BETR Better Home & Finance Holding potential SHORT SQUEEZEOn August 24th, the shares of Better Home & Finance Holding (BETR), a company backed by SoftBank, experienced a drastic decline of over 94%. This downturn came as investors showed reluctance toward the online mortgage lender. The company had recently gone public through a merger with a blank-check company (Aurora Acquisition Corp SPAC) precisely when mortgage rates had surged to the highest levels seen in two decades.
In the case of Better Home & Finance Holding, an overwhelming 95% of Aurora shareholders chose to redeem their shares. This decision left the trust account of the SPAC with approximately $24 million by the end of June, marking a significant decrease from the roughly $283 million it held at the conclusion of the previous year. These details are revealed in filings.
Typically, when a stock has only a small number of publicly available shares, it becomes susceptible to high levels of volatility. Despite trading at $0.77 intraday, it's worth noting that on August 2nd, the SPAC associated with BETR was trading significantly higher, at over $60.
The situation with BETR brings to mind past posts of mine regarding the potential short squeeze scenarios witnessed with AMC Entertainment and GME Gamestop:
Given the limited liquidity in play, I am inclined to believe that a short squeeze might be on the horizon for BETR.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it!
GME
Descending broadening wedge GME 1 HRLooking at a textbook descending broadening wedge on the 1hr for GME, a breakout of this wedge could bring an easy 5 to 10% gap up.
mmmmh, as expectedI hate AMC because the CEO is a thief, is cheating the people, and I don't know why the SEC is doing nothing. It looks like a very speculative game, so I was expecting to see this since May 10th.
I sold APES and bought AMC because I think APES will disappear.
Today the judge ruled in favor of AMC, allowing them to issue 100% of shares, so now we are diluted 50% with the creation of APE, and 50% of the 50% with the creation of these shares.
Double bottom on the 15We can see a pretty nice example of a double bottom on the 15 with just over 4 weeks before the next witching. The next few weeks should be pretty interesting.
TUP the newest meme fundamentally dead LONGTUP on the 30-minute chart has some decent technicals. Based on anchored
VWAPs one set for 8/1 and another 8/3, TUP has pulled back into solid support
at the two mean VWAP lines. Volume has been steady. It is in the middle of the
fair value zone and under the POC line of the volume profile. Analysis of that
profile is that price should seek the POC as if a magnet. there is could be
pushed up or repelled down depending of the relativity of the dynamic of
buying and selling pressures interplay in that zone. I see TUP as having 20% upside
for sure on the retracement of the trend down. An additional leg up and over the
POC line is possible or even probable but not a certainty.
GME fell. Can it get back up? GME on the one hour chart fell over a week from July 27 until earlier today.
The fall has heavy selling volume this morning followed by a flip at the lunch
session into buying solume above the running mean. Similar findings are on
the volatility indicator. The MACD has a cross under the the histogram as
price momentum shifted from bearish to bullish. Price has crossed over one of the
lower VWAPs in early vWAP uptrending.
Overall, I see this as a long setup. With the market drop today, the volatility gryration
tomorrow is a likely reversion to the mean. This should lend support to the
reversal on GME. My target is the green POC line of the volume profile at 21.18
with a stop loss of 20.25. Once underway with the stock trade if good movement is seen
I will take an options contract or two with one day to expiration.
GME buy the dip LONGI see GME on the 15-minute chart as being setup for an opportunistic speculative dip buy.
Details and targets are on the chart. The plan is to get about 5% out of an anticipated
rebound off the near-term pivot low. My analysis is the GME will revert to the mean being
the high volume area of the volume profile which is 4% upside with the POC line before
that where trading will ever be buyer dominate for a continuation or seller dominate for
a bounce down. If any shorts bought in the downtrend they will either hold through the
recovery or buy to cover to minimize losses. If the latter, the early beginnings of a short
squeeze could be a foundation of a move higher.
Can AMC continue the bullish momentum?AMC popped over 50% on the last trading day. So questions arise could include
whether there is an juice left in the move? Are there short sellers now buying
to cover to cut their losses? On the 15 minute chart, the parabolic move is
obvious. The volume profile shows the highest volume of trading at 7.42.
A typical end of the trading day and week fade is seen with volume falling as
well. Price is now getting support at the first VWAP band above the mean
line somewhat confluent with the POC. A reasonable target is the high of
Friday's trading session at 8.75 but bullish momentum could push price above
that resistance. The is a major VWAP band breakout. a parabolic move that
potentially could continue.
Accordingly,
I will take a risky trade with a limit order at 7.45 where AMC will be
above its POC line as an sign of a potential resurgence of bullish momentum.
