AMC Chart Update - One for the Apes. Pt2!!!NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!!! The Pattern has played out perfectly to the dot. Reversal wedge retested and bounced off nearly right within my 2 week timeframe. We should be seeing $60 in the coming weeks and a break out from there to the upside. Price Target for first consolidation after breakout for me is between the $150 - $200 mark. Hold strong and Hold Long. Projected Time Frame to take profits should be Q4 (Which is where I believe the final short squeeze to happen), that's also when the execs can take profit from their shares and falls in line with the last all around the board push(Metals, Tech stocks, Crypto, Ape Stocks).
GME
A Non-Random Pattern..!Jim Simons: we should try to trade patterns that happen on a non-random basis..!
Now with higher confidence, we can say Wall Street bets are predictable..!
NYSE:AMC with a 22 billion market cap gained more than 20% in a single day!
Today's price*volume: 9.9billion second to BABA and 10% above Tesla..!
Why this is important? because the last time this phenomenon happened it was the start of a Gamma squeeze..!
I will not surprise to see it ranked first tomorrow!
To learn more about it please read my previous post:
August 23-24, 2021:
Max Pain or Short squeeze?
Is there hidden rationality beyond irrationality?
Short Squeeze or Gamma Squeeze that is the question?
August 20, 2021:
This is called WSB effect..!
In the past few days, I published posts about Wall Street Bets and how they conquered the market!
They are not just a group of "Apes" unlike what many think, there is a master puppeteer and a core behind this phenomenon who know market mechanics top to down, the power of social media, data analysis.
The master puppeteer has learned to survive in life and career with a false identity many years ago from his grandmaster..!
To wrap it up, do not take an opposite position this could last for a while..! Today was the largest gain and trading volume since last "Quadruple Witching" June 18, 2021..!
A new way to look at $GME (Gainzstonk)This may be a stretch but in theory it could work. What if we're still on the 2nd wave of this macro 5th wave cycle? What if the moves from 140-340 were just a complex elliot wave pattern inside of the true big boy one? Just a thot. If this ends up being true we could see a move past the ATH of 483 and then one more corrective wave before the big daddy 5th wave to end it all. Worth considering. GME to the moon baby!!!
[GME] GameStop - Pump Fake or Beginning of another Pump?GameStop saw a $60 jump today in price. However, it is still below the 200 Day MMA, so I am not sold that it is the beginning of another pump yet. It could have been just a pump fake to shake out the retail traders. If so, we will likely see a Bull Trap tomorrow and then a dump. But if it is the beginning of another pump run, then tomorrow it will continue pumping. Will be watching and update as things unravel...
Short Squeeze or Gamma Squeeze that is the question?Money Injection Pattern:
market Cap:14.6 B
Shares Outstanding:76.8M
Shares Short: 7.66M
Short Interest(%): 10%
Avg. Volume (10 days): 1.27 M
Days to cover: 7.5
Ownership Breakdown:
Institutions: 32.7%
General Public: 48.7%
Hedge Funds:
Individual insiders: 18.5%
Option profile: for next Quadruple witching
Total OI:41,915
Put Call Ratio:2.71
Put OI:13,926
Call OI:27,989
Highest Put:$150.00
Highest Call:$170.00
Max Pain: $162.50
Open Int (30-Day):671,920
Is there hidden rationality beyond irrationality?Gama Squeeze Happens between Quadruple Witching Dates
When stock prices experience rapid shifts, the conditions may be ripe for a squeeze. In this scenario, investors may find themselves buying or selling shares of stock outside their normal trading pattern in order to minimize losses. A gamma squeeze is an extreme example of this, in which investor buying activity forces a stock’s price up. Gamma squeezes are often associated with options trading and they can be problematic for investors who don’t fully understand how they work.
A short squeeze is a specific type of stock squeeze. With a short squeeze, an increase in stock prices can force people who shorted the stock to buy back their shares.
How a Gamma Squeeze Works
Certain conditions have to be met for a gamma squeeze to manifest in the market. It starts with investors making assumptions about a particular stock’s price. Specifically, they assume that the stock will rise in price.
