The DAX could be at (or near) a swing lowIndex futures held their ground overnight, and the US dollar's rally is showing signs of near-term exhaustion. And that indicates a subtle change in sentiment ahead of today's open.
The DAX found support at its 50day EMA on Wednesday, which is just above the 2021 high. Given a small-ranged bullish hammer formed alongside higher volume suggests a 'change in hands' between sellers to buyers, so we're on guard for a bounce.
Bulls could seek to enter within yesterday's range with a stop beneath the 2021 high and initially target gap resistance around 16,490 - a break above which brings 16,600 into focus for bulls.
However, as we suspect the US dollar is set to extend its gains after a pause in its rally and that equities are yet to make a decent retracement, we're anticipating another leg lower towards the support zone just above 16,000.
Germany30
Deutsche Bank Shares: Riding the Bull with a Diamond SparkleTechnical Analysis for Deutsche Bank Shares:
1. Bullish Diamond Fractal Formation:
Deutsche Bank shares are currently exhibiting a notable technical pattern known as a Bullish Diamond Fractal. This pattern suggests a potential reversal in the prevailing downtrend, indicating a shift in market sentiment in favor of the bulls.
2. Key Levels and Targets:
First Take Profit (TP): The analysis points to a conservative first take profit level at 15,500. This level is identified as a potential resistance where traders might consider taking profits.
Second Take Profit (TP): A more optimistic target is set at 23,010. This level represents an extended bullish move and could attract additional buying interest.
Stop Loss: To manage risk, a stop-loss order is recommended below the support level, around 9.809. This level acts as a safety net to limit potential losses in case the market moves against the anticipated bullish scenario.
3. Market Sentiment:
The analysis suggests an optimistic outlook for Deutsche Bank shares, supported by the Bullish Diamond Fractal pattern.
The expectation is that the upcoming Monday will be very bullish for this pair, indicating potential positive market sentiment and increased buying interest.
4. Related News:
According to a historic news article from CNN (dated October 25, 2023), Deutsche Bank shares have experienced a surge, leading to an increase in dividends. This positive development aligns with the technical analysis, providing fundamental support for the bullish outlook.
The increase in dividends can be interpreted as a sign of confidence in the company's financial health and performance.
Positive news like this can attract more investors, contributing to the bullish momentum identified in the technical analysis.
Conclusion:
The technical analysis, supported by the recent positive news, suggests a bullish stance on Deutsche Bank shares. Traders and investors should carefully monitor key levels, consider the recommended take profit and stop-loss levels, and stay informed about market developments to make well-informed decisions.
: European Equities and DAX: Navigating Bullish Sentiment Amid EEuropean equity markets, especially the German DAX, are poised with a bullish sentiment despite concerns about a potential economic slowdown in 2024. Analysts surveyed anticipate a moderate increase in European benchmarks, projecting a 4.1% rise for the pan-European STOXX 600 index and a 2.5% increase for the Euro STOXX 50 index by the end of next year. Amid worries over economic headwinds and the possibility of a recession, the markets remain cautiously optimistic, attributing the potential growth to expectations of a more dovish stance from central banks and a potential easing in energy prices.
Despite Germany's position as the bloc's industrial powerhouse facing challenges due to its reliance on energy-intensive industries and external demand, the German DAX is expected to rise by 5% by the end of 2024, building upon its 14% gain in 2023. Analysts emphasize the importance of key levels for the DAX, suggesting that a breakout from current resistance levels could signify a bullish trajectory for both Germany and the broader U.S. markets. Technical indicators such as RSI and MACD also align with this bullish sentiment, providing buy signals.
Investors are cautiously optimistic, considering the potential for a year-end rally in the U.S. to positively impact European equities due to increased risk appetite globally. However, concerns persist regarding a possible economic slowdown's impact on European markets, particularly in the latter half of 2024, posing challenges for sustained growth.
The current outlook for DAX hints at a continuation of its upward trend, potentially reaching resistance levels around 16,060. However, analysts also note the possibility of a drop towards support levels around 15,860 should a pivot point at 15,962.66 be breached, reinforcing the importance of monitoring key levels for cues about future market directions.
