GOLD Bullish Continuation - Is $3,600 the Next Stop?OANDA:XAUUSD is trading within a well-defined ascending channel, signaling strong bullish momentum. The price has consistently respected the channel boundaries, forming higher highs and higher lows, which aligns with the continuation of the uptrend.
It has recently broken above a key resistance zone and is now pulling back for a retest. This area previously acted as resistance and may now serve as support, aligning with a potential bullish continuation.
If buyers confirm support at this level, the price is likely to move upward toward the $3,600 level, which aligns with the upper boundary of the channel. This setup reflects the potential for further bullish movement as buyers continue to dominate the market.
Traders should monitor for bullish confirmation signals, such as bullish engulfing candles, strong rejection wicks from the support zone, or increased buying volume, before considering long positions.
Gold
Gold can exit from wedge and drop to support levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. Price action on Gold has shown strong bullish momentum earlier, as it broke out of the previous upward channel and started forming an upward wedge. The rally gained traction once the price left the buyer zone between 3006 - 3025 points, pushing through multiple resistance levels and creating a new structure of higher highs. After the breakout from the wedge’s support line, the price continued to grow and eventually reached the upper boundary of the wedge pattern. Here, we saw a clear reaction and reversal, signaling potential exhaustion among buyers. Currently, the price is trading just below the upper wedge resistance and has already made a pullback after the latest local high. Given this structure and the fact that the wedge pattern is tightening, I expect gold to reverse again and decline toward 3270, which is my first TP. If pressure continues, the price may drop to the 3210 current support level as TP2. The reaction from the upper wedge boundary, combined with weakening momentum and a strong support area below, supports my bearish outlook for now. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
GOLD - After upward movement, price can correct to support areaHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
After a long, steady climb inside a rising channel, Gold pushed through local resistance and gained momentum.
The move extended beyond the channel's top, marking a fresh high near $3240 points, attracting strong attention.
But after this sharp push, the price began losing steam and rolled into a soft pullback phase.
Now, Gold is holding just above the $3160 area, retesting the zone that was previously broken upward.
Volume is slowing down, and the price action shows hesitation without follow-through on the upside.
I believe Gold could roll over from here and revisit the $3130 support area in the coming sessions.
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XAU/USD at a Critical Juncture: Uncovering the Key Levels for ApHere is the technical analysis of the gold/US dollar (XAU/USD) pair on the daily timeframe for today, April 18, 2025, identifying key support and resistance levels based on the latest available data:
⸻
🔹 Current Price:
The price of gold reached an all-time high of $3,357.40 per ounce, driven by growing concerns about tariffs, which Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell described as "much larger" than expected, leading to slower economic growth and higher inflation.
⸻
📊 Technical Analysis (Daily Timeframe):
• Overall trend: Upward, with higher highs and lows, indicating continued positive momentum.
• Moving Averages: The price is trading above all major moving averages, including the 20-day simple moving average at $3,114.60, supporting the uptrend.
• Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI remains in the overbought zone, which could indicate a potential short-term price correction.
⸻
🔻 Key Support Levels:
1. $3,317.20 – Immediate support reflecting a previous high.
2. $3,305.65 – Medium-term support.
3. $3,292.80 – Additional support reflecting a previous consolidation zone.
⸻
🔺 Key Resistance Levels:
1. $3,335.00 – Current resistance that was recently tested.
2. $3,350.00 – Important psychological resistance level.
3. $3,375.00 – Potential resistance if the upward momentum continues.
⸻
⚠️ Additional Notes:
• Technical indicators are showing overbought signals, which could lead to a short-term price correction.
• In the event of a correction, the above-mentioned support levels may be potential entry points for investors.
• Upward momentum remains intact, but it is advisable to closely monitor technical indicators to identify appropriate entry and exit points.
Potential Reversal in Gold After Completing Widening Formationhello guys!
The 4H Gold/USD chart exhibits a classic Broadening Formation (also known as a Megaphone Pattern), marked by higher highs and lower lows, reflecting increased volatility and market indecision. This pattern is identified with three key swing points on both the upper and lower trendlines:
Point 1 and Point 2 formed the initial boundaries of the pattern.
Point 3, recently touched, completes the structure by testing the upper boundary of the formation near $3,238, suggesting a potential bull trap, as illustrated in the schematic overlay.
just look at:
The price has sharply rallied to the top of the widening pattern, aligning with the third high, often a strong signal for reversal in this setup.
