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Globalmarket

Recent US Stock Market Rally Is Not Fundamental BasedThe recent stock market really is purely speculative in nature - like a massive short squeeze. The true valuation of this move is far weaker than the Sept 2018 peak. This type of rally is very similar to the DOT COM rally peak where enthusiasm drove investors to pour good money into the markets thinking "it would never end". Pay attention to how Gold, Silver, Oil and other commodities react over the next few weeks and months. My expectation is that this peak will end very violently within the next 30 to 60 days. The global central banks have already started QE processes attempting to BAIL OUT certain institutional and global players. Watch for the underlying signs that the foundation is crumbling at this point - the signs are there if you look for them.
NYSE:OOIShort
by BradMatheny
Could it happen THAT QUICK?What do you think? For any of you that follow my research, you'll understand that this chart (including the projected down arrow) would indicate a complete collapse of the Global captital markets and present a "washout" of valuations across the world. Could it happen - you bet. Will it happen - unknown at this time. My research suggests a down trend will happen in the US and global markets before the end of 2019 (as my super cycle research has predicted). My research also suggests the US stock market will be one of the safest places on the planet to invest going forward. Therefore, are you ready for a wild ride? One that may never happen again for another 75+ years? If you want to know what my thoughts are about this, then follow my research more closely and stay away from Cryptos. Put your money into Metals instead.
AMEX:VTIShort
by BradMatheny
4
Market fears September TariffNext week both the US and China will impose tariff and physiological impacts alone is keeping market grounded. The US high end consumers already tightened their spending and the impact of high end consumer spending will show in the September data exasperated by impact of tariff on middle class consumer spending. Starting September 1, U.S. tariffs on about half of $300 billion in Chinese imports will be taxed at 15%, with additional levies set to kick in on the other half on Dec. 15. Tariffs will also be raised on October 1 to 30%, from 25%, on an existing round of tariffs already in effect on $250 billion in Chinese goods.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by stockmarketupdate
BITCOIN TO 30KTechnical analysis: a symmetric triangle going to break to 20k then 13k again and then 30k . if you ask when this is gonna happend i"d tell that i dont know when exactly but its gonna happend in the next years maybe. Fundamental analysis : trade war is getting too strong as china sells the u.s bonds and also the devaluation of the yuan. china, russia, U.E is buying gold as a currency for reserve while the fed is cutting the interest rates for the first time in 11 years . Germany had slow his economic growth and is entering on a "technical recession" . China had his lowest economic growth in the last 30 years . Italia is on a recession, argentina had his worst day on history last monday 12/8 . The FMI redefine the world economic growth with a cut to 3.5% , the same level as 2009. Its your decition to be in the side of the looser or in the side of winners...
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by tomiwolf
1
Global Market in Big Danger! Unemployment at all-time low!As you can see low-unemployment is early signal markets start to reverse, especially if there are divergences present between unemployment and it's RSI value. When low unemployment starts to break up this means that the market is saturated with jobs and many flourishing businesses, there has been a phase of economic euphoria and the climate becomes highly competitive as many loans/money are/is invested. I do reckon we see the dow return to the yellow dashed line as this is a long-term carrying trend.