I will watch for a volume spike showing that new buyers like myself and
short sellers liquidating are combining in selling pressure. I anticipate
great price action and a quick profit. The trick is knows when to sell to
realize profits I will sell one-tenth of the position for every 3% in profit
unrealized and could find an overall profit of 15-25% which would be a
great way to start the trading week. Some might call this chasing and I
understand that. I see it has high risk with higher potential reward especially
if a short squeeze kicks into the higher gears.
IWM Russel 2000 - No Love For Small CapsI hadn't really looked at IWM until a follower asked me about it on Twitter, and after thinking about it for a few hours and comparing it against SPY and QQQ, I realized that it's not that IWM is lagging, it's that it's not going to follow the recent mania.
Some wisdom I heard recently is that breadth is important in markets because it indicates a large amount of liquidity has entered or left, indicating the emergence of new bull and bear markets.
Unfortunately, with the exception of Friday alone, breadth has been terrible in this debt ceiling crisis pump, which means even though Nasdaq is flirting with 15,000 and SPX with 4,300, it's a bullish impulse within bearish macro conditions.
There's a lot of trouble on the horizon with the 2024 Presidential Election close enough that the game has to played and the trouble brewing in mainland China with the Communist Party being about to fall and the globalist bloc struggling to either cuckold or depose Xi Jinping.
What a bullish impulse in a bearish macro framework means for small caps is that although Microsoft, Nvidia, Google, Tesla, Amazon, Apple might pump, liquidity is not going to be going "risk on" on small caps and zombie corporations.
Instead, prices will be driven lower because as they sell the cycle highs in the blue chips, they'll be bidding a portion of their profits with lowball asks on small caps for the purposes of pumping them, and then dumping them, on retail's head after interest in the big names has become exhausted.
Those very large lowball asks will lead the algorithms to drive price towards them because the algo is designed to generate volume.
But on small caps, unless the company has significantly exceptional fundamentals, your expectations on how high it can go and how long it can go for during a reversal will have to be quite reserved.
In other words, if you missed the July '20 to October '22 pump on IWM then you missed the train and it's never coming back.
It is what it is. Just accept it.
You can make a lot of money trading puts on this thing on the way down.
It just means that if it really does bounce around $125, your expectation for where it can bounce to shouldn't be a new ATH, but probably back to $170.
Again, you can make a lot of money trading calls from $125 to $170.
But if you want to bUy tEh bOtToM fOr thE mOaSS and think you're going to get a 50 bagger instead of a "tiny little" 5 bagger, you're going to blow your account.
And if that's who you are, it's probably better you blow your account and go back to working a real job and learn the value of money again.
So here's the trade.
This recent breakout looks like it's just a consolidation squeeze. It's going down. But it might screw around for a while and could be as annoying as trading over $200 again. It's really hard to say.
Areas you'd really like to short and/or buy puts are called $188 or $190.
You'll need 4-6 months or so to get to the $127 level.
But either way, the R/R on a $188 short with a $212 stop and a $130 target is almost 7 to 1.
Go do sports betting for a while and enlighten to how hard it is to hit a +700 if you don't think that's a worthwhile trade.
You need to quit wanting to get rich quick. Getting rich isn't important and it isn't even valuable. What you need is to wake up to what's important in life and what you're really here to do.
And that question is answered in mankind's traditions and that 5,000 year old culture sitting in Mainland China after the CCP is utterly annihilated.
GME- Pullback completed Re-Entry REady?GME trended up from the 1st of May into a V shaped retracement and boune from June 7th
to 14th finally crossing over the 2nd STD of the full range anchored VWAP before a
standard 50% Fib. retracement bottoming 2 days ago as seen by the Fib. retracment tool.
Price has now reversed to an uptrend and is crossing both the full range mean anchored VWAP
and the POC line of the full range volume profile. The confluence of the mean VWAP and the
POC line cross-validates them both and adds strength to the thesis of a a return of bullish
momentum. I see this as suitable for a long trade targeting first the red line of the 2nd
standard deviation above aVWAP for 75% of the position and then the blue line of the 3rd
standard deviation above mean a VWAP for 25% of the position. The MTF RSI indicator
of Chris Moody shows two low and high TF RSIs in the mid range. The Lorentzian an AI based
machine learning backtesting indicator has printed a buy signal yesterday morning. About the
same time the low time frame RSI crossed over the higher TF RSI and the 50 level then
MACD lines crossed while underneath the histogram. Confirmations and validations
found, I will zoom into a 5 or 15 minute time frame for a pviot low from which to enter
the trade long.
Is one Gamestop trend line enough? GameStop - 30d expiry - We look to Buy at 21.71 (stop at 20.21)
Short term momentum is bearish.
Prices expected to stall near trend line support.
Trend line support is located at 21.70. We look to buy dips.
We look for a temporary move higher.
This is currently an actively traded stock.