This leads to buying short-dated call options in the stock on a large scale. A call option’s value increases when the underlying stock it’s associated with increases in value. Meanwhile, this puts the institutional investors selling the options in a short position.
If this pattern continues with investors sinking more money into call potions, that can force institutional investors to buy more shares of the stock. This is a necessary step for hedging against the short position they now find themselves in.
The gamma squeeze happens when the underlying stock’s price begins to go up very quickly within a short period of time. As more money flows into call options from investors, that forces more buying activity which can lead to higher stock prices. Investors who purchased call options and sell when stock prices are high can reap sizable profits but the institutional investors who had to cover their short positions might see significant losses. (1)
Now lets review 10 famous example in 2021:
1- NYSE:GME
2- NYSE:AMC
3- NYSE:BB
4- NASDAQ:BBBY
5- NYSE:NOK
6- NASDAQ:CLOV
7- NASDAQ:SOFI
8- NASDAQ:WKHS
9- NYSE:FSLY
10- NASDAQ:NAKD
As you see all these spike patterns happened between Quadruple Witching Dates!
What Is Quadruple Witching?
Quadruple witching refers to a date on which stock index futures, stock index options, stock options, and single stock futures expire simultaneously. While stock options contracts and index options expire on the third Friday of every month, all four asset classes expire simultaneously on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December.
Quadruple Witching Dates 2021
March 19, 2021
June 18, 2021
September 17, 2021
December 17, 2021
I believe a new round of Squeezing has just started and VLDR and GOEV, two of the most shorted stocks are just the tip of the iceberg.
GOEV: Short Percent of Float 32.48 %, 32.3M, 10 days to cover..!
VLDR: Short Percent of Float 16.06 %', days to cover 4.5
Do you know Which stocks have the potential to be the next Short or Gamma squeeze???
Reference Article:
www.yahoo.com
www.investopedia.com
GME Bollinger Squeeze Imminent GME is consolidating along this $150 level, and I'm expecting to see it make an upside move as it approaches q3 earnings.
Earnings, or their anticipation, have proven to be a strong catalyst for GME before.
Price action has just moved off of a strong zone of support (pink solid line), which led to a 152% rally after it's retest in May.
A measured Fib Time Zone from each squeeze (excluding initial rally) call for a day of significant price action on the 7th of September, coincidentally being *the day prior* to it's next earnings call.
Bollinger bands are tighter than we've seen for GME in over a year, which is typically understood to precede a large upside move.
From Investopedia, "When Bollinger Bands are far apart, volatility is high. When they are close together, it is low. A Squeeze is triggered when volatility reaches a six-month low and is identified when Bollinger Bands reach a six-month minimum distance apart".
Currently GME is meeting all the criteria required for a BB squeeze as it's price action volatility reaches a 12 *and* 6-month low.
Investopedia elaborates, "The next step—deciding which way stocks will go once they break out—is somewhat more challenging. To determine breakout direction, Bollinger suggests that it is necessary to look to other indicators. He suggests using the relative strength index (RSI) along with one or two volume-based indicators such as the intraday intensity index (developed by David Bostian) or the accumulation/distribution index (developed by Larry William)".
Lovely information! To determine breakout direction by the book I added RSI and accumulation/distribution indexes to the chart.
Between the 15th of July and the 4th of August, GME price action made two notable lower lows, the second of which tested the aforementioned 150 solid pink support level.
However between these same two points, RSI made notably higher highs, representing positive divergence, and has continued to climb since.
Investopedia continues, "If there is a positive divergence—that is, if indicators are heading upward while price is heading down or neutral—it is a bullish sign".
Noted! Taking a look at Accumulation/Distribution, we can also see that GME has been distributed down to -11m, a level it hasn't touched since March 5th.
After it reached this level in March, a short re-accumulation of just 0.5m led to a price action rally of 154%.
MacD, not pictured, is tangling along the 0.0 level as it tends to do before significant moves.
Overall the structure of GME has formed a narrowing wedge. Any violation of this wedge to the downside should warrant an IMMEDIATE stop loss on all positions.
