Get started

Ger40

DAX: Healthy Channel Up aiming at 21,350DAX is on excellent bullish levels on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 66.832, MACD = 222.700, ADX = 20.758) as it just crossed the previous Resistance of the 5 month Channel Up. This is technically the new bullish wave of the pattern which got further confirmed after Monday's bounce on the 4H MA200. Both 1D MACD wise and relative price structure, it looks much like the previous two bullish waves. The recent HH was on the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, thus we're aiming for the top of the pattern (TP = 21,350) yet again. See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:DE40Long
by InvestingScope
DE40 "German DAX 40" Indices Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the DE40 "Germany 40" Indices market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : You can enter a Bull trade at any point, however I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4h period, the recent / nearest low or high level. Goal 🎯: 20,800 (or) escape Before the Target. Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release. Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️ The DE40 (German DAX 40) index is expected to move in a bullish trend. Here's a breakdown of the analysis: Reasons for Bullish Trend: Strong Economic Growth: Germany's economy is expected to continue growing, driven by strong consumer spending and investment. Low Unemployment: Unemployment rates in Germany are at historic lows, which is expected to support consumer spending and economic growth. Positive Earnings: Many German companies are expected to report positive earnings, which could boost investor sentiment and drive the index higher. Monetary Policy: The European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to maintain its accommodative monetary policy, which could support the economy and drive the index higher. Fundamental Analysis: GDP Growth Rate: 1.5% - 2.0% expected for Q4 Inflation Rate: 1.2% - 1.5% expected for January Unemployment Rate: 3.2% - 3.5% expected for January Earnings Growth: 5% - 7% expected for Q4 Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and watch for the next dynamic level or order block breakout. Once it is resolved, we can go on to the next new target in our heist plan. Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
CAPITALCOM:DE40Long
by Thief_Trader
Technical Analysis for GER40 (DAX) for January 13-17Overall Trend : On the daily chart, PEPPERSTONE:GER40 ( XETR:DAX ) has been exhibiting a bullish trend, operating within an ascending channel. We are currently at the 50% mark of the ascending channel, a point of indecision at the moment, as signs of exhaustion are observed following significant upward movements, suggesting a potential short-term consolidation or correction down to 20,005 if the support area is breached. Support and Resistance Levels: Resistance 1: 20,872 points Resistance 2: 20,474 points Support Area 1: 20,077 - 20,198 points Support 2: 20,005 points Chart Patterns and Technical Indicators: Candlestick Patterns: Recently, indecision patterns such as dojis have formed on the daily chart, indicating a possible reversal or consolidation. RSI (Relative Strength Index): The daily RSI is near the overbought zone, suggesting that the asset may be overvalued and subject to a correction. Wyckoff Analysis: A potential distribution phase is observed, where major players might be taking profits after the recent rally, preparing the market for a possible reversal or sideways movement. Relevant Fundamental Factors: The German economy faces significant challenges, with a growth forecast of only 0.1% in 2025 after two years of contraction. Additionally, the recent political crisis has resulted in the collapse of the governing coalition, increasing economic and political uncertainty in the country. Possible Scenarios: Bullish Scenario: If the price breaks above the 50% mark of the ascending channel with significant volume, it may target the next resistance at 20,474 points. To confirm the continuation of the bullish trend, it is important for the RSI to remain at moderate levels, avoiding the extreme overbought zone. Bearish Scenario: If the price loses the support area, it may accelerate the decline towards the next support at 20,005 points. A descending RSI would reinforce this scenario, indicating increased selling pressure.
