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Understanding Gold Panic Selling Reactions BetterThis video is designed to help you better understand how Gold works as a hedge instrument and how to attempt to measure Panic Selling phases in Precious Metals. Metals offer an incredible opportunity when Panic Selling hits. But it can also present some very real risks because of price volatility. Panic selling in the markets is usually an event-driven sell-off in almost all markets (including metals). This type of selling is usually related to traders pulling assets (CASH) away from all market sectors because of some crisis or geopolitical event. It is a way for traders to react to the fear of the event while sometimes ignoring how metals will react to the future revaluation event. Yet, who wants to hold Gold when it may fall 8.5% to 15% throughout this panic selling process? If you learn how to spot the base/bottom efficiently (using my Excess Phase Peak patterns), you'll be able to pinpoint some incredible opportunities in metals. I hope this video helps you to understand exactly how these Panic Selling events unfold - and lear to spot/trade them more efficiently. The reality of the current market environment is that the Trump win is the event (call it a crisis or not - I don't care). This event is causing markets to revalue current asset classes (notice the strength of the US Dollar since Election Day). I believe this revaluation event is nearly over and prices will begin to adjust into what I'm calling my "Anomaly Event" - where price levels settle back into a reversion (normal) type of contraction event before moving into a late-stage Santa Rally. If I'm right, we'll see a base/bottom in metals happen after November 15-19, 2024. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
COMEX:GC1!Long
by BradMatheny
Gold & Silver Ripping Higher. Should You Be Cautious Of A CrashThis video highlights the recent rally in Gold and Silver and covers some basic information related to the risk of a US/Global market crash event. Take a minute to try to understand why Gold & Silver are rallying away from the Breakaway phase and into the Expansion phase. This is a huge opportunity for traders if they understand why Gold and Silver are rallying like they are. This is not a move of Panic and global market contagion. This move is related to metals being extremely undervalued compared to global market risk factors. Metals must appreciate in order to properly reflect the risks related to the global markets. Gold may rally well above $5500 and Silver may rally well above $65 before the end of 2026. Are you ready for that move? Pay attention & Get Some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
COMEX:SI1!Long
by BradMatheny
What Hidden Forces Are Reshaping the Soybean Market’s Future?The soybean market stands at a crossroads, where familiar patterns of supply and demand are being challenged by a web of global forces. U.S. crops, though abundant, face domestic difficulties as adverse weather threatens yield projections. South America, poised to increase production, is battling its climate concerns, leaving traders and analysts questioning what the true state of global supply will be. Despite the current pessimistic outlook, is there more to this story than meets the eye? On the demand side, the rising global appetite for vegetable oils, fueled by population growth and the biofuel industry, adds another layer of complexity. Yet, regulatory changes like the EU’s deforestation rules and China’s ongoing economic struggles continue to shape the trade landscape. How will these evolving dynamics impact global soybean trade flows, and what are the risks and opportunities hidden within? As technological advancements in biotechnology and precision agriculture push the boundaries of efficiency and productivity, the soybean market finds itself on the cusp of transformation. Investors and traders must decipher this intricate puzzle, where geopolitical shifts, weather risks, and innovation collide. Will those who grasp the nuances of these forces be the ones to seize the emerging opportunities?
