GDX
Jnug to Gold "final drop in bound"?I am expecting gold to move into its final drop and possibly bottom in February. Then we should get a very strong move up similar to the 2016 run. I do not see the start of the bull gold market. Just a large strong C wave up to above $1400.
And miners should also make a similar move as the 2016 run. GL
PAAS - A random IdeaDaily Formations allow for bigger moves. I'm interested in shorting on this backtest.
Also, my interpretation of what might happen. 90% chance it won't follow the path correctly, but I like to let the mind wander.
DBC - More Odd Charts - Commodity Drop Underway?Crude oil has been getting absolutely walloped for weeks now, having lost over a third of its value recently. Looking at the chart of USOIL I recently posted, it seems to me we are definitely primed for a bounce. The bounce will ultimately fail, but we’re really, really oversold at this point.
One thing I noticed is that the commodity ETF, symbol DBC, has actually cracked the channel which has been in place for years. Like I said above, I think oil will bounce, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see DBC hit resistance in the form of that now-broken channel.
DBC is the basket of commodities
"Two Corrections" - February and October 2018 "Two Corrections" - February and October 2018
Pattern symetry.
Long GDXJ (Alternative view from previous analysis)One week passed, GDXJ starting to form a bottoming signal (rising volume and bottom wick). With the equity market (SPY) so weak, gold may have the chance to breakout.
If GDXJ breaks above the triangle trend line, that will be a false breakdown. That we should expect a huge rally ~20-30% from current level.
The only risk is yield is about to explode, so if gold is negatively correlated to yield, this is unlikely to happen.
Trade plan: wait til the break above trendline to initiate long position. Otherwise, I am still short biased.
Gold might be getting ready for another leg higherFrom my blog:
It looks we could see a correction in the US stocks too. We’ve been seeing it in other markets already. But don’t be mistaken, I think this could only be a correction within a secular bull market. I don’t want to be calling for a 2008 style crisis yet however it can always evolve into something bigger.
There is an interesting rotation happening right now though. Gold has been a mess in the past months and even years. Many were expecting it would start trending higher. I was one of them for some time but I’ve put that thesis aside until now. I’m starting to see reasons for joining the party! What if this correction in the US stocks will ignite it?
Gold, GDX & GLD: Correlated Markets Lead To BIG Profits! If you trade Gold, you must know that the GDX and the GLD are both derivative markets of Gold and are closely correlated since they both track aspects of Gold. So when either one of these move, then you must look to the other one's and see what they are doing, going to do or done already. They can give you precious clues as to what the other markets are going to do. In most cases, GDX and GLD are forward indicators of Gold itself.
Why do I point this out? Well, what you see in my charts is my analysis of these 3 markets and you can see that they are all closely mimic each other. Now, I follow the mantra of "Trade what you see. Not what you think". That means I look at each chart by itself and not dependent on what any other chart is doing or projected to do. But when I analyze Gold, I also do look to GDX and GLD as well and see if my independent analysis of those markets agree with what I see in Gold. But VERY IMPORTANT to keep in mind is that NO MARKET correlate 1:1 to any other market. What that means is that Gold can move 100 pips while GDX might only move 25 pts.
In any case, I'm showing you these trades that I took and issued out to my followers to illustrate this point. Just a tip for you the next time you decide to trade in Gold.
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