A rejection from this level is anticipated, supported by the bearish projection arrows targeting multiple demand zones.
Bearish Target Zones:
$3,180 – $3,160: Previous consolidation zone.
$3,140 – $3,120: Mid-pattern volume area with past price sensitivity.
$3,060 – $3,040: Major support zone with a strong volume node and previous reaction area.
Volume Profile Insight:
The volume profile shows significant activity in the $3,040 zone, reinforcing it as a major demand area where buyers might step in again.
__________________________
Summary:
This setup suggests a potential bearish correction after a strong upward move. If price action respects the pattern, traders may look for short opportunities from current levels with the outlined targets. Watch for confirmations such as reversal candlesticks or breakdowns of minor support levels.
Gold at PRZ Again – Correction to $3,227 Possible!!!Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to rise as I expected in the previous idea and created a new All-Time High(ATH) as usual . How long do you think the upward trend of Gold will continue!? ( Please give your reasons for the rise, I would appreciate it. )
Gold is trading near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and trying to break the Uptrend line .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it appears that Gold has completed another 5-wave impulsive .
Signs of the completion of the main wave 5 can be the presence of Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks, and the break of the Uptrend line (validly) .
I expect Gold to fall to $3,227 in the coming hours.
Note: If Gold can move above $3,420, we can expect more pumps.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Gold - Why a drop to 3250 could be the perfect buy!Gold has been in a strong and sustained uptrend, showing impressive momentum with minimal pullbacks along the way. At the moment, Gold is forming a rising wedge pattern, which could indicate potential short-term downside price action. If we see a retracement from current levels, I’ll be watching closely for a long opportunity.
A break below this rising wedge would suggest possible short-term downside movement. This would actually be healthy for the overall trend, as small pullbacks are a natural and necessary part of a strong uptrend. It helps shake out weak hands, reset indicators, and build stronger support for the next leg higher.
Why a drop to around 3250?
If the wedge breaks, there’s an imbalance zone (4h FVG) sitting just below the current price level that has yet to be filled. These imbalance zones are created when price moves sharply in one direction, leaving gaps in the market structure. These areas often act as magnets, drawing price back to fill them before the trend resumes.
This particular imbalance zone lines up perfectly with the golden pocket Fibonacci retracement, adding further significance to the level as a strong area of support for the bulls. When technical confluences align like this, they tend to become high-probability reaction zones.
It’s also worth noting that this was the last major high that was broken before Gold made its most recent move upward. That makes this level even more likely to be defended by buyers. Bulls who missed the initial breakout will be watching this level closely for entries.
What are we watching for?
If Gold fails to hold the structure of the rising wedge, it opens the door for a sharper pullback towards the 3250 zone. This level aligns with multiple key confluences: the support zone, the 4h FVG, and the golden pocket. All of these factors together make it a prime level to look for bullish setups.
Conclusion
Gold remains in a strong uptrend but is starting to show early signs of a potential short-term pullback if it loses the rising wedge structure. Should that happen, the primary target for downside would be the 3250 level. This is where I’ll be looking for long opportunities, as it aligns with major support, the 4h imbalance zone, and the golden pocket retracement.
While this pullback would be short-term in nature, the broader trend remains bullish. As long as key levels hold and market structure stays intact, the bigger picture favors further upside. A healthy retracement here could set the stage for a more sustainable and explosive next leg up.
Thanks for your support.
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Are US Tariffs Similar To The COVID-19 Global DisruptionThis video is in response to a question asked by one of my followers on TradingView.
He specifically asked if the current US Tariffs create a similar situation to the COVID-19 supply disruptions and how it may result in longer-term market disruptions.
In this video, I try to answer these questions and highlight the differences I see related to what is happening now vs. the COVID-19 shutdown.
It is an interesting question.
I certainly see similarities, but I also see vast differences in terms of how the global markets are attempting to address the US tariff issues.
First, the current tariff issues are somewhat self-inflicted, not something like COVID-19 (unavoidable).
Second, the global central banks acted in concert to present immense liquidity to support a global shutdown with COVID. I don't see that happening right now.
Supply-side disruptions are evident, but we'll see how they play out over the next 60- 90+ days.
Longer-term, I hope these tariff issues are resolved before the global economy moves into a deeper recession. I will state that hard assets are likely to take a hit over the next 60-90+ days across the globe.
Any moderate (think 15 to 35%) slowdown in production, shipping, and consumption across the globe is going to be felt all over the planet. It is not going to be isolated to just one or two areas.
