Germany30
DAX NFP MOVEToday we have the big NFP event again.
With US elections coming, more and more signs of a rate hike coming soon, Brexit and other fears in the market (like a potential new banking crisis), today's NFP could push the markets into bear modus.
Either if the number beats expectations (225K or more), which means rate hike can be incoming soon, or the number is lower than expected (below 150k), which means the economy is failing, I believe the move of the markets will be down.
There is only one IF, that is IF the markets push much lower before NFP release, this could be trickery.
Key Levels DAX:
- 10800 Prepare to short
- 10250 Prepare to long
- 10400-10420 1st Target short
- 10360 2nd Target short
Why i am long Indices in Early October30/09/16:
Db just had a huge correction forcing Germany or ECB to step in pritty soon.
With this burden on an all time low its less to bother about for indices.
Sure if db crashes then you can say goodbye to this entire plan, but probably many plans will be garbage then.
And does the world really need a new financial crash?
I dont think so...
We recently had an opec deal to cut output, personally i am sceptical due to non opec producers beeing able to pick up the pace with higher prices so this may put some downward pressure into the upcoming month.
Last we have the us stock exchanges who are all near ath's and keep hovering around that zone with no immediate new problems to be sighted (excluding wells fargo perhaps) in usa i dont expect usa indices to put much pressure into european indices into early october.
Given the current aex price (also dax and other european indices) i am prity sure to open calls on eu indices with a targetdate of a few weeks.
Check in on the other charts as well i'll comment for a zoomed vieuw.
Daily Outside Bar just below the PRZ of a Gartley The German DAX continues to consolidate just below the PRZ of weekly bearish Gartley pattern.
Today, after Draghi's ECB press conference, the German Index formed a daily Outside Bar that will be triggered if the price will decline below 10,600
For now, the Fast MA line (in yellow) continues to play its support role and drives the price higher every time it touches it.
When it'll fail, it'll be the trigger for a pullback towards 10,000 again (with 10,350-10,400 as mid Target) to test the strong weekly support there.