Junior Miners will fall 10-20% before catapulting in Mid MayMiners didn't accelerate to the upside like metals because they do better in lower interest rate environments, whereas metals do better for volatility events. You could buy ITM puts here on JNUG, NUGT, GDX or GDXJ and see a good return, or just wait for this to bottom in a couple of weeks and ride the lightning. THIS opportunity is one of the 2 that I see this year where you can buy OTM calls and this will be like Gamestop imo.
THIS ISN'T FINANCIAL ADVICE!
GLD
Dollar, Stocks, Bitcoin ...And Have Altcoins Bottomed?Traders,
It looks as if the dollar, vix, and precious metals/commodities will continue to trend up, stocks will continue to pull back. Bitcoin is tenuous. But it is possible that altcoins have reached their low, though that low may be retested soon. We'll discuss these subjects in this weekly update.
Stew
GOLD v DXY in breakout move --- HVF hunt volatility funnelAlways good to measure against the DXY not just the USD value
Not perfect of course as it is mainly the Euro and Yen but still insightful.
Been watching the relationship for a while
currently breaking out to the upside
HVF theory means this should be a violent expansion
Target 1 coming up.
Gold forms Bearish Engulfing, Silver at resistance🚨 🚨 🚨
#Gold is forming a Bearish Engulfing on the daily charts.
Volume is almost there for a confirmation of the pattern.
Money Flow is low.
Overbought.
Weekly we see Gold forming a doji = battle bulls & bears.
#Silver is at a major resistance.
This should be an interesting week...
AMEX:GLD AMEX:GDX AMEX:GDXJ AMEX:SLV
China Hoards Gold: 17th Month Buying Spree Fuels Record PricesChina's central bank, the People's Bank of China (PBOC), is on a gold-buying binge. For the 17th consecutive month, the PBOC has added to its gold reserves, further propelling the precious metal to record highs.
This relentless buying coincides with a surge in gold prices over the past two months. The rally is fueled by speculation that the US Federal Reserve might loosen its monetary policy in the near future. Lower interest rates tend to make gold, a non-interest-bearing asset, a more attractive investment compared to US Treasuries.
China's Strategic Stockpile
The PBOC's motivations for accumulating gold are multifaceted. Some experts believe it's a strategic move to diversify China's foreign exchange reserves and reduce dependence on the US dollar. Additionally, gold is seen as a safe haven asset during times of economic or geopolitical uncertainty.
A Golden Opportunity or Overheated Market?
While China's buying spree and rising prices paint a bullish picture for gold, some analysts caution against excessive optimism. The record highs could be a bubble fueled by speculation, and a potential shift in US monetary policy could trigger a correction.
What it Means for Investors
The current market volatility presents both opportunities and risks for investors. Those considering adding gold to their portfolios should carefully weigh the potential benefits against the inherent risks associated with a highly volatile market.
Disclaimer
This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Get in on the Gold Rally as China and India Horde Supply!As many of you may know, China and India have been hoarding gold supply, causing a surge in demand and driving up prices. This is a clear sign that now is the perfect time to invest in gold and take advantage of this rally!
Gold has always been a safe haven asset, especially during times of economic uncertainty. With the global economy facing challenges from the ongoing pandemic and geopolitical tensions, gold is a smart investment choice to protect your wealth and diversify your portfolio.
So, don't miss out on this golden opportunity to capitalize on the current gold rally. Take action now and invest in gold to secure your financial future.
Let's ride the wave of this gold rally together and see our investments grow!
#GLD Newgold etf on the cusp of a massive breakoutNewGold ETF which tracks the rand price of Gold has been knocking hard on the R360.00 level. A breakout of this level should see an explosive move upwards which possibly supports the longs i am seeing in DRD and AngloGold. The break of the flat top triangle targets R386 which is an approximate move of 7% in the rand price of gold.. Good, especially for our local miners such as DRD, Harmony and Pan African #DRD #HMY #PAN
Goldaholics Anonymous Pour yourself a glass of Goldschläger and let's review the 12 steps before diving into this.
