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GLD

Gold Update: Sideways Consolidation ^ $2,800 => $2,400-$2,500Gold futures follow the path posted earlier (see related). It dropped quickly and deeply within a correction to hit the $2,542 mark. Next was a strong rebound that stalled just above $2.7k Then we saw a series of zigzags that shaped a small consolidation All of this indicates of the sideways consolidation pattern which implies the box type flat correction with top and bottom of the range defined by all-time high ($2,802) and the valley at $2,542. The height of the range is around 300 bucks. Next step for the price to retest or only touch the all-time high, further we might face another drop to retest the valley of $2,542 or even lower to touch the bottom of the bullish channel. Another downside target is at 38.2% Fib at $2,400. After that, the consolidation could be over and the bullish trend to resume with new impulse.
COMEX:GC1!
by aibek
#WhatsTheTicker Your Asset, Our Expertise: Technical/FundamentalBring the Tickers! 🚀 ✨ We invest hours uncovering potential opportunities and crafting insightful ideas just for you. Your support fuels our passion for creating value for the Trading/Investing community! ✅ Like ❤️ and Follow 🌟 for more actionable insights and expert analysis. ⚠️ Stay Agile: Markets shift quickly, and even the best signals can face strong, fast-changing trends. Best regards, DCAChampion
NYSE:GMELong
by DCAChampion
7
A case for silver.Silver is currently under significant regulatory constraints, and its prevailing market price does not incentivize the allocation of capital toward ventures focused on increasing its supply. This creates a supply constraint for the asset. Beyond its role as an inflation hedge, a characteristic shared by most commodities, silver possesses unique properties that are particularly valuable for industrial applications. As we stand on the brink of a new wave of industrial expansion, silver's conductivity and reflectivity make it indispensable in various technologies, such as solar panels (where China leads in production), antifreeze formulations, and numerous other applications. Recently, President Putin announced that Russia will include silver in its strategic reserves. Meanwhile, China has been engaging in confidential agreements with miners and refiners to secure prices over extended periods. Due to China's relatively loose regulatory framework, these transactions are not publicly disclosed, and as a result, they are not reflected in silver's market price. This can be said for African, Latin-American, or other Asian countries with loose regulation for these kinds of markets. Silver pricing predominantly occurs on the futures market, which underscores cases where a disconnect arises between market prices and underlying realities, leading to potential distortions in valuation. Case 1: JP Morgan commodities trading desk scandal. " A federal jury in the Northern District of Illinois convicted a former trader at JPMorgan Chase and Credit Suisse today of fraud in connection with a spoofing scheme in the gold and silver futures markets. According to court documents and evidence presented at trial, Christopher Jordan, 51, of Mountainside, New Jersey, was an executive director and trader on JPMorgan’s precious metals desk in New York from 2006 to 2009, and on Credit Suisse’s precious metals desk in New York in 2010. Between 2008 and 2010, Jordan placed thousands of spoof orders, i.e., orders that he intended to cancel before execution, to drive prices in a direction more favorable to orders he intended to execute on the opposite side of the market. Jordan engaged in this deceptive spoofing strategy while trading gold and silver futures contracts on the Commodity Exchange (COMEX), which is a commodities exchange operated by the CME Group. These deceptive orders were intended to inject false and misleading information about the genuine supply and demand for gold and silver futures contracts into the markets... Four other former JPMorgan precious metals traders were previously convicted in related cases. In August 2022, Gregg Smith and Michael Nowak... spoofing... In October 2018, John Edmonds pleaded guilty in the District of Connecticut... wire fraud, commodities fraud, price manipulation, and spoofing... In August 2019, Christian Trunz pleaded guilty in the Eastern District of New York to one count of conspiracy to engage in spoofing and one count of spoofing... " This is the article if you'd like to read more: www.justice.gov My thoughts; This type of practice is an example of how there always a disconnect with real life and markets. One must also remember how information travels and the infrastructure and systems in place that runs our financial system. I believe JP Morgan's swift settlement shows to me there was not much accountability addressed. Case 2: Silver Thursday, Hunts Brothers, 1970s " Nelson Bunker Hunt and William Herbert Hunt — oil company