PEPPERSTONE:GER40
by JoaoZarate
1
DAX / GER40 analysisThe PEPPERSTONE:GER40 XETR:DAX has exhibited a consistent bullish trend in recent months, trading within an ascending channel on the weekly chart. However, on the daily chart, signs of exhaustion are emerging following significant upward moves, suggesting a potential short-term consolidation or correction. Support and Resistance Levels: Resistance 1: 20,261 points Resistance 2: 20,481 points Support 1: 19,202 points Support 2: 19,028 points The daily RSI is hovering near the overbought zone, indicating the asset may be overvalued and vulnerable to a correction. A potential distribution phase is noted, where institutional players might be taking profits after the recent rally, setting the stage for a possible reversal or sideways movement. Relevant Fundamental Factors: The German economy faces significant headwinds, with growth projected at just 0.1% for 2025 following two years of contraction. Additionally, the recent political crisis, marked by the collapse of the governing coalition, has heightened economic and political uncertainty in the country. Possible Scenarios: Bullish Scenario: If the price breaks above the 20,261-point resistance with strong volume, it could target the next resistance at 20,481 points. To confirm the continuation of the uptrend, the RSI must remain at moderate levels, avoiding extreme overbought conditions. Bearish Scenario: If the price breaches the 19,202-point support, it may accelerate toward the next support at 19,028 points or even the discount area. A declining RSI would reinforce this scenario, signaling increased selling pressure.
PEPPERSTONE:GER40
by JoaoZarate
32
GER40/DAX "GERMANY 40" Indices Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the GER40/DAX "GERMANY 40" Indices Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 👀 So Be Careful, wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📉 : You can enter a short trade at any point. however I advise placing sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 3H period, the recent / nearest high level. Target 🎯: 19,300 or Before 19,400 Scalpers, take note : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️ Economic Factors: Global economic slowdown: A slowdown in global economic growth, particularly in China and the US, could negatively impact German exports and growth. Trade tensions: Escalating trade tensions between the US and China, as well as between the US and the EU, could negatively impact German exports and growth. Brexit uncertainty: The ongoing Brexit process could lead to uncertainty and volatility in the European markets. Monetary Policy Factors: ECB's monetary policy: A less accommodative monetary policy from the European Central Bank (ECB), potentially leading to higher interest rates, could negatively impact the index. Interest rate differential: A widening interest rate differential between the US and the EU could lead to a stronger USD and weaker EUR, negatively impacting the index. Geopolitical Factors: EU political instability: Political instability in the EU, potentially driven by a more fragmented European Parliament, could negatively impact the index. Global geopolitical tensions: Escalating global geopolitical tensions, particularly between the US and China, could negatively impact the index. Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any decisions. Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release. Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and watch for the next dynamic level or order block breakout. Once it is resolved, we can go on to the next new target in our heist plan. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
FPMARKETS:GER40Short
by Thief_Trader
DAX to breakdown?GER40 - 24h expiry Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible. Daily signals for sentiment are at overbought extremes. A higher correction is expected. A break of the recent low at 20259 should result in a further move lower. Rallies should be capped by yesterday's high. We look to Sell a break of 20245 (stop at 20365) Our profit targets will be 19945 and 19845 Resistance: 20396 / 20474 / 20600 Support: 20259 / 20200 / 20119 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OANDA:DE30EURShort
by OANDA
1
DAX Strong probability for a technical pull-back here.DAX (DE40) hit last week our 20000 Target, which we established 2 months ago (October 04, see chart below): That Target was near the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the 1-year Channel Up that started on the week of the October 03 2022 bottom. As you can see, this pattern has topped both previous Bullish Waves on the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level and after a pull-back consolidation phase (red Arc), it started the Bearish Legs that bottomed and made Higher Lows on Support 1, which was the previous Resistance level. Having now already hit its 1.618 Fib ext, we expect DAX to pull-back a little and turn sideways as per the pattern, which we will short, targeting 19000 (Support 1). If however we see a 1W MA200 (blue trend-line) hit and immediate rebound and weekly closing above it, we will book our sell profit earlier. Notice also the high symmetry on those Legs, between their 1W CCI fractals. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:DE40Short
by TradingShot
GER 40 Trade Log GER40 4H Long Setup Trade Idea: - Long in the 4H FVG post-CPI wick grab, following a potential exhaustion of the ongoing short setup. Confluence: - FVG Zone: Price retraces into the 4H Fair Value Gap, providing a strong discounted entry point. - Liquidity Grab: CPI wick likely cleared liquidity below, setting the stage for a bullish reversal. - Dynamic Support: 4H Kijun aligns with FVG, reinforcing the zone as a high-probability support. Risk-Reward: - Tight stop-loss below the 4H FVG. - Targeting 1:2+ RRR with initial profit-taking at 20,400 and extended targets toward 20,500 . Quick Take: If CPI triggers downside liquidity sweep, this setup offers a clean bullish reversal opportunity. Watch for confirmation before entry!