FRED:UNRATE
by TheTrex
5
US Equities Go Ballistic As Foreign Markets Collapse?Pay attention to the bigger picture, folks. The past suggests the future. Post 1973, the gold standard ended and a boost in equity valuations followed. After 1985, a similar boost setup after Reagan initiated a technology boom. The contractions in the market in 2000 and 2009 were related to growth constraints and excesses related to out of control lending/credit. The $25+ Trillion that was injected into the global markets after 2010 is just now starting to actually take root. Notice how price has continued to hyper inflate through each of these economic modes. post 1973 - we see an increase in the slope of the general markets. post 1985 - we see a further increase in this slope. post 2010 - we see a breakout increase in the slope that has just begun. Don't let the "doom-sayers" confuse you. The US Dollar may become the central global currency if foreign markets/currencies continue to devalue. Capital will shift away from failing markets and towards more mature markets. After the Jan 1 new year, capital is seeking investment into economies that will provide a safe and equitable return. My opinion is we have just experienced a "revaluation" of the US markets that aligns with my Fibonacci Arcs. I believe we are about to enter a phase where global markets begin a collapse phase (Asia, China, Europe, Russia) while the US, Canada and UK enter a renewed upside momentum move. Pay attention to the fringe economies that are starting to implode. Venezuela, Italy, Spain, Australia, areas of Asia and much of South America/Africa are dealing with economic and political turmoil as a result of "perceptions of inequality/lack of opportunity". This battle to attempt to restore order will create a destructive event cycle for these economies. For example, as the battle for leadership in Venezuela continues, debts payments will likely fail. This will create human and capital crisis events that will ripple across the region and cause other issues in other nations. One of these events is not too difficult to address/handle. Multiple isolated events like this can become much more difficult to handle. Should Asia/China continue to contract, resulting in slower regional GDP growth and increased debt obligations, while the EU is dealing with Brexit and other localized issues, think of how this will play out over the next 7 to 10 years for more stable/mature economies. Will the US dollar become the single greatest global currency? Will the mature economies of the world (US, Canada, UK, Japan) again regain their strengths as the global leaders they really are. Chasing these emerging markets in the hopes that these nations will generate some return may be a very risky plan for those without experience. And what about Gold and Silver? Are you aware that you have less than 90 days to plan for and prepare for a massive move in the precious metals? Oh, you asked about Bitcoin?? Yeah, wait for the bottom. Until these global market issues play out, Cryptos are speculative plays - nothing else. Pay attention to my work and my research. Visit www.ment.com or www.TheTechnicalTraders.com to learn more about what I do and how I can help you.
DJ:DJILong
by BradMatheny
7
Is the S&P500 at the end of a 100+ year CYCLE?The S&P500 market has started the end of a 100+ year 5 wave cycle, if this is correct we are now at almost the top of a 5 wave cycle which can end in the very near future. If this is true we are at the start of one of the biggest, if not the biggest market crash in the history of the S&P500. A correction of 5 wave cycle is usually 61.8% of the entire 5 waves, if this is correct we could see S&P500 prices of $1,100 levels. We are talking about $20 trillion wiped out. We could be going into a DEPRESSION!!!!
SP:SPXEducation
by TheKingOfAces
4
Custom Market Cap Index shows the US stocks will trend higherThis custom Market Cap Index is something I used to gauge market conditions and capability with regards to trends, peaks, bottoms and more. You can see that is ranges price volatility quite well and allows me to see what the market is capable of doing over the next few weeks and months. Right now, the US stock markets have quite a bit of upside price range to go. Don't be surprised if the US stock markets continue to rally over the next 3+ weeks and then stall out for the remainder of the fall season. Increased volatility may come in early November or December as my cycle indicators show volatility should increase near this time. Pay attention to my posts. You may find my work is far deeper and more advanced than simple trading triggers. I've just predicted what will happen over the next 4~5 months with a relative degree of certainty. Follow me to learn more and I'll share even more resources with you.
AMEX:VTILong
by BradMatheny
1
US Markets Find Support With Q2 EarningsUS Equities markets are finding support with relatively strong Q2 earnings. This SPY chart shows what I believe is the critical support zone. Watch for capital to migrate away from certain growth sectors and into more value/dividend sectors as capital is searching for a safe location to avoid contagion issues arising from global debt/credit concerns. Expect the US markets to stall, briefly, through August and early Sept, then begin to rocket higher into the end of 2018. Don't miss these moves. Follow me if you like my analysis.
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
1
US Custom Index shows FB & TWTR do not generate massive concernsDon't expect the US markets to react too harshly to FB and TWTR news this week. This custom US Index is showing overall trend strength and support as prices continue to accelerate upward. The earnings concerns of a few stocks may not have much of a downward effect on the markets throughout the next few weeks. These are just isolated events. As my friend used to say "it is a market of stocks, not a stock market". In other words, one or two issues may not drive prices much lower. Pay attention to the long term. The NQ will likely hover near 7400 for a while as the S&P and DOW push higher on earnings news. Foreign capital will still rush into the US after a solid 4.1% GDP number. Metals will likely base over the next few weeks. BRICs and Foreign markets are being left in the dust as the US market is on FIRE. Follow me if you like my analysis and want to stay aware of my thoughts.
DLong
by BradMatheny