Otherwise a fair bullish target pre-earnings could be anywhere between $191 and $343 Fib levels.
AMC - 32.83 Level Trades - :)Apes, after loading the Proverbial "Woodshed" with 37 Calls...
and there were a Mountain of them...
Were crushed to Target of 32.83.
We closes 7.5K at this level an look forward to a retracement
to re-enter this trade.
AMC has proved extreme in its ability to fail on Gamma into OPEX.
These events have occurred with a higher than usual Probability.
$17 remains the lower Boundary - patiently on further Fills as the
Apes were cleared of Gains.
Win some, Lose some Monkeys.
xoxo - Hunter Killer
$GME - Next GME Bull Cycle is hereThe next GME bull cycle is here.
Aug 24 - Sept 02 bull run, to unknown price range.
Possible continuation until the 8'th of Sept.
9'th of September futures rollover we will either MOASS or drop down significantly as we did in March and June and wait until the next cycle and repeat.
All in all, the general floor is increasing by $10-20 every cycle so if you held for a few years at a good price (let's say $150, you'd be golden). The ceiling for the other side of the trade is decreasing which is why i have doubts we'll touch $300's again. If we go beyond $260 in my opinion, that's margin call territory. On September 1, their margin requirements for SWAPS/Futures increase x 25 due to Phase 5 of UMR. That will put significant strain on "them" and perhaps deny them the ability to rollover the GME Swap Future position into the next quarter. Regardless they will take a loss on it and we will runup to 'some' price in the next 2-3 weeks.
If the margin requirements are too hard on them which they should unless they are exempt, this should/could be marge calling, but regardlesst of that, there WILL be a runup, it's just a question of whether this is the one or not. If its not this one, it could be the next one.
Buy & Hold
www.reddit.com
AMC - a $1 Equity - Tick Tock, actually Pink Sheets 24mosWell it's time once again to review the Great APE escape.
On any level, AMC is a Degenerate Gamblers paradise for Wall Street.
A simple review of Reddit Former Bag Holders clearly voices that the
vast majority chasing this FUD was beaten with the UGLY STICK while
chasing highs.
Fundamentally AMC is I N S O L V E N T. Broke, Bankrupt, Debt Laden
and Ticketless SCAM.
Whoever buys this as a HODL.er - well you dear "Speculator" - 110%
deserve to lose it all, UNLESS of course, you exit in profit.
The rest will be History.
WHY?
Simple:
$5.4 billion in debt , have a look at the repayment schedule and please explain
how on earth or the moon for that matter, AMC will ever repay their Debt.
Ticket Sales are non-existent, a mere 2% of what they were pre-Pandemic.
Over-priced Movie Food has declined by over 57% in less than 18 months.
So clearly, Revenues are not going to asssit.
$2.02 billion in cash, a Hoard made from Swapping shares with Apes.
Genius on their part, they won, Apes lost on balance to the tune of 90%+.
Wall Street and Insiders cleaned your accounts.
Solid as it ever was. They take your money and you pretend they did not.
Again, see Reddit, 20X losers to winners.
So, how bad is it at AMC?
AMC revenues fell 88% to $162.5 million, down from $1.4 billion YOY.
AMC losses for the three-month period ending in December topped out
@ $946.1 million, down from a loss of $13.5 million YOY.
Last Q - this speculative HODL managed to lose $567 Million.
This Q, they will lose even more.
Operating performance of a company determines when and IF a Company
goes tits up or survives.... NOT SHORT INTEREST.
Shorts do not ever have to cover, the much anticipated Short Squeeze to
Bankrupt Hedge Funds is A S Y M T O T I C. The probability is near ZERO.
Apes like those odds... so be it.
BTW - how long has the MOASS been touted by Social Media Deviants
been promoting this inevitable event? Might they profit from doing so
and what are the odds they well may be in it on it?
100%
Fundamentals always matter bro, it's us Apes kicking ass and negating
those funnymentals. Telling ya Bruh, they don't matter, we do.
