$QS!! 1000% RETURNS... WATCH THIS SHORT SQUEEZE **High Watch Alert**
-Getting into some longs this thing squeezing hard AF here's a few things to look at:
-massive squeeze on the daily meaning we need to look for long contracts
- 15% short float
-above $32.05 is the green light for us but I am scaling into long positions.
-the bounce can possibly take us to new highs but this needs a little more time to pop
-I'm getting in while I have the chance
GME
KOSS - Price Spike Inc. KOSS has exhibited high price spikes on the last 4 up moves and it may repeat that behavior. The 4-hour chart helps illustrate the short-term duration of the recent price moves.
Indicators, lower trendline, and wave structure supporting a potential reversal soon.
Further KOSS has made a higher high the last three up moves, so the expectation is that trend continues. Obviously the question is how high. Not sure as the sell-offs have been swift.
The weekly chart appears to support more up - potentially significant more up, with a large bull flag formation evident on the log setting. However KOSS has thus far rewarded very nimble traders.
The SI% and borrow rates for KOSS remain high, but this condition has been in play for a while now and thus far hasn't resulted in significant short covering IMO. Perhaps soon.
Not financial advice.
No Apes in this Jungle - AMCThis is pretty savage. The Tiktok and Socktwits promoters likely had no mercy on their followers.
I expect a quick pop retest but that's only going to provide more liquidity for the short side to enjoy more gains.
Be careful who you follow. No one should ever promise you profits.
A better look..One thing about it , two things for sure . Bbby is an amazing company. Let me tell you something , my wife spends hours at this crap place and some how ends up maxing out my card. Never fails , rather her max it out there than maxing it out at hotels getting pipped up by her side dude like she did last time. I can see this trading sideways till we finally take off , looks like it’s waiting for gme to follow .
Game Stop [GME] - 7/15/21 - It's going DOWN. Here's my analysis on GME. It's been weakening for a month and we just got a death cross. Not a good look. Headed down for the foreseeable future. Must hold at Support #1. If it can hold, that's a good sign. If it breaks below that, it's gonna be a LONG summer. If you're still holding at that point, I'd probably just HODL and move on to other stocks and wait until the next time it pumps. In my opinion, this is a very RISKY asset. It's a pump and dump. My approach to trading this would be to enter when it creates a floor... and then sell for profit when it gets pumped. Rinse and repeat until this stock no longer is being pumped and dumped and they move onto the next one.
Not financial advice, but just my thoughts after observing GME over this past year and hearing all the rumors and theories out there. The idea of a MOASS is keeping investors from selling when it gets pumped and even has investors buying HIGH. This can be a recipe for disaster. From my observation of these meme stocks, this is a risky game here, especially for new investors/traders. Don't worry about facing off with the "hedgies". That's likely to be a losing battle and that's not worth the headaches. The way I'd approach it is to get in at a low price when it drops... then sell after it pumps and take my money to the bank. Rinse and repeat until it's no longer being pumped and dumped. The reason we trade/invest is to make money. Gains are not guaranteed. We can't fall in love with a stock and we can't fall in love with an idea. We have to take profits when we see profits. In the end I could be wrong and the MOASS could be coming but I wouldn't bet my life savings on it. Maybe grab a couple of lottery tickets at the most. Just my 2 cents.
Goodbye GME#gme has fallen out of an equilateral wedge, accumulation is at all time lows on daily, no float is actually a bad thing in this situation despite what WSB thinks, and finally it has laddered into an accelerated downtrend (marked in yellow), I have been loading puts for awhile, looks like this validates it, you can still easily enter this if you want, the game is over, next stop is the 160s.
P.S. to self titled apes, I was long gme too, in January, I took my profits towards the peak in Feb, that was the squeeze, I can't tell you what to do with your money, but personally I would exit while I could, if you still believe it is going to squeeze your few shares aren't going to make it happen, so take your risk off and if it rockets just get back on, it has to break back into the trendline heading up at the bottom of this wedge for that to happen. Live to fight another day is the key to this market. I wish you all the best.
