DAX - final stages of the counter trend rallyDAX is tracing the final stages of minute wave C of minor wave 4. The most probable target before the trend turns down is the range between 11,215 and 11,520. If prices crosses down 10,200 the odds are that the downtrend has initiated. If prices crosses up 11,650 this analysis will be void. FOLLOW SKYLINEPRO TO GET UPDATES.
Germany
2 Scenarios for DAX by ThinkingAntsOkMain items we can see on the 4HS chart:
A) The price has made a Descending Movement from Historical High zone
B) After a 40% Decline, we can see an ascending channel
C) Currently, the price is outside the ascending channel making a corrective Structure
D) We have 2 Scenarios from current levels
LONG: The price breaks the Corrective structure with a bullish movement with a target on 11.300
SHORT: The price breaks the Corrective structure with a bearish movement with a target on 8.900
Lufthansa contrarian long - for the braveLufthansa trading near long term base around 7 to 8 EUR. Expect a short term rebound after bailout is approved (as it will be) followed by a long and difficult recovery. Position small long if & holds. No miracles about to happen in this battered sector but lower competition going forward and higher fares plus lower fuel prices will help a lot.
Flights seem also to be leveling off : www.flightradar24.com
Germany 30 long-term prediction
So far so good and we are reaching our profit target.
I am going to close my long positions and i am going to
start shorting the market inside this range of 11.200
and 12.000.
Actually i am going to look for entrance inside a little
smaller range into the zone of 11.650-12.000.
I am going to be keeping my short until the zone of
5000-6000. This is where germany 30 will go according
to my wave system.
risk disclaimer
This prediction is based on my personal trading strategy and this article does not suggest you to make any trades and i am not responsible for any future losses.
Germany 30 predictionThis is my prediction for Germany 30 index.
There is strong support at this level and the index is going to climb up to the zone between 11.200 and 12.200. This is a bear market rally and the collapse is going to continue after this break. I will be able to tell you the next bear target after it reaches the 11.200-12.200 zone.
risk desclaimer
This prediction is based on my personal trading strategy and this article does not suggest you to make any trades and i am not responsible for any future losses.
German 10-Year Bond Yield - lower yields aheadGerman yields seem to be tracing intermediate wave 3 down of primary wave 5. Yields should decrease below -0.91. If the level at -0.14 is touched, this scenario should be void as primary wave 5 down may have already been completed. FOLLOW SKYLINEPRO TO GET UPDATES.
DAX - more than 60% down in 2 to 3 yearsDAX is finishing the first intermediate wave of a Super Cycle corrective wave C that should bring prices below the previous Super Cycle wave B what would mean a decrease of more than 60% in a period of two to 3 years from now. Look in the comments below the shorter term wave count and forecast. FOLLOW SKYLINEPRO TO GET UPDATES
EURUSD BEARISH My analysis The dollar is the strongest currency with the strongest economy behind it. However due to recent NFP there has been a significant loss of jobs in the industry over 700k which is to be expected to be more in April NFP this due to the Virus pandemic which slows growth of all economies as its affecting all around the world. Worst Cases are Currently in USA with over 250k cases and the world total of a million Cases. We are currently waiting on the news for Eur Factory Orders which is on Monday. We can see patterns in this chart so i will be going short.
Growth Covid-19 confirmed cases GermanyShowing period of relief in exponential growth confirmed cases in Germany past days; diverging from exponential curve. Hope deceleration keeps up. Note that confirmed cases is a lagging indicator and does not represent total cases of infection today.
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Every man for himself? Downward spiral?LONGTERM
Trade from abroad countries will be restricted (other countries doing the same and this will trigger a downward cycle similar to the crisis before WW1)
Big car companies and banks, who seemed to be the basis of security and prosperity are breaking down
Falling tax revenues but rising social spending
For years Germany tried it's way out of the crisis by saving money
Living only since the state puts billions into saving them from desaster
Jobs being shifted and the threat of a downwards social spiral
Loss of any options for taking action affect the coordination
Negative rates