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Gj

GBPJPY - At a CrossroadHey there! Gj is my favorite pair, such a nice volatile pair to work with, but lately it's been acting pretty crazy, that's why I haven't talked about it so much. But, price is at an interesting spot right now. See this 160 level, it used to be a support in the recent past, and a strong one. It's been hit several times between last june-september. Then we had a squeeze short that went to grab all the 150.00 level's liquidity to go hit the ceiling at 170.00. We broke back down 160.00 last december and since then we're ranging, between 155.00 and 160.00. Since december, we've hit 160.00 about 5-6 times and now we're getting the 7th one. But this one is different, see, JPY has been really weak lately, and also, it's been more volatile than GBP. You can see this by analysing the last swings of both currencies, check it out : If we take last swing of each currency against the dollar we have : GBPUSD last swing from 14/02 tu 20/02 => 2.85% variation USDJPY last swing from 14/02 to 20/02 => 4.09% variation So, this means that, for now, JPY is more sensitive to dollar than GBP is, so JPY is weaker than GBP against the dollar. In other words, in a situation like this one, if USDJPY is going up, so is GBPJPY. In a previous analysis I was showing a potential rebound of USDJPY this week. If it was to happen I would look for a potential break of the 160.00 level but, I would really like to see the price to retrace a little bit before, to get a nice entry. The situation : 1) We're ranging 2) GBP stronger than JPY lately 3) We're touching the top of the range, 7th touch 4) There's a huge imbalance just above the 161.00 resistance, if price was to break it would be vaccumed up to 164.00 - 165.00 5) We're waiting on a retracement with USDJPY, and it's been corelated with GJ lately So, this one is not a textbook trade that's for sure. But, I know GJ, and right now, it looks like it wants to go get this 161.00 reistance. Ultimately, we'll let the market decide what it wants to do, and we'll be ready for what happens then Cheers everyone and happy trading!!!
Long
by aemerydufoug
GBPJPY sellAfter our Trade from yesterday, we have a new setup for today. Asia closed good. The price will spicke into our OB or even session high and then probably drop. If you want you can wait for a confirmation on a lower time frame, where you search for a ChoCH and an OB. $JPYBASKET is also about to hit our OB so that a reversal has a good change to happen. But I will enter directly when it hits our OB. Entry:162.050 SL: 162.200 TP1: 161.472 TP2: 160.500 TP3: 160.150 Would not recommend to risk more than 1%. Please like and comment what you think!
Short
by KurzRamon
3
UPDATE: Week Commencing Feb 6 GBPJPY Outlook: Still long UPDATE: WC0206 GBPJPY Outlook: Still long until DTF LL is broken MTF Analysis Check annotations in the anchored notes for M-W-D-H4-H1 analysis. I've updated GJ's outlook for this week from the last one published in January -- specifically the Weekly Anchored Note Weekly Timeframe Outlook Sun,1/22/23 - Bearish downtrend UPDATE: Mon, 2/6/23 1. WC 30 Jan weekly candle ended up being a lower high. A 120 pip rejection wick from December's low. 2. There is a weekly and monthly imbalance that is coinciding with - December's 50% level (almost) - January's high - Previous week's high - This is supported by the 200 EMA (Daily TF) as it will be tapping it / be under it. Weekly BIAS: 1. Price is bullish until it reaches/ taps #2's confluence areas. 2. Once it taps #2 conf areas, it will melt until it reaches January's low (which is also coinciding with the last Daily TF lower low) -- price will tap this daily and monthly conf area and then it will rocket and resume the bullish trend that it has been having. ON THE FLIP SIDE. 1. The last low of the Daily TF. 155.39 X January low -- if price pierces that level and continues all the way down then it may just melt until the next monthly key level which is around 150.75 2. It may just continue the uptrend all the way at least to the M&W trendline FUNDAMENTAL HIGH IMPACT NEWS FOR GJ FEB AND MARCH Date Country & Event 2023, February 07, 08:01 (United Kingdom) BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY 2023, February 10, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Goods Trade Balance Non-EU 2023, February 10, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Goods Trade Balance 2023, February 10, 15:00 (United Kingdom) GDP MoM 2023, February 14, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Employment Change 2023, February 14, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Claimant Count Change 2023, February 14, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Unemployment Rate 2023, February 15, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Inflation Rate YoY 2023, February 16, 07:50 (Japan) Balance of Trade 2023, February 17, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Retail Sales YoY 2023, February 17, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Retail Sales MoM 2023, February 17, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Retail Sales ex Fuel MoM 2023, February 17, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Retail Sales ex Fuel YoY 2023, February 21, 17:30 (United Kingdom) S&P Global/CIPS UK Services PMI 2023, February 21, 17:30 (United Kingdom) S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMI 2023, February 24, 08:01 (United Kingdom) Gfk Consumer Confidence 2023, March 01, 17:30 (United Kingdom) S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMI 2023, March 02, 13:00 (Japan) Consumer Confidence 2023, March 03, 17:30 (United Kingdom) S&P Global/CIPS UK Services PMI 2023, March 07, 08:01 (United Kingdom) BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY 2023, March 10, 11:00 (Japan) BoJ Interest Rate Decision 2023, March 10, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Goods Trade Balance Non-EU 2023, March 10, 15:00 (United Kingdom) GDP MoM 2023, March 10, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Goods Trade Balance 2023, March 14, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Unemployment Rate 2023, March 14, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Claimant Count Change 2023, March 14, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Employment Change 2023, March 16, 07:50 (Japan) Balance of Trade 2023, March 22, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Inflation Rate YoY 2023, March 23, 20:00 (United Kingdom) BoE Interest Rate Decision 2023, March 24, 07:30 (Japan) Inflation Rate YoY 2023, March 24, 08:01 (United Kingdom) Gfk Consumer Confidence 2023, March 24, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Retail Sales MoM 2023, March 24, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Retail Sales YoY 2023, March 24, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Retail Sales ex Fuel MoM 2023, March 24, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Retail Sales ex Fuel YoY 2023, March 24, 17:30 (United Kingdom) S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMI 2023, March 24, 17:30 (United Kingdom) S&P Global/CIPS UK Services PMI
Long
by RSC_FX
1