SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 11-20 : Flat-Down PatternToday's Flat Down Pattern suggests the SPY & QQQ will trail downward a bit within the current #2 sideways flagging pattern. I believe this setup is indicative of a broader breakdown (Anomaly Event) playing out headed into Thanksgiving and into the end of the year.
Gold and Silver are also moving in an Inverted Excess Phase Peak pattern - struggling near a Phase #3 (sideways consolidation) range. This move will resolve to the upside if my research is correct, yet we could also see Gold and Silver move into a very large Phase #2 type of EPP phase (Flagging downward). This could setup a very large upward price rally in Gold and Silver over the next 60+ days.
BTCUSD is struggling to break to new highs. Although I see a confirmed bullish trend because of a recent new Higher High, I also see BTCUSD struggling to continue to make new highs right now.
Because of this, I see some potential for a breakdown if BTCUSD is unable to rally to new highs within the next 5 to 6+ hours.
Remember, price must always attempt to make new highs or new lows. Failure to make a new high means price must then attempt to make a new low. Failure to make a new low means price must then attempt to make a new high.
These are the RULES OF MARKET PRICE ACTIVITY. Once you learn to use/follow them, trading becomes a bit easier to understand.
Get some.
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GOLD-SILVER
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 11-21 : Harami Inside PatternToday's Pattern suggests the SPY will consolidate in a Harami-Inside day type of price action.
In today's video, I highlight the continued potential for a price Anomaly event, even though we are seeing mostly post-election bullish price activity.
I do believe the proposed Anomaly event is highly likely headed into the Thanksgiving & Christmas holiday season.
Gold and Silver may stall a bit before attempting to rally further. Silver is not reacting similar to Gold, thus I have concerns that metals may stall a bit before attempting a bigger move higher.
BTCUSD is on track to rally up to $100k - just as I predicted.
Get some today.
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GOLD & SILVER Attempt To Break Higher - Moving Into EEP #3Gold and Silver attempt to break upward, moving away from the larger EPP Phase #2 (consolidation/FLAGGING) setup.
If my research is correct, we'll see a very strong rally setting up in Gold/Silver over the next 2-4+ hours - likely see GOLD rallying up to $2720+ and SILVER rallying up to $32.50-$33.
Get ready. This could be a very strong rally phase targeting new all-time highs over the next 15+ days.
Get Some.
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Bearish Divergence Between DXY US Dollar Index & RSIThe DXY is butting up against a zone of significant resistance, and a bearish divergence between the index and the relative strength index suggests that buying pressure is fading here. A sharp correction in the dollar could have significant implications for gold, silver and other commodities.
Today we saw a rally in the DXY on a safe haven bid following news of escalation in Ukraine. If a major conflict between NATO and Russia really does break out, investors may learn the hard way that fiat currencies in fact do not make the best safe havens.
Bitcoin Breaks To New Highs - $100.5K Is The Likely TargetI created this short video to help traders understand how Fibonacci Price Theory works using BTCUSD.
This move suggests that BTCUSD will attempt to rally above $95k and target $100.5k in the next trending phase.
BTCUSD broke away from the Excess Phase peak Flagging formation (#2) very clearly today.
At this point, there is very little downside price risk unless price breaks below $86.8k.
I also review Gold/Silver and the SPY/QQQ to help traders prepare for the BIG SHIFT into my proposed Anomaly Event.
Here we go..
Get some.
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Update: GOLD, SILVER, NVDA, SPDR Sectors, SPY, QQQ & MoreThe markets are really struggling this morning.
The strong selling after the open is likely an indication traders are not buying into the hype right now.
NVDA earnings hit and drove the markets a bit higher into the open. I see this selling pressure as a BIG SHIFT into my Anomaly Event.
Gold & Silver are reacting to the downside.
SPTD sectors, particularly XLE (Energy) is still showing strong upward trends - while many of the others have already started to move downward.
I'm watching XLF and XLRE for a breakdown event.
The SPY & QQQ are showing broad weakness right now.
Prepare for my Price Anomaly Event.
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 11-19 : Top Resistance PatternToday's Pattern plays into the Anomaly Event I believe will continue to play out over the next 15+ trading days.
Today's Top Resistance pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will move higher, attempting to find a peak, then roll downward into a decidedly bearish type fo trend.
My analysis continues to suggest a price Anomaly event is likely. I believe this event could be related to a financial or hard-asset type of devaluation event (a mini-crisis).
As of right now, we need to see how today plays out related to price trends. I would be cautious of a rollover to the downside throughout trading today for the SPY/QQQ.
Gold & Silver already moving into a very strong #3 rally phase - attempting to find the new consolidation range (forming the #3 of the EPP pattern).
Bitcoin has moved into a moderate bullish trend - but could still roll downward very strongly. Stay very cautious of this moderate upward trend until we get a more confirmed breakaway above the Ultimate High.
