DE40 Sell a break setup.GER40 - Intraday - We look to Sell a break of 15985 (stop at 16044)
Short term momentum is bearish.
We are trading at overbought extremes.
A higher correction is expected.
Bespoke support is located at 16000.
A break of 15985 is needed to confirm follow through negative momentum.
16300 has been pivotal.
Our profit targets will be 15818 and 15798
Resistance: 16100 / 16150 / 16200
Support: 16050 / 16000 / 15950
Ger40
DAX Trading PlanDAX rebounded today exactly at the bottom (Higher Lows) trend-line of its October Channel Up (blue) mainly due to the bettern than expected E.U. and German PMI data. If this effect is short-lived and the Channel breaks to the downside (quite likely as the MACD just formed a Bearish Cross on the 1D time-frame), look for the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the next buyer accumulation. That happens to be within the 0.5 and 0.382 Fibonacci retracement levels. If however the Channel Up holds, the index should go for the next Higher High. In either case the next upside target is the 2.5 Fibonacci extension around 16500.
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DAX sideways on its ATH. Potential pull-back.Two weeks ago, the consolidation on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), gave a clear buy extension signal on DAX:
The 16000 Target has been hit and the index is consolidating around its 16030 former Resistance and ATH for 5 straight 1D candles. This is a sign of technical exhaustion of the dominant trend which is bullish, so if the Channel Up breaks its Higher Lows trend-line, I expect a full pull-back towards the 1D MA50. As long as it doesn't though, the bullish trend remains intact.
In either case, the target is the 1.382 Fibonacci extension (roughly within 16450 - 16500), which is still below the Higher Highs trend-line that has been keeping DAX below since April 16.
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DAX on beginning of new week - based on Options Flow (Gamma)Going to the right, DAX tests investors' nerves and endurance. What can the beginning of a new week bring to us? Overall, we are high in the context (which does not in any way negate further increases for the sake of clarity!). Below the current price level, we have several Virgin VPOC levels, which even extend to the region of 15,200. But the only thing is that EVERY time the index will return there. Not necessarily now;)
In the context of Intraday trading, breaking the Gamma +0.25 level determined automatically based on the Options market - gives the opportunity to play a Long with a target of up to Gamma +0.5. We play it carefully because of Dax's trailblazing in such high places. The exit to Gamma +0.5, because as you already know from previous analyzes, this is a very strong Intraday resistance level. Similar to playing Short as a mirror image of the described move - after Gamma -0.25 goes down, there is an opportunity for Short. Target is Gamma -0.5 (again - strong Intraday support level), but this time we are watching whether there will be a price reaction and a rebound - another opportunity for Long as the Gamma -0.5 level is in the volume zone determined automatically by VSA Scanner. According to the Gamma strategy - a bounce from Gamma -0.5 most often ends statistically at the Pivot level.
Another trading opportunity is a price breakdown at the level determined automatically - Extreme Low of Day (determined from the Options and Volatility market) with the target at the extreme Gamma -1. Here, we also expect a price reaction and a position reversal in Long, where the presence of the volume zone (determined by the VSA Scanner) is an additional strengthening of the signal strength.
The Options Market helps forecast movements that are yet to come in derivatives (including Futures Contracts). Therefore, it is a powerful weapon in the Trader's arsenal and is available to everyone;)
DE40 Sell the daily pivots.GER40 - Intraday - We look to Sell at 15998 (stop at 16066)
We are trading at overbought extremes.
Daily pivot is at 16031.
Daily pivot is at 16005.
Resistance is located at 16000 and should cap gains to this area.
We look for a temporary move higher.
Price action continues to trade around the all-time highs.
Our profit targets will be 15811 and 15761
Resistance: 15950 / 16000 / 16030
Support: 15900 / 15850 / 15800
GER40 Sell the top.GER40 - Intraday - We look to Sell at 16044 (stop at 16104)
Following yesterday's doji the overall trend has stalled and a reversal is possible.
We look for a temporary move higher.
A higher correction is expected.
We are trading at overbought extremes.
