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Gold & Silver May Rally 65% to 120% Before End Of 2025This updated research video highlights why I believe Gold and Silver are about to launch higher over the next 90+ days - into the upper ranges of my BreakAway phase. This move would represent a 20~25% move for Gold and a 35~45% move for Silver. But the BIG MOVE won't happen till after November 2024. That's when I expect to see Gold make a large upward move targeting $3500~3750+ and Silver making a move targeting $40~55+. Why am I so confident metals will make this aggressive move higher? It comes down to two things. A. If the US economy continues to be the 900-lb Gorilla compared to other global economies, then metals will become the primary or secondary hedge asset for most of the world (the US dollar being the other). B. The turmoil related to a new US President (new policies, plans, foreign relationships) could present a very real tipping point for certain aspects of the global economy. And it does not matter if Trump or Biden wins. The reality is the world will be shifting quickly into a transition phase as we move closer to 2030. Part of the Generational Cycle process that many people fail to understand is human psychology paired with excessive central bank manipulation over the past 20+ years. This has led to a very interesting global central bank predatory mode, which is currently playing out quite aggressively related to global currencies. The primary hedge instruments are US-Dollar-based assets and metals. That will probably continue - but at a more significant demand rate. All of this plays out as an incredible opportunity for skilled traders. Go get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
COMEX:SI1!Long
by BradMatheny
2
Gold finds form – can the yellow metal break $2400?We’ve seen some selling of gold in early Asia trade today, but after a solid 2.8% rally last week the gold bulls really needed follow-through selling in the USD to push the price into $2400 - the surprise second-round French election outcome is certainly curbing interest to buy EURs today and that is limiting moves in the USD. The tailwinds do suggest pullbacks on the day should be limited to $2365, but with Jay Powell testifying to the House (Tuesday) and US core CPI (Thursday) seen through the week, gold traders do need to navigate some big event risk this week. Tactically, a US core CPI print below 0.2% and we could feasibly see gold above $2400 and making a tilt at the ATHs of $2450. Conversely, a core CPI print above 0.35% m/m (i.e. rounded to 0.4% m/m) and much of the upside seen in gold of late could be pared back. The primary driver of gold upside has been the buying seen in the US bond market, with US 2yr Treasury yields declining 15bp on the week into 4.60% and smashing through the 4.85% to 4.65% range it held of late since mid-June, with the US10YR real rate falling into 2% also a big factor. Marry these moves in yield with the DXY falling for 7 straight days, and this age-old relationship has become well entrenched, and I expect it to remain so through this week. US data is consistently coming in soft relative to expectations, and this has been a core factor that has helped push gold towards $2400. However, taking a more medium-term view, the real upside kicker that could see $2500+ would be when the market saw the current central case of a soft landing morph into something more sinister and price a greater probability of recession risk – we’d see that priced by a more aggressive bull steepening of the Treasury yield curve, and US high yield credit breaking down. It’s here that the idea that the Fed would need to take the Fed funds through a neutral setting and into a far more stimulatory stance would put gold as one of the default portfolio hedges – we’re not there, but the market is on notice for the signs that the Fed does make a policy error and keep rates held high for too long. We can add in the idea that gold may start to get additional love, should we see evidence that the Republicans could surprise current expectations and take the House, which would give them the ability to extend the 2017 Tax Cut and Job Act in 2025, which along with other measures could see the US fiscal deficit increase by a further $1.5t+ - again, a factor which could take time to play out. Also, Freeport McMoran cutting gold production guidance has been a bullish factor, in what is already a tight market.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by Pepperstone
Gold & Silver Build Momentum Into A New Rally PhaseAre you following my videos/research? If not, pay attention. Gold and Silver will start to build momentum over the next few weeks - eventually moving 5 to 12% higher before mid-September. This is a huge move for metals and will prompt Gold to attempt a rally toward $2750 while Silver attempts to rally above $32 - possibly targeting $34. The dynamics of the global markets and the pending US POTUS elections will continue to drive global traders harder into precious metals as a hedge. Nothing has changed. The only thing that is new and taking place right now is the pause in metals is nearing an end point - which means we shift into bullish trending again. Get ready - here we go (BULLISH)
COMEX:SI1!Long
by BradMatheny
Junior Miners will take some time off soon I see a repeat of March 2020 happening but with birdflu (check out my silver miners AMEX:SILJ thread where the fractal looks better). Within 5 months, miners had a 42% gain, but within that time period there were 2 huge drops and 3 huge gains: 1. $46-$20 (56% loss) in 2 weeks (June-July) 2. $20-$40 (100% gain) in 4 weeks (July-August) 3. $40-$50 (25% gain) in 4 weeks (August-September) 4. $50-$42 (15% loss) in 4 weeks (September-October) 5. $42-$65 (55% gain) in 6 weeks (October-Mid November) We'll want to target events 1, 2 and 5. OTM puts and calls on AMEX:NUGT , AMEX:JNUG and AMEX:AGQ will be the way to go on this assuming some exogenous event doesn't take down our markets (hack, EMP etc.), and IV is affordable. 1 will be moderately expensive because of hitting the top (unless it grinds slowly sideways dragging IV down with it). 2 could be pretty expensive. 5 should be highly affordable after a slow walk up and down for 2 months. I will also be keeping a close eye on several junior miners like NYSE:EXK and one pharmaceutical company NASDAQ:GILD (check those threads also)
AMEX:GDXJShort
by EmptyEternity
Gold vs the 10yr yieldThis is a ratio chart. Gold is on top 10 year Yield is on bottom in the middle you can see the ratio between gold prices and the 10yr yield rising and falling. As you can tell, when the ratio reaches a low, gold prices tend to rise and yields tend to fall. Vice/versa when the ratio is at a high, Gold prices tend to fall, and yields tend to rise. Of course the ratio chart is not "CAUSING" the prices to rise or fall. In my humble opinion, we are relatively close to the long term low point on the ratio chart. Meaning that either gold prices should rise and or yields should fall, and or both maybe... Barrons has recently published a piece saying that rising supply of gold could contribute to prices ending the year around 2100. usd This would be a drop in price, and doesn't fit in with my narrative. It might be interesting to see how this ratio plays out, and perhaps it will help you form a bias for your next Gold trade!