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Long
by Fondera
GER 40 Trade LogGER40 1H Short Setup Trade Logic: - Setup: Short position initiated within the 1-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG) after a confirmed bearish structure and pre-market rejection. - Confluence Factors: - Fair Value Gap (FVG): Price retraces into a bearish FVG for a high-probability short entry. - Break of Structure (BOS): Confirmed bearish break supports downside continuation. - Kijun Resistance: 1H Kijun line aligns with the FVG, reinforcing dynamic resistance. - Liquidity Grab: The price action indicates a sweep of liquidity above the FVG, creating strong rejection signals. - Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): - Stop-loss set just above the FVG zone for tight risk management. - 1:2.35 RRR as per chart, targeting liquidity zones below. - Targets: - TP1 near 20,309 , aligning with intermediate liquidity. - TP2 around 20,250 for a deeper liquidity sweep. Macro Context: - Market Sentiment: GER40 shows bearish signals with a weakening broader market sentiment. - Volume Profile: Declining buy-side volume within the FVG zone signals limited bullish interest. - Pre-Market Behavior: Rejection from the FVG aligns with pre-market bearish tendencies, further supporting the setup. Execution Plan: - Short entry within the FVG zone, managing risk with a stop-loss above the FVG. - Strict adherence to the 1:2.35 RRR with partial profit-taking at TP1 and remaining at TP2. - Monitor market conditions and invalidate if price reclaims the FVG or breaks the Kijun level. Extra Note: Keep an eye on macroeconomic triggers that could cause sudden volatility, particularly during the European session. Let me know if further adjustments are needed!
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Short
by Fondera
DAX forming a top?GER40 - 24h expiry Sequence of 7 positive daily performances broken. We are trading at overbought extremes. Bearish divergence is expected to cap gains. Short term MACD has turned negative. A higher correction is expected. Rallies should be capped by yesterday's high. We look to Sell at 20415 (stop at 20535) Our profit targets will be 20115 and 20025 Resistance: 20350 / 20474 / 20600 Support: 20260 / 20200 / 20000 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OANDA:DE30EURShort
by OANDA
GER 40 Trade LogGER40 1H Short Setup Trade Logic: - Setup: Short within the 1-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG) following a clear bearish shift in market structure. - Confluence Factors: - Break of Structure (BOS): Price confirms a bearish break, with a clear Change of Character (ChoCH) reinforcing downside bias. - FVG Rejection: Anticipating rejection within the 1H FVG as price retests this imbalance area, providing an optimal entry point. - Kijun Resistance: Kijun line on the 1H timeframe aligns as a dynamic resistance level, further supporting bearish continuation. - Risk-Reward: Minimum 1:2 RRR with a tight stop-loss above the FVG zone. - Target: TP1 near liquidity at 20,306 ; TP2 at deeper liquidity grab around 20,260 . Confluence Factors: - Market Context: Indices showing signs of pullback after extended bullish momentum, with GER40 leading a potential retracement. - Volume Signals: Declining buy-side volume during recent highs, indicating exhaustion and paving the way for downside. - Liquidity Levels: Price action aligns with tapping liquidity from equal highs before driving into lower demand zones. Execution Plan: - Place short entries within the 1H FVG. - Maintain tight risk management with a stop-loss just above the FVG zone. - Reassess trade if price closes above the Kijun or invalidates the bearish structure. Extra Note: Monitor macroeconomic news or EUR-related sentiment for potential catalysts that could impact volatility in GER40. Let me know if you'd like any additional details or adjustments!
