GER 40 Trade LogGER40 Short Position (Discretionary)
Rationale :
- Overextension: The GER40 index appears significantly overextended without substantial fundamental support.
- Rising German Bond Yields: An increase in German government bond yields suggests a shift towards higher borrowing costs, potentially impacting equity valuations.
- MACD Divergence: A notable divergence between the MACD indicator and price action indicates a weakening bullish momentum, often preceding a trend reversal.
- CVD Divergence: Divergence in the Cumulative Volume Delta points to a disparity between buying and selling pressures, signaling a potential downturn.
Trade Details :
- Position: Short GER40 via market order
- Risk Management:
- Risk per Trade: 1% of trading capital
- Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 1:2
Note: This trade is discretionary and anticipates a sharp correction at market open. Despite the lack of a formal signal, the confluence of technical indicators and macroeconomic factors supports this decision.
Germanindex
GER40 "GERMANY40 Index" Money Heist Plan on Bullish SideHallo! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰
This is our master plan to Heist GER40 "GERMANY40 Index" based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Attention for Scalpers : If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money 💰.
Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money.
Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing Low
Stop Loss 🛑 : Recent Swing Low using 1H timeframe
Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style.
Stay tuned with me and see you again with another Heist Plan..... 🫂
German index, what to expect next? In my previous analysis, I projected a reversal in GER40, expecting a corrective move toward the daily Fair Value Gap (DFVG) in the 18,000-18,200 range. Over the past week, the price has nearly reached this target. Looking ahead, I see two potential scenarios:
1. **Further Decline:** The price may continue to move lower, targeting the 1-hour FVG, which is also visible on the 4-hour, daily, and weekly timeframes.
2. **Rebalance and Retest:** A minor drop to the Previous Day's Low (PDL) could lead to a rebound, with a likely rebalancing toward the premium levels early next week (Monday-Thursday). This would include a retest of the Buy-to-Sell (BTS) zone and potentially the 4-hour bearish Order Block (OB), followed by more aggressive selling down to the 18,000-18,200 range.
Once this zone is reached, I'll be monitoring for a potential bounce, which I will detail in my next update.
DAX(GER30), nuke is coming?I explained the fundamental part in my EURUSD post. Check it out here:
Now, let's talk about the technical part:
At the London opening, we saw significant manipulation downward with a liquidity sweep from the previous day's low (PDL) and other swings. Now, I would love to see an aggressive movement upwards toward the all-time high (ATH), where I'll be looking for a short setup. However, if the price closes on the 1-4h time frame with a big fat candle, I won't touch the GER40 (DAX) for a while because there won't be any targets ("sky is the limit") to get liquidity from.
There's one possible scenario: a move into premium after the first market structure (MS) shift today, followed by a second shift (break of structure, BoS). Bearish order flow will be confirmed, with the final target being the 4h fair value gap (FVG).
What's unraveling the economic powerhouse of Europe?Once a stalwart of European stability, Germany's economic engine is facing unprecedented challenges. This deep dive explores the intricate factors driving its recession and the far-reaching implications for the continent.
Geopolitical tensions and supply chain disruptions have wreaked havoc on Germany's economy. The ongoing conflict in Ukraine, coupled with the lingering effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, has disrupted energy supplies, increased production costs, and hindered global trade.
Rising interest rates and weak global demand have further exacerbated the downturn. The European Central Bank's aggressive monetary tightening to combat inflation has made borrowing more expensive for businesses and consumers, dampening investment and spending. Meanwhile, a global economic slowdown, driven by factors such as rising interest rates, geopolitical tensions, and inflation, has reduced demand for German exports, a crucial driver of its economy.
The consequences for Germany and Europe are profound, with potential for increased unemployment, slower growth, and political instability. As Germany is one of Europe's largest economies, its downturn has a ripple effect on other countries in the region. The recession could lead to job losses, as businesses cut costs to weather the storm, exacerbating social tensions and increasing the burden on government welfare systems. Slower growth in Germany will contribute to slower growth in the Eurozone as a whole, limiting the ECB's ability to raise interest rates further and potentially hindering its efforts to combat inflation. Economic downturns can often lead to political instability, as governments face increased pressure to implement policies that alleviate economic hardship. This could lead to political gridlock or even changes in government.
