Gld_spy
Gold - XAUUSD weekly chart break below 200EMA.If we look at a WEEKLY big picture chart we can see how important this 200EMA has been. Apart from important recent horizontal lows we can see how a pattern of diagonal support/resistance channels has been established. If a retrace back to the initial breakout zone happens..... then even 1128.71 USD would be a possibility.
My Plan for GLDCurrently, GLD is in an consolidation channel. I believe it will remain in this channel as the SPY continues to test the all-time highs.
My plan is to set a limit order for 117.80 with a stop at 115.91. I believe that the SPY has some more room to rally which will get us triggered into this trade as GLD pulls back.
The SPY is also in a channel and has been sprinting in the opposite direction whenever it hits support or resistance of that channel. That fact + the fact that GLD is consolidating = confidence to believe GLD blows past resistance and hits the target for a gain of 6:1.
****For a a safer and less aggressive trade you can move your stop down to 114.77. This would provide more relief from an SPY rally and possible prevent the trade from being stopped out if SPY has a false break out above the all time high.
GLD Defying SPY for Bullish BreakThru RunAs we all know the SPY and GLD have an inverse relationships. When the SPY goes up, GLD goes Down. However Gold has been going up and so has the SPY. More so, as the SPY comes into its all-time highs, GLD appears to be consolidating at its 2016 all-time highs.
Both are at their all-time highs for the year but gold has been consolidating (resting) at these highs for the past 2 months rebuilding energy to break thru future resistance, while the SPY may be out of breath from the sprint it has made to the all-time highs in the past 2 months.
With that being said, I plan to take my profits from the SPY as we hit these highs, and put them into gold.