Our profit targets will be 25.21 and 25.71
Resistance: 24.00 / 25.00 / 26.00
Support: 22.91 / 22.15 / 21.50
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AMC Shareholders approved combining AMC shares & APE units !Even though I was one of the first to signal you about the AMC potential to become the next GME Gamestop:
Today I want to share with you my Bearish Thesis:
In my opinion, there are factors that suggest AMC Entertainment Holdings (AMC) may experience a decline in share price following the APE (Additional Paid-in Capital) conversion. The approval of combining AMC common shares and APE units by an overwhelming majority of shareholders (87% in favor) indicates a significant increase in the capacity to issue additional common shares (88% in favor).
The increased capacity to issue common shares can potentially lead to dilution of existing shareholders' ownership. As more shares are issued, the existing shares represent a smaller portion of the overall ownership in the company. This dilution, coupled with the potential influx of additional shares in the market, can put downward pressure on the share price.
Furthermore, the approved combination of AMC common shares and APE units may result in increased selling pressure as some shareholders may choose to liquidate their positions. This increased supply of shares in the market can further contribute to downward price movement.
Considering these factors, my price target of $3.80 by fall reflects a bearish sentiment for AMC's stock. It is important to note that the price may even go lower due to the potential dilution and increased selling pressure resulting from the shareholder-approved measures.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
GME - Is Gamestop ready for another run ?GME this past week showed a nice reversal as seen on the 30 minute chart. Price hit a swing
low on May 2nd and then rose the rest of the week. Is it riding above the linear regression line
set to draw context and direction. On the anchored VWAP bands GME has crossed over the
first standard deviation VWAP line as well as the mean VWAP. Buying volume has replaced
selling volume in the past 3-4 sessions. GME crossed above the POC line of the intermediate
term volume profile suggesting buyers are taking control of the market
Please comment. What do you think? Is GME getting ready for another launch?
GME: Falling Wedge Breakout to All-Time Highs is NearGME recently bounced from the lows on the lower timeframe thanks to a Bullish Gartley and a massive amount of MACD Bullish Divergence and it has since come back down to fill the gap the rise created; now that GME has filled that gap it is going for a second leg up and the RSI is entering the Bullish Control Zone, and soon it will be Bullishly breaking out a macro falling wedge pattern which if it breaks, I think could take it up to the levels of at least $120-$135
Gamestop may rally after a Bullish ConfirmationGameStop has entered an accumulation zone on the daily timeframe, indicating a period of consolidation and potential price reversal. To anticipate a bullish rally, confirmation of a breakout above this zone is necessary. Furthermore, there is a significant daily support level near the current market price, which has been preventing a downward break. Monitoring the price action and waiting for a bullish breakout confirmation will provide more clarity on the potential direction of GameStop's price movement.
GME GameStop Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain of GME GameStop prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 25usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-6-16,
for a premium of approximately $1.83.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Is AMC setting up to go long?On the 15 minute chart, AMC is in deep vundervalued territory between one and two standard
deviations below the mean VWAP band. IT is near to and abouve to cross over the central POC
line of the volume profile. It is the price area where the highest volumes of trading have
occurred. The zero-lag MACD shows a buy signal with a K and D line intersection under a green
histogram while the RSI Ichimoku shows relative strength to have risen from the bottom of
its upward-sloping regression channel and over the 50 value. Overall I see a potential setup
here for a breakout. It might be the best time to get a ride on a rocket is before the launch.
FOMO riders typically are disappointed. I will take a long trade with 1/4 my usual risk and
Que Sera Sera.
GME appears to be ready to sell in JuneGME on the 4H chart appears to have topped out at the end of May after a decent rise of
30% after the May 2nd bottom. At present, the Hull Suite trend indicator is signaling a
reversal while the MACD zer0 lag indicator shows the lines have crossed under the horizontal
zero and the histogram has turned red. The RSI Indicator is showing a bearish divergence with
strength decreasing from 80 to 60. I see this as a short setup and will take a position of
put options with some long stock shares as risk management and hedging strategy. My target is
a 50% retracement of May's move up and a stop loss above the swing high. GME is still above
the POC line of the volume profile. Once it drops to that value, I expect bearish momentum
acceleration. Earnings are coming. If in profit before earnings, I will take off half the position
for the earnings and then expect GME to rise and stop out the remaining position or drop
quite a bit more.