SPY 1994 - BRINK OF THE LARGEST BULL RUN OR MASSIVE BEAR MARKETAll,
In previous posts I discussed how the market appears to be bullish (but overall bearish longer term for now) which it is ... till around 435-440 I think. What I did was take the 1994 speed fan/speed lines whatever you want to call them (big deal more than people think it's not some fib thing it's far far more in depth and you will see hedges like on AMC stop speed fans from peaks to cause a totally different dynamic the way the stock trades (google it in depth its not discussed in great detail for a reason IMO)
Bull Scenario:
-Entering back into this 1990s speed fan/arc/lines would cause a breakout of current pattern and send us exploding into an actually crazier bull run imo after a retest of the break.
Bear Scenario: (why you see all the doomsday stuff), this would be the current pattern we are in which makes sense. How many times have we seen SPY fractal on lower timeframes of rising wedge fall? Exactly. It has now worked it's way up to the daily/weekly/monthly time fractal. So I think around 440 430s we are going to see one of the biggest market changes in a very long time not sure which way yet, but it will be a massive change.
ZM - BIG MOVE COMING SOONAll,
I think ZM is at an absolutely critical area. This will either break up big time or break down and retrace wave 2? This is a wait and see and follow entier market direction with it. I potientally see it going for a retrace then breaking. However it's almost right over the edge of breaking. WW for sure.
AMC - Shadow Banking and Meme StocksIdea for AMCs:
- Commercial and Industrial Bank of China: $5T+ AUM. 4 biggest banks in world are in China (they are state owned - guess who is the largest asset manager in the world) with $17T+ AUM.
- p value of 0 for correlation with meme stocks.
- Look what preceded the short squeezes in meme stocks.
- If it quacks like a duck...
- Asset Management Companies/Corporations (AMCs) are shadow banks that quite literally rule the world. Money precedes policy.
2 ways to look at it:
- China has been cracking down on shadow banks: "Gamestop for AMCs?"
- AMC being elevated to meme status has shrouded the actual AMCs and now they are being worshipped.
- Who is behind the AMC short squeeze? It's simple... AMCs are behind AMC. That's who is backing the retail apes. Of course hedge funds get eaten alive... Always a bigger fish.
- Media blaring is worthless, even hedge fund/MM actions are meaningless. Look at AMCs. It is also too costly for MMs to manipulate this indicator.
- This is what moves markets. Know what moves markets and you can frontrun "6 sigma events".
- CIBC at the end of a distribution pattern, watch out.
- BlackRock and Vanguard together have $18T+ AUM.
- Can US and EU AMCs absorb all the selling with money printing (at the expense of further devaluation of USD and pricing out middle class)? I think not. More likely they will move together, US and EU just don't want to be the first one out. Bubble pop soon on global assets.
GLHF
- DPT
GME Gamestop Strong Support AreaGME Gamestop lost some traction on WSB recently, which made me think about a possible retracement to a support level that i might considering reentering this stock.
And that support is around the 130usd area!
I am looking forward to read your opinion on where GME Gamestop is heading now!
Doji and Spring!!! GME Daily GME got it - Doji followed by a nice spring candle on the daily chart.
Bears may still manage to smash the price down a little bit more before lift off - see chart of candle set up before last rip.
Don't fret if the GME spring gets pushed down a little more from here - GME is so close! Stay Buckled Up!
Not financial advice.
RTX - A PROXY FOR AIRLINES/AIRLINE INDUSTRY (RYCEY, AAL, BA)Airlines have had quite the run up since the low. Warren Buffet is way past his prime.
BUT WTF IS THIS PRICE ACTION!?
I've done a fair amount of "research" into the numbers here and here's my best attempt to make sense of it.
