Update to TTT’s relation to GMEShort and sweet is what we all love.
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICe, I AM A DEGEN
TTT is reclaiming base support, following my thesis, if this continues, GME will begin to absolutely ROCKETTTTTTT
My original thesis claims TTT is being utilized for GME swaps. As TTT remains parabolic (upwards), GME will continue to tank. As TTT falls through floors and tanks, GME should rocket.
Please check out my previous posts if this type of critical thinking interests you. I have been covering this topic personally since 2020.
Remember Direct Registration of your Shares, or DRS, is the best way to purchase direct stock under your legal name. Doesn’t it make sense to actually own shares you purchase? Forget the advantage of booting short sellers, it’s time to own what you purchase. Screw street name.
Much love,
~Chem <3
GME
GME: Huge Price Action Next Week? $43?Hello,
Welcome back to another TA! First and foremost, I eat crayons every day, and none of this is financial or sexual advice. That being said, the MACD, although a lagging indicator tells us a bigger picture of what is to come. First, the further the signal line is below zero, the stronger the signal once the MACD line crosses from below to above the signal line the more bullish. We're mostly going to talk about the daily timeframe but the weekly is also a telling story.
MACD
So, in the past year, starting in
March (RC buy-in) MACD was way below zero and once it crossed above the stronger uptrend we had a ~122% move up.
May MACD also way below zero and once it crossed over we saw a 77% move up
July MACD had a bullish crossover but we were already above zero so the strength of the uptrend was not as strong 27%
Aug MACD was again above zero and the move up was 33%
Sept MACD crossed over below zero but didn't move up past zero. This resulted in a mere 11% move up.
This takes us to the start of the week, Nov 14th, where we had a bullish crossover that started below zero and has crossed from below to above zero. This means our uptrend strength should be greater than expected.
RSI (Relative Strength Index)
The RSI on Nov 9th started below 50 and has since crossed 50 which indicates the stock is bullish. On the weekly, the RSI is curving up to reclaim the 50 line and once we cross over there we'll see some huge uptrend.
Fibonnaci
Fib retracements show that we'll hit $29.99 (0.618) soon. Coupled with what we know about the MACD and RSI we should see at least $32.19 and if the bull trend is strong, we should see (1.618) $43.08
TL;DRS Everything signals bullish with this stock and we should see huge price action which could potentially take us to $43.
GME 2.0????????? BGFV SQUEEZE!?!?!?!!!!www.reddit.com
In-depth analysis, can explain better than I can.^^^^^^
But essentially a similar situation to GME was.
A highly shorted stock that is debt free, making profit, and other good fundamentals.
Currently BGFV is the most shorted stock in the market.
The special interest date will be a big event.
Whether it squeezes or not, this stock is a great buy.
But volatility is increases a short is imminent and it's becoming more volatile.
Before earnings report it pumped 70%.
What do you think does this have the potential to squeeze????
Will we see $100+???????
Let me know, whatever happens it will be very interesting!!!!
GME Bullish Breakout of WedgeAfter a long few months of trading sideways, and a couple of fake outs, it looks as though GME is holding it's bullish breakout of the wedge that formed the last 3 months.
Looking for a break of the $45-50 ish highs from earlier in the year and to settle in somewhere above that heading into the end of the year / early 2023. I suspect wall street does not want a bunch of retail investors (younger folks) using their Christmas money to lock in large buys at low prices. They won't allow those people to get in at these low levels. Look for one more major drop sometime in February / March when tons of basket swaps expire and to make the Christmas money buyers see some heavy red in their accounts (and a likely large bounce back up once those people are potentially shaken out).
Just for fun, not financial advice. I'm looking to enter 12/2 through 12/30 $25-45 calls and see what happens.
$GME - Nopex Nov 22 2022Publishing this as a correction to my previous post about GME possibly running next week. I checked Friday's EOD data and things don't look terribly good.
More here as i cannot post images to explain this fully on tradingview: www.reddit.com
It makes my heart weak to tell you GME is not gonna do well this opex, but someone's gotta do it.
$GME - November 2022 run, keep it shortThe 2022 November quarterly GME run is here.
I'm looking at my indicators to see whether we're gonna have an Opex or Nopex. 2/4 of my indicators tell me that it's a coinflp between an OPEX and a Nopex. Sorry, i know this is not what you wanted to hear, but...
1) Indicator 1 - Swaps (Negative)
Swaps on GME the other peripheral stocks like AMC/BBBY/XRT are minimal as usual... This means that there's no swap based volume support for this rally and that it's possibly all moving just due to dealer hedging for 0 to 1dte options for this big Opex. TLDR: Swaps say there won't be a big move up next week.
