a 1% NSR over the Comet Gold Project operated by Accelerate Resources Ltd, and a 1% NSR over the Mount Monger Gold Project operated by Accelerate and subject to a binding option agreement with Mt Monger Minerals Pty Ltd. The Bulgera Gold deposit has an estimated resource of 93,880 gold ounces at 1.0 g/t. With precious metals miners showing a positive reaction to the US10 year yields being capped under 1.7% currently, plus the weakening US dollar there is a real chance that producers ramp up production as prices of the yellow metal appreciate. $2k Gold seems to be the sweet spot for a lot of evaluations around the miners but there is sentiment building that the economy and monetary policy are going to be very supportive of traditional stores of wealth.
V
by TH_Analysis
US10Y yields and Gold Miners (GDX)Gold is an inflation hedge, so expect to see XAUUSD rising as the CPI and PCE data prints show consistent prints above 2% on average for the year. US10 year yields steepen against the 2-year yield as short-term inflation expectations are crushed by QE and low-interest rates but medium-term inflation risks are starting to show their presence in the cost of commodities, materials, and rising wages. The Fed is adamant that the current signs of inflation will be transitory and as the base effects from last year fall out of the year-on-year data readings the inflationary pressures will ease. Gold producers on the COT report had trimmed their short positions from the beginning of 2021 until April but have started selling more again as the price of Gold bounced off $1700, which make me feel that the range between $1700 to $1900 is here to stay for a while longer. One way to try and capitalise on the price of Gold without the need for it to break $2k necessarily is to invest in a Royalty or Streaming company. With prices for mining output already set, the Royalty companies can still make money even when the gold price is falling. They don't operate mines themselves, and so the huge infrastructure and operating costs do not fall to them.
AMEX:GDX
by TH_Analysis
2
GDX Elliott Wave View: Showing Corrective BounceShort term Elliott wave view in GDX suggests that it is doing a recovery from March 03, 2021 low in a corrective structure. The internals of that bounce is unfolding as Elliott wave zigzag structure where the first leg of the bounce ended in wave A at $34.48 high. Down from there, the GDX made a 3 wave pullback in wave B with another lesser degree zigzag structure. While the lesser degree wave ((a)) ended in 5 waves at $31.91 low. Wave ((b)) bounce ended in 3 swings at $32.96 high and wave ((c)) ended at $31.65 low thus completed wave B pullback. Afterward, the ETF is trading higher in the next leg higher within wave C. The internals of the current bounce is unfolding as an impulse sequence where wave ((i)) ended at $32.79 high. Wave ((ii)) ended at $32.42 low, wave ((iii)) ended at $34.59 high and wave ((iv)) ended at $33.83 low. Near-term, as far as the pivot from $31.65 low stays intact then GDX is expected to take the extension higher in wave ((v)) towards $35.47- $37.83 area higher. Before it ends the cycle from 03, 2021 low in a zigzag structure & consequently the correction against the cycle from January 05, 2021 peak.
AMEX:GDX
by Elliottwave-Forecast