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GERMANY 30Pair : Germany 30
Description :
Bearish Channel as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame with the Breakout of the Upper Trend Line and Completed the Retracement. If it Breaks the Daily Descending Trend Line and Retest then Buy otherwise it will Complete its " 5th " Impulsive Wave
Entry Precautions :
Wait for the Breakout or Retest
GERMANY 30 MovePair : DE30EUR - Germany 30
Description :
Bearish Channel in Short Time Frame and Long Time Frame as an Corrective Pattern , In LTF its Rejecting from the Lower Trend Line and in STF it has Breakout the Upper Trend Line. Break of Structure and Divergence
Entry Precautions :
Wait until it Complete its Retest or Rejects from Previous Support
Market Insights: Germany, Europe's only HopeRecent market movements in Germany and Shanghai have unveiled an intriguing confluence of factors worth exploring.
In Germany, the monthly market trends reveal a mixed narrative. While the indices have shown a bearish trend over the last few months, there are hints of optimism. The Tenkan-Sen remains above the Kijun-Sen, and the price is positioned above the Tenkan-Sen, traditionally regarded as bullish signals. The Senkou Span A hovers above Senkou Span B, and crucial indicators are above the Kumo Cloud, bolstering a potential bullish outlook.
However, this technical analysis should be considered alongside Germany's inflation data, which has shown signs of easing. While lower inflation often benefits equities, it may also reflect weakening demand and economic growth. This shift could influence central bank policies, bond yields, and currency dynamics, with varying implications for sectors.
On the other side of the globe, Shanghai has been marked by its own set of dynamics. Recent reports suggest a bullish sentiment, underpinned by a reversal in China's 10-year yield from three-year lows and proactive central bank measures.
While these developments paint an optimistic picture for Shanghai, it's crucial to remember that markets are complex and multifaceted. The interplay of technical indicators, economic fundamentals, and global conditions collectively shapes market trajectories. As investors, staying attuned to both Germany and Shanghai's evolving stories will be key to making informed decisions in the months ahead.
German Stock Index (The swing back to the resistant)
View On German Index DAX (23 Aug 2023)
DAX is in
* Bullish in short term (Intraweek)
* Bearish in Mid term (1 to 3 months)
* Neutral Long term (3 months onward)
DAX is the wild big swing recently from 15,500 to 16,500 recently.
Basically it is a 1,000 swing and it has hit the support of 15,500 region for the second time in 2 months.
We are currently experiencing a small bounce and it shall continue toward 16,000 region.
DYODD, all the best and read the disclaimer too.
Feel Free to "Follow", press "LIKE" "Comment".
Thank You!
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DAX primary trend still remains positive.GER40 - 24h expiry
Daily signals are bullish.
We are trading at overbought extremes.
Short-term momentum is bearish.
A lower correction is expected.
The 1-day moving average should provide support at 15980.
The sequence for trading is higher highs and lows.
We look to Buy at 15981 (stop at 15896)
Our profit targets will be 16191 and 16241
Resistance: 16090 / 16150 / 16230
Support: 16059 / 16000 / 15930
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The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
GER30 BUYHello Ger30 indicator. In a positive state with a bullish flag. And the correction of the last wave on an important ratio in Fibonacci 0.5. Likewise, this correction came on strong support at 14650. With the formation of very positive candles indicating a strong entry for buyers to rise again . Note: If you like this analysis, please give your opinion on it. in the comments. I will be happy to share ideas. Like and click to get free content. Thank you
DAX to breakdown?GER40 - 24h expiry
We are trading at overbought extremes.
Short-term momentum is bearish.
Bearish divergence is expected to cap gains.
15750 continues to hold back the bears.
15729 has been pivotal.
A break of the recent low at 15729 should result in a further move lower.
We look to Sell a break of 15719 (stop at 15801)
Our profit targets will be 15519 and 15479
Resistance: 15800 / 15850 / 15900
Support: 15750 / 15700 / 15640
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
USA stock markets secondary as Germany outperformAlthough the US stock markets are doing OK, including SPY and S&P 500, the DAX seems to be outperformed by a long shot. I just noticed this today out of curiosity since the euro is starting to exceed the British pound. This might be due to the more substantial German market overall.