Germany30
DAX / H2-m15-m2 : Multi Timeframe Intraday AnalysisThis study shows what are my projections for the german index. Still to early too jump into short but certainly not buying anything here as we have a nice reversal on top of the H2 timeframe. Price are probably just pulling back to form Elliott wave 2 point and head to the big wave 3 that should be the extended wave of the bear impulse that I expect the prices to show later. In ploted on this chart the theoric targets I'm looking forward to sell the index again with low risk entries.
DAX / H4 : Ending Diagonal to terminate this impulse ?Just as the DOW count revealed, the DAX 0.76% may be creating an ending diagonal formation on fifth and final wave of the current count that started upon Trump's election and fueled the price without a single retracement (as 2 & 4 were both flat corrections ).
Anyway we might be reaching a market top as suggested and as we didn't have any retracement and that this wave was basically based on promises that will less likely come afterwards.. I anticipate that we should have a profound 50% retracement of this wave. Maybe more if we have some catalysts in the meantime.
For agressive traders, there is still one subwave count to finish in this possible ending diagonal as subwave are supposed to be in ZigZags. So we have wave A, now retracing to B point that we should reach soon, that leaves us with a C wave to look for before considering agressive shorts. Generally we use the fibo extension of 78,6% of previous wave as target... you have it on the chart !
For less agressive ones, of course waiting for the wedge to break down. Remember that ending diagonal breakouts generally creates strong movements with extended 1st wave impulse as first A retracement wave. So there's plenty of room to go close this Macron gap I guess ! That will be Target 1 for ;)
Hope this idea will inspire some of you ! I'm pretty new to TradingView so I'ld appreciate any like/follow if you feel like it deserve it ;)
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Projection DE30, looking for year high 13700~From a 100% technical perspective, my chart is telling me DE30 looking for top of bullish channel since post subprime crisis rally. Before this happens though, I'd like to see a drop to 12316 - 12392 (2015 high) for a healthy climb the coming weeks. So to conclude my thoughts I think we've seen swing high looking for swing low to a new all time high that might roll over very fast because of the lack of confidence in stocks that are already overvalued.
DAX intraday viewDAX potencial Bullish Bat
Continue to move on the goals of Pattern Bullish Bat.
DAX wants to kiss EMA600, and maybe rebound.
Possible scenario on the chart.
Targets on the chart.
TP1 - 12720
TP2 - 12774
TP3 - 13002
Perhaps we can see an extension of D.
I will comment on the idea.
High risk trade!
DAX Taking Profit time... But no "big short" for now (later)Just as american indices the Elliott count suggests that the "big short" is coming a bit later ! Anyway there's no point buying the current prices either.. Buyers must get out here and wait for better prices to come back in for the last ( III ) wave before we get to reach the final supercycle count.. Which will mean that we will finally be able to get that supposed "big short" trade ! At least a low risk level to try it out !
Anyhow for the moment it's time to eventually short for a daily/weekly retracement and the signal should be coming pretty soon.
DAX : H2 shows possible double top on 12850 before dropGER30 INDEX:DAX
Following on from the previous daily/weekly analysis (right below), the intraday H2 chart shows that the market could still need to run for a 5th subwave before reaching the ( III ) cycle end. As we can clearly identify a 1st wave expended impulse for this last move, we can plot a theoric target at 61% extension of subwave 1 starting at current supposed subwave 4 . This gives us a target that could make the prices climb up to the very same price of our current market top (and historical high). This would mean a double top formation to finish the current sub-impulse and having the perfect low risk short entry for an agressive trade.
BUT there's one important thing about the fact that when it comes down to historical highs, markets rarely fail on double top configuration (more likely on Vtop with a spiky false breakout attempt rapidly reversed).
So I think a short agressive entry on the possible double top would need to have a large stoploss in order to sufficiently be able to handle a possible false break of historical high. Of course the best case scenario would be to have a look a even lower timeframe (like 5/15m) whenever the prices will reach out to the approximate price we identified here !
Hope this idea will inspire some of you ! I'm pretty new to TradingView so I'ld appreciate any like/comment/follow if you feel like it deserve it ;)
Linked D1/W1 analysis for the background trend counts :
Elliott Wave Analysis: S&P500 and German DAXStocks and Dax as we can see are both in a corrective rally; E_mini S&P500 has resistance near 2380 and DAX at 12680. On both markets invalidation levels are at the highs.
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