GER30-DAX
GER30So my last outlook for the GER30 in 2016. Next week it can be volatil cause no big players at the market.
The options call jan 2017 at dax is the most oi at 11800 yesterday 10881 contracts.
the next big oi is at 11500 with 7158 contracts.
10800 and 10700 the next big oi. so i thing this ist the range. www.eurexchange.com
Puts oi 2017 jan are at 11300 with 6388 contracts than 11000 and most at 10800 with 14,734 contracts
So this could help you for your decision for your trading plan.
DAX WeeklyThats my look on the weekly chart on the DAX, Both structures in the two green rectangels may be similar.
*This is not elliott wave count, its just my way to lable the structure. Line thickness indicate thier possibility.
-It looks like that DAx may be doing this now, ofcourse ther will be some corrections on the way up, and thats good to add some more longs on the way.
-The impulsive wave will be confirmed after first breaking the @11580 then consolidating without breaking @9700.
-That is a weekly chart, so we will be shorting some times in the correction levels but on our way up.It#s just to look from time to time where we are in the bigger picture.
-Until 1st week of december, DAX most likely go straigh up, without major corrections, but be careful in end of december and in January, some corrections to the downside there is 90% will happend.
Daily-Weekly Forecast GER30Presidential elections of the United States of America is over. Congratulations Mr. Donald Trump
We have got several interesting and profitable trading opportunities.
GER30 is aiming high but current area has been declined several times.
There is resent "bull-trap" in this area as well form previous days on 4h chart.
Currently I have active SHORT Trade with TP 10200 (Slightly higher than previous swing low).
Current expectation is to fill TP by end of this year
Opening gap up to me means I will stick to my plan and hedge+hold current positions and if possible will add form higher tops.
Good Luck!
DAX is trending still inside the downward channelI think it's important to observe DAX performance in the real (dollar) terms. That basically means we have to look GER30*EURUSD. It made it's top long before compared to nominal terms (GER30) @ 12386 in 2015-04-06. Since that day it has been trending lower, but are things starting to change?
The ratio tells you that has the price appreciation been faster than Eur/Usd exchange rate declining - i.e. are the things getting better fundamentally or has the recent appreciation been only currency inflation?
Based on the fibonacci's and recent price action, it has not been only currency inflation. GER30*EURUSD made a bottom in the beginning of 2016 FY and an impressive double bottom in the summer. Since then GER30 has been appreciating faster than Eur/Usd declining. If the both would start appreciating, that would imply that things are really starting to improve fundamentally in the European Union. That would mean GER30*EURUSD to break above the channel.
Now it seems to be in "consolidation-mode", but coming months will show hopefully medium-term direction.
DAX Fishing for Bear StopsThe DAX respected the August 8th breakout today but I think traders should take note of the bigger picture. Remember, bigger time frames will always tell the full story whilst smaller time frames will try and hustle out the small retailer. I'm giving the DAX until 10600 max. The daily 20MA should spell toast. Any daily chart close above 10806 I'm wrong. DAX should find its way down to 10100 in September