Low of the Day - GME to Russell 1000 Monday June 28thDaily RSI is showing that its about ready to bounce off its own trendline.
Russell rebalance at end of day.
T-21 pushed to today due to holiday.
NFT release date July 14th(speculation)
200 is strong support
Possibility that GME regains log trendline in next few weeks?
Sorry haven't posted for a bit, was waiting for GME to settle down for a good place to enter and think we are about it.
GME
PLTR - DELAYED ROCKETContrary to what the loudest Karp fanboy is saying, this stock (and other similar ones... QS, SPCE, CCIV) are still correcting. But there's plenty of opportunity to make GAINS.
I show a clear 5 waves down which would be completion of A to the 786 retracement. You broke divergence which is more evidence of a C leg down. Clear EW subdivision shown.
Right here we see an inverse Head and Shoulders pattern forming.
NO - iH&S does not always mean bottoming pattern, it is just something to look for to know how to trade the neckline. In this case, we are anticipating it to serve as the bottom but FYI HS and iHS is never absolutely a bottoming/topping pattern.
We anticipate the nearest high before the head to serve as the neckline. We see that w3 failed to hit the 1.618 extension, so we don't expect w5 to hit the 2.272. However, we notice it failed to hit even the 2.0. For this reason, I wouldn't be surprised if we poked above the neckline for a relative high up near $27. But we don't care. We are not long currently, and not interested in longing with this type of uncertainty and RR.
What we are interested in longing on a retracement which we would expect with the completion of this impulse. Keep note of the inverse HS pattern with defining neckline and slope to to serve as reactionary points. Sometime you get false breakdowns of the iHS because everyone is watching it. I expect something similar, but will continue to monitor/update as subdivision plays out for this small ABC. Target $23 for a retrace to land on top of a pretty critical defining channel line (red). SL at $21.50 marked by critical price level (somewhat critical, somewhat arbitrary... need to define the trade some way to stay diligent).
For this last leg, I really like the $30 target as you have a critical price level. There's also confluence by the 618 extension. However, typically we see ABC's play out to the 1-1.272, so that target is also listed near $33. It's going to take a lot of momentum to get up there. Targeting $30 gives a 4:1 RR which is favorable. Playing this with normal shares because why would you need more than a 25% gain capped at ~6% loss?
GME - On the Verge of Bullish Breakout?I have been tracking GME closely for the past couple of months and want to share some developments on the chart that I’ve noticed so far.
Looks like we have been moving within an ascending triangle pattern since March, and are currently in the process of completing the handle portion a cup and handle that also started forming I during this time.
We are currently in a falling wedge pattern and coming close to a bullish breakout, which would coincide with a breakout of the handle. To make matters even more convincing, there seems to be a small inverse head and shoulders pattern forming inside the wedge which can be more clearly seen on the 15 minute chart, which could possibly be the move to cause a bullish breakout of the wedge pattern as well.
If we do see a bullish break of the wedge, we may be on track to testing the resistance level of the ascending triangle sometime towards the end of July / August. Breaking this resistance could possibly push us up over the previous ATH and put us into price discovery mode by Fall 2021.
GME board has been relatively quiet on what they plan to do moving forward, but I expect more news on the growth of their esport prospects more than anything else, since this was a major focus in the rebranding of the company.
If any esports news is released it would make sense for it to be announced during the lead up to EVO 2021 which takes place mid August (falling in line with the time frame of the expected breakout of the triangle).
TL;DR: Quite a few technical indicators pointing to a bullish break. Expectations of esport news could be the catalyst to make it happen.
Best of luck to everyone
TSLA PUT PLAY (IF IT FAILS) HUGE GAIN 460SAll,
Pretty obvious what happens when TSLA hits this downward trend. I will be buying PUTS .. IF!!!
1) it clearly loses buying pressure
2) no positive news
3) selling pressure
4) BREAK of previous high
Any of these not occuring and it finally/somehow breaks it there will be a massive bull run at least 740+ afterwards in which I will be bullish.