Can Germany weather this storm? Join us as we delve into the complexities of this economic enigma and explore potential paths forward.
GERMANY 30/40 de40 Bullish Side Money Heist planMy Dear Robbers / Traders,
This is our master plan to Heist GERMANY 30/40 Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money.
Stop Loss : Recent Swing Low using 4h timeframe
Warning : Fundamental Analysis comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
support our robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Join your hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style.
GERMANY 30 / 40 Bullish Money Heist Plan Trade setupMy Dear Robbers / Traders,
This is our master plan to Heist DE30/GERMANY 30/40 Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan,
Stop Loss: Recent Swing Low using 4h timeframe
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
support our robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Join your hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday
GERMANY 30/40 DE30/40 Robbery Plan To make and take moneyMy Dear Robbers / Traders,
This is our master plan to Heist GERMANY 30/40 Bank based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level Police Force is waiting for our arrival, Market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan,
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money Use Trailing Stop To Protect Looted Money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order Block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target it will update after the Breakouts.
support our robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Join your hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday.
Macro Monday 38 ~ The EU & German ZEW Economic Sentiment IndexMacro Monday 38
The Euro Area ZEW Economic Sentiment Index &
The German ZEW Economic Sentiment Index
(Released this Tuesday 19th Mar 2024)
ZEW is the German acronym for the Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung, which translates to the Centre for European Economic Research.
There are two releases from the Centre for European Economic research we will cover today both being released this coming Tuesday;
1. The Euro Area ZEW Economic Sentiment Index
(Reading of 25 for Feb 2024)
2. The German ZEW Economic Sentiment Index
(Reading of 19.9 for Feb 2024)
EURO AREA ZEW INDEX
This index is derived from 350 economists and analysts that operate from and represent the overall European Area. They include economists and analysts from different countries in the Eurozone that are using the Euro as their currency (20 countries out of the 27 members). In summary, while the EU ZEW index provides a broader perspective for the entire eurozone than the German ZEW Index discussed below, the exact methodology for distributing the surveys and their apportionment across individual countries within the eurozone is not explicitly disclosed. Historically, this index has proven very useful as a leading indicator of sentiment for the European Economy and it is closely monitoring for gauging economic sentiment in the EU by market participants.
EURO AREA ZEW CHART - SUBJECT CHART ABOVE
How to read the chart
The index ranges from -100 (pessimism) to +100 (optimism). 0 is neutral however the historical average reading for the EU chart is 21.39 which is the point where the red area meets the green area on the chart. We show on the chart if we are above or below the average levels of optimism.
The current reading of 25 indicates current optimism among analysts for the next 6 month
The Trend
Sentiment made a recovery from -60 in Sept 2022 to +25 in Feb 2024. We have moved from deep in negative sentiment territory to just above the historical average of the chart which is 21.39.
GERMAN ZEW INDEX
The German ZEW Index data is not derived from all the countries in Europe, it is derived from the views of collection of 350 economists and analysts that operate from and represent the German economy. As Germany is the largest economy within the Euro Area, its performance significantly impacts the overall region and this this metric could be considered the economic sentiment spearhead of Europe. Germany is also the 4th largest economy in the world by nominal GDP. As of 2023, its nominal GDP stands at approximately $4.43 trillion. This index could be monitored as a measure of not only European sentiment but as an important global sentiment gauge.
GERMAN ZEW INDEX CHART
How to read the chart
The index ranges from -100 (pessimism) to +100 (optimism). 0 is neutral however the historical average reading for the German ZEW chart is 20.79 which is the point where the red area meets the green area on the chart. We show on the chart if we are above or below the average levels of optimism.
The current reading of 19.9 indicates current optimism among analysts for the next 6 months, however we are below the historical average of 20.79 thus a definitive move above this level this coming Tuesday could be a confirmation step into potential sustained optimism.
The Trend
Sentiment made a recovery from -61 in Sept 2022 to +19.9 in Feb 2024. We have moved from deep in negative sentiment territory into positive numbers but we are not above the historic average of 20.79 yet.
