DAX Found Support on the Megaphone's Higher Lows.DAX is on the 8th straight sideways 1D candle as it found Support on the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the long-term Bullish Megaphone pattern. The 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) is the short-term Resistance while the price is trading around the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) as pivot.
We are bullish, targeting the Internal Higher Highs trend-line at 17000, as long as the Megaphone's bottom holds. The bullish extension may be even higher considering the fact that the medium-term pattern could be an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) that technically targets the 2.0 Fibonacci extension at 17400.
If however the price breaks below the Higher Lows trend-line, we will short-term sell targeting the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) where a 1D candle close below it, would justify a bearish extension to Support 2 at 14470.
For now the trend remains bullish, as illustrated by the 1D RSI also which is on an 8-month Support Zone.
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Ger40
DAX40 hourly breakdownWith the DAX making all time highs and now creating new levels of support, the best we can do is work with previous levels. When an instrument is making ATH's it is difficult to chart exactly where the next level of resistance will be, as it is all untested area and it's up to the market to decide just how overbought it really is before we can move down.
Looking at the DAX40 we can see several levels of strong support that may act as resistance in the future, such as the 16332.4 level which was the resistance created 2 months ago and is now acting as current support. Should we close blow this level, there is a no trade range that would be best to avoid purely due to price action potentially catching us out.
Closure below 16267.2 would be great for sells, as there is a clean range below here and typically in the past when price has closed below this level price moves down towards 16242 and 16196.
Will DAX's selloff stall at market prices?GER40 - 24h expiry
The primary trend remains bullish.
We look to buy dips.
We are trading at oversold extremes.
50 1-day EMA is at 16050.
Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
We look to Buy at 16051 (stop at 15951)
Our profit targets will be 16301 and 16351
Resistance: 16150 / 16250 / 16300
Support: 16109 / 16000 / 15900
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
DAX to reach a new all time high today?GER40 - Intraday
Price action resulted in a new all-time high at 16450.
There is no indication that the rally is coming to an end.
Short term momentum is bullish.
We look for gains to be extended today.
A break of yesterdays high would confirm bullish momentum.
We look to Buy a break of 16461 (stop at 16361)
Our profit targets will be 16711 and 16781
Resistance: 16450 / 16600 / 16700
Support: 16330 / 16250 / 16200
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
GER40 / DAX Analysis 26July2023Ger40 / Dax entered the initial correction period. If you see Wave A has the same length as Wave C, then the possibility that is happening at this time is the formation of Wave (X), after Wave (X) occurs, the price will return to the target with the target up to the trendline below. There is a possibility that the price drops not to the trendline area, by forming complex correction.
DAX intraday dips continue to attract buyers.GER40 - 24h expiry
Trading within a Bullish Channel formation.
Intraday dips continue to attract buyers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end.
50 4hour EMA is at 16125.
We look to buy dips.
Price action continues to trade around significant highs.
We look to Buy at 16131 (stop at 16031)
Our profit targets will be 16381 and 16461
Resistance: 16240 / 16300 / 16400
Support: 16200 / 16150 / 16100
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
DAX: Supported by the 1D MA50, ready for a slingshot.DAX is on a marginally bullish 1D timeframe (RSI = 56.008, MACD = 24.500, ADX = 26.521), which indicates that there is still significant upside potential to the rebound that started on the July 7th Low. That Low may have been a HL on the long term Channel Up but also a LL on the two month Channel Down. The 1D RSI is also at the top of its Channel Down, so in order for us to buy again, we need to see a breakout over both tops.
If that happens, then there are high probabilities of the move replicating the slingshot of April-May as they both broke out after an Inverse Head and Shoulders was formed. Consequently we will buy that breakout and set a TP = 16,800.
It's worth mentioning that a crossing over the R1 invalidates the potential of a Head and Shoulders (bearish pattern) that may be forming since May 19th.
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German Index DAX (The Bull is still in control)
View On German Index DAX (14 July 2023)
DAX is in
* Bullish in short term (Intraweek)
* Neutral in Mid term (1 to 3 months)
* Neutral Long term (3 months onward)
We had a great swing back in the DAX in the recent days.