executives, investors and brothers — first began purchasing silver in the early 1970s at a price of less than $2 per ounce. The Hunt brothers’ fervor for silver accelerated dramatically following the death of their father in 1974, a Texas oil tycoon known as H.L. Hunt. His passing released a $5 billion fortune to members of the Hunt family. Fueled by an enormous amount of capital, the Hunt brothers continued stockpiling silver and purchasing silver futures contracts. By early 1979, the price of silver had risen to about $6 per ounce. The Hunt brothers acquired roughly 195 million ounces of silver, about a third of the world’s total supply. They facilitated their silver purchases in part by investing in futures contracts through several brokers, including Bache Halsey Stuart Shields, Prudential-Bache Securities, and Prudential Securities. By December 1979, the market price for silver fluctuated between $20 and $25 per ounce. Silver had become exorbitantly expensive even for practical uses. Doctors struggled to afford X-ray film for patients, families melted down their heirloom silver flatware, silver burglaries skyrocketed, and Tiffany’s & Co. was forced to drastically raise its jewelry prices. Tiffany’s even took out a full-page ad in the New York Times criticizing the Hunt brothers, writing, “We think it is unconscionable for anyone to hoard several billion, yes billion, dollars’ worth of silver and thus drive the price up so high that others must pay artificially high prices for articles made of silver.” Silver reached a record high of $48.70 per ounce on Jan. 18, 1980. By some estimates, the Hunt brothers’ entire silver fortune peaked at a value of $10 billion. Thursday, March 27, 1980 Facing out-of-control silver prices, COMEX (Commodity Exchange, Inc.), a division of the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX), acted against the Hunt brothers. On Jan. 7, 1980, COMEX introduced Silver Rule 7, which placed heavy restrictions on the purchase of commodities on the margin. Following its peak price of $48.70 per ounce, silver began its decline and the Hunt family’s silver fortune began to shrink. On March 27, 1980, known as Silver Thursday, the price of silver dropped 50% in a single day, from $21.62 to $10.80 per ounce. The Hunt brothers failed to meet several margin calls and about $7 billion in paper assets suddenly turned into a $1.7 billion debt. The sudden price drop threatened to collapse several investment firms and banks. To prevent widespread financial chaos, multiple banks joined together to issue the Hunt brothers a $1.1 billion line of credit..." The original article: learn.apmex.com My thoughts: Now you see that one entity can have huge influence on the market. Your once dusty silver mirror can become valuable enough for you to go and find it and clean it and sell it. One actionable step you can take today is to capitalize on silver's current low valuation. There's clearly a lag between what's happening in the physical market and how that information gets reflected in exchange prices. Interestingly, we've seen noticeable price increases and premiums when buying physical silver, but there hasn’t been much movement in the more liquid instruments like the GLD or SLV ETFs—which, by the way, JPM vaults silver for. This disconnect exists because the market takes time to catch up to reality. What’s your take on this? More articles: marketsanity.com www.justice.gov www.reuters.com www.investing.com seekingalpha.com investingnews.com metalsedge.com www.moneymetals.com
COMEX:SI1!Long
by SRNceo
Gold - Ready to break higher as tariff tensions escalateGold has made modest ground through Asia, adding $8 on the day, however, the news flow certainly suggests a higher probability that we could soon see increasing buying flows, as investors start to seek out portfolio protection from the incoming tariff hostilities. News that China added to its gold reserves for a second consecutive month in December, taking its reserves rise to 73.29m ounces from 72.96m in November, is one supportive factor. Another could be its role as a hedge against the impending tariff news flow. Tariffs are well known to markets and the idea that Trump will come in on 20 January and put through orders to hit various economies with tariffs is firmly discounted. What is not priced is aspect of the counter response and the potential retaliation measures…. Of course, It’s not as if anyone expects those nations targeted by Trump’s tariffs to simply take it without a counter response, but it depends on what that response looks like and whether it leads to a painful and protracted tit for tat ‘battle’ that plays out on socials and the media headlines. Today, amid Justin Trudeau’s resignation, speculation in the Canadian press suggested the Canadians could preannounce a list of US goods that will face retaliatory tariffs in the case of Trump hitting them with 25% tax on all Canadian products. Publishing this list before Trump takes office would be