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GLD

GOLD is a BIGGER BUBBLE than the S&P500?? Look away gold bugsThis chart shows GOLD and S&P500 on the same % change axis since 1965. Based on this timescale, GOLD has had a GREATER % rise in price than the S&P 500. But hang on, isn't GOLD price supressed and is the only asset class NOT in the EVERYTHING BUBBLE? FALSE NARRATIVE!! Zoom out to this longer time scale and see that GOLD has also ascended into NOSE BLEED BUBBLE TERRITORY, its just timed its climbs different to equities. +++ It gets worse.... GOLD has painted a HUMUNGOUS double top which is now bearing down a top of the gold chart. CONCLUSION: Gold is every much as part of the everything bubble as STOCKS and REAL ESTATE. GOLD will not be a safe haven and will fall in a similar way to stonks (MASSIVELY) in the coming depression
TVC:SPXShort
by Fifty_Satoshi_
Gold is going to CRASH!! +++ Bitcoin chart proves itThis side by side comparison shows the similarity in the evolution of GOLD and BTC price. Over a longer time span gold is painting EXACTLY the same DOUBLE TOP after parabolic rise as Bitcoin has done. Gold price is up +4,600% since 1966. Compare this to the S&P500 which is up +4,300% over the same time span. Gold price has NOT been supressed, this is a false narrative. The conclusion: GOLD is every much as part of the everything bubble as Stocks and Real Estate. Expect the coming depression to burst the bubble and for Gold to continue its rhyme of the Bitcoin rise and fall
TVC:GOLDShort
by Fifty_Satoshi_
2
Gold Order Flow - Bears Rule The MarketHey traders, Yet again, the OFA script clearly show we should not be meddling with the affairs of the bears, side fully in control of the price action in the Gold market. Let the flows, identified via the formation of fractal-based structures, determine the path of least resistance. As usual, credit where is due (Bill Williams). The script simply makes it visually easier to call these trend, which otherwise would be seemingly hard to continuously identify through manual analysis. Be reminded, when applying the OFA script , it has 2 main components to study: Magnitude: A major clue that will help determine the health of a trend is the type of progress by the dominant side in control of the trend. We need to ask the following question: Are the new legs in the active buy-sell side campaign as identified by the script increasing or decreasing in magnitude? Velocity: When it comes to the distance the price moves, the magnitude is only ½ the equation. The other ½ has to do with the velocity of the move or the speed. Was the new leg created after a fast and impulsive move? Or did price make a new low or high with the movement being sluggish, compressive and taking too long to form? A good rule of thumb is to count the number of candles it took to achieve a new leg. DISCLAIMER: This post contains commentary published solely for educational and informational purposes. This post's content (and any content available through links in this post) and its views do not constitute financial advice or an investment or trading recommendation, and they do not account for readers' personal financial circumstances, or their investing or trading objectives, time frame, and risk tolerance. Readers should perform their own due diligence, and consult a qualified financial adviser or other investment / financial professional before entering any trade, investment or other transaction.
AMEX:GLDEducation
by FlowState
GDX - Going Down Xtrenuously (pun intended)The gold miners ETF, GDX, just points to a very very rough time. With the interest rates escalating rapidly, the USD rising swiftly, the equity markets weakening, and gold prices crumbling... it is a perfect storm for GDX thrashing. The weekly chart had a tombstone doji the previous week as it failed the Hull EHMA, and the past week confirmed the trend reversal down. The weekly technical indicators are weak and bearish looking so not much to go on here. The daily chart shows a recent breakdown from a failed 55EMA test. and on Friday, ended with a bearish marubozu, closing near the weekly low. The technical indicators are significantly suggestive... the MACD had actually wasted a long bullish divergence and failed to mount a very decent rally. This failure would have a doubling opposing effect, and the daily MACD has actually crossed down into the bear territory. Taken together, projections set a downside target of 17, about the end of November 2022. A very tough time for GDX (unless you are short)
AMEX:GDXShort
by Auguraltrader
The Gold Odyssey - Gold-ing Down over the next yearsI must attribute this post to my brother who texted me earlier this week asking for my opinion of where Gold is going. I did respond with a "Down" but I felt that I should also validate it properly. And lo and behold, I noticed a major pattern formation, that would break the previous trend/pattern. Gold appears to be on a VERY CRITICAL LAST DAY of the month. It needs to close well above 1685 to save it from the pattern break(down). Previously, since 2019, I started this series of The Gold Odyssey documenting Gold's bullish journey, andI think it is about time that Gold changes trend from Bullish to Bearish. The monthly Gold futures chart is shown here with two very similar pattern breaks. Well, in about 8 hours, we will know if there is a pattern break, and a new bearish pattern truly emerges... In 2011-2013, a major Gold top formed, and in this formation a couple of characteristics formed: 1. a monthly lower high was formed; 2. a breakdown below the 55 Hull EHMA; 3. a breakdown out of the triangle formation; and 4. MACD cross down into bearish territory In 2020, Gold made a historical high, and since then, Gold did these few things: 1. a monthly lower high was formed; ✅ 2. a breakdown below the 55 Hull EHMA; ✅ 3. a breakdown out of the triangle formation; and (candle NOT YET closed, on last few hours now) 4. MACD cross down into bearish territory ✅ The patterns are uncanny and a dead ringer for further downside, projected in a similar fashion to 1275 around later 2024. Conceptually, longer term patterns are more difficult to form (or break). Notwithstanding, the Gold monthly chart appears to be suggesting that the relatively trusty Cup and Handle pattern ( about 90% success ) is broken, and a bearish phase is developing with the monthly lower low and (potentially, at this time of writing) a break down out of the triangle. In summary, the long term technical set up here is suggesting that Gold will be bearish to 1275 over the next two years. Today, it is just the beginning. Food for thought here, especially for those who had loaded up in Gold over the last couple of years... will revisit once the month, and quarter, is done.
