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Macro Monday 38 ~ The EU & German ZEW Economic Sentiment IndexMacro Monday 38 The Euro Area ZEW Economic Sentiment Index & The German ZEW Economic Sentiment Index (Released this Tuesday 19th Mar 2024) ZEW is the German acronym for the Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung, which translates to the Centre for European Economic Research. There are two releases from the Centre for European Economic research we will cover today both being released this coming Tuesday; 1. The Euro Area ZEW Economic Sentiment Index (Reading of 25 for Feb 2024) 2. The German ZEW Economic Sentiment Index (Reading of 19.9 for Feb 2024) EURO AREA ZEW INDEX This index is derived from 350 economists and analysts that operate from and represent the overall European Area. They include economists and analysts from different countries in the Eurozone that are using the Euro as their currency (20 countries out of the 27 members). In summary, while the EU ZEW index provides a broader perspective for the entire eurozone than the German ZEW Index discussed below, the exact methodology for distributing the surveys and their apportionment across individual countries within the eurozone is not explicitly disclosed. Historically, this index has proven very useful as a leading indicator of sentiment for the European Economy and it is closely monitoring for gauging economic sentiment in the EU by market participants. EURO AREA ZEW CHART - SUBJECT CHART ABOVE How to read the chart The index ranges from -100 (pessimism) to +100 (optimism). 0 is neutral however the historical average reading for the EU chart is 21.39 which is the point where the red area meets the green area on the chart. We show on the chart if we are above or below the average levels of optimism. The current reading of 25 indicates current optimism among analysts for the next 6 month The Trend Sentiment made a recovery from -60 in Sept 2022 to +25 in Feb 2024. We have moved from deep in negative sentiment territory to just above the historical average of the chart which is 21.39. GERMAN ZEW INDEX The German ZEW Index data is not derived from all the countries in Europe, it is derived from the views of collection of 350 economists and analysts that operate from and represent the German economy. As Germany is the largest economy within the Euro Area, its performance significantly impacts the overall region and this this metric could be considered the economic sentiment spearhead of Europe. Germany is also the 4th largest economy in the world by nominal GDP. As of 2023, its nominal GDP stands at approximately $4.43 trillion. This index could be monitored as a measure of not only European sentiment but as an important global sentiment gauge. GERMAN ZEW INDEX CHART How to read the chart The index ranges from -100 (pessimism) to +100 (optimism). 0 is neutral however the historical average reading for the German ZEW chart is 20.79 which is the point where the red area meets the green area on the chart. We show on the chart if we are above or below the average levels of optimism. The current reading of 19.9 indicates current optimism among analysts for the next 6 months, however we are below the historical average of 20.79 thus a definitive move above this level this coming Tuesday could be a confirmation step into potential sustained optimism. The Trend Sentiment made a recovery from -61 in Sept 2022 to +19.9 in Feb 2024. We have moved from deep in negative sentiment territory into positive numbers but we are not above the historic average of 20.79 yet. Lets see how both perform this coming Tuesday. The beauty of these charts is that you can review both on my Trading View at any stage, press play and it will update with the most recent release. This way you will have a full explainer of what this dataset is and can keep yourself up to date on its direction with the color coded map, the average line and the neutral line, all of which will at a glance give you a good indication of where we stand in terms of trend and sentiment. I'll keep you informed here too Thanks for coming along PUKA
ECONOMICS:EUESI
by PukaCharts
DAX: 22,000 € Target in Sight!Since our short scenario for the DAX was invalidated, we had to reanalyze and concluded that we are dealing with a very long and extremely bullish scenario, as it's the only other option we have left for the DAX. We assume that, on the weekly chart, we will reach a minimum level of 22,000€. This scenario is supported by a trend channel that we have now broken and exited upwards. Therefore, we expect to reach levels between 19,700 and 23,000 for Wave 3, which will only serve as a catalyst for even higher movements. As seen, we anticipate the overarching Wave (3) to reach levels between 25,400 and 31,400. There's still a lot of potential and room for upward movement, and given our invalidation, we will now be looking for long entries. As always mentioned, the economy increasingly reflects less of what happens in the markets, diverging more from economic activities, making it somewhat perplexing when considering Germany as a whole and the remarkable performance of the DAX.
XETR:DAXLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
GERMANY 30/40 DE40 DAX Bullish Heist PlanSmart Indices Traders, NFP Trade master plan to Heist GERMANY 30/40 Market. my dear Looters U can enter after the NFP data there is high chance to go down side, Our target is Green Zone if it goes bearish side, Bullish side our target is Red Zone that is High risk Caution Pullback area, If There is any Bad news it make our heist very sad and if the news is favorable for us then we can continue our looting from there with help of trailing stop. My dear Robbers please book some partial money it will manage our risk. Be safe and be careful.. Make money and take money.
OANDA:DE30EUR
by Thief_Trader
DAX Forecast: Exploring Wave Patterns and Correction Scenarios🌍German DAX Analysis Taking another look at the German benchmark index, the DAX XETR:DAX , our scenario remains unchanged. If we don't breach the 18,000 EUR mark, we anticipate continuing with Wave IV, which is expected to range between 10,000 € and a maximum of 7,500 €, depending on the potential overshoot of Wave (B). This scenario will be invalidated if we surpass the 138 % level. Zooming into the 4-hour chart, we observe the formation more closely, potentially shaping Wave ((b)) that is currently in development. The 1-hour chart gives us an even closer view, indicating we are precisely in this phase of Wave ((b)). Crossing over 17,218 € would likely invalidate our current scenario, prompting a reevaluation of where Wave (B), marked in blue, could be located—potentially moving towards 17,500 € or up to 18,000 €. Should there be a turn at this juncture, we might see a flat correction, an overshooting flat moving down towards Wave ((c)) or Wave 1. After reaching the 127-138 % range, this phase should conclude with a 5-wave cycle downwards.