2) Indicator 2 - XRT Put OI Drop (Positive)
According to a source who has his own indicator based on XRT's Put OI where if the OI drops on certain dates, it indicates that a run is coming soon... he says that the Put OI drop has occurred and that we're up for a run. This indicator has worked for him 2/3 times so far, so his indicator is positive for this run. We had a previous Nopex where the indicator strongly showed we're due for a run but we instead dumped.
3) Indicator 3 - Market Opex Behavior (Mixed)
There's a certain behavior the market does during Opex which strongly indicates whether it's an Opex or Nopex.
-We dump for the second and third week of the month (Sorta happened)
-Near the end of the third week (this week) there's a magic market recovery on Thursday and or Friday (Happened)
-Vix starts to drop on Friday (Happened)
This indicates extreme confidence for a run next week. It's one of my strongest indicators.
However, in the previous run for August and the one in May, what has started happening is that the entire market is that some big names in the market pump on the first couple of weeks of the month, then they dump and while they're dumping, some of the other less known memes are pumping in the second week. On the third week, GME the main memes run for 2 days indicating something will happen next week, but then as the weekend passes and Monday comes, the market dies and it dies all the way into the next month for 15-20 days.
4) Indicator - 4 MSM Behavior
Basically the current market gives me no choice but to buy a few calls for next week for GME, then i need to see if the MSM will tell us all that the world is ending on Monday with Monkeypox(Where did the marketing team on Monkeypox go btw?) or an ICBM from North Korea or something about inflation suddenly being super serious during the weekend, then it means they want everyone to sell and this we're in for a GME run and price pump. If there's no reports of world ending events, be scared and dump your calls.
5) Indicator 5 - OCC Hedging Loans
The OCC shows how much collateral is being posted for short positions. Basically if there's gonna be pump on Monday, there will also be an increase in the OCC's Hedging Balance for certain stocks. So far the data shows a small trend upwards as of a few days ago, but it is unconfirmed as it's still a really small curve. The big data comes out tomorrow because the OCC data is EOD data for today, and so we'll know then if someone's doing something next week.
6) Indicator 6 - Borrow Fee
The OCC hedging loans & the borrow fee go together. If one increases, the other will increase along with it and this indicates that we'll have a massive pump next week. The borrow fee has increased a little bit but not enough to indicate a run. Also the OCC hedging balance has not increased yet to indicate a run. Again, must wait to see how today develops. The prudent action here is to get calls first, ask later (Chukumba)
Lastly
Keep in mind that if we do run up and not down next Tuesday, the initial spike is usually the biggest e.g it's all downhill after that. If the spike isn't big enough for the day, it means that the run isn't on next weeks' Tuesday, but the week after. You have to adjust your strat accordingly. These cyclical runs behave in a certain way that i've been watching for the past 2 years now. TLDR, i'll update this post with new comments of what's up over the weekend and on Monday to tell you if we're running or not.
Conclusion
I think the market's gonna dump and that we're seeing some pumping today is because of heding requirements for 0 day to expiry options. There will obviously be the usual price pump on SPY and many stocks 15 minutes before close as brokers pre-emptively close people's expiring options which will cause a tiny pump, but i think that's all she sang.
I need to see today's EOD OCC data to be able to say that we'll have an SLD Opex next week and not a Nopex. So far i'm negative for a successful opex, but i have to grab a few calls to be in just in case. Also keep in mind FTX just fell and if it was reaaally being used for locates, then this opex could be insanely good unless they have a temporary stopgap for now.
The reason why i didn't want to mention when the cycle may occur in my last post is because people buying calls on the day of the pump MAY (unconfirmed) cause price suppression due to hedging requirements and may be why our SLD/Opex runs are so weak or inexistent. Alternatively the reason i believe more likely to be the reason for diminished Opex/SLD runs is because of the successful campaing on Reddit to make people not buy options over time. No option buying, no dealer movements, no price movement. Again, equally, it could all be because everyone DOES buy calls & hedging those on the dealer side is what screws us.
Regardless, this last of part in my conclusions is more close to theories and tinfoil than something you should listen to i think (Up to you really). I wish you luck on whatever you decide to do. I'm keeping my long puts on most of the market and some straddles i have on other names like BRK.B & RBLX. For GME i already bought a few calls a few days ago on low IV and i'm hesitant to get more at this point with this IV jackup, but i might grab a couple more... i dunno. You can bet ya that CC sellers will take advantage of this IV and will sell CC's into it... so be careful, don't go nuts on this cycle.
Until next time regards.
