Germany
ridethepig | Eurobonds Positional PlayThe latest news from Germany and France " federalisation of the debt " - a prerequisite for survival of the euro. The trigger for Alexander Hamilton in 1790 was Britain, for Angela Merkel its Coronavirus.
So we are gradually getting round to what is an important component in the process of formation in the currency. Like a trojan horse, Eurobonds are being pushed in from the mounting political and geopolitical pressure. The initial 500bn EUR will still require approval from the block, and may not be a huge sum considering a historic crash, however it is an incremental step in a positive direction. It is not really about the effectiveness of the implementation, and this is decided from completely different factors and distribution is not that clear.
The isolated highs in USD which we have been tracking illustrates the future direction for the greenback :
After the latest news I am switch sides in the short-term bearish view, rather starting to track the breakout to the topside. A move through 1.10xx highs will unlock the topside and put scaffolding around the short-term bullish view. The MT and LT outlook could see us grind all the way back towards 1.20xx in a relatively short period of time.
I am certain that in a few years, nobody will consider surrendering their euros for dollars. The disappearance of dollar dominance will open the way for a new and brilliant development of Europe and - the east. Let me say a few more words about the birth of the view; it is closely linked to the collapse of Globalisation...
Vaccine optimism is flooding the wires, the dedication of politicians to sell the re-openings is very telling of the extent of damage that has been done. All rainbows and empty promises from the consultations I've had with experts in the field. The following chart shows how devastating the economic damage has been on the US labour market, Equities rallying all the way back in such a short period of time in a V shaped bounce is not an accurate reflection of reality:
EURUSD EVER SO SLOW LIKE A TORTOISE! WHERE TO NEXT?ONE OF THE SLOWEST, LOW MOMENTUM PAIRS FOR THE LAST MONTH
BUT HIGHLY LIQUID WITH LOW SPREADS AND SAFE TO TRADE FOR THE BEGINNER TRADER
WE RARELY TRADE EURUSD IN OUR GROUP AND AS OF NOW HAVE A NEUTRAL YET BEARISH OUTLOOK
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Trendanalysis for the DaxAs you can see we can identify an upgoing trend since the middle of March. The short rise in the Dax from march till now could indicate, that investors are gaining trust and optimism in the markets and especially in the steps which the government took to keep the situation under control.
There are two major resistances (yellow) which need to get tested to continue the trend. With the moving average in mind, we will have a pretty interesting development when the Dax is going to cross the moving average. A potential development could be a continuing growth until we get to test the second resistance(second yellow line).
The second potential scenario could be an upcoming negative trend when the first resistance gets tested negative, we will get a negative trend shown with the red line. The short rise paired withe followed negative trend could then be identified as a bear trap.
I suggest that we can identify and see one of these developments this development in the next two to three weeks.
Let me know what you think, I am happy to talk and discuss my ideas.
IFX has a good potential to go up (More Confirmation Needed)XETR:IFX has a good potential to go up and is showing signs of bullish strength although more confirmation is needed. Before one considers to buy , I think closing considerably with a bullish candle above the green line (17.6 ) is needed as a confirmation .Once we break that level , it is likely to be heading towards around the 19 area and once we close considerably above the 19 It is very likely to continue up towards the 23 mark .It might also remain stuck between the 17.6 and 19 area for some time before breaking above the 19 , so I think one could take part of their profits at 19 if they are concerned but It would be wise then to hold most of the stocks (Unless we close again below the green line) because XETR:IFX has a good potential (Long term) to reach the 23 .
DAX - final stages of the counter trend rallyDAX is tracing the final stages of minute wave C of minor wave 4. The most probable target before the trend turns down is the range between 11,215 and 11,520. If prices crosses down 10,200 the odds are that the downtrend has initiated. If prices crosses up 11,650 this analysis will be void. FOLLOW SKYLINEPRO TO GET UPDATES.
2 Scenarios for DAX by ThinkingAntsOkMain items we can see on the 4HS chart:
A) The price has made a Descending Movement from Historical High zone
B) After a 40% Decline, we can see an ascending channel
C) Currently, the price is outside the ascending channel making a corrective Structure
D) We have 2 Scenarios from current levels
LONG: The price breaks the Corrective structure with a bullish movement with a target on 11.300
SHORT: The price breaks the Corrective structure with a bearish movement with a target on 8.900
Lufthansa contrarian long - for the braveLufthansa trading near long term base around 7 to 8 EUR. Expect a short term rebound after bailout is approved (as it will be) followed by a long and difficult recovery. Position small long if & holds. No miracles about to happen in this battered sector but lower competition going forward and higher fares plus lower fuel prices will help a lot.
Flights seem also to be leveling off : www.flightradar24.com
Germany 30 long-term prediction
So far so good and we are reaching our profit target.
I am going to close my long positions and i am going to
start shorting the market inside this range of 11.200
and 12.000.
Actually i am going to look for entrance inside a little
smaller range into the zone of 11.650-12.000.
I am going to be keeping my short until the zone of
5000-6000. This is where germany 30 will go according
to my wave system.
risk disclaimer
This prediction is based on my personal trading strategy and this article does not suggest you to make any trades and i am not responsible for any future losses.
Germany 30 predictionThis is my prediction for Germany 30 index.
There is strong support at this level and the index is going to climb up to the zone between 11.200 and 12.200. This is a bear market rally and the collapse is going to continue after this break. I will be able to tell you the next bear target after it reaches the 11.200-12.200 zone.
risk desclaimer
This prediction is based on my personal trading strategy and this article does not suggest you to make any trades and i am not responsible for any future losses.