An Explanation of the Symmetrical Triangles and Price TargetsGME is currently in a pattern known as a symmetrical triangle in which, following a move (up or down), there is a battle between bears and bulls to establish dominance on the market. We'll focus on a symmetrical triangle that starts with a move up like GME , but the same applies to a move down, just vice versa. This is visualized on a chart as a move up followed by a series of lower highs and higher lows which form two converging trend lines that form a triangle shape. As far as market psychology goes, this represents a few things. You should know, three parties are usually considered in market psychology analysis of individual securities, but four parties are considered when there is an influx of people who were not previously involved in that market. I think in GME 's case we can say that there are four parties. Those parties can be identified as bulls, bears, undecided, and uninterested. The uninterested party becomes interested, and therefore accounted for in analysis, when there is a lot of attention surrounding a security. The move starts with a lot of volume (which is relative, but mostly can be based on the average volume over a long period) as a result of a shift or reversal in sentiment and newfound attention on that security. The bullish party increases their position as their bullish thesis is proven correct. The bearish party closes their positions (and may even reverse their position to bullish) once their bearish thesis has been proven wrong. The undecided party becomes decidedly bullish. And finally, the uninterested party becomes interested and bullish.
Following the move up, buyers and sellers are going back and forth increasing and decreasing their entry and exit points which creates a series of peaks and troughs. At the first peak, where the triangle starts, there has been bullish sentiment because bears realized they were wrong and the stock is getting attention because of the price increase, so all parties have turned bullish. GME is a tricky case because there probably would have been continued bullish sentiment if there wasn't interference with the market, but even though the price action has been interfered with, the chart still paints a picture of market psychology for us - whether it's unprecedented or not. At some point, the stock will hit the bulls price target and they will start selling their shares for profit (and possibly reversing their position to bearish, but this is less likely in a market that's trending up). At this point, bears take over and start shorting again, bulls become dormant until they see another price they like, undecided parties may stay undecided or move with the trend, and uninterested parties are again no longer interested or are also moving with the trend. This process continues in a series of a total of 5 peaks and troughs (combined) to form a wave (this ties into Elliot Wave principles, but I'm not well versed in that yet). Each peak will be lower and each trough will be higher as buyers and sellers compete for dominance. In other words, moves up should have decidedly more volume than moves down in a symmetrical triangle, because all parties have turned bullish where the opposite is not true for moves down. The overall volume from the beginning to the end of the triangle should also decrease. Symmetrical triangles are intermediate patterns which means they typically last 1 to 3 months. In the event that the patterns continues past 3 months, if the volume profile is still indicative of a continuation, the breakout will likely be more significant.
During this 1-3 month period, the breakout generally occurs between 2/3 and 3/4 of the overall length of the triangle starting from its beginning (the base) to the point where the trend lines converge (the apex). If there is no breakout by the time that 3/4 of the triangle has passed, the continuation pattern weakens and it becomes more likely that the sideways trading will continue. If there is a break out, it's generally on higher volume than the past 10 days and in what's known as a gap up, or an opening price one day that is much higher than the previous days closing price. There are a few types of gap ups, but we'll focus on breakaway gaps because that's what we're dealing with in this instance. A breakaway gap typically occurs when breaking through or out of a prominent support, resistance, or pattern. The breakaway gap indicates the start of a strong trending move, is typically a large gap, and the price tends to follow through in the gap direction over the next few weeks. In order to confirm a gap up, you want to see increased volume and you absolutely do not want to see that gap filled in the following days. We just had a gap up to break out of the symmetrical triangle in GME and we partially filled it, but have not filled it all the way. If the gap is filled it usually indicates prices will go lower. Now that we've broken out of the triangle, the upper resistance line will likely become a prominent support line. So if the breakaway gap is filled we can expect a bounce somewhere around $195. If it's not filled, we can expect to continue moving higher to the price targets set by the symmetrical triangle. There are a few way to set price targets, but two methods are most common. The first is to measure the height of the base of the triangle. Use that same height going up from the breakout point to determine a price target to be met by the apex of the triangle. The second method is to draw a line parallel to the triangle's support line. Your price target will be where that line ends at the apex of the triangle.
