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BMW (BMW): Navigating Through Uncertainty in the Auto MarketThe German automotive industry is currently facing significant challenges, from rising production costs and the transition to electric vehicles to increased competition from China. Despite these hurdles, we believe that most of the negative factors are already priced into the market. From a technical perspective, we’re zooming out to get a broader view of BMW. Ignoring the COVID-19 dip, BMW has been ranging between 55€ and 113€ for an extended period. We anticipate that this range will continue, as markets tend to range 70% of the time. Right now, BMW is at a critical level, either bottoming out for the fourth time or, more likely, preparing to break below and collect the sell-side liquidity that has accumulated over the past three years. Our plan is simple: We’re monitoring this closely, with alerts set to notify us if the stock dips below this level. Should this occur, we’re looking at a potential entry near 62€. We will update you with our strategy once this scenario unfolds.
XETR:BMWLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
1
German index, what to expect next? In my previous analysis, I projected a reversal in GER40, expecting a corrective move toward the daily Fair Value Gap (DFVG) in the 18,000-18,200 range. Over the past week, the price has nearly reached this target. Looking ahead, I see two potential scenarios: 1. **Further Decline:** The price may continue to move lower, targeting the 1-hour FVG, which is also visible on the 4-hour, daily, and weekly timeframes. 2. **Rebalance and Retest:** A minor drop to the Previous Day's Low (PDL) could lead to a rebound, with a likely rebalancing toward the premium levels early next week (Monday-Thursday). This would include a retest of the Buy-to-Sell (BTS) zone and potentially the 4-hour bearish Order Block (OB), followed by more aggressive selling down to the 18,000-18,200 range. Once this zone is reached, I'll be monitoring for a potential bounce, which I will detail in my next update.
FOREXCOM:GER40Short
by Almenio
Bayer (BAYN): Is the Bottom Finally Here?Since our initial analysis in November, Bayer's stock has experienced a 40% pullback. Despite missing our limit order by 2%, we have decided to enter the market now and plan to make additional purchases if the price drops further. The stock has held around the 88.2% Fibonacci retracement level. We are currently within the 50-61.8% Fibonacci extension zone for Wave 5, which aligns with our bottom outlook. Our entry strategy involves making an initial purchase now, acknowledging the recent support levels. We plan to add to our position with multiple entries if the price drops further. Our stop-loss is set wide, at an additional 44% below our entry price, to accommodate potential volatility. This is considered a long-term swing trade, with an expectation of significant upward movement once the bottom is confirmed. This could be a knife catch here so please don't cut yourself too deep.
XETR:BAYNLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
DWS GROUP (DWS): Upswing in Germany's Financial SectorDWS GROUP (DWS): XETR:DWS Analyzing the relatively young German stock, DWS Group, listed on the Xetra exchange in Germany, we find ourselves in an overarching Wave (3). We start this count at the Corona low of €16.75. Wave (2) concluded at €23.21, and our old high is at €41.88, which also represents the level of Wave (1). Naturally, for Wave (3), we aim to surpass this level. Subordinately, we are also in a Wave 3, and at an even lower level, again in a Wave ((iii)). We're looking to identify our entry point at the conclusion of Wave ((iv)). We anticipate some upside for the encapsulated Wave ((iii)), expecting the level between 227% and 261%, roughly at the all-time high, before we turn and complete our Wave ((iv)), and then fully develop the subordinate Wave 3.
XETR:DWSLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
DAX, will the next crisis end the current phase?Hello everyone, this is not a usual trading analysis. So don't take any trades from monthly levels, as you can't manage the risk at all. What you can see is my try to figure out how the DAX went through different states of price development and really interesting to see is, that every big crisis ended one phase and opened a new one. In my point of view we are currently at the way to the upper boundary of the recent phase and should reach it within the next year. The question is, where will the price finally find a solid ATH and start to correct? According to my last daily analysis a strong zone could be around 17.600, but if the economy is holding really strong into next years, higher prices are possible of course. If you want to be in the big short trade, that I'm anticipating from the upper boundary, you have to wait patiently for a fundamental crisis, which has more impact than the banking crisis, energy crisis or the current wars, as they didn't stop the price for a long time. The only reason I can anticipate for now is a comeback of high inflation with even higher interest rates, that end up in a big recession and the consequences for the banking and financial system. I will monitor this scenario next year, especially the month february and march are likely to offer crisis potential.
XETR:DAX
by Kyrean
Zalando: Final Stage 🏁Zalando's stock price retreated last week, so we consider the high of the magenta wave (iv) to have been reached. We therefore locate the price in the last stage of the gray wave II and expect a descent to the green Target Zone between €18.71 and €10.40 before this movement is completed. Long entries could be made here. However, there is also a 30% probable alternative, which would see a further rise should the price exceed the resistance at €26.40.
