GME
meme stocks showing pairity (HOOD, GME, AMC)the grouping of retail longs and its mothership, Robinhood are showing bullish divergence from oscillators and oversold conditions in rsi. the relative strenght based qqe signals strategy has put in nothing but shorts and faile long entries. the chances of the strategy continuing to make money short is low.
elliott wave sage of youtube has released a video detailing why this wave 5 leg down could lead to reversal. a cross above the VWMA 12, close, 9 in HOOD would be bullish for this group. if we fail the 1.618 and hold or fakeout bear the 0, or continue above 13.89 immediately, not breaking 12.39, a trip over 16 could be in the cards.
this stock is a great buy under $10, and shows there is attractive value around these internal and fundamental levels to do with proportions of debt to earnings with the credit they have and p/e compared to cash on hand.
ask yourself would robinhood buy itself at these prices. if the answer is yes then its a good time to invest. they are a brokerage like any other. they make money when people change their outlook. prices can go up or down, but they profit from volatility and uncertainty.
Bullish case for BTC. Finally Sign of HornsVideo goes over it pretty quick. We start candles above support very nicely. Almost too perfect.
Take care, stay safe and good luck on your trades yall. I am feeling a bit better then I have been recently.
Here are streams if anyone is interested.
www.tradingview.com
www.tradingview.com
GME - OH YEAH I LIKE HOW THAT LOOKS !!!Ik i have been posting a lot of bottoms lately and its bec there have been a lot! GME has had this weird daily price action where it closes red on the day with a green daily candle but does not really make any new lows. Breaking above this gets my nips ready for another rocket ship moon landing. I got NO2 and turbos in my rocket ship. My rocket ship goes fast!!! My moon tickets were bought, did you forget to buy yours anon?
$GME - February Runup Update #2 & Possibility of an extra earlyHere's some non standard TA otherwise known as: "This isn't TA, your resistance/supports are wrong m8"
The stock is going to start running around the 17'th - 23'rd of Feb. The run may last only until the 23'rd or may continue until the 02'nd of March where the OPEX/Option Clearing cycle ends.
I've found indications of the possibility of an early run just like in November on Nov 3. The indications are based on GME swaps expiring 9 of Feb which also coincide with Ryan Cohen's standstill agreement ending.
Looking in the past, there were similar swaps expiring for Nov 12 ish. No swaps were found for the previous runs of Feb 2021, May 2021 and August 2021. This leads me to believe there's a possibility we might run around the 2'nd or 3'rd of February 2022 with a duration until the 9'th of Feb Max. After this we'll experience the regular quarterly opex run down from 14-17 of Feb and then a run up on Feb 17-23 maybe up to 04 March.
The chart i've posted here describes all scenarios i've mentioned above.
TLDR: Basically this is the bottom, so get March 04 near the money calls at around +5-15% from the current underlying spot price, or if you're a bit smooth, basically if the price of GME is anywhere between $95-$100, then get $110-$120 strike calls expiring March 04 as these are the optimal to let you reap the max benefit whether the price runs early or later around Feb 22. I don't like those Feb 25's because the theta on those is too steep. Additionally the March 04's near the money as i've mentioned are almost always slightly mis-priced / on sale by around 15-23% off their theoretical correct price as long as volatility isn't going nuts when you buy them during the day.
The trade:
If you're a regular trader, basically buy GME at the current price & set a PT of $175-$185 as a safety place. Anything more is a bonus.
If you're an ape, just buy shares, hodl, drs or whatever.
If you're a degenerate who loves options, $110-$120 March 04 calls are great.
If you're a proper degenerate who wants max profit & risk, then consider $175 Feb 04 or Feb 11 expiries for the possible initial run and or & $175 strikes expiring Feb 25.
I don't post on Reddit anymore because people there are crazy. There is money to be made in GME regardless of what longs and shorts want and they are in the form of the OPEX ineficiencies mentioned above & previously in my reddit posts.
GME: THE PRICE IS WRONG / CYCLE THEORY, WHY WE WILL MAKE A RUN First and foremost, credit to u/PWNWTFBBQ
Not financial or sexual advice.
GameStop runs on 90-day cycles, 17 day run-up, and is followed by a big red candle. If this cycle theory proves itself correct, the following dates we should expect a run-up would be:
Jan 26 - Feb 22
April 25 - May 16
July 22 - Aug 10
Oct 20 - Nov 10
Bullish Gartley With Bullish Divergence on $AMCAfter a Huge Bearish 5-0 Decline, AMC is looking like it's ready to attempt a recovery of some of the losses as we have large amounts of 4hour Bullish Divergence on both the MACD and RSI. We are at a Weekly Support/Resistance level and we are at the PCZ of a Bullish Gartley visible on all Timeframes; Assuming we can get a couple more Bullish Days from here we will see an eventual Bullish Crossing of the Daily MACD which could lead to a decent rally.
Some Loopring Hopium: $11-$15 peak of this cycleIn the past year, LRC has gone through 2 peaks and dips.
- Fib retracement puts top between 1.6 and 2 on the next peak
- Each dip crashes pretty extensively
- If pattern continues, next peak could be between $11 and $15 then crashing hard.
Caveats
- Different market conditions (very volatile, crypto is suffering a major correction)
- Price is hard to push up in higher Market caps (could only top at around $10).
- No GME, doubtful it has any momentum to reach there
Storm Over?I updated the GEX indicator this morning to include puts & calls so you can visualize the changes in gamma exposure.
If you want to see other tickers, head on over to www.spyvsgme.com .
Once I’m happy with the indicator I will publish the source code.