This is the smackdown that I don't believe anyone is really ready for. And that creates the urgency to resolve the tariff issues asap.
Hope this helps.
Get Some.
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GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Once again a great day on the market today with our chart idea playing out, as analysed. This chart idea is now fully complete with our final target being completed today.
Yesterday after completing 3324 we stated that we needed ema5 lock above 3324 to open 3352. We got the cross and lock above 3324 to open 3352, which was hit perfectly completing this target and this chart idea.
We now expect a rejection on this zone and then we can continue to catch bounces from the lower Goldturns.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3261 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3261 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3292 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3292 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3324 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3324 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3352 - DONE
BEARISH TARGETS
3230 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3230 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3201 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3201 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
3179
3152
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3152 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3120
3094
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3094 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3069 - 3038
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Bullish continuation?The Gold (XAU/USD) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 3,300.14
1st Support: 3,245.08
1st Resistance: 3,376.40
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GOLD: The Market Is Looking Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 3,327.25 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 3,299.56.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
HelenP. I Gold will make correction movement to support zoneHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After a strong breakout from the ascending structure, price continued its bullish momentum and reached a fresh local high near 3340 points. This impulsive rally was preceded by a steady upward trend inside a rising channel, where the price showed multiple rejections from the lower boundary and the trend line, particularly near the 2970 level, which also matched with the key support zone at 2950 - 2970 points. The upward movement accelerated once Gold broke through the previous resistance zone around 3160 points, which is now acting as support. That level also coincides with the upper edge of the earlier consolidation area, making it a key zone for potential future reactions. At the moment, the Gold is trading far above the trend line and is extended from its last confirmed support structure. Given the sharp vertical impulse and the lack of significant pullbacks, I expect a downward correction toward the 3175 - 3160 support zone, which is my current goal. This area remains critical for evaluating the next buyer reaction and further trend continuation. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Video For 4-17 : Another BLANK dayToday's BLANK pattern in counter-trend mode is nothing to worry about.
As I research and document these patterns, there are patterns that appear frequently on the Daily price chart and there are others that appear more infrequently.
If I have not already marked these patterns and documented them, they have not appeared anywhere in the 11+ years of the Daily price data I use within the Lookup Engine.
Therefore, these are VERY RARE types of patterns - Extremely infrequent.
I will add that the secondary looking criteria show yesterday and today could be similar to "key top/bottom" types of price rotation. So, I do believe the current price level on the SPY (520-535) could prove to be very critical support/resistance going forward.
Tomorrow is Good Friday (no trading). So if you are going to take any trades today, make sure you remember to plan your exits for TODAY or NEXT WEEK (or later). You will not be able to exit stock/ETF trades tomorrow (sorry).
Gold is moving into a Momentum Rally, and I really want to see how that pattern plays out before the long holiday weekend.
Fingers crossed we see a BIG RALLY again today.
BTCUSD is still rolling into a downward price trend based on my EPP pattern structure. This downward trend aligns with my May 2 Major Bottom pattern for the SPY/QQQ. So I would expect BTCUSD to start to roll downward sometime near the middle/end of next week.
Remember, this weekend should be about your family, your friends, and your beliefs.
Relax and enjoy.
Get some...
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XAUUSD: Gold is making new highs!Gold is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 1-hour timeframe and is in its ascending channel. A downward correction of gold towards the demand ranges will provide us with the next buying opportunity with a good risk-reward ratio. We expect a fluctuation of $10-15 in each range.
• Revised Year-End Outlook: The bank attributes the bullish outlook to increased central bank purchases, inflows into gold ETFs, and continued geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainty.
• Risk Scenario: Should the Fed shift course due to concerns over U.S. debt or weakening confidence in the dollar as a reserve currency, gold could climb to $4,500 per ounce.
One of the major forces behind this rally has been the weakening U.S. dollar under the Trump administration. Market participants are voicing three primary concerns fueling this sentiment: subpar U.S. economic growth, elevated inflation, and declining productivity. These fears stem from several core issues:
1. Tariffs: While intended to support domestic industry, tariffs are increasingly viewed as disruptive, raising fears of inflationary shocks and fragile supply chains—lessons painfully learned during the COVID era.
2. Economic Growth: Trump’s original growth agenda, centered on tax cuts and deregulation, has been overshadowed by other political developments. Many economists are uneasy about a government that seems willing to defy conventional economic principles—raising fears of repeating the failures of protectionist policies.