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Short
by Fondera
GER 40 Trade LogGER40 Pre-Market Short Setup Trade Logic: - Setup: Short position initiated within the pre-market bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG), targeting the defined downside liquidity zones. - Confluence Factors: - Pre-Market Gap: Price retraced into the FVG formed during bearish pre-market movement, offering a low-risk, high-reward entry. - Break of Structure (BOS): A confirmed bearish structure break reinforces downside momentum. - Kijun Resistance: 1H and 4H Kijun levels align with the FVG, acting as strong dynamic resistance. - Liquidity Grab: Recent liquidity sweep near the highs sets the stage for further bearish continuation. - Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): - Stop-loss set just above the FVG to maintain a tight risk. - 1:3.83 RRR as per the defined target zones on the chart. - Targets: - TP1 near 20,267 , aligning with local liquidity. - TP2 at 20,240 , deeper liquidity grab zone for full target execution. Macro Context: - Market Sentiment: Pre-market signals and reduced buyer strength suggest increased selling pressure ahead of European market open. - Economic Indicators: Risk-off behavior in broader markets supports bearish bias. - Volume Profile: Weak buyer volume within the FVG zone adds confluence for downside continuation. Execution Plan: - Place short entries within the FVG zone with a stop-loss just above it. - Strictly adhere to the 1:3.83 RRR, with partial profit-taking at TP1 and the remainder at TP2. - Monitor the European open for any shifts in momentum that could invalidate the setup. Extra Note: Stay updated on economic news or key macro triggers that could influence GER40's short-term price action. Let me know if you'd like further refinements!
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Short
by Fondera
2024-12-09 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr dax futures - Weekly outlook on point. 20506 was the max and we have seen the start of profit taking today. I expect 20200 to be hit tomorrow or Wednesday but it will be a choppy way to get there. We have an ugly head & shoulders on the 30m/1h tf and the measured move goes to around 20200. Close is always close enough. It’s possible that we retest 20500 before another leg down, so don’t short the lows, unless there is a clear and strong break below. dax futures comment: Clear trading range 20300 - 20500 until we strongly break above or below. Bears closed at the lows, which is good for them and fits with my weekly outlook. current market cycle: bull trend but very late and will end soon key levels: 20000 - 20500 bull case: As long as bulls keep it above 20300, they are good. They want to keep the market in a tight trading range near the ath. That’s about it. Got no higher targets for you. 20500 is beyond insane but we can go higher if we see another Santa rally after the pullback. Invalidation is below 20280ish. bear case: Bears want to print lower highs and trap late bulls. If they strongly break below 20300 tomorrow, we could see some acceleration to bigger support. The poor structure between 19700 and 20300 is one giant spike that wants to be filled. For now I take it level by level. 20300 and then see if we can do 20200 and 20000 after. Invalidation is above 20520. short term: No bigger interest in shorting now lows but rather pullbacks, as long as we make lower highs. 20200 is my first target and if we go above 20400 again, I would only short 20500 again or on really strong momentum. medium-long term - Update from 2024-12-02: 20000 hit, hope you listened. This market is beyond overvalued and will drop 30-50% in the next 5 years. I have no doubts about that. That fact should not be relevant to your current trading at all. Now it’s about being patient and waiting for the profit taking to start. current swing trade: None trade of the day: 20478 was previous resistance and the open was 20480. Shorting it was the trade of the day.