seen as a step in aggression and would not be taken well by either Trump and Jamieson Greer. In China/HK, the US Defence department has added Tencent to its list of Chinese military companies operating in the US. Not a tariff as such, but this geopolitical development would be a big surprise, not just to the company (shares are -7.3%), but would be seen as an act in bad faith by the Chinese government. China themselves would be preparing for the worst when it comes to tariffs – they have not adhered to any of promises made in the prior agreements to buy certain US goods in a gesture to reduce the US trade deficit. Trump will use that as in his negotiations, and if there is one economy that is unlikely to get much of a cushion in the upcoming trade talks, its China. How will China respond? Depreciate the RMB, look at trade ties with other nations (we’re certainly seeing that with China-Mexico forging ties) or come back with counter tariffs on US imports. The Washington Post reported yesterday that Trump’s aides were exploring universal tariffs only on critical imports and not on all goods – a fact that that was quickly shut down by Trump. If the WaPo are credible, and many suspect this will be the case, it ultimately could be a positive for risk in the long run. However, in the near-term, if the Canadian news comes to fruition, I think it opens the idea that we should prepare now for tit for tat retaliation, and its here where investors may start to look at gold as a hedge against this impending hawkish news flow. So, while it all depends how hard ball each party wants to appear, it could create a new level of noise and uncertainty that could see higher market volatility and push gold through the range highs of $2726 and towards $2800.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by Pepperstone
Gold vs. Silver: Is the Ratio Signaling a Major ShiftIntroduction: Precious metals are displaying promising price action, warranting a closer look at the gold AMEX:GLD to silver AMEX:SLV ratio. This ratio provides valuable insights during bull markets: Bullish Silver: In a strong bull market, silver typically outperforms gold, causing the ratio to decline. Gold Leading: Recently, gold has taken the lead, advancing in a corrective rally, but there are signs this could change. Analysis: Inverted Saucer Formation: On the gold-to-silver ratio chart, a large inverted saucer formation is emerging. This bearish pattern indicates a potential breakdown below key support levels, signaling silver’s outperformance in the months ahead. What to Watch: A confirmed breakdown of support in this ratio could signal a major shift in favor of silver. If silver outperforms, prices could surge to retest its 2011 highs of $48-$50 next year. Gold Outlook: Despite the shift in favor of silver, gold remains bullish. A breakout could target significant upside, with price projections of $3,300-$3,400. Trade Setup: Silver Bullish Setup: Trigger: A breakdown in the gold-to-silver ratio, confirming silver’s relative strength. Target: SLV retesting $48-$50. Stop Loss: Manage risk by placing stops near recent support levels in silver. Gold Bullish Setup: Gold continues to show strength, targeting $3,300-$3,400. Monitor for breakouts in gold prices alongside silver’s potential surge. Conclusion: The precious metals setup looks increasingly bullish. The gold-to-silver ratio is hinting at a shift toward silver outperformance, a hallmark of true bull markets. If this scenario plays out, silver could retest its 2011 highs, while gold targets new all-time highs. This is a chart and setup worth keeping a close eye on in the coming months. Which metal do you think will lead the charge? Share your thoughts below! Charts: (Include charts showing the gold-to-silver ratio with the inverted saucer formation, key support levels, and projected breakdown targets. Add gold and silver price charts highlighting bullish setups.) Tags: #Gold #Silver #PreciousMetals #GLD #SLV #BullMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingIdeas
AMEX:GLD
by Richtv_official
$GLD Double Bottom, Bullish Inverted H&S AND Bull flagging?! Am I blind? Are you? Holy moly. This looks textbook under the reversal patterns I have documented. To be HONEST, it doesn't look 100% but it's showing signs. In my previous AMEX:GLD posts I said $242.73 needs to hold and it has. I think AMEX:GLD is creating a new floor of support for the next 3-6 months. I'm going to be entering GETTEX:250C for months out in 2025. + EOY rally. $250 target gets AMEX:GLD to a 30% YTD. AMEX:SPY in the same boat, 30% YTD - I posted a chart on it as well, check that out. Leave a comment to let me know your thoughts. I looked through many time frames and this one looks the best. I can't say I'm a fan of the big Elmo candles but I see a flag forming. Leave a follow and a comment. wALL sTreeT L0S3R
AMEX:GLDLong
by wallstreetloser001
Metals & Miners Are About To EXPLODE HIGHER (50%-100%+)Please don't miss this opportunity. I've been studying the metals charts, and last weekend, the SILJ chart caught my attention. I started looking at longer intervals (Weekly and Monthly) to see what I could find. XME and SILJ are showing excellent Inverted Excess Phase Peak patterns that may resolve as a breakaway upward price trend over the next 8 to 24+ months - sending both XME and SILJ over 40-50% higher at a minimum. This sounds crazy, but Metals and Miners are probably the best opportunities for swing position trading right now as hedge investments and/or very long-term options play. There is nothing else out there that has a 100-200% rally potential and the ability to hedge against global risk factors. I believe SILJ, XME, Gold, Silver, & Platinum will likely be HUGE WINNERS over the next 12-24+ months. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SILJLong
by BradMatheny
2
Gold - This Will Be The Top!Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) is starting to reject the channel resistance: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Gold perfectly retested the top of the rising channel after rallying more than +35% over the past couple of months. Just looking at this overextended rally alone, it is quite likely that Gold will correct even more and maybe, we will even see a retest of the previous breakout level. Levels to watch: $2.700, $2.050 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
TVC:GOLDShort
by basictradingtv
18
GOLD & SILVER Attempt To Break Higher - Moving Into EEP #3Gold and Silver attempt to break upward, moving away from the larger EPP Phase #2 (consolidation/FLAGGING) setup. If my research is correct, we'll see a very strong rally setting up in Gold/Silver over the next 2-4+ hours - likely see GOLD rallying up to $2720+ and SILVER rallying up to $32.50-$33. Get ready. This could be a very strong rally phase targeting new all-time highs over the next 15+ days. Get Some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
COMEX:GC1!Long
by BradMatheny
Attempting to Time The Next Gold Rally (FPT & EPP Analysis)This video attempts to show you how to use Fibonacci Price Theory (FPT) and the Excess Phase Peak (EPP) patterns to attempt to time/estimate the next big Rally in Gold/Silver. This is more of an educational video as timing market moves accurately is nearly impossible (IMO). Some techniques (such as predictive modeling or other types of price pattern analysis) can help us estimate when the markets may make a big move, but they are still only about 55% to 75% accurate in most cases. I've found the best solution is to more clearly identify price support/resistance using FPT and the EPP pattern to attempt to determine what stage of the EPP pattern price is currently in and how that relates to FPT short-, intermediate-, and long-term price structures. In my mind, using price as the core element of my analysis eliminates the potential of getting confused by technical indicators and other data. Price is the ultimate tool when attempting to trade or analyze the charts. This video is designed to help you understand how to use the two techniques/theories (FPT & EPP) I teach to better understand price setups/trends/opportunities. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
COMEX:SI1!Long
by BradMatheny
Understanding Gold Panic Selling Reactions BetterThis video is designed to help you better understand how Gold works as a hedge instrument and how to attempt to measure Panic Selling phases in Precious Metals. Metals offer an incredible opportunity when Panic Selling hits. But it can also present some very real risks because of price volatility. Panic selling in the markets is usually an event-driven sell-off in almost all markets (including metals). This type of selling is usually related to traders pulling assets (CASH) away from all market sectors because of some crisis or geopolitical event. It is a way for traders to react to the fear of the event while sometimes ignoring how metals will react to the future revaluation event. Yet, who wants to hold Gold when it may fall 8.5% to 15% throughout this panic selling process? If you learn how to spot the base/bottom efficiently (using my Excess Phase Peak patterns), you'll be able to pinpoint some incredible opportunities in metals. I hope this video helps you to understand exactly how these Panic Selling events unfold - and lear to spot/trade them more efficiently. The reality of the current market environment is that the Trump win is the event (call it a crisis or not - I don't care). This event is causing markets to revalue current asset classes (notice the strength of the US Dollar since Election Day). I believe this revaluation event is nearly over and prices will begin to adjust into what I'm calling my "Anomaly Event" - where price levels settle back into a reversion (normal) type of contraction event before moving into a late-stage Santa Rally. If I'm right, we'll see a base/bottom in metals happen after November 15-19, 2024. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