COMEX:GC1!Short
by Auguraltrader
Wednesday notes - SPX Wheat Gold DXY DAX Bonds etc.Some pre market commentary, SPX - expecting a bear trap after open, then higher. Wheat may be affected by the hurricane in Florida, Bonds hit an important fib extension, Gold looks promising if it can get over 1675 resistance, DXY also looks like it may pullback - BTC could still move to lower 18000 area before a move up (would align with one more low in equities) but it doesn't have to go down that far. Dax has broken monthly trendline, expect a retest over the coming weeks. I forgot oil - looks good for a strong bounce here, pullbacks are likely bought. OK good luck!
XETR:DAXLong
by the_sunship
2
GLD: Warm-up 👟GLD is warming up in the lower magenta-colored zone between $152.85 and $159.20, where it still has some room left to finish wave iii in magenta. Afterwards, it should jump up into the upper magenta-colored zone between $163.39 and $171.23 to complete wave iv in magenta, before sliding into the yellow zone between $150.72 and $140.40, where the overarching downwards movement should end. There is a 40% chance, though, that GLD could decide to rise earlier already and thus could directly climb above the resistance at $171.23.
AMEX:GLD
by MarketIntel
#Gold spot on critical support once againThis chart doesn't need much explanation - the $1680 has been solid support on multiple occasions since April 2020. It is also where we see intersection of both the 200 simple and 200 exponential moving averages which should provide further support. This level should hold but also watch out for the flush of weak hands and reversal above. Always safer to buy the reversal but just putting it out there how important this level is. Happy trading!
TVC:GOLDLong
by MarcoOlevano
Gold - Quiet before the storm?The price action of gold has been choppy for the past few weeks, and we are growing increasingly worried about its performance in the face of increasing interest rates later this month. Because of that, we remain bearish on XAUUSD in the short term. Further, we think if the stock market continues to manifest weakness, it will negatively affect gold. Indeed, we believe that market participants will sell their gold once again to cover losses elsewhere (just like on previous occasions). Due to that, we think gold might drift toward 1600 USD over time. Despite that, however, we are very bullish in the long term and believe that the selloff will present an excellent opportunity to add more gold to investors' portfolios. Illustration 1.01 The daily chart of XAUUSD shows two moving averages: 20-day SMA and 50-day SMA. Two yellow arrows indicate bearish and bullish crossovers between these two SMAs. The third yellow arrow indicates the natural retracement of the price toward its SMAs. Therefore, we will pay close attention to the following price action; the breakout above SMAs will be bullish while the position below them is bearish. Technical analysis - daily time frame RSI and Stochastic are slightly bullish. MACD is relatively neutral; however, it will be bullish if it manages to break above 0 points. DM+ and DM- are bearish. Overall, the daily time frame is neutral. Illustration 1.02 The weekly chart of XAUUSD shows two moving averages: 20-week SMA and 50-week SMA. They reflect the presence of the downtrend. Technical analysis - weekly time frame RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Tradersweekly
31
NEM BUY+++++ way oversoldStill no change in view, NEM went lower than expected but appears to still have long term support in place and resistance around $53 range. We should see a retracement back to $63.68 .5 fibonacci range in coming weeks/ months. Copper and Gold miners are way oversold and been taken out to the woodshed with an artificially inflated dollar on the backs of $33 trillion national debt and trillions in funny money printing which will ultimately be the dollars demise. I have October 21st $52.50 calls. GL
NYSE:NEMLong
by ShortSeller76