German 10 year bund (yield chart) giant HS patternGerman 10 year bund keeps scaling.
Price action is reflected on the charts. On the long term, seems like the german 10 year bund is building a huge Head and Shoulders pattern. That would be consistent with rates going down in the eurozone.
But… if the German bund should spike over 2.50%, that would probably mean that euro rate cuts will be on hold for longer than expected.
IMO, it’s all about geopolitics, as it’s also related to oil/natural gas supply from the east, commercial war with the USA, China and India, etc. all of them are inflationary and would also be pushing government spending to the upside on military and defense systems, detracting investment capacity from the private sectors…
All to be seen in coming weeks… any insights you would like to share about the topic, please let me know!
Germany10y
German Bund 10y going towards 3%I think the current buoyancy on long duration eu core gov bonds is deceptive.
rates in europe are way to low due to current macro environment, inflation still high, prices of gas and oil sets for higher levels in coming months ECB still in hawkish mode.
rsi is also on the rise above its mean.
probably this development will require 2 steps for the yield to reach 3% level. first stop is 2.55% / 2.6% that is a strong resistance so, some form of consolidation, then a breakout to 3%