CBOT:ZS1!Long
by signalmastermind
Nifty RSI Super-Heated to 83% - Crash Coming ????On the Quarterly chart - the RSI indicator on Nifty is showing a value of 83% or more indicating it's in Over Bought Zone Back in Jan 2008, the RSI went to a high of 87% and Nifty subsequently crashed -52% from the Highs. After 16 years, the RSI on Nifty is climbing up beyond the 83% mark which indicates "Danger of a Correction" according to many Expert Analysts from Media Channels, Twitter and Telegram Please forward the below analysis to All those Pessimistic Technical Super-Zeroes -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- I say - What a "Ridiculous" Comparison of 2008 vs 2024??? The entire Technology world looks toward India as a Hub of Technical Brains, but those brains are just filled with Age-old Folklores and Pessimism. Technical Analysis is NOT a Geometry class to connect 2 dots from 20-30 years ago and say we had the similar situation back then and there was a Crash and the same thing will Repeat now. The entire market Dynamics has changed a lot. 1. First of all what's an Indicator? An Indicator is nothing but a Human written Algorithm (A Script) which consumes Buyers & Sellers Activity and volume of trades historically and does some simple "math". How does this Dumb Number Crunching algorithm understand external factors? 2. What Really Caused the fall in 2008? Think again closely - The 2008 crash was a Global Catastrophe caused by the Massive Conspiracy and Bankruptcy of Lehman "Buggers" (Brothers) in US which had a world wide impact. For those Technical Pundits who believe 2008 fall was due to RSI - read the Analysis below fully In this image - there is a comparison of Nasdaq Vs Nifty 50 between 2000 to 2008 and the RSI line is that of Nasdaq (not Nifty) In 2000, the market fell so badly in US and the RSI was around 98%. But in 2008, look at the RSI - it was hovering around the Healthy 60% mark which is treated as the Golden Levels of "Fresh Entry" by most technical analysts But US & the entire world crashed in 2008 due to Lehman Brothers issue - As the subprime mortgages underlying these securities began to default at alarming rates, investor confidence plummeted leading to a loss in trust in Lehman Brothers. Unable to fully recover all of their losses, Lehman Brothers were forced to file for bankruptcy Nifty was trading at RSI 90% back then, but US was trading at 60% RSI. So the fall here is NOT because of Indian RSI - but due to a Global event. RSI is like a Speedometer - it just indicates that you are driving at 80 / 100 and in every vehicle speedometer - there will be a RED zone which indicates Dangerous driving conditions. Does not mean, the Engine will fail. It just says that driving so fast is not safe. We should learn to do a Full Analysis - not just a Half-baked one connecting some dots with something else claiming Technical superiority Nothing is going to happen to US especially NOTHING will every happen to Indian Market until Apr 2028 where Nifty will face a 34 year long Parallel Channel Resistance as indicated in the main chart Disclaimer: Stocks-n-Trends is NOT registered with SEBI. We do not provide Buy / Sell recommendations - rather we provide detailed analysis of how to review a chart, explain multi-timeframe views purely for Educational Purposes. We strongly suggest our followers to "Learn to Ride the Tide" and consult your Financial Advisors before taking any positions. If you like our detailed analysis, please do rate us with your Likes, Boost and share your comments -Team Stocks-n-Trends
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Stocks-n-Trends
Plan Your Trades - SPY Research For 6/17 & BeyondI put together this video to help traders plan and prepare for the next 30-60+ days - as we move into Q2:2024 earnings and pre-election consolidation. Every week, I spent hours going over my Custom Indexes, proprietary price modeling systems, sector analysis, and more. My goal is to help as many traders as possible prepare for the greatest opportunities of their life (the next 5 to 10+ years). I see so many traders getting trapped into following free or paid internet advice and blowing up their accounts. In my opinion, stick to the basics. Price is the ultimate indicator. Then, determine the true bias of price trend and identify strong candidates to profit within that trend. If you are a daytrader - you probably won't like my research/comments. I don't really daytrade much. I'm more of a swing trader - looking for 8% to 25% swings that take 3 to 20+ weeks to mature. Either way, this video will help you understand what to expect over the next 30-60+ days in the US/global markets. Prepare for a big move in late June or early July.