The end of the symmetrical triangle is on 11 June and my two price targets are $588.87 and $634.24. I'll post the chart now so you can see that this is a nearly perfect symmetrical triangle continuation pattern that follows every single one of those parameters that I just explained. This is a very high accuracy pattern.
Realistic Price Targets for GME if it Follows AMC Bar PatternI had multiple people ask me for GME price targets in my last post comparing the breakout in AMC to current GME pattern.
The easiest way to compare the breakouts in my opinion is to use the Fibonacci tool.
With that being said, we can see AMC ran all the way to a full fib extension when measuring from its last peak.
If GME does the same thing, we can see it approach close to $2,000 and consolidating between the $1,200 and $2,000 range.
- CA$HLESS
Hedge fund is Da Best!
I was surfing wiki for fun and went to Gamestop page then Citadel wiki and...
Citadel Regulatory issues
Over a two-year period until September 2014, hundreds of thousands of large OTC orders were removed from its automated trading processes, rendering the orders "inactive" so that they had to be handled manually by human traders. Citadel Securities then "traded for its own account on the same side of the market at prices that would have satisfied the orders," without immediately filling the inactive orders at the same or better prices as required by FINRA rules.
In 2014, Citadel was fined $800,000 for irregularities in its trading practices between March 18, 2010, and Jan. 8, 2013
In 2017, Citadel was fined $22 million by the SEC for misleading clients regarding the way it priced trades.
In 2018, Citadel was forced by the SEC to pay $3.5 million over violations stemming from incorrect reporting for nearly 80 million trades from 2012 to 2016.
In 2018, Bloomberg reported that 40% of Robinhood's revenues were derived from selling customer orders to firms such as Citadel Securities and Two Sigma Securities.
In January 2020, Citadel paid a 670 million-yuan ($97 million) settlement for alleged trading irregularities dating from 2015.
Citadel Securities was fined $700,000 by FINRA in July 2020 for trading ahead of customer orders. They delayed certain equity orders from clients to buy or sell shares while continuing to trade the same stocks in its own account as part of its market-making activities, according to FINRA.
In 2020, Citadel Securities was censured by FINRA a total of 19 times for a variety of misconduct, including failing to close failure-to-deliver positions, naked short selling, inaccurate reporting of short sale indicators, executing trades during circuit-breaker halts, and failing to offer its clients best prices on the bid-ask spread.
On March 25, 2021, Citadel agreed to a censure by FINRA and a $275,000 fine for improperly reporting nearly 500,000 Treasury transactions between 2017 and 2019, revealing a systemic failure in Citadel's compliance systems.
2008 is coming baby!
EW Theory - Bullish trendingDescending (Top declining, bottom flat), bullish confirmation, impulse wave, followed by a three-wave-correction, before bullish trend resumes. Correction wave (C) may descend farther down but there appears to be strong support at the 0.618 ($200) range, potential down side to $164 range). Important next few days, tomorrow could be good buying opportunity if holds $200, if we descend past $200 could see a drop down. Could see bullish trend resume this week Wednesday or next.
- Fib ratio to watch for before completion of Cycle wave (III) 100% (418.61), 123.6% ($489.41), 161.%% ($604), 200% ($718.60).
- Fib ratio to watch for before the completion of WAVE ((III)), 161.8% (819.12) & 200% ($1001.49)
Short term: Bullish
Long term: Bullish
Was inspired by the Elliott wave guy and am still learning the theory.
Would love to hear any ideas, comments, suggestions.
Not financial advice. I am not a licensed professional. Just a guy with a thing for charts.