Upstart Holdings - Reddit Is Not Your FriendI came across this stock because of a Wall Street Journal article focused around some meme traders who were holding bags and bullish despite being on the cusp of a recession and a colossal market crash. So I started to take a look at it.
Fundamentally, UPST is down a lot, like all the other r/WallStreetBets and Reddit cesspool pump and dumps. From the description, this stock sounds like one of the many crypto ponzis, except it trades on the NYSE instead of FTX.
This chart is complete only with monthly bars and a small note for a reason. Look at the monthly bars. It's already at an all time low. You really need to zoom out and understand the macro situation when you trade. Otherwise you're just gambling. Just trying to get rich quick.
Trading is self cultivation and you need to take it a lot more seriously, or you'll destroy yourself.
UPST isn't going to bounce. It's going to $0.
Reddit is something you should stay away from. There is a heavy Marxist-Leninist faction there. Additionally, it is not a social media site. It is a social marketing and social influencing site. You think you are looking at other users organically talking to you, but you're really looking at a botnet and a public relations firm who are bringing in dead money to buy whatever bags the advertisers are paying them for.
Anyways, some scary signs on this stock are:
Earnings are August 8
Dip to buy was granted on July 7
Reddit posts like dude with 79,000 shares and a "2.27M bet" on UPST appear
A number of other chatter appear on Reddit around the same time using reverse psychology encouraging bagholders to HODL
Chatter about shortsqueezes
Company had a good earnings in May and fell 35% because it "slashed its outlook."
Q2 earnings were pre-released also around July 7. They're not good, which generated the dip.
Week before earnings it starts to pump, which takes out short sellers
Maybe you think that it will rocketship up because it's down so much
Anyways. You should know that nobody on Reddit wants you to be financially secure, wealthy, happy, and rich.
Instead, they seek to bankrupt you, corrupt you, and have you destroy your life while you hold their bags.
For example, a few months ago, the London School of Business analyzed options trading data using OPRA codes that allowed them to pinpoint retail activity. They found retail lost $5 billion trading options during the biggest bull run in stock market history.
Much of the losses were correlated with times that memestocks were being promoted on r/WallStreetBets. The promotions started when things were already up, so you'd go buy calls on HOOD, it would dump, you'd lose all your money, they'd laugh at you and then go to the strippers.
Google "WallStreetBets and Gamestop Crowd Lost $5.27 Billion" and read the study yourself if you don't believe it.
Be careful.
$GME rare opportunity 👁🗨
*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management*
Here @SimplyShowMeTheMoney we strive to educate our traders on the importance of being able to recognize rare occurrences in the market structure on a chart. Today GameStop $GME presented us with a rare opportunity in its structure that my team simply could not ignore. We watched $GME open at 12% and shoot up to around 20% before retracing all gains back down to the negative 1 hour before the final bell. This comes as we enter a busy earnings week with a 2-day fed meeting that begins tomorrow and numerous data reports that could ultimately dictate the direction of the feds and the market.
$GME is no stranger to making headlines. With midterm elections right around the corner we wouldn't be surprised if $GME made a ridiculous move in either direction.
My team was able to secure shares of $GME at $28 while it was red this afternoon. We have an automatic stop loss set at $27 due to the obvious risk factors associated with $GME.
Entry: $28
Stop loss: $27
If you want to see more, please like and follow us @SimplyShowMeTheMoney
WATCH GME AND THE MEME STOCKSHere's my GME chart. Election week has potential to explode.
If you can, a nice buy zone is forming right under $26. I'd say the max upside is $64, but momentum could carry it higher. I'd still recommending exiting at $64 if it were to get that high (unlikely scenario)
Realistically, $25 to $31 seems to be a nice trade window, with the potential to trade the extra upside if it were to keep going.
stop is around $21
I feel this movement will be quick when it happens.
$GME - Nov 1 Single Day RunThe first Tuesday after monthly options expire there will be some price movement for the entire market due to option T+1 and Share T+2 settlement from Friday's monthly expiries. As always, this will probably be a single day event.
There's a possible downside of $19-21 before anything, or this may be the bottom, up to you to decide. I only know that there will be movement on Nov 1, no idea what happens before or after that. I don't know if this is the correct buy in area, i only know the price goes up on Nov 1. If i knew what happens beforehand i'd be rich.
I'm more confident in the 1'st of Nov than i am for Nov 22.
Towel stock will have a glorious bounce. Good entry area now.OBV hasn’t even came close to falling back to its previous lows before BBBY’s run up in July/August.
In fact.. OBV hasn’t even broken down resistance.. it’s still holding a pretty strong bullish signal and share price is below previous lows in July..
Certainly share price is undervalued on the technical side.
Check out my ideas on GME because these stocks tie together in my personal opinion.
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE