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Gmercerfx

USDCAD: Key Levels to Watch for Potential EntryMornin' traders! There are a couple of key levels to watch here on USDCAD. The most important of which to me is the 1.284 area. Before taking a long position I want to see price close the weekend gap and touch the unhit daily pivot for Friday. Since a higher low was created from a bullish impulse, I will be looking for bullish price action (pinbars, engulfing candles, signs of rejection) at this level toward the neckline and possibly further if the H&S pattern remains valid. Until then, I'll be by the sidelines watching. Happy Trading!
Long
by glennmercer
EURGBP Short: Bearish Wolfe WaveEURGBP has completed a bearish Wolfe Wave setup and may be ready to short toward the target line. Triangle is complete on the APRR oscillator as well. As always, it's a good idea to wait for confirmation before placing a trade. Close below the 1-3 extension would be a good indicator of continued bearish pressure in this case, with a tight stop above recent highs. This setup has two targets, one at point 3 and another at the 1-4 extension (traditional WW profit taking level).
Short
by glennmercer
3
Cable Monthly H&S - Wait for BounceThere is a clear head and shoulders pattern complete on the monthly chart for cable. Instead of shorting the pair immediately, I'd rather sell it from the 1.6 area to create a higher R/R and minimize risk. If we see a monthly pinbar for August I will be buying the pair up to this level on the 1-4 hour TF. There's an overage of pessimism surrounding the GBP at the moment and any buying pressure may trigger a swift and powerful bullish impulse. The missed pivots above price may pull the pair toward the sell limit level and add to the bullish bias after month end.
Short
by glennmercer
UDSCAD Long: Time For the Rebound - So much Confluence!Yesterday I posted this: With a conservative short TP at the .786 fib. The pair has now dropped to the 1.618 level and is showing us several signs of bullish confluence, indicating a rebound is in order. A falling wedge/Wolfe Wave is complete and is pushing the upper retaining resistance line. Pinbar support has also formed on the 1HR chart at a key level: the bearish ADR line, which typically is a great sign for this level acting as strong support. On the Average Period Relative Range indicators, the triangle that was predicted is scheduling to complete on the 1H chart and the 15m chart is showing a potential HAS breakout if the neckline is broken. If the neckline breaks, so will too the upper boundary of the bullish Wolfe Wave. Pattern targets range between 35-55 pips, however there is a very important level at 37 pips. This level marks confluence between the wolfe wave target line, .382 fib level, and an AB=CD/Head and shoulders target line. Remember that this is end of week trading so ensure these types of trades fit within your trading plan. Happy Trading! GM
Long
by glennmercer
EURUSD: Many Reasons to ShortEURUSD has reached an excellent level to look for shorting opportunities. A daily resistance trendline has rejected price on 8/11 and sent the pair downward over some important moving averages. These averages are now being retested and are confluent with the new daily pivot. Below price, there is a missed daily pivot that may help drag the pair downward. The completion of a larger TF Gartley provides a nice target. Selling after the break of the bullish trendline is a good idea, especially in this case, since there are some high volatility news events coming up for the USD. Bearish Confluence: D1 bearish TL resistance 100 Day EMA resistance 500 4H EMA resistance 14 4H SMA resistance Daily pivot resistance Missed daily pivot below price Happy Trading!
Short
by glennmercer