AMEX:GLDLong
by Sacyourking
2XBEAR JUNIOR MINERS LOOKING GOOD FROM HERE!It's time for precious metals to take a cooler. I noticed AMEX:JDST 's options for $5 is off the chart compared to other months. I bought calls for .20 for $5 strike price in September. I anticipating these going to 2.00 by then which is 1000% return. I also think AMEX:DUST is worthy of buying at these levels too - except they don't have miners, but I see a 500% return for this stock by the fall. I will also link to some supportive ideas following this post.
AMEX:JDSTLong
by EmptyEternity
2XBEAR MINERS LOOKING GOOD FROM HERE!It's time for precious metals to take a cooler. I noticed JDST's options for $5 is off the chart compared to other months. I bought calls for .20 for $5 strike price in September. I anticipating these going to 2.00 by then which is 1000% return. I also think DUST is worthy of buying at these levels too - except they don't have miners, but I see a 500% return for this stock by the fall. I will also link to some supportive ideas following this post.
AMEX:DUSTLong
by EmptyEternity
Silver is in short term consolidation before breaking $30It doesn't matter what short term paper contracts do, or taking profits - the East is importing gold and silver at a beguiling rate that won't allow for much shenanigans for the metals market. I was however surprised to see the price bounce exactly off the top of the box. I see silver going down to $24 area, shake out some hands, and rocket up past $30 after options expiration date. I see a smaller consolidation week in May before going even higher. I HIGHLY recommend Silver Miners right now. They saw some life this week and last - and since they usually lag, I can see them being down for the next two weeks before going up themselves. I like AMEX:SIL , AMEX:SILJ , and NUGT for indices, and NYSE:NEM for the best miner in the world for one simple reason - AMERICA will be the LAST country to nationalize their natural resources in a communistic reaction to the skyrocketing dollar. I expect that to happen starting next year.
AMEX:SLVLong
by EmptyEternity
1
Double Top in Gold That Strangely is Correlated with NividiaDid you know gold and Nividia have an 81% correlation? That's strange. (chart in comments) I see a double top in gold. TTM Squeeze firing on weekly, daily, 4 hourly and it's a continuation of a squeeze on the hourly. TTM Squeeze's usually bounce off the opposite side when it breaks/fakes out. Outside an exogenous event I see pm's taking the summer off and reawakening in the fall when the dollar tops out after the BOJ sells US treasuries after China devalues their currency after the dollar spikes when Europe cuts rates soon. It's going to be an epic chain reaction. The FED will cut rates heading into the election and if Trump wins he'll ride the last meme wave until it crashes and reinstitute a gold standard, or if Biden wins we get CBDC's. I'll be looking for low IV OTM calls in the fall after the FED cuts rates...
AMEX:GLDShort
by EmptyEternity
Here's What You Can Expect On Wall Street & In The Crypto SpaceThere are no surprises with the U.S. dollar, vix, gold, precious metals, commodities, and stocks. Everything is right on track. We are nearing our SPY blow-off top target of 570-600, but we have some time to hit that before the U.S. election charades and the future recession. We'll review these things and then focus on what price action will look like in the coming weeks for the crypto space. Plus, I have added an extra video for my members in which I'll review the current altcoin entries we are in. I'll let you know clearly what my sentiment and strategy is for trading these coins, a few of which have 3-4x targets! Quickly, I believe our local low in the altcoin space is in and we are going to pop soon. Some coins will fare much better than others. I want you in those coins. Let's go!
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by stewdamus
XAUUSD Spot Gold sell-off may stimulate a rally LONGSpot Gold has fallen 5% since the Middle East conflicts have lessened at least transiently. Other fundamentals like the Chinese government and indeed its citizens as well as the central banks of several nations buying gold in high volumes support price from significantly falling from here. Supported by volume profile specifics as well as the Fibonacci retracement levels reversing the trend down, I see this as a buying opportunity where other dip buyers will hold the price up and support the reversal. I firmly believe that the day will come where prices of the present would be considered a huge bargain. At this time, they are fair value for sure.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AwesomeAvani