EUREX:FDXSZ2024
by priceactiontds
#202449 - priceactiontds - weekly update - dax Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr dax xetra: 20425 is the ath. It’s a parabolic blow-off top at the end of the bull trend. We will likely see a deeper pullback next week. My first targets below are 20000 and then the breakout retest around 19700. We can obviously print another higher high but the upside will probably be very limited next week. I have drawn 3 upper bull trend lines that fit the current structure and no matter how sloppy I draw them, I can’t see this going much further than 20500. Always keep in mind that this is not an exact science, especially when you try to determine tops. We could easily go 21000. At this point it’s just very unlikely compared to a pullback, given the structure and Opex next week. Quote from last week: comment: Late bull breakout during the week like the week before that. Another clear buying signal going into next week. There is not much to add from my tl;dr. Both of my upper bull trend lines run through 20k and I have multiple measured move targets there. More than enough reasons to be bullish and look for longs. Bears can do almost nothing to change my mind, unless we see on giant bear bar closing below 19100 on Monday. comment: 20500-20600 is my max on this. You will not get any bullish outlooks from me anymore. I could be wrong on this for weeks and would not care. The chart shows my preferred path and the only I will be willing to trade. Market will most likely test the daily 20ema this year again. Currently at exactly the breakout point around 19660. There we will see a decisions if bulls can do another retest of the highs into year end or if profit taking and sideways movement will close this year. current market cycle: Bull trend - parabolic rally which is the very end. key levels: 19000 - 20600 bull case: Bulls can keep this going as long as not many start to take profits and bears not doing anything. If the momentum stays on, there is no reason why this could not go up to 20600 or higher. Is this likely after 800 points last week? The first pullback after such a leg up is probably getting bought and a good buying opportunity for many bulls. Until we begin to see a bigger pullback, bulls have all the arguments on their side, no matter how overbought it is. Invalidation is below 19100. bear case: Just the fact that this is overbought beyond anything ever before, does not help any trader. My preferred path forward is a deeper pullback to at least 19700 but as of now, we have not seen a single daily bear bar for 7 trading days. Anything in this section is dependent on bears actually building bigger selling pressure and breaking below prior lows. We are trading at the top of multiple multi-year or monthly patterns and that should be enough to at least stall the market for now. Best case for the bears would be a quick move down to 20000 on Monday, to open up the possibility of a decent two-legged move down to 19700 or more. At 20k, I expect buyers to step in hard and produce another bounce first. Invalidation is above 20600. outlook last week: short term: Max bullish for 20k. Can we chop some before we get there? Sure but I don’t think bears can get this below 19300 again before we hit 20k. → Last Sunday we traded 19626 and now we are at 20384. 700+ points on the week. short term: No more bullish outlooks. I want to see big juicy red bars and people posting on x about “buying opportunity of a lifetime” while they double down all the way back to 19000. Neutral until bears come around. No interest in buying anything above 20100 as of now. 20k might be a decent long scalp for a quick bounce. medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-19: 20000 is the goal for 2024, if bulls do not get it until year end, it will probably not happen for the next 5-10 years. This market is beyond overvalued and will drop 30-50% in the next 5 years. I have no doubts about that. That fact should not be relevant to your trading at all for now. The current push is most likely the last of it. Bears will come back soon. current swing trade: None chart update: Converged all major upper trend lines around 20400-20600 and added a potential two-legged correction for next week.
XETR:DAX
by priceactiontds
GER 40 Trade Log GER40 1H Long Setup: Entering at 0.5 FVG Level I'm eyeing a long position on the GER40 (DAX) based on the 1-hour timeframe. Here's the breakdown of my trade setup: 🔹 Entry Point: - Entering at the 0.5 level of the hourly Fair Value Gap (FVG). 🔹 Risk Management: - Risk: 1% of the trading account. - Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 1:2. - Stop Loss (SL): Placed below the 1H Kijun-sen line to account for potential volatility. 🔹 Trade Idea: - Expecting a retracement to the FVG before resuming the upward trend. - Aware that price action might slice through our SL, but willing to see how it unfolds. 📊 Technical Analysis: - Ichimoku Cloud: The price is above the cloud, indicating a bullish trend. Placing the SL below the 1H Kijun-sen provides a safety net against sudden dips. - FVG Levels: Fair Value Gaps often act as magnets for price retracements. The 0.5 level is a strategic entry point to capitalize on the potential bounce. 🌐 Macro Factors Supporting the Trade: - Economic Resilience: Recent data shows that the German economy is demonstrating resilience amid global uncertainties, boosting investor confidence. - ECB Monetary Policy: The European Central Bank's accommodative stance continues to support liquidity in the markets, which is positive for equities. - Political Developments: Speculation around leadership changes, such as discussions about President Macron's position, might lead to increased investor optimism in European markets. - Global Market Sentiment: A general shift towards risk-on sentiment globally can propel the GER40 higher. 📝 Note: Trading always carries risk. While the setup aligns with both technical and macroeconomic factors, unforeseen events can impact the outcome. Stay vigilant and adjust your strategy as needed. Let's monitor this trade and see how it plays out. Feel free to share your thoughts or any insights you might have!
