#GER30 #DAX #DAXINDEX #Trading Outlook; where are we heading to?Dax has opened on monday morning with a expected pullback Move, but how far will it retrace or will it go sideways?
Daily stoch and daily RSI are telling us since many days that past uprun is running into exhaustion as the oscillators are turning down starting to leave high levels.
We have major key levels that we can easily watch and manage our Risk From without being attached to any economic bias.
On a makro view a possible bullish perspective key level to watch is the major lower trendline. A Break of it would give first insights that makro upward trajectory is totally broken.
But until this happen Dax Index has given us in the past many opportunities to play Fibonacci Retracements to the Upside.
The current Dax Posture tells us not to blindly short the Market it is rather telling us to derisk Any Long Trades and lock in Profits which you might gained during this Year and derisk your Stocks (especially DAX Participants).
Also What gives the Dax a higher probability to go Sideways or decline with a slow pace is that many Dax Stocks have already had their major declines over the past weeks and Months and playing some kind of bounces trying to find buyers but according to current Dax Posture I also would not say that we will not see some lower major german stock prices.
Anyway shorting with prices trading with a rather narrow range to the daily 200EMA and daily 200SMA is not the Trade i am personally looking for.
If you are asking yourself which Fibonacci Retracement Level will be the best to manage your Risk of i can tell you following.
Looking at the daily RSI we are nowhere near any long entries on DAX and personally i am not allocating any eurocent to German Companies at this high Oszillator Levels.
Looking at the past i want to the RSI go back to 0.618 or 0.786 Levels which would go in confluence with chart prices and chart Fibonacci levels around 0.382, 0.5 or even as low as 0.618.
Choose your entries wisely and trade safe!
Germanindex
Bearish Head & Shoulders on $DAXBearish Head & Shoulders on $DAX
This is a representation of the German economy,
like the $DJI for the US economy.
Price is currently holding at the trend line support.
A break below would be a continuation of a downtrend
caused by such a pattern.
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GER.IDX/EUR 4H Chart: Bounces off support clusterThe DEU.IDX/EUR pair has been trading in a junior ascending channel pattern since June. The pair bounced off the bottom border of the channel pattern at 11616.2 on June 3.
The German 30 index made a pullback south from a resistance level at 12571.5 during yesterday's trading session.
Currently, the pair is testing a support cluster formed by the 50– and 200-hour SMAs at 12402.4.
If the cluster holds, the GER/IDX/EUR pair will continue its movement in the junior ascending channel pattern during the following trading sessions.
Dax daily: 12 Jul 2019 This is the last analysis of the week. As expected, Dax initially declined yesterday and closed the gap. Buyers entered at our support but didn't last long. After some 35 points, buyers were overpowered by sellers again. Following was a retest of 12 328 level which was broken out by some 16 points before buyers flexed their muscles. Today we open with an ascending gap, which is already closed at the time we write this.
Important zones
Resistance: 12 500
Support: 12 291
Statistics for today
Detailed statistics in the Statistical Application
Macroeconomic releases
NIL
Today's session hypothesis
After today's open, Dax started its downward momentum quite strongly. The first hour already has a range of some 60 points, which is unusual. Beware of some trend reversal signals. We have a nice support zone a 12 290 where we might find some buyers. In any way, it's better to be less aggressive in the long direction today.
Dax daily: 02 Jul 2019 The resistance zone at 12 601 we mentioned yesterday turned out to function perfectly. After retesting the 12 601 level, Dax went sloping down. The weekend gap has been filled from it's third only and today the price opens without a gap.
Important zones
Resistance: NIL
Support: 12 385, 12 428, 12 508
Statistics for today
Detailed statistics in the Statistical Application
Macroeconomic releases
NIL
Today's session hypothesis
There are quite a few support zones today, yet no resistance. The magnet on the lower prices is still 12 385. On the way down, buyers could enter around 12 428 and 12 385. The support zone at 12 508 could function as a bumper to head for further higher levels. At 12 428, we might see a correction, whereas the 12 385 level might function as a reversal signal. Thanks to a good distance towards 12 385, this hypothesis can be a multiple-day plan.
kcell jsc reg.shs:Being consolidated within "3.63 & 4.66"channelkcell jsc reg.shs:Being consolidated within "3.63 & 4.66"channel ,High stabilization of the above mentioned channel Triggers a bullish trend.