No, it is not. That is delusional.
You are Short, you are the enemy.
No, we are your enema, the level of rationale ass kicking
which is deserved.
Blackrock is a "Large Hodler" !!!
No, and neither is Vanguard, utter BS. Review their holdings
and get back to me. Then realize Dark Pools love, love, love
AMC Derivatives.... LOVE THEM. It's free money for them.
They can spook the market at a moments notice.
AMC is plaything for BR & VG.
Apes can't fathom they have harmed a Company they claimed to save...
They saved AMC... bro.
Actually, it is exactly the opposite. BY creating a speculative environment
with immense Volatility - No Partner will ever step in to provide much needed
Capital to AMC.
NOT EVER.
You all keep shooting yourselves in the D_ck.
We'll take the SELL ANY DAY.
AMC - Banana Daiquiris for SELLERsOnce again, AMC begins the all important test of Support.
It will fail.
This Bankrupt J U N K has little support immediately below.
The Apes will begin to panic this week, creating a Vortex of
Selling pressure unimaginable to most.
Diamond Hands turn to dust, paper HODLers will jump ship
and that will send Price well below the most recent lows.
Chopping along at lows, ready for the break.
31.88 lets go and let the games begin!
BTC Teethers to the real market....is there a correlation? In this first of many videos I have gone through a list of 100+ stocks and marked the placement of the teethers and the actual price point at the time I marked them. I will filter down this list to any stock I see a underlying correlation to the price action of the stock. I have used this technique to predict the bottom of bitcoin when it hit $30k and bounced. So basically finding the bottom twice with extreme accuracy. I actually believe I have some Ideas posted showing this bounce. and also some ideas showing where it would go afterwards. Being that bitcoin is above $42k I believe my 6 predictions leading up to it plus the two bounces at the bottom were all correct.
So I had a wild Idea....what if there is some correlation to the real market. A lot of companies are invested in bitcoin these days and a lot of institutional buying is also invested in bitcoin. If algos are trading bitcoin then it would be my belief that there is a correlation to the market and crypto through the algos that are being used. If a major institution is trading btc using its algo, and it is also trading the regular market, it would probably show in the price action in the same way. In just this first video, I think I prove that.
You are welcome to try and recreate what I have done here but I have acquired savant syndrome, I doubt you will see it the same way I do. There really is nothing to what I am doing that is special. I am just analyzing what I see, comparing that to the curve, wyckoff methodology, Candle stick technical analysis, Node analysis, and pattern recognition.
It takes me about 30 mins just to upload a video to Tradingview. So this will be 1 of probably 15 videos over a months time most likely an on going thing after the initial set that covers the first look. I will have to continuously adjust the list of the stocks that are showing some type of correlation to the BTC Teethers. Then Come up with an Ideology of how to interpret which lines are interacting with Price Action on each stock. If there is a Strong Correlation or a slight. Then come up with a test to really see if this stands up as a solid indicator. If anyone would like to help fund this, it would be much appreciated as it would take up 8-12 hours a day for months if not years. Finding early results would be easy but really finding out how this plays our will take months, each stock. Contact me here if you are interested in helping and I will post you in the credits plus give you first hand review of all the findings as I go through them. Thanks for watching.
by iCantw84it
08.17.2021
Head and shoulders reversal pattern completes by next weekIt's been said that copper XCUUSD has a PhD in economics because of its predictive price action. In other words, what happens to copper tends to happen to the markets at large. That's why I always keep it on my radar. If this reversal signal completes there are plenty of structural fundamental reasons why we might see a rather devastating downward movement. I should add that this signal should complete in lockstep with the time frame that reputable analysts and bankers have predicted will bring a very nasty downturn.
Our markets have been propped up for quite some time. In the shadows of the bullish sentiment that the market's given us in this Fed-fueled run-up, there are now voices echoing caution about the big banks being over-leveraged on certain famously over-leveraged short positions that are getting louder and louder every day.