XETR:ZALLong
by MarketIntel
Bayer: Down the hatch! 🍺After Bayer's stock recently tried to break through the support level of €39.91, it has now made another attempt. Whether the stock succeeds in sustainably breaking below this support level - as envisaged in our primary scenario - or whether it needs further impetus in the form of a corrective upward move is irrelevant for the further course of our expectations. We therefore fully expect a sell-off below this level, as we expect the low of the major wave (II) correction underway since 2015 to be around the 78.60 retracement at €30.84. Only once this low is in place do we see Bayer shares making sustainable gains again.
XETR:BAYNShort
by MarketIntel
1
GERMAN40 BEARISH OUTLOOKGermany, a European economic powerhouse, is facing the threat of a technical recession as its industrial production, particularly in the automotive sector, has experienced a significant decline. In September, industrial production fell by 1.4%, surpassing the projected 0.4% drop, and the third quarter saw a 2.1% decrease in total production. The automotive industry, a crucial part of Germany's economy, reported a 5% drop in vehicle production from the previous month, alongside declines in other vital sectors like electrical equipment and pharmaceuticals. While there was a slight increase in factory orders for September, primarily due to large-scale orders and backlogs, economists remain cautious about the potential for future economic growth. This economic downturn is worrisome for Germany, as it may be heading toward a technical recession, characterized by two consecutive quarters of economic contraction. Policymakers and economists are likely to closely monitor the situation and may consider measures to support the economy, such as fiscal stimulus or incentives to boost consumer spending and business investment. However, the situation is not isolated and may be influenced by global economic trends and factors, making it essential to keep an eye on international economic developments to gauge Germany's economic prospects in the coming months. On a technical note, the daily graph had produced an Evening Star pattern that is reliable pattern for a downtrend. RSI is still on the neutral site, but MACD is already showing sell signals. If this trend continues the price might reach levels of 14 977.5. In the opposite scenario the price might reach levels of 15 315.21 Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Short
by legacyFXofficial
German inflation data in focusToday we will be getting German Inflation data within the next 1h and 15m. This German CPI will be in focus as Eurostat had problems in their systems the previous week and they gave an Estimation of Eurozone inflation along with estimating where possibly the German Inflation would land. So at the back of this and while German's economy is 25% of EU's GDP , we are expecting some volatility to come in play , in case we get any big deviation in German Inflation data. Now what the so wanted big deviation can be and what are we expecting at the back of this ? German inflation printing higher than 9.5% and German Harmonised inflation printing higher than 10.3% EURUSD - EURJPY 🔼 German inflation printing lower than 8.5% and German harmonised inflation printing lower than 9% EURUSD - EURCAD 🔽 -Extra notes- -Currently money markets are pricing in 41 bsp for the ECB meaning that we can go in any direction in case we get the deviation that we need and markets might price out 16 bsp (0.25% rate hike) or price in 9 bsp or more (0.50% rate hike). -In case of higher inflation metrics possible targets can be EURUSD 1.0750 - 1.0775 - 1.0800 and EURJPY 141.50 - 141.80 - 142.20 -In case of lower inflation metrics possible targets can be EURUSD 1.0710 - 1.0690 - 1.0670 and EURCAD 1.4400 - 1.4380 - 1.4360 -Preferably we want to see MoM inflation metrics aligning to the one or to the other side and not get a mixed data out of it -Higher conviction will come if headline inflation prints higher than 9.9% for the hawkish scenario or lower than 8% for the dovish scenario FX:EURUSD
by Investing_Bridge
DAX30 Short signalConsidering the price is going down from the breakout of lower highs, we are looking for short positions. Therefore, we can search for price action indicators such as the Fibonnacci retracement. The key level of 50% will be reached at the zone. Multiple price indicators show that the zone traced will induce a retracement especially a lower price from an old candle. On lower timeframes the price retested the resistance but we expect it to come back during the day.
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Short
by vf_investment
2
Joe Gun2Head Trade - Selling the top of the range on DAX Trade Idea: Selling DAX Reasoning: Selling the top of the short term range on DAX. Entry Level: 12905 Take Profit Level: 12594 Stop Loss: 13012 Risk/Reward: 2.72:1 Disclaimer – Signal Centre. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
FOREXCOM:GER40Short
by Signal_Centre
2
Short Covering Dax Relief rallyA horrible week for European stocks has been turned slightly with most global indices have a relief rally and we looking for German DAX to do the same in the upcoming session on Thursday 25th. Rally have been sold so look to get out with Take profits, rather than letting trades run. “Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based o n a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party."
EASYMARKETS:DAXEURLong
by easyMarkets