Has DAX formed a top?DE30EUR - 24h expiry
Yesterday's Marabuzo is located at 22635.
An Evening Doji Star formation has been posted at the high.
Posted a Double Top formation.
We look for a temporary move higher.
Daily signals for sentiment are at overbought extremes.
We look to Sell at 22635 (stop at 22805)
Our profit targets will be 22205 and 22105
Resistance: 22552 / 22700 / 22852
Support: 22370 / 22280 / 22100
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Ger40
DAX Bullish Continuation (Potential New ATH After Elections)DAX price seems to exhibit signs of overall bullish continuation as the price action may form another credible Higher Low on key Fibonacci levels.
There might be a possibility that DAX may break it's All Time High Price of 22938.
With the German elections coming up, (given a pandemic free situation of the world), it might be worth observing price the action further if 22938 breaks. A potential break may be indicative of another top OR a prominent new high.
Trade Plan :
Entry @ 22240
Stop Loss @ 20980
TP 0.9 - 1 @ 23374 - 23500
Ger40 Index - The BUY after the sell (1:7 R:R Trade)Last night we sold the GER40 index to earn 4.72% in one trade.
We are now seeing consolidation to buy this pair.
1) It is with the trend.
2) There is a shark pattern
3) H1 divergence is present
As much as it is tempting to go in now, we will wait for the 22,380 level to hit and execute a buy as the pair is short term bearish.
The targe is the high of yesterday.
GER40 SHORT1. This is against the trend but there is a pattern on M15
2. There is a previous days high resisting this trade
3. There is a lot of divergence on each timeframe
4. If this is able to break the H1 moving average it will be a long fall
5. First chance take half profit at M15 oversold
6. Stop loss of 60 pips
DAX pullback from ATH, support at 22563Key Trading Level is at 22563
Support: 270 followed by 22140 and 21923
Resistance: 23200 followed by 23300
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DAX overbought rally to new ATH, The Week Ahead 17th Feb 25The Dax (DE40) index price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer term prevailing uptrend.
The key trading level is at 21703, which is 07th Feb swing low. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 21703 level could target the upside resistance at 22000 followed by 22096 and 22200 over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of 21703 support and a daily close below that level could trigger a further retracement and a retest of 21600 support level followed by 21400 and 21240.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DAX (DE40) INTRADAY consolidation supported at 22220The DAX (DE40) intraday price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. However, since the spike to intraday all time high at 22620 on 13th January 2025, the DAX price action is consolidating sideways, potentially indicating the overbought condition.
The key trading level is at the 22220 level, which is the 61.8% Fib retracement from 12 Feb ’25 swing low. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 22220 level could target the upside resistance at 22480 followed by the 22620 and 22700 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the 22220 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 22154 support level followed by 22000 and 21800.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DAX 40 Crosses the 22,000 Mark for the First TimeThe German index increased just over 3% in the past five sessions, driven by the strong performance of companies such as SAP, Siemens, and Deutsche Bank , which have posted gains exceeding 3% during this period. Notably, these companies represent more than 20% of the weight in DAX 40, making their positive performance a key factor in sustaining the bullish pressure that has now pushed the index to new all-time highs.
Strong Uptrend
The DAX 40 is currently in a strong uptrend, which has accelerated since November 2024. The price has now reached the 22,000-point zone , a potentially significant resistance level. However, for the buying momentum to remain intact in the short term, it will be crucial for bullish positions to hold above this level.
Potential Correction
At the moment, the RSI line continues to oscillate above the 70 level , signaling overbought conditions. Additionally, while the DAX price has been making higher highs, the RSI has been making lower highs, forming a bearish divergence. These two signals suggest that the recent buying activity may have created an imbalance in the market, which could open the door to short-term downward corrections.
Key Levels to Watch:
22,000 points – A new critical resistance zone, aligning with the latest all-time high reached by the DAX 40. If buying activity remains strong above this level, it could help sustain the bullish bias and pave the way for further upward movement in the coming sessions.
21,300 points – A nearby support level, corresponding to a neutral zone from previous sessions, and also aligning with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. This area could serve as a potential correction zone, and if price action falls below this barrier, it may lead to a sideways phase in the medium term.
20,300 points – A distant support level, aligning with the 50- and 100-period moving averages. If the price approaches this level, it could revive bearish sentiment and put the current uptrend at risk.
By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
DAX uptrend continuationThe Dax (DE40) index price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer term prevailing uptrend.
The key trading level is at 21703, which is 07th Feb swing low. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 21703 level could target the upside resistance at 22000 followed by 22096 and 22200 over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of 21703 support and a daily close below that level could trigger a further retracement and a retest of 21600 support level followed by 21400 and 21240.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GER40 "Germany 40" Indices Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱👤
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the GER40 "Germany 40" Indices market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise Place Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at the recent / nearest low level Using the 3H timeframe,
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 22700.0 (or) Escape Before the Target
Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
GER40 "Germany 40" Indices market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors.
🟡Macro Economics
The global economic slowdown is expected to continue in 2025, with a forecast of 3.0% global GDP growth rate. This slowdown may impact the German economy, leading to a potential decrease in demand for the Euro.