Some of these more precarious over-leveraged positions have been accomplished through share lending/borrowing/rehypothecation. That is the artificial dilution of a company's stock, supposedly performed as a service, by bad actors like Citadel. That practice has long been suspected to have been done to keep share prices of certain securities artificially low. These are securities were assumed to be dead in the water because of COVID, barely living carcasses being picked apart by scavengers. It's rumored that Citadel et al, expecting shareholders to be easily scared off by their vulnerable business models, had taken naked short positions in these securities. What with their artificially diluting them and somewhat sentient shareholders able to see the writing on the wall, these bad actors thought they'd be able to run the companies into the ground and they'd feast on what was left.
For example, there is a statistical probability that there are shares in excess of all the shares ever issued by AMC in shareholder accounts right this moment. You can't get there without the creation of synthetic shares, of course, and there are only a few way synthetic shares get created. It certainly isn't because of little Joey Rosenblatt playing with his Bar Mitvah money on Robinhood, is it?
The really bad news for those who've engaged in creating synthetic dilution is that there's been a grass-roots share count. It's been verified by a software called Plaid threads with brokerage APIs to show how many shares there are in participating shareholder accounts. The count finished this past Sunday and at the minimum there are 3X the issued shares out there. This can only be accomplished through methods available exclusively to big players like CItadel. It's due to share lending, rehypothecation, and ETF arbitrage. That's a big, big mothereffin problem. They're going to eventually have to buy those back to close those positions. And that's just AMC.
Let's turn to another similarly f'd up naked short position...
Janet Yellen, in her side-job working as Secretary of the Treasury, has been quietly fighting crypto provisions in the new infrastructure bill to protect her true masters at Citadel. If you didn't know, she's doubled her net worth in the past couple of years by capitalizing on her ability to influence what happens with regard to monetary policy. One thing we know for sure is that no one talking at their computer has ever made that much money doing it for so little time. At least, not with their clothes on. Certainly no one with that much to offer in terms of information and/or influence big banks would want with regard to the US government.
Why does the crypto provision draw so much of our attention? Because the US government wants to try to centralize crypto. One reason why that's significant right now is that a similarly over-leveraged security, GameStop GME, is believed to have at least as many synthetic shares in shareholder accounts as AMC. The percentage of synthetic shares may dwarf those of AMC, and the new head honcho seems to be preparing to bring the company into the blockchain space. The major concern that anyone over-leveraged in their short position would have with this is that it's up to those with short positions to pay any dividend a company might issue on a one-to-one dividend-to-share basis. If the company decides the dividend is to be something that can't be expressed in dollars and cents, but something that can only be expressed in 1s and 0s, then that can lead to a share count. If that happens then the synthetic shares that had been created to short the company will come to light, it will reveal the true supply/demand relationship, and thereby price discovery will follow.
Due to legal gags on information about official share counts there's no way for the public at large to know for sure how many synthetic shares have actually been created. There are those who know but they aren't allowed to tell anyone. Before you ask, yes, they're still allowed to describe it as a free market despite this bullshit, totally insane practice of hiding the true supply and demand. What we know is that they've done everything they can to get shareholders to sell. They've been routing buy orders away from lit markets to keep those purchases from creating upward pressure on the price action. They've been flooding both mainstream and social media with all kinds of misinformation and purposefully misleading asshattery. These efforts alone have been glaringly conspicuous, laughable in how poorly hidden they've been. They've tried and failed time and time again.
Shareholders aren't selling.
And all this time the premiums on their short positions, all the fees for their borrowed shares, it bleeds them continuously. While they've been dripping dry the shareholders continue to buy more and convince others to do so.
All this at the same time as a housing crisis once again looms, big banks break records selling bonds, and a cresting tidal wave slowly towers over the coastline.
Or I'm wrong and copper's fine. This is just me seeing, ya know, what I want. Or something.
AMC - Pump - dump to 28.32 next.Have to hand it to the determined Apes.
They believe their own narrative - TTM.
The banter is entertaining at minimum.
"Better Cover"
No, no need.
When you execute a trade plan, everything
is preset:
Including drawdowns.
The first rule of Management...
Enjoy the daylight while you can... the shadow pool is a comin.