GER30/DAX short, reaching upper edge of flagDue to the insecure overall political situation in Europe, plunging chinese stocks and industrial metals, the testing of the upper channel edge and a relatively oversold market , we may see another breakdown at least to previous structure level of at least 10700. Another support zone at around 10600 marked with the thin green line may also indicate a potential reversal zone at around 10600 to 10700.
As always, Stop-Loss is set right about previous structure highs, giving us a nice Risk Reward Ratio of 2,9.
In long term view a decrease down to about the 10000 level is the maximum imaginable to me, because of huge resistance levels marked with the long green rectangle. This would theoretically give us an RRR of 5,17 but is not easy to predict in this by politics driven stock markets
GER30-DAX
GER30 (DAX) Pin Bar Buy Signal - 18th June 2015Trading Setups: GER30 (DAX) Pin Bar Buy Signal
The GER30 (DAX) formed a bullish pin bar buy signal yesterday after moving briefly below 10970 key support level. In addition we can see that this bullish pin bar almost formed at the bottom line of a channel. We could see price move higher from this pin bar in the coming days. Yesterday price retraced 50% which gives us a great entry for a 3:1 R/R trade setup.
DAX 8 year history lesson (on monthly candles)DAX history lesson:
Only 3 times with 2 closing candles OUTSIDE the bollinger band. Firstly in 2001 after tech bubble. Secondly before financial crash 2007....Thirdly in late 2008 during crash.
TODAY we're looking at allready 2 candles closing ABOVE he upper bollinger band, and a third forming with only 6 trading days left of the montly candle. Bollinger top right now is at 11671. DAX is at 11939.
We should see a close within the bands, and a correction afterwards, to get the DAX back into the bands.
GER30 at resistance zone (long-term)Hi Traders,
I just closed all my long term longs on $GER30 as I think we are in a great place to reverse or correct for a long time. As we can see on the graphs, waves with equal legs and we just completed 5 waves up. Also, RSI at trend line resistance. If I see anything bearish on 4hr, I might try to short in few days.
Thanks!
Thiago Duarte
thiago@duarteinvestmentgroup.com
@thiagotrader
Bearish trade set up on #Dax.i) The candle on 06/11/2014 made the high of this move.
ii) The candle on 12/11/2014 closed below the low of the candle in (i).
iii) This reverse candle formation appeared right at the bottom of the Kumo Cloud, which typically acts as a Resistance area.
iv) A re test of the previous low is expected at 8406.
v) the dashed pink lines are the immediate support areas, where price swing should occur at low time frames.
vi) don't forget to trail the stop loss (every two selling bars)
DAX: GER30 in bear market after breaking 8900 zone ?DAX is now for second day under the very important 8900 support zone area.
If DAX in the next day not return to 8900 zone , we can confirm the bearish
outlook.
Summarized :
bear:
DAX break his long trendline 2011
DAX starting making lower lows
The very strong 8900 supportzone turning in heavy resistance zone.
negative for bear :
oversold RSI
If we have a false breakout from 8900 , 8900 return back in supportzone for DAX.
The new earnings season starts, if results are good , DAX will recover to make a positive balance for 2014.
DAX is topping in consolidation zone.Today Dax is down to it's first support zone 9880. Last 4 weeks Dax is consolidating in a 155 points zone.
For the 5th time we get in the 9880 zone. From here there are 2 options. Support maintain and DAX go futher upside again (10050 top). Other option is a break from the short trendline and 9880 supportline. This brings DAX to next support level 9800. There is still 400 points downspace before we break the 2011 trendline. Only after breaking this trendline DAX get in downtrend zone.