COMEX:GC1!Long
by BradMatheny
Gold - Time To Close Out Partial Profits!Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) is now back to the upper channel resistance: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 After breaking above the plsychological $2.000 level, Gold created such an incredible rally, massively outperforming stocks and even cryptocurrencies over the past couple of months. Therefore, it is quite likely that big institutions will take some profits at the current levels. Levels to watch: $2.700, $2.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
TVC:GOLDShort
by basictradingtv
22
Gold & Silver Struggling To Break Away From Consolidation PhaseI created this video to highlight why I believe Gold & Silver could stay within a very wide consolidation range until after November 7~10 as the US markets enter a SHOCK phase after the elections. Yes, I believe Gold & Silver will ultimately rally much higher, but my weekend research suggests the US & Global markets will stay in a low liquidity phase for about 7 to 10+ days after the election and I believe THAT is the reason why Gold & Silver will appear TRAPPED in a sideways price range. Ultimately, we'll see what happens with Gold and Silver and if my research is correct or not. I just wanted to alert traders that Gold/Silver and other metals/miners appear to be trapped in a price anomaly event over the next 10+ days that suggests metals will fall downward, trade within a sideways price range, and attempt to move out of that range after November 11. Let's see how it plays out. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
COMEX:SI1!Short
by BradMatheny
Gold & Silver Enter Phase #3 of the Excess Phase Peak PatternGet ready. Both Gold & Silver have moved into Phase #3 of the Excess Phase Peak Pattern - suggesting Gold & Silver will consolidate briefly before either attempting to break downward toward an ultimate low or revert higher, trying to take out the recent highs. I estimate that Gold and Silver will break downward as fear and panic settle into the market ahead of the US elections. If you've been following my research for the past 4+ weeks, you already know I predicted this move nearly a month ago, and now we are seeing Gold and Silver roll strongly to the downside. What is interesting is that they both set up excess phase peak patterns. Gold set up a very quick Phase #1 & #2 (flagging) pattern, whereas Silver's #1 & #2 setup took much longer. I believe Silver is leading the markets a bit right now throughout this Excess Phase Peak pattern. If my research is correct, Gold and Silver will break downward over the next 4+ days to identify a substantially lower low - the Ultimate low. After that, Gold and Silver will base/bottom and move into a very strong recovery phase. Are you ready for market opportunities over the next 5+ years? Follow my research/videos to learn how you can capitalize on these big moves. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
COMEX:SI1!Short
by BradMatheny
2
Gold vs Commodities: Monitoring Relative Strength in Hard AssetsIntroduction: The commodity sector spans various areas, including energy, agriculture, livestock, and metals. However, focusing on the most promising areas can lead to more effective investment strategies. One key ratio to monitor is gold AMEX:GLD versus a broader commodities basket (DBC). This ratio is especially relevant for those interested in hard assets, as it highlights where strength lies in the commodity space. Currently, this ratio favors gold as the stronger performer. Analysis: Relative Strength: The GLD-to-DBC ratio offers critical insights into the relative performance of gold versus other commodities. Gold has been outperforming the broader commodity basket, indicating its resilience as a hard asset. Technical Pattern: Earlier this year, the ratio broke out of a rounding bottom pattern, signaling a bullish trend in favor of gold. Even before this breakout, the trend was clear through a series of higher highs and higher lows, reinforcing the strength of gold relative to other commodities. Gold’s Performance: Gold remains near its all-time highs, while other commodities continue to lag behind. This highlights gold’s resilience in the face of broader market uncertainties. Conclusion: Gold’s resilience compared to other commodities makes it a standout performer in the current market environment. The recent breakout in the GLD-to-DBC ratio and the continued pattern of higher highs and higher lows support the bullish case for gold. Traders focused on hard assets should monitor this ratio closely to gauge potential shifts in strength. What’s your outlook on gold versus other commodities? Share your insights below! Charts: (Include relevant charts showing the GLD-to-DBC ratio, the rounding bottom pattern, and the higher highs and higher lows trend) Tags: #Gold #Commodities #HardAssets #GLD #DBC #TechnicalAnalysis
AMEX:GLD
by Richtv_official