Ger30short
Short at 12556 for 260 pips to 2015 high SL12680Due to geopolitical Tension + Merkal face coalition Talks
and also wall street have not consodilate yet
so i expect a pull back on 2015 high with 2 target first for in total of 260 pips
inmore i see a bearish divergence in h4
enter at 12556 SL 12675 final target 12290
RR 1/2.45
SHORT - C WAVE - German Elections VolatilityIn what should kick off a C Wave down in the Dax this move should also coincide with a move down in the Euro.
Support in theory should be around the area of the green dotted line but as always counting a complete 5 waves down should indicate the move is over.
In theory a stop should be at the major high above this current pullback.
Short DAX Immediately1. Technical analysis:
- The minimum increase level for an Inverted H&S pattern has already reached.
- Polls have suggested that Macron will easily win the election since last week, this has already price in on DAX. It is basic knowledge that the investors will sell off for taking profit when some hopes become true. I don't understand why some people say that DAX will go higher if Macron wins. For myself, DAX will goes lower if Macron wins.
- VIX for global markets has recorded historical low at 9.8 recently. There are 19 times that the VIX has been in single digit since 1990's. It indicates that most investors are over optimistic, they make money easily by holding longs on indices and securities. Not many investors are holding shorts and they do not believe the trend can be reverse.
2. Political and Geographic analysis:
- If you study Economics, you'll certainly understand that Macron won the presidential election of France is actually a disaster for global markets.
3. Investors' Psychological analysis:
- I observed that there are more and more people become very greedy and over optimistic. Some people mentioned that "DAX has entered uncharted area and I guess it will go up to 16000". This is always a signal for trend reversal.