It shows that the market is not ready go lower anytime soon.
We may see a temp pull back right now but I do not think it will last.
15,900 will be a good support region.
Sooner or later, I expect it to go UP higher to retest the high of 16,300 region again.
DYODD, all the best and read the disclaimer too.
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DAX above the 1D MA50, has already started the new rally.DAX broke yesterday above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) again after rebounding at the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the December 2022 Bullish Megaphone pattern. This is the new technical bullish leg that will aim to form the next Higher High. On a similar way with the previous bottom rebound on March 20, the Low was also priced after the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) broke.
Their RSI patterns are also identical, with the current attempting to test its Lower Highs trend-line before breaking it. The MACD Bullish Cross that was just formed is also in line with the previous two (March 29 and January 03). Every Cross below 0.0 is a long-term buy opportunity.
Our target is just under the Internal Higher Highs trend-line at 16800.
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DAX: Short term buy opportunity.DAX is rebounding after a -4.60% decline that turned the 1D timeframe bearish (RSI = 42.197, MACD = -69.700, ADX = 37.228). Even though that decline hit the bottom of the long term Channel Up, we focus more on the short term where after similar declines in the past two months (both -4.30%), the price rebounded to at leastthe 0.618 Fibonacci level.
Consequently we go short and target the 0.618 Fibonacci (TP = 15,930) which can connect with the 4H MA200 as well.
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DAX hit the bottom of the long term Channel Up. Buy.DAX hit on Friday the bottom of the 8month Channel Up, just under Support (1), which was the low of April 5th.
That is a long term buy opportunity and the price is treating it as such since it's already on two straight bullish candles.
The previous Higher Lows was also priced within the MA100 (1d) and the bottom of the Channel Up.
Trading Plan:
1. Sell on the current market price.
2. Buy if the price crosses under the Channel Up.
Targets:
1. 16430 (Resistance 1).
2. 15150 (MA200 1d).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) hit the Falling Support which made the Channel Up bottoms of December 16th and March 13th. However the price dropped some more after the RSI hit that price. Hence it is not unrealistic to expect 15150 and a MA200 (1d) test for the next long term buy.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
DAX Lower Low to come after this quick rebound. Sell.DAX is recovering today from yesterday's brutal break down but this should be a short lived reaction.
The 1day RSI made a Double Bounce on a Falling Support, much like the one on March 13th.
On that price action, after a short lived rebound that got rejected on the 1day MA50 and the 0.5 Fibonacci, the price resumed the downtrend and bottomed on the 1.5 Fibonacci level.
Take advantage of this quick rebound for a better sell entry and target 15100, which happens to be also at the bottom of the long term Channel Up and the 1day MA200 (which is intact since November 10th).
Previous chart:
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DAX: Entered a short term accumulation phase ahead of the next rDAX hit the 4H MA200 again after a much needed technical pull back that helped at correcting last week's overbought technicals on the 4H time frame (RSI = 48.684, MACD = 21.500, ADX = 34.751). This is a similar structure as early June, when the 4H MA200 (and 0.382 Fibonacci) offered support to a 4 day accumulation phase before the bullish leg made a Higher High on the Channel Up pattern.
We are entering a new buy on the current market price, targeting the top of the Channel Up (TP = 16,500).
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DAX40 Crash - Short Signal - Swing TradingDAX40 is about to crash. A BIG short trade is pending its turn.
Germany40 Index (GER40, GRXEUR, GER30) is trapped in a Bearish stance.
Fundamentally, many things are against a Bull-Market at these times, but I mentioned that in my VIX spike idea.
From a Technical Analysis standpoint, well, the picture is much clearer.
Technicals:
* A-B-C Elliott Wave Sequence
* Running Flat Pattern
* Bearish Harmonic: Cypher Pattern
* Fractal Pattern: May-Dec '18 Sequence
* Reversed Bearish Divergence
* Bearish Divergence
* Descending Channel
* 61.8% Fibonacci Retracements of Primary A (red)
* 88.6% Fibonacci Retracements of Intermediate (B) (white)
* 100% Fibonacci Extensions of Intermediates (A) & (B) (white)
Expected Outcome:
* Powerful Bearish Impulse in Primary C (red).