GameStop ($GME): Potential Consolidation in mid-termGameStop Corp. offers games and entertainment products through its ecommerce properties and stores. It operates through the following geographic segments: United States, Canada, Australia, and Europe. Each segment consists primarily of retail operations, including stores and ecommerce properties focused on games, entertainment products, and technology. GameStop offers new and pre-owned gaming platforms from the major console and PC manufacturers, sells new and pre-owned gaming software for current and certain prior generation consoles, and offers a variety of in-game digital currency, digital downloadable content, and full-game downloads. The firm’s stores and ecommerce sites operate primarily under the names GameStop, EB Games, and Micromania. Its pop culture themed stores also sell collectibles, apparel, gadgets, electronics, toys, and other retail products for technology enthusiasts and general consumers in international markets operating under the Zing Pop Culture brand. The company also publishes Game Informer, a print and digital gaming publication. GameStop was founded by Daniel A. DeMatteo in 1996 and is headquartered in Grapevine, TX.
From a technical point of view, the trend is still bullish on weekly chart (Log Scale), but at the same time, a breakout of the previous low should trigger a bearish leg with a first Target around $9.70 area.
Trade with care!
Like if my analysis is useful.
Cheers!
GME: should have more downsideGME the king of meme stock is still on correction mode. On a log scale it doesn't look that bad really; specially if one compares with the lot of crypto charts. Anyhow, at this moment it looks like GME has some ways to go to complete the corrective wave 2. When price goes parabolic, it is quite natural to have a prolonged corrective phase. Price should come down to previous lower degree wave 3 to wave 4 area. Back in 21, I remember gambling 20 bucks into 200 in less than a week and then got stuck on Robinhood with put options when they stopped trading. Insane times... Hopefully, next time around, GME will graduate from a meme stock to something with actual fundamentals behind the company to start a long term uptrend (AKA cycle degree wave 3)...one can hope.
Good Entry Point for GameStop? Not Just YetGME STARTED TO TEST NEW LOWS: STRATEGY SHORT
Sue. This Market seems to be volatile and very difficult to trade. Scalping?Trend? Range Trading?.... Well ... I just look for volume areas, where the market is testing the forme false breakouts... The minor short term has just started.
Overall Average Signal calculated from all 13 indicators. Signal Strength is a long-term measurement of the historical strength of the Signal, while Signal Direction is a short-term (3-Day) measurement of the movement of the Signal.
20 Day Moving Average short
20 - 200 Day MACD Oscillator short
50 - 100 Day MACD Oscillator short
Support & Resistance
3rd Resistance Point 22.40
2nd Resistance Point 21.64
1st Resistance Point 21.03
Last Price 20.42
1st Support Level 19.66
2nd Support Level 18.90
3rd Support Level 18.29
Key Turning Points
52-Week High 47.99
37.17 Price Crosses 9-18 Day Moving Average
35.80 Price Crosses 9-40 Day Moving Average
35.54 61.8% Retracement from the 52 Week Low
33.31 Price Crosses 18-40 Day Moving Average
31.70 50% Retracement From 52 Week High/Low
14 Day RSI at 80% 30.32
27.86 38.2% Retracement From 52 Week Low
13-Week High 27.00
14 Day RSI at 70% 24.71
22.62 38.2% Retracement From 13 Week High
22.26 Price Crosses 18 Day Moving Average Stalls
21.47 14-3 Day Raw Stochastic at 80%
21.29 38.2% Retracement From 4 Week High
21.26 50% Retracement From 13 Week High/Low
21.18 3-10 Day MACD Oscillator Stalls
21.04 14-3 Day Raw Stochastic at 70%
20.67 50% Retracement From 4 Week High/Low
20.56 Price Crosses 40 Day Moving Average
20.21 14 Day RSI at 50%
20.19 14-3 Day Raw Stochastic at 50%
20.15 Price Crosses 18 Day Moving Average
20.05 38.2% Retracement From 4 Week Low
19.91 38.2% Retracement From 13 Week Low
Low 19.51 Low
19.34 14-3 Day Raw Stochastic at 30%
19.08 Price Crosses 9 Day Moving Average
19.00 Price Crosses 9 Day Moving Average Stalls
18.91 14-3 Day Raw Stochastic at 20%
17.81 14 Day %k Stochastic Stalls
17.25 Price Crosses 40 Day Moving Average Stalls
16.60 3-10-16 Day MACD Moving Average Stalls
BBBYQ Inverted Parabolic CurveHad to repost this idea since BBBY had a ticker change (Q). Inverted parabolic curve breaks and a "retreacement" would send BBBYQ to the motherland.
Cramer - Accumulating for next move upLow cap altcoin with huge potential, I can see that this token is in a accumulating phase. It's currently at 1M market cap but I could see it easily reach 10-20m MC in the near future if it breaks up above the support zone. They have the best meme's on crypto twitter and they are launching their platform "Chad Money" soon.
Of course this is a degen play for us crypto investors, But I wouldn't post about this if I wasn't confident to see a strong move in the future. As I said, It could take time, but when it comes I believe we will see some incredible numbers upwards.
The higher the risk, the higher the reward.