XETR:DAXShort
by freeguy_by_wmc
GER 40 H1 / SHORT TRADE PERSPECTIVE GER INDEX 💶💲Hello Traders! This is my idea related to GER4 40. I see two resistance levels and I expect a bearish domination, taking into consideration the evolution of previous days, it looks very likely to go bearish. I will set two targets, the first resistance and the second resistance level. I'm very curious about the move of the GER index this week. Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective. ____________________________________ Follow, like, and comment to see my content: www.tradingview.com
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Short
by GoodTradeST
German DAX index: Pausing for a breatherThe German Dax index rose 25% from its lows in early October, delivering nine weeks of gains and outperforming US stock indices. The bullish price action has been rather sharp for a market that had a 27% decline from its top in the first nine months of the year. In November 2022, the Dax saw overbought RSI for the first time in over a year and the index also managed to surpass quite easily its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, as well as a significant 50% Fibonacci threshold of 2022's low to high. As prices now meet fierce resistance in surpassing the 61.8% Fibonacci level around 14,560 points, a pullback is possible in the following weeks. The first area of support is located at the psychological level of 14,000. This level might serve as a solid test for validating the 50% Fibonacci level breakout occurred in November. If the Dax fails to remain above 14,000, bears may gain impetus and push the price down below 13,500 (38.2% Fibonacci and 200-day moving average). Currently, the strong 61.8% Fibonacci level resistance dominates the upside. If prices broke over this level, the June high of 14,700 would be the next resistance. However, with two important central banks meeting in less than two weeks (Fed on the 14 and ECB on the 15), the upside room for bulls may be limited here. 
CAPITALCOM:DE40
by Capitalcom
DAX: Push itIt's not a struggle for the German index! The DAX index used all its willpower to find its way up and pushed all the way to climb above the resistance at 13 970 points. We're currently observing an upwards slope that should steadily move into the pink zone between 14 346 - 14 687 points. As soon as the blue wave completes its movement, the trend should turn into a downwards slope heading to the resistance at 13 970 points. If the DAX can't keep its upwards trend going, there's a 35% chance for the trend to cross the support at 13 036 and drop below 11 829 points into the green zone. We'll keep you posted on whether the DAX can keep up with its hard work or if it slams on the brakes.
EUREX:FDAX1!
by MarketIntel
1
German DAX trending higher Daily Insight Commentary: Monday - German Industrial Production m/m beats forecast this follows Friday’s strong September factory orders data German DAX +12% since October 13th Higher tops and higher bottoms on price indicates short term uptrend taking shape (daily chart) , however resistance in front of current price may push price lower before continuing any further advance. Current price 13,441 Key resistance at 13,555 , a break above resistance places 13,750 in sight for longs with a short term view (5 to 25 days), while short sellers may be aiming for a retest of the 12,950 support spotted at the 38.2% retracement from the 4 week high.
SKILLING:DE40Long
by Skilling
DAX Monthly Forecast Movements 1-30 November 2022 DAX Monthly Forecast Movements 1-30 November 2022 We can see that for this month, the implied volatility is around 7.3%, increasing from 7.18% of last month. This is currently placing us in the 70th percentile according to ATR and 91th according to VDAX. Based on this percentile calculation, on average the monthly movement for the candle(from open of the candle to the close of the candle) is: BEARISH Candle : 5.3% BULLISH Candle : 5.14% With this in mind we can expect with a close to 16% probability that our close of the monthly candle is going to close either above or below the next channel: BOT: 12385 TOP: 14302 Lastly, based on the calculations that we had for touching the previous candle high and low values, we can estimate that there is a : 75% chance that we are going to touch the previous monthly high of 13300 (already happened yesterday) 25% chance that we are going to touch the previous monthly low of 11900
XETR:DAX
by exlux
Bullish technical conditions Looking ahead - ECB interest rate decision tomorrow Tomorrow: 12:15 GMT European Central Bank (ECB) meeting takes place where a +0.75% (75 basis point) increase is expected Market movers: German DAX testing resistance opening up the potential for a further upside advance? DAX Index: Bullish technical conditions in the very short-term following the reversal from the 11,829 low, the reversal signals the index may have entered a “corrective” cycle and if proven true places 13,144 at key resistance and 13,721 as prospective upside targets for longs with stops at 12,893. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
SKILLING:DE40Long
by Skilling
Daily analysis and trade setups on DAX Ger30 20220810Happy Midweek, Happy CPI Day, As mentioned in yesterday's analysis, DAX not being able to hold above 13680 was ominous Now a sustained move below 13440, break of 13300 will open it up to 12920. Will it happen today, we will see It still has chance to gain back above 13680 13530 is the line in the sand today Macro : DE HICP, US CPI Buy Break: 13550, 13630, 13685, 13740 Reversal: 13450, 13390, 13350, 13280, 13220 Sell Break: 13460, 13400, 13370, 13300 Reversal: 13645, 13690, 13750, 13810, 13840 Green Goblin levels are here >>> Fibonacci Confluence levels are here >>>
OANDA:DE30EUR
by TradingIndian