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
2
Dr Copper ~ Snapshot TA / Contraction x Expansion = InflectionIt ain't easy being DR CAPITALCOM:COPPER Peaked in March 2022, only to crash -38% & bottomed-out in July 2022. Since then it has fluctuated between Contraction (will Global Economy collapse?) versus Expansion (will Global Economy recover?), while also contending with outlook of China's Economy, yeesh lol. Copper's price action has also been compressing, as descending trend-line squeezes current Trading Range against ascending Parallel Channel. This suggests momentum will eventually need to "pop" in either direction...but it could also continue trading sideways a little longer while more data is disseminated by Market Makers to make a confident decision, TBC. Tick tock, time is running out for the Doctor.. Boost/Follow appreciated, cheers :) AMEX:COPX AMEX:CPER COMEX:HG1! COMEX:HG2!
CAPITALCOM:COPPER
by BlueHatInvestor
Global Markets Are Setting Up A MAJOR BOTTOM For 2023+US/Global markets are actively seeking a bottom at this point. We've witnessed the largest unwinding of global excesses since the DOT COM bubble and, before that, the 1929 market peak. Use this symbol to experiment with market trends/setups: (TSLA + ARKK + ARKW + ARKQ + GME ) / 5 In my opinion, the deep selling is nearly over. This chart shows the custom symbol is very close to the center level on the historical Pitchfork and very close to a 1.0 (100%) Fibonacci extension from 2016 to 2019. I suspect the unwinding of the global markets is very close to a BOTTOM right now. 2023 could be very explosive, considering the extreme downside pressure we've seen over the past 15+ months. Think about this for a few minutes... _This chart shows price is currently AT or BELOW 2016~2018 center Std Dev levels. It may move a bit lower before actually finding a bottom. _This price level represents a pre-2019 earnings/revenue expectation (ignoring the past four years of progress). _The US Fed has already disrupted inflation trends and will likely shift towards more moderate policies in H1:2023. _This was not an excess bubble as much as it was a speculative bubble during the COVID supply disruption. Now, we shift back to more normal Revenue/Growth expectations. The US/Global markets are actively seeking a bottom RIGHT NOW. The reversion/reflation trade (bullish) could be very powerful. ---- ------------------------------------------------ Precious Metals will continue to appreciate - just like what happened in 2002~2005+. We are in the early stages of a reflation cycle (post COVID speculative bubble). The bubble has burst. Prices have deflated. A reflation rally is very likely unless some global crisis event disrupts the global economy. Gold and Silver will likely rally 35% to 55% higher over the next 2+ years (possibly higher). This is just like 2002~2005 all over again. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- I believe it is time to start initiating "TOKEN" positions in deeply undervalued Technology, Energy, Consumer Staples, Healthcare, and other "relation" sectors. Follow my research.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by BradMatheny
2
This is what's breaking the markets right now...The US Current Account value is at the lowest level since 2005-06 (after Greenspan raised interest rates). This indicated we are deeply negative in regard to debt spending and the current Interest rate levels. No matter how you slice it, this deep US Current Account level indicates "something's gotta change" and the only thing that can change given the Fed's trajectory is Asset Value levels (just like the GFC). If my analysis is correct, we are probably only 60+ days from another, this time GLOBAL, financial crisis that may wipe out valuation levels to 2013~2015 levels. You have been warned. This it NOT going to be pretty. Follow my research.