In general, low risk is evaluated
.
. Target 1: 7.12
. Target 2 : 9.24
DAX: A quarterly overview.We have seen the current trading set up on DAX during its previous mini bear cycle (April 2015 - February 2016). During that time the index finally broke upwards for the new mini bull cycle once both Lower High trend lines were crossed and held as supports on at least 1 re-test.
Currently DAX has broken above the first Lower High trend line (dashed) and has already re-tested it as a support once. Based on the 2015-2016 pattern, one more (lower) test is due and on a quarterly basis this is not unrealistic as the macroeconomic fundamentals have disappointed (PMI, Sales ect) raising economic growth concerns. The market needs some time to digest these data and re-balance the dynamics.
Once the upper (bold) trend line breaks and re-tested as support, then the new bull cycle will most likely begin. This perspective suits the needs for long term investors who seek safe and reliable buy entries not for daily traders.
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DAX: Sell opportunity on 1D.The index is still on a long term recovery within the 1D Channel Up (RSI = 58.547, MACD = 106.300, Highs/Lows = 0.0000). This time however 4H is on a Lower High sequence with 11,400 supporting this fragile set up. With the price already rejected just below the 11,686 - 11,838 1W Resistance Zone, we are expecting a stronger correction if 11,400 breaks. TP1 = 11,250, TP2 = 11,000.
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[DAX] HOW TO TRADE THIS MARKETWhy consider this chart only as "education"? The answer is very simple, at the moment we do not yet know the corrective structure (ABC) levels, but we only know that the nearest support is around 11,000 and Target around 11.500. That said, the potential setup is very simple: Long on wave (B) breakout and stop loss below wave (c) . Unfortunately we can not always use this strategy, but in this case, yes! ;)
The most important thing for a Trader is not the setup, but it's Money Management : Volume Size and R/R Ratio .
The size depends on your balance, while R/R Ratio is shown on the chart, in this case we have a good ratio (>1:3) ... but this is just an example!
NOTE: Each setup can lose no more than 2% of your Capital.
If there are many traders interested in this market, we can follow this index together from Monday, and try some setups in real time, here on TradingView!
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Dax buy opportunity if trend holds otherwise danger ahead !This is a long term chart of the German Stock Index Dax. The upper trendline was established at the pre Financial Crisis peak in 2007 and later at the peaks of 2015 and 2017. This were good selling points. The lower support trendline is giving support since the Creek Dept Default Crisis in 2011 and fears of a China Slow Down in early 2016. This were good buy points. Recently, the trendline was testet again on fears of a Trade War with China, Brexit and Italian Credit, which presents a buying opportunity als long the support trendline stays intact. Otherwise danger ahead, because of a huge rising wedge pattern of a historical size.
Dax buy opportunity if trend holds otherwise danger aheadThis is a long term chart of the German Stock Index Dax. The upper trendline was established at the pre Financial Crisis peak in 2007 and later at the peaks of 2015 and 2017. This were good selling points. The lower support trendline is giving support since the Creek Dept Default Crisis in 2011 and fears of a China Slow Down in early 2016. This were good buy points. Recently, the trendline was testet again on fears of a Trade War with China, Brexit and Italian Credit, which presents a buying opportunity als long the support trendline stays intact. Otherwise danger ahead, because of a huge rising wedge pattern of a historical size.
DAX: Symmetrical Channel Up still holding. Bullish.The index managed to maintain the bullish break out above 11,390 and the new 4H Channel Up to stay above the Higher Low limit. As long as the symmetry holds, the short term target should be around the 0.618 Fibonacci extension, before it consolidates the potential overbought status. Our targets are intact: 12,000 & 12,100 in extension.
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