Our profit targets will be 15871 and 15851
Resistance: 16060 / 16100 / 16150
Support: 16000 / 15950 / 15900
dax fill downer gap ,now going to 16000 area AC on 4 hour chart n give buy(+ trend will start)
if you have buy ,dont close it sooner than 15880 (can take 3 day)
if you have sell , close all sell now or hedge your sells (size=2* total sell)
if you dont have buy, wait for deep ,low to inter buy and hold
note= dax in way to 17000
DE40 Sell a break.GER40 - Intraday - We look to Sell a break of 15389 (stop at 15454)
Daily signals are mildly bearish.
We are trading at overbought extremes.
Trend line support is located at 15460.
The previous swing low is located at 15390.
50 4hour EMA is at 15420.
20 1day EMA is at 15400.
A break of yesterdays low would confirm bearish momentum.
Our profit targets will be 15201 and 15181
Resistance: 15550 / 15600 / 15650
Support: 15500 / 15450 / 15400
DAX Bullish continuation towards 16000.My last DAX analysis was on a bus signal after the price broke above the 4H MA50:
The short-term target of the 4H MA200 eventually got reached and now I shift my focus for the medium-term back to the 1D time-frame.
As you see the price has been trading around the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for a week. The very same consolidation pattern around the 1D MA50 was last seen from July 23rd to August 3rd. It led to the formation of the 16030 All Time High/ Resistance. I am expecting a similar rise/ target.
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DE40 Sell a break.GER40 - Intraday - We look to Sell a break of 15398 (stop at 15461)
Trend line resistance is located at 15530.
Offers ample risk/reward to sell at the market.
Daily signals are bearish.
Bearish divergence is expected to cap gains.
A higher correction is expected.
Our profit targets will be 15224 and 15204
Resistance: 15530 / 15600 / 15650
Support: 15500 / 15400 / 15300
DAX Broke above the 4H MA50. Buy Signal.Pattern: Channel Up on 4H.
Signal: Buy as the price broke above the 4H MA50.
Target: 15500 (just below the 4H MA200).
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DE40 Buy a break setup.GER40 - Intraday - We look to Buy a break of 15471 (stop at 15414)
Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile.
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
The trend of lower highs is located at 15650.
We look for a temporary move higher.
Our profit targets will be 15638 and 15658
Resistance: 15450 / 15500 / 15550
Support: 15400 / 15350 / 15300
DE40 Sell a break.GER40 - Intraday - We look to Sell a break of 14998 (stop at 15059)
Daily signals are mildly bearish.
Our short term bias remains negative.
Pivot support is at 15015.
Trading close to the psychological 15000 level.
A break of bespoke support at 15000, and the move lower is already underway.
We look for losses to be extended today.
Our profit targets will be 14821 and 14801
Resistance: 15200 / 15250 / 15300
Support: 15150 / 15100 / 15000
DE40 Sell a break.GER40 - Intraday - We look to Sell a break of 14977 (stop at 15036)
Daily signals are mildly bearish.
Our short term bias remains negative.
Pivot support is at 14979.
Trading close to the psychological 15000 level.
A break of bespoke support at 15000, and the move lower is already underway.
Trades with a bearish descending triangle formation.
Our profit targets will be 14811 and 14791
Resistance: 15100 / 15150 / 15200
Support: 14980 / 14900 / 14800
DAX hit the 1D MA200, first time since the US elections!DAX hit today the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since November 04 2020, which was the period of the U.S. elections. That was at the start of a very aggressive end-of-the-year rally.
Right now the index is rebounding after having made a Double Bottom just below the 15040 Support. If we also consider the July 19 Low, then this can be treated as a Triple Bottom. It is possible to see a similar pattern as May - June 2021, which also rebounded after a Double Bottom, that time on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line, which is the first Resistance) instead of the MA200. The RSIs of the two fractals are on Inverse Head and Shoulders.
The medium-term target is naturally the Resistance (16000), while on the long-term a price range within 16250 - 16400 as every previous Higher High since June has been near the 1.382 Fibonacci extension .
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