Lets see how both perform this coming Tuesday. The beauty of these charts is that you can review both on my Trading View at any stage, press play and it will update with the most recent release. This way you will have a full explainer of what this dataset is and can keep yourself up to date on its direction with the color coded map, the average line and the neutral line, all of which will at a glance give you a good indication of where we stand in terms of trend and sentiment. I'll keep you informed here too
Thanks for coming along
PUKA
DAX: 22,000 € Target in Sight!Since our short scenario for the DAX was invalidated, we had to reanalyze and concluded that we are dealing with a very long and extremely bullish scenario, as it's the only other option we have left for the DAX. We assume that, on the weekly chart, we will reach a minimum level of 22,000€. This scenario is supported by a trend channel that we have now broken and exited upwards. Therefore, we expect to reach levels between 19,700 and 23,000 for Wave 3, which will only serve as a catalyst for even higher movements. As seen, we anticipate the overarching Wave (3) to reach levels between 25,400 and 31,400. There's still a lot of potential and room for upward movement, and given our invalidation, we will now be looking for long entries. As always mentioned, the economy increasingly reflects less of what happens in the markets, diverging more from economic activities, making it somewhat perplexing when considering Germany as a whole and the remarkable performance of the DAX.
GERMANY 30/40 DE40 DAX Bullish Heist PlanSmart Indices Traders,
NFP Trade master plan to Heist GERMANY 30/40 Market. my dear Looters U can enter after the NFP data there is high chance to go down side, Our target is Green Zone if it goes bearish side, Bullish side our target is Red Zone that is High risk Caution Pullback area, If There is any Bad news it make our heist very sad and if the news is favorable for us then we can continue our looting from there with help of trailing stop.
My dear Robbers please book some partial money it will manage our risk. Be safe and be careful.. Make money and take money.
DAX Forecast: Exploring Wave Patterns and Correction Scenarios🌍German DAX Analysis
Taking another look at the German benchmark index, the DAX XETR:DAX , our scenario remains unchanged. If we don't breach the 18,000 EUR mark, we anticipate continuing with Wave IV, which is expected to range between 10,000 € and a maximum of 7,500 €, depending on the potential overshoot of Wave (B).
This scenario will be invalidated if we surpass the 138 % level.
Zooming into the 4-hour chart, we observe the formation more closely, potentially shaping Wave ((b)) that is currently in development. The 1-hour chart gives us an even closer view, indicating we are precisely in this phase of Wave ((b)). Crossing over 17,218 € would likely invalidate our current scenario, prompting a reevaluation of where Wave (B), marked in blue, could be located—potentially moving towards 17,500 € or up to 18,000 €.
Should there be a turn at this juncture, we might see a flat correction, an overshooting flat moving down towards Wave ((c)) or Wave 1. After reaching the 127-138 % range, this phase should conclude with a 5-wave cycle downwards.
GER 40 H1 / SHORT TRADE PERSPECTIVE GER INDEX 💶💲Hello Traders!
This is my idea related to GER4 40. I see two resistance levels and I expect a bearish domination, taking into consideration the evolution of previous days, it looks very likely to go bearish.
I will set two targets, the first resistance and the second resistance level. I'm very curious about the move of the GER index this week.
Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective.
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German 40 IndexPair : German 40 Index
Description :
Bearish Channel as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame and Completed " 123 " Impulsive Wave. Rejecting from the Lower Trend Line to complete the " 4th " Impulsive Wave and Retracement for the Break of Structure
Entry Precaution :
Wait for the Proper Rejection or Breakout of Trend Line
GERMANY 30 MovePair : DE30EUR - Germany 30
Description :
Bearish Channel in Short Time Frame and Long Time Frame as an Corrective Pattern , In LTF its Rejecting from the Lower Trend Line and in STF it has Breakout the Upper Trend Line. Break of Structure and Divergence
Entry Precautions :
Wait until it Complete its Retest or Rejects from Previous Support
Quick analysis on 2HRADear German traders, on 2HRA you can see on the chart thet the price just canceled what seemed to be a breakout of the channel the price is consolidating at, before you buy it you must wait for the price to break the resistance level with a higher volume than the highest one we have currently