1. We admitted that we were powerless over the Fed -- that our balance sheet had become unmanageable.
2. Came to believe that a Power greater than our central bank could restore us to solvency.
3. Made a decision to turn our fiat over to the care of sound money, as we understood it.
4. Made a searching and fearless inventory of our finances.
5. Admitted to Peter Schiff, Lyn Alden, and Pomp the exact nature of our wrongs.
6. Were entirely ready to have big, fat Gains.
7. Humbly asked to avoid getting short squeezed.
8. Made a list of all the naysayers about to be harmed.
9. Sent direct messages to them to gloat in victory.
10. Continued to count our gains and polish our bullion.
11. Sought through fundamental and technical analysis to improve our entries and exits.
12. Having had a financial awakening as the result of these steps, we tried to carry this message to other goldaholics, and practice these principles in all of our trades.
Macro Fibonacci
Below we can see the magic of Fibonacci extensions, measuring the last macro bull run to the 2016 low.
Zooming in a bit, it is clear that these levels attract attention. Each one of these fibs acts as a step in the staircase. All we need to do is look at volume and price action to validate each level. The smart money had their sell orders at the 0.618 Fibonacci extension. The 0.5 could not hold which indicates that the next level down will be tested. Watch for heavy volume to come in there near the 0.382 level.
In the U.S. stock market and many other developed financial markets, about 70-80 percent of overall trading volume is generated through algorithmic trading.
Historical Price Action
Looking back to the last bull run there are a few simple patterns to watch for...
1. Weekly MACD flailing around above the zero level.
2. Mark the down trends and wait for the break.
3. Price action is above the 20 Week EMA.
Trading Setup
Using historical price action the trading setup becomes clear...
1. Weekly MACD is flailing above the zero level.
2. The down trend line is clear. Wait for the break.
3. Wait for 20 Week EMA support.
Now, the targets are the Fibonacci levels above, and the ghost bars look reasonable, however, it would be wise to take a look at what exactly is driving Gold on this path.
The U.S. Dollar
The Dollar index inversely pressures Gold prices so this is worth noting.
1. Momentum is shifting bullish as a bullish MACD divergence reveals itself on the daily chart.
2. This recent move was the 3rd wave down which often precedes a reversal.
3. The index is at the bottom of this future channel.
As this index recovers back towards the 200 Week EMA, it will surely scare the metals market. However, the macro downtrend is only on it's first wave down. From a technical standpoint, the second wave is often the deepest as panic sets in from the failed recovery.
Treasury Yields
Yields recently had a similar bullish MACD divergence with a very weak recovery that followed. The trend is still clear and it's highly likely to roll over as it timidly approaches the trendline in the coming months. Gold has been riding along side Bonds so this should continue to drive up prices. Depending on the severity of falling yields, it could trigger temporary crashes in the metals. But longer term, buying the dips is the way to go.
Trading is risky. Don't do it.
Long
Bullion: Gold, Silver, Platinum
Equities: GDX, PHYS, CEF, SLV, RIO, SPPP
Futures: (Not yet)
Shorting $GLD here looks like a good tradeEveryone has been bullish gold here, but the idea never made sense to me. We're still in the beginning of a market downturn, and if S&P and QQQ go down, gold is going to go down too.
Now the chart is also confirming my thoughts. We just went up and retested previous support as resistance and now we look to be forming a lower high on lower timeframes.
This looks like a great spot to short the pet rock.
Idea would be to go short here and buy as we get closer to the orange and green supports.
GLD the gold futures ETF LONGOn the daily chart GLD is in a volume profile early breakout going above the jagged pruple line
representing the top of the high volume area. Price has been compressing within a
symmetrical triangle and now has broke through the descending resistance trendline portion of
that. What remains to be seen is a retest of that new support line. Of late Bitcoin has ran up
and probably taken with it market cap away from gold. ( see my idea on the Bitcoin to spot
gold ratio) Now that Bitcoin has topped and is retracing capital is freed up to flow into gold
which has been comparitively weaker. I will take a long trade here and exploit the opportunity
in the cycle between gold and Bitcoin.
The Gold Odyssey - Breaking out!Its been years of waiting and I think it is about time!
Gold is rotating back and should finally close the week outside of the constipation box (yellow).
MACD and VolDiv are crossing above and should be supporting a rise in Gold.
New target for this run, 2600 (Jan 2025).
Heads up!
Gold making a bold move higher....As Bitcoin steals the limelight, gold quietly and gently breaks out AMEX:GLD #GOLD
Gold put in its first all time high for a daily close
This will likely end with an all time high by EOW or a highest ever weekly close.