ECONOMICS:USCAShort
by BradMatheny
Is your money worth reading "maybe´s"Hello Trenders, Been thinking a lot to or to not publish this signal. Many of you expect a deep on global level, therefore I here show you some mathematic forecast. This may not be the end of the world, yet it is far worse than the most downbeat forecasts. The evidence to support this outlook is in plain sight. Some sixth-grade math is a good place to begin the analysis. Make 2019 economic output 100 (the actual figure is $22 trillion; “100” is 100 percent of that number; a convenient way to measure ups and downs). Assume output drops 20 percent over the second and third quarters of 2020 (many estimates project larger drops; 20 percent is a plausible if conservative estimate). A 20 percent drop for six months equals a 10 percent drop for the full year, assuming the first and fourth quarters are flat on net. A 10 percent drop from 100 = 90 (or $2.2 trillion of lost output). Since 1948, U.S. annual real growth in GDP has never exceeded 10 percent. Since 1984, real growth has never exceeded 5 percent. The highest-growth years since the end of World War II were 8.7 percent in 1950, 8 percent in 1951, and 7.2 percent in 1984. An assumption that real growth will occur in 2021 at a 6 percent annual rate is a generous if unrealistic assumption. Such growth would qualify as a Vshaped recovery. If our new base is 90 (compared with 100 in 2019) and we increase output by 6 percent in 2021, this brings total output to 95.4. If we enter 2022 with the new base of 95.4 and increase that base by 4 percent (so, 95.4 × 1.04), we come to 99.2 in total output by the end of 2022. Here’s the problem. Using 100 as a baseline for 2019 output, and assuming 6 percent real growth in 2021 and 4 percent in 2022 (rates of growth that have not happened on an annual basis since 1984), the economy does not get back to 2019 output levels. The hard truth is that 99.2 < 100. Source : The new great depression (2021). What about if we really have a second wave harder then the first with mutatied covid? I want to add, is not my intention to spread panic or "maybe´s" but the study got my attention. Even the legends will have trouble surviving if this happen. So how can a trader survive in this case condition by trading as only source of income??? Perhaps agricultural commodities will always perform....
SP:SPXEducation
by DeFontain
1
SPX: Yes, we have opportunities around!Hello traders and investors! Let’s see how the SPX is doing today! To the untrained eye, the 1h chart seems erratic and unreadable, but if we look carefully, we’ll see that the movements were all extremely technical. First, the index dropped to fill the gap (yellow square at 4,198.77), and it found support over there. Now it did an impressive Tweezers Bottom pattern , indicating a possible bottom formation. The 21 ema is the next resistance it must defeat, and we’ll see if it’ll do it or not in the next few days. In the daily chart, we have what seems to be a top, but it is not confirmed yet. So far, all we can assume is that the index just did a pullback to the 21 ema, filled a gap in the 1h chart, and now it is just about to resume the bull trend. The scenario is complex, but I still see a few opportunities around. I already told you guys about some stocks we’ve been trading in the past few months, and I can assure you, every single one of the Brazilian stocks traded in the US that we bought recently is making a huge gain! I recommended 9 Brazilian stocks to my followers, and 5 of them are giving more than 40% returns so far, and I’ll reveal which ones: PBR, CIG, ABEV, BRFS and ITUB. The worst gave us about 13% gains. The green circles are the moment when I gave the buy recommendations. When the market looks complex and undefined, we can always find opportunities elsewhere. Now, the BR ADRS look expensive, so the search continues! Yes, we do have some incredible opportunities in the US market, but you must know where to look. Be careful, and let’s continue the search for more opportunities! Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my free analyses! Thank you very much!
SP:SPX
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
2
MSCI Country Performance in 2020Here’s a chart of how some foreign equity markets around the world have performed relative to each other throughout 2020. Its based on iShares MSCI ETF performance. This year’s correction and recovery have been unique from prior corrections in that the catalyst was a pandemic that impacted every country in the world, but at different times. Observing the chart, you can find where some countries underperform or outperform others as they go into and out of lockdowns and other measures that impacted the local markets. There was an upturn in markets around October 28 (a bottom for US markets on 10/30). Around the same time several regions went back into lock downs early, with the United States refraining from further lock downs until some states pivoted heading into late November and asked for business to shut doors. It’s clear that the countries that locked down early have markets that are accelerating as investors see those economies likely to emerge from slowdowns faster. Similarly, you can look at a comparison of currencies and see similar trends. Below is a currency comparison since the beginning of 2020. Finally, below is world currencies since October 28. It’s a curiosity, if not a pointer to what foreign countries to build some portfolio exposure. Most likely, the US market will emerge in relative strength once we clear the current pandemic wave and have a vaccine in place.
Editors' picks
AMEX:URTH
by drewby4321
16