Germany30
DAX: Neckline BreakI have been watching the DAX H&S form for a while now. This pattern has now been confirmed with a break and weekly close below the neckline.
A descending neckline indicates fundamental weakness and could imply a swift drop.
I am short with a first target in the 10,700 area, and my ultimate target under 10,000.
German Stock Index DAX (Oct 2018) This will be my views of German Stock Index (Oct 2018)
Please make sure to read the "update" comment as there will be changes along the way.
Cheers.
S0nic
Disclaimer:
The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. We may or We may not take the trade.
The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation.
We, Sonicr Mastery dot com is not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities.
You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.
Warning! The real bear is coming soon...It's difficult to short this week which I got my SL at the beginning of this volatility... but it may have clear after several days ... and I mention the MA50 of daily chart is the key for short position... the SL should be close to MA50...
When you open your short position, please take SL with you...
The long-term chart...
Target hit. New pull back completed. Aiming higher.TP = 12,420 hit as 4H made a Double Top at 12,460 before pulling back to form a Higher Low on the 1D Channel Up (RSI @ 52.206, Highs/Lows @ 11.8571) at 11,195. We are again long aiming again at 12,420. If the 12,460 Double Top breaks (12,480 the tolerance level) then we will re-buy with TP = 12,590 and 12,760 in extension (for the extension the SL will be moved on the TP to secure the profit).
German Stock Index DAX Pt 2(Sept 2018) *Bullish Still, Be NimbleThis will be my views of German Stock Index DAX (Sept 2018)
Please make sure to read the "update" comment as there will be changes along the way.
Cheers.
S0nic
Disclaimer:
The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. We may or We may not take the trade.
The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation.
We, Sonicr Mastery dot com is not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities.
You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.
Target hit. Expecting a minor pull back to buy again.TP = 12,207 hit as the 4H Channel Up (RSI = 69.388, Highs/Lows = 10.3357) aggressively broke to a new Higher High at 12,460 with 1D making at the same time a Lower High on its Channel Down (RSI = 55.850, MACD = -12.700). Since we consider this month's 11,880 bottom the completion of the 1W H&S pattern, we expect DAX to break even higher. However given the fact that On Wednesday the Fed announces the rate decision, a pull back is expected on most stock markets. We will be buying near 12,300 aiming at 12,420. Crossing of this level suggests a breaking of the 1W Channel Down formation and initiates a new uptrend to 12,600 first and 12,760 in extension.
Bounced near the 1W support. Uptrend already in development. LonDAX has rebounded strongly after hitting the upper layer of the 11,725 - 11,880 1W Support zone and since the long term 1W Head and Shoulders pattern was completed (or at least is near the completion (but less likely) assuming it has one more leg down to 11,725), the index should now resume the commanding bullish long term monthly trend. It already broke the 12,120 Resistance on 4H and previous Lower Low on the 1D Channel Down, having developed a new 4H Channel Up (RSI = 48.807, MACD = 7.900, B/BP = 0.2800) that is now sumply pulling back for a technical 12020 Higher Low. We are going long now with TP = 12,207. As seen by the Resistances though (black dots) the uptred has a long way to go before we can safely say that it has crossed all bearish channels.
Targets hit. 1W Head and Shoulders completed/Confirmation neededTP = 12,100 hit as the 1D Channel Down (RSI = 31.146, MACD = -146.100, Highs/Lows = -253.3571, B/BP = -407.1202) made a 11,882.0 Lower Low. This was very close to our final 11,877 target so that short has been closed manually. We are now expecting confirmation to short further, which will be validated if the March 26th low = 11,706.5 breaks (in which case TP will be 11,500). Until then, there are more chances to rebound (TP = 12,100 - 12,180) as firstly the Monthly Channel Up is near the Higher Low zone (RSI = 49.305) and secondly the key global indices are near 1D supports.
Is Dax about to crash? I don't think so!It apears that DAX is likely to crash as it has formed a beautiful head and shoulder pattern. It is possible but I think DAX is less likely to break to the downside because:
(a) DAX is completing the complex fourth Elliott wave which has retraced back exactly 38% of the third bullish wave started in June 2016. It is now likely to move up in the fifth wave.
(b) DAX has not broken the bottom of the red channel (yet) which has remained intact since 2009. DAX can moves up after gaining support from the bottom of the channel.
(c) Everyone thinks that it is about to crash and it cannot be that obvious!!
Although anything can happen, but I think that DAX is more likely to move up from here, and reach the 15000 level before dropping back to around 10000. However, please pay attention to how the bottom of the red channel behaves. This idea will only work if the bottom of the red channel acts as support. If it breaks and starts to offer resistance, then the head and shoulder pattern will do what it is supposed to do!
PS: This analysis is just for educational purposes and is not a recommendation to buy or sell. Please do your own research and trade at your own risk.
Cheers
ND
German Stock Index DAX (Sept 2018) This will be my views of German Stock Index DAX (Sept 2018)
Please make sure to read the "update" comment as there will be changes along the way.
Cheers.
S0nic
Disclaimer:
The information contained in this presentation is solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. We may or We may not take the trade.
The risk of trading in securities markets can be substantial. You should carefully consider if engaging in such activity is suitable to your own financial situation.
We, Sonicr Mastery dot com is not responsible for any liabilities arising from the result of your market involvement or individual trade activities.
You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.