Unfortunately, this leaves me with a conundrum as gold is a risk off asset and if we see a substantial increase, its possible it could be a signal of a risk off move from the liquidity sloshing around out there.
Funds have been allocating to bonds and money market funds as these lower risk fixed income assets provide an element of security during uncertain times and pay an interest yield. Gold offers protection and upside potential whilst providing additional protection against inflation.
In any event, it could be that we are due this long awaited move up for an asset class that has been moving in a relatively tight range since 2020.
The TA suggests the bullion bull gate may have just opened
Keep an eye folks,
PUKA
GLD , the gold futures ETF LONGGLD is shown on this 240 minute chart with a falt top triangle drawn with upper and lower
trendlines for resistance and support. A volume profile is overlaid. Text boxes comment
on the basis for the trade and the use of the relative strength indicator. Price is low
in the high volume area confluent with the support line. I see this as a long trade set up
and ready to go. Zooming into a 15-50 minute time frame will help find the best entry.
The RSI indicator would need to have its time frame settings adjusted I typically use
one half the chart time and twice the chart time to get a decent time spread,
Gold is forecasted by some to reach $3000 spot price in 2024. Gold and Bitcoin compete
for dollar attention. Things will be interesting for sure.
The Golden Leap! Have you caught a bid already!? The Leap has started! Yeah!
We have got 30 days to win $10 000, risk free.
This is a special paper trading competition and the top 5 people with the highest profits after a month will win cash prizes of $10,000, $5,000, $3,000, $2,000 and $1,000.
Plus, anyone with their account in profit gets a month of TradingView. Epic.
61 858 Traders are registered for this competition!
Well.. sounds good, and yes, I have started already! Well done!
This is my 1st The Leap entry, The Epic 30 oz. Bullish Call on Gold OANDA:XAUUSD .
Why isn't? 😄
Gold is on its positive path, since October 2023, firmly above its 26- and 52-weeks SMA.
Technical graph indicates robust wedge' breakthrough is right there!
Happy trading to everyone! See y'all a few days later!
Full T&C can be found here .
Where is $ flowing into? Central Banks = Gold. Retail = $BTCGood Morning
Let's see how CRYPTOCAP:BTC handles this next resistance level. Currently it is above.
Assets, not #Dollars!
Where are can you put your hard earned $???
Into #equities with high PE's?
Into #commercialrealestate?
#BTC #Bitcoin
#GOLD & #Silver as well as they have stood the test of time.
Potential triangle in XAU/USD
After the all-time-high in december, i've been following the price and it is possible that each leg has 3 wave count.
Last night, price broke down to 2012 level. This could be an undershoot of E wave of triangle
with E wave forming complex correction pattern
If the price does not go under 2012
this could be a start of the next move up to 2200-2300 area
Friendly Reminder You Don't Own Enough Bitcoin.
The Dawn of the Final ETF Approval Week - Everything will change.
Bitcoin will obliterate Apple returns
Bitcoin will obliterate SPY returns
Bitcoin will obliterate Gold returns
Bitcoin will obliterate Silver Returns
Anything plugged into Bitcoin related or touching bitcoin will be rocket launched into an entire new global standard.
I have come to the conclusion that smart money will enter this first being convinced of a new turning of the way we will live life in the next century meaning they will move first.
At the $200,000 mark many will sell calling the top
(you will know they're wrong due to zero on chain data proving this top)
I suspect after $300,000 appears in a short period the first batch of doubters will start to enter the market.
After $600,000 is breached there will be motions moving and outrage to shut Bitcoin down calling it the next "2009" the next Mortgage backed securities"
(This will cause major short interest and major Puts following the consensus that this is a bubble and not a supply shock)
Reaching the $1,500,000 people short and call writers will be entering margin call territory.
Remember the hard critics of Bitcoin who will give in around the $1,500,000 - $2,500,000 mark over the next years, this will mark the start of the extended bear market.
So the question is do you own enough Bitcoin?
Silver is setting up for a short term collapseSilver seems to be setting up for a beating. Its forming a rising wedge, whos top aligns with a strong resistance. The rsi and macd are forming obvious bearish divergences. I believe that the light holiday liquidity, alongside the bearish setup, is a recipe for a beautiful buying opportunity