3. Budget Deficits: The U.S. is running a staggering 7% budget deficit relative to GDP despite low unemployment (~4%). This raises questions about how Trump’s proposed policies would be funded.
4. Erosion of International Norms: The U.S. dollar’s dominance relies on institutions like NATO, the WTO, and the United Nations, as well as global faith in the rule of law. These foundations are reportedly weakening. There are also emerging concerns from places like Beijing, pointing to American vulnerabilities—especially around intellectual property. In a world where IP rights are no longer respected, what value do American corporations really have?
5. Immigration: It remains unclear how much of Trump’s crackdown on illegal immigration is substantive versus symbolic. What is clear, however, is that undocumented migrants have played a crucial role in suppressing inflation in key sectors like agriculture and hospitality. Without a clear plan to replace this workforce, cost pressures could intensify.
DeGRAM | GOLD Growth in the Channel📊 Technical Analysis
- Uptrending channel
XAU/USD steadily climbs within a clear ascending channel, rebounding from support towards resistance.
- Key resistance
Main barrier at $3225; a breakout here confirms bullish momentum.
- Predictive scenario
Breaking $3225 opens doors for further upward movement.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
Trump's imposition of trade duties, has caused geopolitical instability, which has contributed to further demand for GOLD.
✨ Summary
Positive technical setup combined with supportive fundamentals. Break above $3225 signals continued bullish momentum!
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DeGRAM | GOLD Anchored Above the Channel📊 Technical Analysis
GOLD trades within an ascending channel, holding above $3 285 support.
A breakout from a triangle confirms bullish momentum. Key targets are $3 360 - $3 380.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
Demand is rising amid safe-haven flows, Chinese insurer interest, and central bank buying. A weaker USD and US - China tensions support gold.
✨ Summary
Technical breakout and strong fundamentals favor XAUUSD growth. Holding above $3 285 keeps the path open to $3 360.
-------------------
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XAUUSD: 1H Channel Up bottomed and is rebounding for the new HHGold is neutral on its 1H technical outlook (RSI = 52.820, MACD = 3.110, ADX = 23.525) and as it just crossed under its 1H MA50 and rebounded, we have the conditions for the new bullish wave of the short term Channel Up. We are aiming for another +4.45% rise (TP = 3,425).
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Gold XAUUSD Intrady Move 17/04/2025🟨 XAU/USD Technical Analysis – April 17, 2025
Timeframe: Intraday (M15/H1)
🔍 Overview:
The gold shows a bullish structure overall, with price currently in a corrective phase. Two key demand zones are marked, which align with prior structure and order block formations. The projection shows two potential bullish scenarios — both suggesting high reward-to-risk trades.
🔹 Key Zones to Watch:
First Buy Zone: 3311–3315 (Upper Grey Box)
Reason: Previous demand zone + minor structure support + potential higher low.
Buy Signal: Look for bullish engulfing or break of descending trendline from current correction.
Target: 3354
Stop Loss: Below 3304
Second Buy Zone: 3292–3296 (Lower Grey Box)
Reason: Stronger support from previous consolidation + demand zone.
Buy Signal: Reversal candlestick (e.g., pin bar / engulfing) or divergence on RSI/MACD.
Target: 3354
Stop Loss: Below 3285
🔔 Note for Confirmation:
If price reverses before entering the first zone, wait for a break of structure (BoS) above 3328 to confirm bullish momentum.
If price drops to second zone, wait for a reversal signal (e.g., hammer, morning star) before buying.
Avoid FOMO entries; let price confirm demand reaction.
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DeGRAM | GOLD Will Test Support Before Growth📊 Technical Analysis
Gold is moving steadily inside an ascending trend. After reaching the upper boundary $3343, a pullback is forming.
Support is seen near 3,280–3,290.
Resistance zone lies between 3,360–3,380, where the price may reach after the correction and rebound from support.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
Fed Policy Shift: Markets are pricing in potential rate cuts in coming months, weakening the USD and favoring gold.
Geopolitical Risks: Ongoing global tensions and post-tariff trade friction.
✨ Summary
A short-term pullback may offer a new buying opportunity around 3,280, with targets at 3,360–3,380. Macro uncertainty and Fed easing expectations support the trend.
-------------------
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Gold - Heading Higher For Another +30%!Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) won't stop any time soon:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Back in 2015 we witnessed a significant rounding bottom formation on Gold, starting the next major bullrun. With the all time high breakout back in the end of 2023, this rally was just confirmed and after the recent trendline breakout, Gold can still head much much higher.