🟣COT Report
The latest COT report shows that non-commercials (speculators) are net long 10,000 contracts, indicating a bullish sentiment.
🟠Sentimental Market
Retail traders have a bullish sentiment towards GER40, with 60% being long. Institutional investors have a bearish sentiment towards GER40, with 55% being short.
🔵Positioning
Institutional traders are holding short positions in GER40, indicating a bearish sentiment. Retail traders are holding long positions in GER40, indicating a bullish sentiment.
🟢Overall Outlook
GER40 is expected to trend bullish in the short term, driven by the bullish sentiment among retail traders and the European Central Bank's accommodative monetary policy stance. However, the pair may experience a short-term correction due to the bearish sentiment among institutional traders.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
GER40 "Germany 40" Indices Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰🐱👤
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the GER40 "Germany 40" Indices Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 :
"The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (21250.00) then make your move - Bearish profits await!"
however I advise placing Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest high or low level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at 21500.00 (swing Trade) Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
First Target 20800.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
Final Target 20300.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
GER40 "Germany 40" Indices Market is currently experiencing a Neutral (there is a high chance for Bearish trend)., driven by several key factors.
🟠Fundamental Analysis
1. Earnings Growth: The Germany 40 index has experienced a decline in earnings growth, with a 5-year average earnings growth rate of 5%.
2. Dividend Yield: The dividend yield of the Germany 40 index is currently 2.5%, which is relatively low compared to historical standards.
3. Valuation: The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of the Germany 40 index is currently 15.6, which is slightly above its historical average.
⚪Macro Analysis
1. GDP Growth: The German economy has experienced a slowdown in GDP growth, with a 2022 growth rate of 1.4%.
2. Inflation: The inflation rate in Germany has remained relatively low, with a 2022 inflation rate of 1.4%.
3. Interest Rates: The European Central Bank (ECB) has maintained a dovish stance, keeping interest rates low to support economic growth.
🟢COT Analysis
1. Non-Commercial Traders: Non-commercial traders, such as hedge funds and institutional investors, have increased their short positions in the Germany 40 index, with a net short exposure of 10,000 contracts.
2. Commercial Traders: Commercial traders, such as banks and brokerages, have decreased their long positions in the Germany 40 index, with a net long exposure of 5,000 contracts.
⚫Sentiment Analysis
1. Retail Trader Sentiment: Retail traders have a bearish sentiment towards the Germany 40 index, with 55% being bearish.
2. Institutional Investor Sentiment: Institutional investors have decreased their bullish sentiment towards the Germany 40 index, with 50% being bullish.
3. Hedge Fund Sentiment: Hedge funds have increased their bearish sentiment towards the Germany 40 index, with 60% being bearish.
🟤Positioning Analysis
1. Long Positions: Long positions in the Germany 40 index have decreased, with a net long exposure of 50,000 contracts.
2. Short Positions: Short positions in the Germany 40 index have increased, with a net short exposure of 10,000 contracts.
3. Open Interest: Open interest in the Germany 40 index has decreased, with a current open interest of 500,000 contracts.
🟣Based on this analysis, the Germany 40 index is expected to trend bearish in the short term, with a 60% chance of a downtrend and a 30% chance of an uptrend. However, please note that market predictions can be unpredictable and influenced by various factors.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
DAX: Channel Up, Bullish Cross targeting 22,500DAX turned overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 71.428, MACD = 367.400, ADX = 47.746) which is signalling a strong uptrend ahead, especially with the 4H RSI rising on a Bullish Cross. The last time the Channel Up pattern traded on those numbers it was on January 15th, again after a 4H MACD Bullish Cross and a bottom bounce. That time it increased by +7.50%. That is again our medium term target (TP = 22,500).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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Could the price reverse from here?GER40 is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 21,531.47
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 21,816.31
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Take profit: 21,158.29
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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DAX to turnaround?DE30EUR - 24h expiry
We are trading at overbought extremes.
A higher correction is expected.
Short term momentum is bearish.
Short term oscillators have turned negative.
Offers ample risk/reward to sell at the market.
A break of the recent low at 21166 should result in a further move lower.
We look for losses to be extended today.
We look to Sell at 21249 (stop at 21351)
Our profit targets will be 20961 and 20881
Resistance: 21250 / 21370 / 21531
Support: 21166 / 21100 / 20950
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
DAX Short 4HGood morning, TradingView friends!
I’m excited to share my latest market forecast with you. This setup uses Fibonacci and psychological levels as our key indicators.
First up, we’re looking at the 21,405 level. It's an important Fibonacci point, and I believe the price will bounce back here, heading towards the trend line. Next, I expect the ascending trend line to hold strong, guiding the price to a crucial psychological and Fibonacci level at 21,500. From there, we might see a 4-hour and daily correction.
For confirming these moves, keep an eye on the lower time frames. A good sign to watch for is an M-pattern with a Lower High on the second leg.
Can't wait to hear your thoughts and keep the conversation going!
DAX Trade Recap!Sniped a perfect entry using the WiseOwl Indicator and caught the bullish momentum at just the right time. 🔥
Current Status: Floating at +9RR 🚀
Took 50% partials and holding the rest for much higher targets.