What I keep seeing is the puts building up lower (80 strike) bringing down the gamma zero strike which is now dropped to 100.
With prices creeping up back over 100 yesterday, it could mean less volatile price movement as positive gamma exposure is typically less volatile.
Keep in mind, the overall SPX & NDX are still in very negative gamma so it's likely there will be more choppy waters ahead.
This leads to great opportunities for traders with their head & shoulders upside down.
Yesterday the intraday on SPY presented an inverse head and shoulders that paid out exactly to the 161.8% fib extension.
Futures are all over the place this morning.
GME seems to be weathering the storm.
It's kind of poetic, that nearly 1yr ago, I was mocked for telling everyone on WSB that I thought the fair value for GME was $100 given everything that happened.
One interesting development I noticed yesterday was CHWY was positive and ran 13.7%.
Curious what the sentiment shift is in relation to GME anniversary. Is it possible shorts were covering to balance losses in other tech like NFLX and AMZN?
It is an interesting correlation to say the least.
Not financial Advice.
$AMC CEO Adam Aron selling while APES and WSB HODLSince November, AMC CEO Adam Aron has sold more than $40M worth of stock and looking at the technicals it's no wonder - chart is riding the downward parallel channel and appears to be heading down to pre breakout levels $15 then $12.
Expect a few pops along the way, but with institutions and the executives dumping on retail, not much bullish MOMO in this stock... for now
Amazon, the danger is comingAmazon, the danger is coming, Before you short this action you need to make sure that the market crosses the blue line because the sharks want to shake you off, here is what to do IF the market breaks the blue line short this action IF it didn't you will have to wait because it may go up again. I want you to remember this advice or learn it by heart, professional TRADER telling you.
Gamestop - MOASSIdea for GME:
- The MOASS is here.
- There is a global shortage of both US dollars and high quality collateral for debt (10-year US Treasury bonds). Why would the dollar be rising despite the high CPI prints? It's simple. To borrow, one must have collateral.
- CS's Zoltan Pozsar explained in Nov. 19th Global Money Dispatch that currently, this demand is caused by Europe. "the ECB bough too much , reducing net supply via QE, and it topped it up with TLTROs... This week, the collateral shortage in Europe spilled over into the FX swap market: on Tuesday it became cheaper for a euro deposit holder to pay a premium and swap euros for dollars and buy Treasury bills with those dollars than to buy German bills."
- While I won't go into it, it is speculated that Citadel has a great short exposure to 10-year US Treasury bonds, through their repo market arm, Palafox. May or may not be true, but it is evident that someone (probably every hedge fund) is short USTs and they are also short GME. GME by extension is a bond market volatility proxy. As long as the correlations hold, it can be traded.
- What is also true is that Large and Small speculators are record short 10 Year T Note futures, while commercials are record long. Bond market volatility is reached a level where VIX was trading at 50+ previously and is higher now than what it spiked to during GME's first squeeze to 500. Somebody is about to get to get blown up.
Bond Market Options Volatility (MOVE) leads GME by 15 days. Timing of MOASS, Dec.3:
GME losing correlation with IWM and gaining correlation with VIX and USTs (new regime):
You might get one more smash down (I expect a smash in bonds in a risk parity event before a squeeze), but I am confident this is about to happen. I'm not even going to give a price target, but it's over 4 digits for certain.
When I did analysis for my AMC trade, I correctly read the psychology of the large market participants, after reading into it more and connecting the dots, turns out they were BlackRock and Citadel:
If you are short GME, do you even know who is on the other side of your trade? Retail "apes"? No no no!
BlackRock, who manages the US assets of foreign sovereigns, and ICBC China, with a 100% correlation to GME. China is about to enter an easing phase:
GLHF
- DPT
Causation always produces a correlation. Liquidity takes time to flow through the economic machine.
GAMMA GAMMA GAMMA GAMMELEONBoy George this week has been nuts.
I haven't had as much time to work on the GEX tool as I had hoped but I did get some work done on testing it.
Check it out at www.spyvsgme.com
A lot of gamma exposure rolled off this week and brought the gamma zero strike from 140 down to 125 and a 2.3M GEX.
Price target of 125 this week seems reasonable as total GEX has rolled positive.
Could see some relief rallies next week in the indexes as a metric ton of negative gamma exposure rolled off indexes and big names like Tesla.
Gamma Zero targets for next week look this
GME 104 -> 125
TSLA 936 -> 1045
AAPL 161 -> 165
SPY 437 -> 465
FOMC next week, if JPow remains hawkish we could see even deeper sell offs on indexes.
In that case I would be looking for lower targets. SPX still has nearly -1B GEX
GME 104 -> 100
TSLA 936 -> 900
AAPL 161 -> 160
SPY 437 -> 425
Not financial Advice. Just GEX
$DATS Watch above $4 can really printDATS already up bigly today. I think if it can break the volume shelf and enter the void it will continue to run.
Technically I also like the CMF bullish divergence
Trade Idea would be shares on this one with trailing stops it can dump just as fast as it can pump.
I am in a starter position and will add if it breaks the VP resistance and enters the void
GL
Let's play the GaME!GameStop broke this triangle 📐 up, and I think there is chance for run to 605 USD and even higher. Just bought the pullback to the BUY level, which is previous local high now acting as support. Let the game begin! 🎮
ENTRY : previous local high @ 189.33
SL : local low @ 136.5
TARGET : height of the triangle projected from midpoint of the local range (BUY - SL) @ 605
RRR : 8
INVALIDATION : when SL level hit
Like👍 & Enjoy🍿!
#GAMESTOP #GME #STOCKS #WALLSTREETBETS #WSB #SHORTSQUEEZE