Levels to watch: $4.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
4.21 Latest Gold Trend Analysis Strategy:
Analysis of Key Influencing Factors
Risk-averse sentiment supports
The escalation of Sino-US trade frictions and concerns about global economic recession continue to stimulate risk-averse demand, and gold remains attractive as a safe-haven asset.
If the geopolitical or trade situation deteriorates further, gold prices may hit new highs.
Fed policy expectations
Despite strong US retail data and Powell's "no rate cut for the time being" signal, the market is still betting on a possible rate cut in June (CME FedWatch tool shows a probability of about 50%), and the dollar's upside is limited, which supports gold.
Technical overbought and divergence
The daily and H4 cycles show a top divergence signal, and there is a need for a correction in the short term. The historical high of 3357 may form a period of pressure.
The Good Friday holiday on Friday may lead to some longs taking profits, and we need to be wary of fluctuations caused by insufficient liquidity.
Technical points and operation strategies
Key support and resistance
Upper resistance: 3315-3325 (short-term pressure zone), 3357 (historical high)
Lower support: 3280-3270 (first target of callback), 3230-3200 (strong support zone)
Operation ideas
Short-term callback long opportunities
If it stabilizes in the 3280-3270 area (0.5 Fibonacci retracement level + previous low support), you can lightly position long orders, stop loss below 3250, and target 3310-3320.
Steady strategy: wait for the price to break through 3325 and then confirm the callback before following up with long orders, with a target of 3350.
High-level short-selling opportunities
If it rebounds to the 3315-3325 area under pressure and there are stagflation signals (such as long upper shadows, hourly MACD dead cross), you can try short orders, stop loss above 3335, and target 3280-3270.
Aggressive strategy: If it falls below 3270 directly, you can chase the short position to 3230, but you need to enter and exit quickly.
Breakout follow-up strategy
Break above 3357: Wait for a pullback to 3340 to go long, with a target of 3380-3400.
Breaking below 3270: Pay attention to the support of 3230. If it stabilizes, you can backhand long orders; if it continues to fall below, the trend will turn bearish.
Risk warning
Liquidity risk: After the market closed on Friday, there may be a gap on Monday, so you need to be cautious in holding positions.
Data and events: Next week, focus on US GDP, PCE inflation data and speeches by Fed officials. If the economic data is stronger than expected, it may strengthen the expectation of "delaying interest rate cuts", which is bearish for gold.
Divergence correction: The technical top divergence may trigger a rapid correction, and strict stop loss is required to avoid carrying orders.
Summary
Next week, gold is likely to show a trend of high-level fluctuations-correction-and then choose the direction. The main idea is to go long at a low level after the correction, but be wary of technical correction risks. Short-term traders need to flexibly switch between long and short positions, while medium and long-term investors can wait for a pullback to the 3230-3200 area to place long orders. It is recommended to control the position within 5% and set a stop loss protection.
GOLD: Target Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 3,305.34 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 3,336.25.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Updated Structure & Trend (April 17 – Pre-Weekend Trading)🧠 Updated Structure & Trend (April 17 – Pre-Weekend Trading)
✅ HTF (D1, H4): Price has made a new all-time high at 3357, extending the bullish run — but we're now deep in premium exhaustion territory.
🟠 M30–H1: First signs of distribution and internal CHoCH on M15 are showing. No follow-through above ATH. Price is stalling, likely waiting for NY volume.
⚠️ Volatility is low, and Friday is a market holiday, so any manipulation or rejection will likely happen today.
🔼 New ATH: 3357
This makes previous zones like 3333–3340 less relevant for traps.
Focus shifts to the true inducement zone:
🔻 3355–3365 → Main sniper short zone, valid only with clear M5 structure (BOS or reversal FVG).
🔻 Key Sell Zones (Updated):
3355–3365 → Final inducement / exhaustion zone near new ATH
3342–3345 → OB retest below weak high, valid only if confirmed with bearish PA on M5
🟢 Key Buy Zones (Same):
3284–3288 → OB + FVG + discount zone
3260–3265 → H1 equilibrium and last clean demand
3230–3235 → Deeper reentry zone if we get a flash crash before NY
📊 Trading Logic:
If NY session spikes again into 3355–3365, we're ready to snipe with precision.
If price fails to reclaim 3345 and breaks M5 structure, we target early shorts.
On a clean dump, we look for longs in the 3280–3260 range, with confirmation.