$GLD Double Bottom, Bullish Inverted H&S AND Bull flagging?! Am I blind? Are you? Holy moly. This looks textbook under the reversal patterns I have documented. To be HONEST, it doesn't look 100% but it's showing signs. In my previous AMEX:GLD posts I said $242.73 needs to hold and it has. I think AMEX:GLD is creating a new floor of support for the next 3-6 months. I'm going to be entering GETTEX:250C for months out in 2025. + EOY rally. $250 target gets AMEX:GLD to a 30% YTD. AMEX:SPY in the same boat, 30% YTD - I posted a chart on it as well, check that out. Leave a comment to let me know your thoughts. I looked through many time frames and this one looks the best. I can't say I'm a fan of the big Elmo candles but I see a flag forming. Leave a follow and a comment.
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Gldlong
SPOT GOLD Zig Zag Long Average Up LONG or NOT ?SPOT GOLD XAUUSD is shown here on a 30 minute chart. This zig zag long trade is a bit more
than a day in duration. It is meant for use in a forex trade with 10:1 leverage and then
increased upon fluency after some amount of experience. Superimposed on the chart are
support and resistance zones of the visible range and the RSI of the given chart time frame.
Buy low Sell high is implemented. In forex the lot size for the first trade can be 0.02 and then
subsequent buy and sell lot size of 0.01 the zig zagging allows for some compounding while
underway and taking profit underway to assure a winning trade. The stop loss can be set and
reset while underway by looking at at separate indicators. Beginners need less indicators not
more too many and they get stuck into trading paralysis and are uncertain how to proceed and
cannot act in a short time which is important trading intraday. This same strategy works
on lower time frames such as 1-5 minutes .
Is NVDA overpriced relative to GOLD?My thesis is that comparing an equity price in a ratio to spot gold expecially on long
time frames can sometimes bring clarity to complicated trading decisions. Here, I seek
to determine since I hold both gold on the forex market and NVDA call options, whether
I should sell one to buy the other. Upon putting the ratio of NVDA price compared with
spot gold on a weekly chart I have discovered that NVDA has ran up considerably over
the past 5-6 years into an obvious all time high. This is not a surprise given NVDA's position
as a subsector leader and a frontrunner on the AI revolution. The last golden cross of the pair of
HMAs was this past March. Relative strength of the ratio is nearly 80. Importantly, the
mass index is about to trigger a reversal.
Overall, because of this analysis, I will dollar cost average out of the NVDA call options
closing them at weekly highs over the next month. With the proceeds, I will increase
my spot gold position and look into call options on one of the gold ETFs.
GLD: Hit the Brakes ✋🛑Almost there! GLD should slam on the brakes and wrap up the blue wave (i). After completion, we expect the course to dip into the blue target zone between $162.26 and $155.58 to fulfill the corrective low of the blue wave (ii). Once achieved, the GLD is good to go and should rise back North.
GLD longer term bullish C&H patternGLD (or Gold, I don't play futures) look extremely bullish with a long term cup and handle pattern that has taken over a decade to set up. Was interested in waiting further into the week but yesterday's selling and the gap down today with the buying that has come in, just tells me to go ahead and get in. So going to pick up Jan 2024 call options. If you have any concerns over the stock market, this looks like a "no-brainer" type of place to go hide out.
GLD breakout is finally happening! Check out the monthly chart on GLD! We've gone over this breakout and if finally looks like we're getting a higher high.
We have been long on GLD and physical gold for awhile now as an inflation hedge.
This will also be an active play if tensions between Russia and Ukraine continue to escalate.
Looking at our fib extensions we see $200 and $210 are well within reach. AMEX:GLD
$GLD long signal on the weekly chart With Russia creating tension in east of Europe, the safe heaven of inflation is finally moving higher with hopefully a sustainable move to the upside. My method of analysis is the VCP pattern setups for all my swings. Refer to Mark Minervini for the detaisl of the VCP setup but basically it ensures that no selling pression is near overhead of us. Weekly candles also closes between the 2 and 1.5 dev Bollinger Bands meaning that bullish trend is validated but not too extended like the last time we hit similar levels. Increases in volume is also a good sign.
My targets are 174.96/178/180.44/183
My Stop loss is at 170.54
Gold is coiled for a breakout...Next week!
Gold prices had been consolidating within a triangle and it appears just about ready to break out of the triangle. Marked out the breakout point on the chart, and on the triangle.
The Sell signal should be invalidated and next week brings a new Buy signal.
Clearly MACD is bullish and supportive of a breakout!
Good upside to 1780-1800.
Trading Edge 2020 Portfolio -Trade #2- GLD - Golden OpportunityPosition:
- Long dated call options
- Jan 15th 2021 expiry
- $137 Strike
- 0.71 Delta (ITM)
- Cost = $12.10/ contract
- Buy 1x contract
Profit Target/ Exit:
- $150 initial profit target
- Two closes below $136 is exit signal (this would be around a 50-60% stop)
Rationale:
- GLD has broken out of the descending channel (period of consolidation)
- Bullishly stacked moving averages
- GLD can also act as a potenital hedge against other market long positions (MJ for example) should we experience a market pullback in Q1
- Bullish MACD cross and moving averages cross
- Longer dated options give more flexibility in allowing the trade to develop, also gives us the ability to roll the contract to lock in profit and stay in the trade
- GLD has had quite a nice move up recently and is at the 3 ATR on the daily, so a slight easing is possible, but any ease should not take us below our stop, if this breakout has any legs
- Trading Edge
GLD easy x2Buy in: 1750 - 1900 satoshis
Stop loss: 1300 satoshis
Targets:
(1) 2100
(2) 2800
(3) 3400
(4) 5000+