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Long
by Fondera
GER 40 Trade LogGER40 Short Position (Discretionary) Rationale : - Overextension: The GER40 index appears significantly overextended without substantial fundamental support. - Rising German Bond Yields: An increase in German government bond yields suggests a shift towards higher borrowing costs, potentially impacting equity valuations. - MACD Divergence: A notable divergence between the MACD indicator and price action indicates a weakening bullish momentum, often preceding a trend reversal. - CVD Divergence: Divergence in the Cumulative Volume Delta points to a disparity between buying and selling pressures, signaling a potential downturn. Trade Details : - Position: Short GER40 via market order - Risk Management: - Risk per Trade: 1% of trading capital - Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 1:2 Note: This trade is discretionary and anticipates a sharp correction at market open. Despite the lack of a formal signal, the confluence of technical indicators and macroeconomic factors supports this decision.
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Short
by Fondera
2024-12-03 - priceactiontds - daily update - dax futuresGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr dax futures - Neutral again. More chop expected. Can bulls do another leg up? Yes. Is it likely? I think it’s 50/50 right now. Bears obviously not doing enough and bulls are still buying above 20000, which is very bullish. Bulls have 2 bull trend lines as support around 20000 and 19950. It’s still BTFD until we make lower lows again below 19900. comment: After many months of writing about the most outrageous target for the dax, we finally did it. What a time to be alive. Don’t look to be the first bear. Can go higher obviously but I won’t chase anything here. My bullish targets are met, I don’t care about any more upside other than small scalps. Will wait for bigger bears to come around and will watch closely when bulls begin to take bigger profits. current market cycle : bull trend but very late and will end soon key levels: 19500 - 20000 bull case: Can do 20200 but we could have also seen the highs. It’s a gamble to bet on higher prices. Long the pullbacks until we make lower lows again on the 1h or 2h tf. Invalidation is below 19700. bear case: Nothing changed. Got nothing for bears until they can get a daily close below 19700 again. We most likely spend more time 19800 - 20100 before another impulse. Invalidation is above 20100. short term: Neutral. We can go higher but I don’t expect much tbh. 19800 - 20100 is my current range. Same as yesterday. Best bears can hope for is to test 19950 tomorrow. medium-long term - Update from 2024-12-02: 20000 hit, hope you listened. This market is beyond overvalued and will drop 30-50% in the next 5 years. I have no doubts about that. That fact should not be relevant to your current trading at all. Now it’s about being patient and waiting for the profit taking to start. current swing trade: None trade of the day: Buying 20k or Selling 2070. Clear support and resistance on the day.
EUREX:FDXSZ2024
by priceactiontds
Sell your GER40. Short long-term setup.The GER40 index is currently in a critical phase, with a key sell zone identified between 20,150 and 20,200. Traders looking to short this area could have a favorable long-term setup, with a target price of around 19,000 by January 2025. If the index breaks below this level, it may signal further weakness, paving the way for a larger bearish trend. Looking further ahead, by March 2025, if GER40 breaks the 18,900 curvature, it will trigger a major shorting opportunity. This could open up the path for a deeper decline, with a potential target of 16,300 by November-December 2025, as the index could enter a prolonged downtrend. However, staying above the 19,000 area is critical. If GER40 maintains support above this zone, it could form a bullish cycle, with a potential turnaround in early 2026. A break higher in January 2026 could signal the start of a smaller bullish trend, offering an opportunity for recovery after a period of extended weakness. Overall, the outlook for GER40 is shaped by the movement around 20,150-20,200. The direction it takes from this key level will dictate whether the index enters a bearish phase or potentially sets the stage for a long-term recovery.
FUSIONMARKETS:GER40Short
by QuantumFusionWave
3