We all know the COVID correction was the E wave of a triangle. That was obvious. You see it on every major index.
Triangles happen in wave 4's... so now wtf is this "impulse??"
The 3-3-3-3-3 wave structure points towards some type of diagonal for the bullish count.
This sort of chop is going to wash people out if you don't have a game plan.
Here's mine.
It's always critical to pay attention to RSI or some other momentum indicator to spot corrections.
We know RSI rarely exceeds ~70 in corrections and rarely goes lower than ~30 in uptrends. We will use this rule to define most of the PA.
We define the primary channel shown in bold.
and subchannels for each subwave in lighter color.
Annotations shown on chart.
We see waves A and B of 3 clearly.
When you get into the subdivision of C, that's where you have to pay attention to detail.
Two conflicting things are shown.
By EW rules you have another leg up. This also makes sense from the geometry of an expanding diagonal - you want to put in that awkward third wave.
This would align with a channel break which is typical.
However, if you look at the 4 hr RSI, you are already getting a reaction at 70. For this reason, I am not swing trading this last "potential wave up."
I am waiting for a retrace of wave 4... might take a few months.
However, I am still holding my long-term RYCEY as it is possible that stock pops during this last leg up.
You usually see w4 marked by the channel bottom, and w5 must be larger than w3.
For this structure, that would lead to a >50% gain.
Here is my Boeing BA chart as reference which shows a very similar sort of relationship in movement, albeit coiling down triangle rather than impulse.
RYCEY
GME | Wyckoff Accumulation PS— Preliminary Support, where substantial buying begins to provide pronounced support after a continued down-move.
- Volume increases and price spread widens, signaling that the down-move may be approaching its end.
SC—Selling Climax, the point at which widening spread and selling pressure usually in high point and heavy or panicky selling by the public is being absorbed by larger professional interests at or near a bottom.
- Often price will close well off the low in an SC , reflecting the buying by these large interests.
AR—Automatic Rally, which occurs because intense selling pressure has greatly decline.
- A wave of buying easily pushes prices up.
- The high of this rally will help define the upper boundary of an accumulation.
ST—Secondary Test, in which price revisits the area of the SC to test the supply/demand.
- If a bottom is to be confirmed, volume and price spread should be decline as the market approaches support in the area of the SC .
- It is common to have multiple STs after an SC .
LPS—Last Point Of Support, the low point of a reaction or pullback after an SOS.
BU/LPS- Backing up to an LPS means a pullback to support that was formerly resistant, on diminished spread and volume .
SOS—Sign Of Strength, a price advance on increasing spread and relatively higher volume .
- GME is in a Wyckoff Accumulation Pattern
- Latest drop indicates a Bear Trap setting up GME for new ATHs
Elon Regrets Tweeting GamestonkI've enjoyed watching the GME saga play out over the past 6 months.
TSLA and the wood gang must regret when elon tweeted Gamestonk that iconic evening.
Before that tweet I didn't know anything about the stock market. You could say it was a wakening for many people.
TSLA has been racing towards this death cross ever since that night.
Most recently rallying through 2 ascending triangle breakouts only to come face to face with Death (Cross).
GME Short-Term TAShort-term TA (1-2 weeks).
We should be seeing a gradual movement upwards seeing as the past 2 days we have seen the price bottom out on the descending channel floor and was rejected twice (Double Bottom).
The price should be testing the 50 day EMA and 200 day EMA on both the 15 minute and 2hr timeframes (just my preferred timeframes).
The ceiling right now is around $208-210 with the 200 day EMA 2hr @ $210.91
Price has also respected the Fibonacci Retracement calculated support levels of 61.80% / $186.09 and continued up. The 50th percentile calculated resistance is $242.78 which would sufficiently confirm a break out of the descending channel consolidation; or cup and handle formation.
In the short term '15 min timeframe', we see the MACD is about to crossover bullish, so potentially we could see some movement upwards today.