The structure was clear and bullish, making this setup a no-brainer.
Momentum is still strong—let’s see how far this one can run!
How did your week of trading go? Let me know in the comments! 💬
DAX Short - How Many Times You Got Already Burned?So, obviously the masses are short while institutions are long. We wanna know where they take profit. Psytropy gives us this beautiful report, combining it with middle of the month (loves to be reversal), let's short. I'll update the correct take profit levels later.
DAX: Healthy Channel Up aiming at 21,350DAX is on excellent bullish levels on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 66.832, MACD = 222.700, ADX = 20.758) as it just crossed the previous Resistance of the 5 month Channel Up. This is technically the new bullish wave of the pattern which got further confirmed after Monday's bounce on the 4H MA200. Both 1D MACD wise and relative price structure, it looks much like the previous two bullish waves. The recent HH was on the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, thus we're aiming for the top of the pattern (TP = 21,350) yet again.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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DE40 "German DAX 40" Indices Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the DE40 "Germany 40" Indices market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : You can enter a Bull trade at any point,
however I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4h period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
Goal 🎯: 20,800 (or) escape Before the Target.
Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release.
Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️
The DE40 (German DAX 40) index is expected to move in a bullish trend. Here's a breakdown of the analysis:
Reasons for Bullish Trend:
Strong Economic Growth: Germany's economy is expected to continue growing, driven by strong consumer spending and investment.
Low Unemployment: Unemployment rates in Germany are at historic lows, which is expected to support consumer spending and economic growth.
Positive Earnings: Many German companies are expected to report positive earnings, which could boost investor sentiment and drive the index higher.
Monetary Policy: The European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to maintain its accommodative monetary policy, which could support the economy and drive the index higher.
Fundamental Analysis:
GDP Growth Rate: 1.5% - 2.0% expected for Q4
Inflation Rate: 1.2% - 1.5% expected for January
Unemployment Rate: 3.2% - 3.5% expected for January
Earnings Growth: 5% - 7% expected for Q4
Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and watch for the next dynamic level or order block breakout. Once it is resolved, we can go on to the next new target in our heist plan.
Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
Technical Analysis for GER40 (DAX) for January 13-17Overall Trend : On the daily chart, PEPPERSTONE:GER40 ( XETR:DAX ) has been exhibiting a bullish trend, operating within an ascending channel. We are currently at the 50% mark of the ascending channel, a point of indecision at the moment, as signs of exhaustion are observed following significant upward movements, suggesting a potential short-term consolidation or correction down to 20,005 if the support area is breached.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Resistance 1: 20,872 points
Resistance 2: 20,474 points
Support Area 1: 20,077 - 20,198 points
Support 2: 20,005 points
Chart Patterns and Technical Indicators:
Candlestick Patterns: Recently, indecision patterns such as dojis have formed on the daily chart, indicating a possible reversal or consolidation.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): The daily RSI is near the overbought zone, suggesting that the asset may be overvalued and subject to a correction.
Wyckoff Analysis: A potential distribution phase is observed, where major players might be taking profits after the recent rally, preparing the market for a possible reversal or sideways movement.
Relevant Fundamental Factors: The German economy faces significant challenges, with a growth forecast of only 0.1% in 2025 after two years of contraction. Additionally, the recent political crisis has resulted in the collapse of the governing coalition, increasing economic and political uncertainty in the country.
Possible Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario: If the price breaks above the 50% mark of the ascending channel with significant volume, it may target the next resistance at 20,474 points. To confirm the continuation of the bullish trend, it is important for the RSI to remain at moderate levels, avoiding the extreme overbought zone.
Bearish Scenario: If the price loses the support area, it may accelerate the decline towards the next support at 20,005 points. A descending RSI would reinforce this scenario, indicating increased selling pressure.
DAX / GER40 analysisThe PEPPERSTONE:GER40 XETR:DAX has exhibited a consistent bullish trend in recent months, trading within an ascending channel on the weekly chart. However, on the daily chart, signs of exhaustion are emerging following significant upward moves, suggesting a potential short-term consolidation or correction.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Resistance 1: 20,261 points
Resistance 2: 20,481 points
Support 1: 19,202 points
Support 2: 19,028 points
The daily RSI is hovering near the overbought zone, indicating the asset may be overvalued and vulnerable to a correction.
A potential distribution phase is noted, where institutional players might be taking profits after the recent rally, setting the stage for a possible reversal or sideways movement.
Relevant Fundamental Factors:
The German economy faces significant headwinds, with growth projected at just 0.1% for 2025 following two years of contraction. Additionally, the recent political crisis, marked by the collapse of the governing coalition, has heightened economic and political uncertainty in the country.
Possible Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario: If the price breaks above the 20,261-point resistance with strong volume, it could target the next resistance at 20,481 points. To confirm the continuation of the uptrend, the RSI must remain at moderate levels, avoiding extreme overbought conditions.
Bearish Scenario: If the price breaches the 19,202-point support, it may accelerate toward the next support at 19,028 points or even the discount area. A declining RSI would reinforce this scenario, signaling increased selling pressure.