Trading Signal:
* Entry @ 14550
* SL @ 15800
* TP1 @ 11200
* TP2 @ 9750
* TP1 @ 9000
Safety Measures:
* When in the green, moving stop-loss at break-even.
DAX H8 - Long Signal (Update)DAX H8
We pushed almost as high at 16000 before seeing a slight rejection, corrections possible, infact another test of 15700 isn't out of the question. Simple longs from this support zone again if this is the case.
16000 being quite a prominent psychological resistance price. We have a void of 285 pips to take us up to our major resistance and ultimate TP.
DAX40 H8 - Long SignalDAX40 8H
Finding a range on the German indices at the moment, after aggressive highs of 16440 ish... We have now started correcting back into a previous play of S/R. Which is good for us as it now means we have previous highs to target, and previous support to buy from.
Ideally looking for longs (in line with alerts) from 15700 price, in aim to trade back up beyond 16000 again.
Will DAX find buyers at market?GER40 - 24h expiry
Offers ample risk/reward to buy at the market.
The primary trend remains bullish.
The 1 day moving average should provide support at 15923.
Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
Bespoke support is located at 15900.
We look to Buy at 15902 (stop at 15802)
Our profit targets will be 16152 and 16192
Resistance: 15950 / 16000 / 16050
Support: 15912 / 15860 / 15800
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
DAX to reach a new all-time high today?GER40 - Intraday
Price action continues to trade around the all-time highs.
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
The bullish engulfing candle on the 4 hour chart the positive for sentiment.
The bias is to break to the upside.
The primary trend remains bullish.
We look to Buy a break of 16351 (stop at 16251)
Our profit targets will be 16601 and 16651
Resistance: 16340 / 16400 / 16500
Support: 16300 / 16200 / 16100
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
DAX One last pump to 16600.DAX is on the 4th green 1day candle in a row, extending the spot on buy entry we gave 2 weeks ago exactly at the bottom.
The 1day RSI is on balance bullish levels (62.31) and shows still upside potential while there is still room left before the Channel Up makes a Higher High.
That will be at a +6.30% rise from the Low, as previously taken place.
Target remains at 16600.
Previous chart:
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DAX H4 & D1 - Sell SignalDAX40 H4 & D1
Starting to see rejections from this 16300/350 price, I would like to see us pull down towards that 16000 whole number price in the short term before then maybe seeing something even deeper on a higher timeframe basis.
We have indicated an entry (albeit a little late, apologies) for the H4 entry, and also marked the D1 timeframe for reference and significance. Stock indices are massively overpriced at the moment, corrections I feel are certainly over-due!
DAX Channel Up and Inverse Head & Shoulders pushing for Gap fillDAX rebounded at the bottom of the Channel Up, forming Support (1) at 15625.
By doing so it completed the formation of an Inverse Head and Shoulders.
This is a twin bullish signal same with the March bottom.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
2. Sell if it crosses Support 1 (15625).
Targets:
1. 16340 (Resistance 1 and Gap fill as per the March fractal).
2. 15250 (bottom of long term Channel Up).
Tips:
1. The RSI (4h) is also forming a Channel Up like March indicating that we might be exactly before the breakout to the gap fill.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
DAX: Inverse Head and Shoulders aiming for a new All Time High.DAX is trading around the 4H MA50 and 4H MA200 with technicals naturally neutral (RSI = 52.802, MACD = 10.300, ADX = 21.396) as on any consolidation. The pattern that was completed (inside the long term Channel Up) is an Inverse Head and Shoulders. Technically such formations target the 2.0 Fibonacci. Our plan is to traget the R1 initially (TP1 = 16,335) and then buy any pull back given and aim at Fibonacci 2.0 (TP2 = 16,600).
It is important to mention that the 4H RSI has been trading inside a Channel Up during the formation of the Inverse Head and Shoulders, giving an early bullish signal.
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