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Video for 11-18: No INTERNET IssueMorning guys.
Something odd happened today after I created a great 45-minute morning video.
TradingView reported an Internet Issue even though my internet was working perfectly???
So, I DOWNLOADED the video so I have a record of it and posted it up elsewhere.
I don't know what to say - except check my profile on TradingView.
I was not going to try to replicate my 45 minute recording after experiencing this issue.
Get Some.
Attempting to Time The Next Gold Rally (FPT & EPP Analysis)This video attempts to show you how to use Fibonacci Price Theory (FPT) and the Excess Phase Peak (EPP) patterns to attempt to time/estimate the next big Rally in Gold/Silver.
This is more of an educational video as timing market moves accurately is nearly impossible (IMO).
Some techniques (such as predictive modeling or other types of price pattern analysis) can help us estimate when the markets may make a big move, but they are still only about 55% to 75% accurate in most cases.
I've found the best solution is to more clearly identify price support/resistance using FPT and the EPP pattern to attempt to determine what stage of the EPP pattern price is currently in and how that relates to FPT short-, intermediate-, and long-term price structures.
In my mind, using price as the core element of my analysis eliminates the potential of getting confused by technical indicators and other data.
Price is the ultimate tool when attempting to trade or analyze the charts.
This video is designed to help you understand how to use the two techniques/theories (FPT & EPP) I teach to better understand price setups/trends/opportunities.
Get some.
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BEAR-TRAP : GAP Reversal May Lead To Larger EPP FlaggingPay attention to the dual Excess Phase Peak (EPP) patterns in the SPY this morning and how the current GAP Reversal pattern may resolve as a base/bottom in the markets in early trading.
I believe the markets will shift from this early breakdown into a moderate upward (Flagging) trend.
Learning to anticipate these types of shifts in the market can help you plan and prepare for future price trend rotations.
Knowing the SPY is likely to attempt to base/bottom from a broader EPP pattern (moving into the sideways Flagging stage #2) suggests traders may attempt to prepare for a 0.75% to 1.25% upward price swing over the next 2 to 4+ days.
This aggressive downward selling aligned perfectly with my SPY Cycle Patterns. Now, this low may be the Base/Bottom I'm expecting to shift into the FLAGGING phase of the larger EPP pattern (#2).
Buckle up. This should be fun.
Looks like a BEAR TRAP in the making.
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 11-15: GAP-Reversal Counter-TrendToday's Pattern suggests the SPY will GAP downward at the open and attempt to identify a base/bottom throughout the day.
I belive this move may represent a pause in the downward trend, shifting into a FLAGGING pattern as part of a broader Excess Phase Peak pattern.
If I'm correct, we are going to move into a moderate BUYing opportunity for the SPY/QQQ lasting into Tuesday/Wednesday of next week.
Gold and Silver appear to be setting up a base/bottom off a very deep Phase #5 (Ultimate Low) of a current Excess Phase Peak pattern. This means, if we continue to get confirmation, that Gold and Silver will attempt to move higher and attempt to move into the Phase #3 of the Excess Phase Peak pattern (a move into a consolidation phase).
BTCUSD is current exhibiting a dual type of Excess Phase Peak pattern that suggests a broader breakdown is in the works. Possibly back down to 78-82k. This could be a very big contraction event for BTCUSD.
Buckle up.
Happy Friday.
Get some.
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Special Update: Trump Win Sets Off Predatory Fed ActionsThis video highlights why I believe 2025 & 2026 will be filled with incredible opportunities for traders/investors.
Most people don't understand that the world's financial markets are connected through central bank policy and credit/debt operations. Global economies operate in some ways as interconnected economies, but many aspects of individual global economies are unique to their local economies, governments, and monetary policies.
Right now, we are living through what may become the "Great Decoupling Event," as I believe the actions of the US Federal Reserve and global central banks over the past 10+ years have created a unique situation for investors.
There has never been a time when global central banks attempted to coordinate around a global event (like COVID) in an attempt to spark economic activity. Usually, global central banks operate somewhat autonomously, depending on localized credit/debt/economic factors.
After the COVID crisis, I believe global central banks moved back into that mostly autonomous mode and failed to see the potential strength of the US economy - driving foreign currency values and debt markets crazy.
With Trump's second term "locked up," the data shows the money supply activity and expectations have changed (upward). The recent rate decreases by the US Fed were in the wrong direction. Now that money supply activity is moving aggressively to the upside, I think the US Fed will aggressively change its direction and begin to raise rates in early 2025 (or maybe even before the end of 2024).
This video attempts to show you why I believe an Anomaly Event is very likely before January 2025 and why I believe the US Fed is currently unprepared for what will likely come in early 2025 with Trump's inauguration.
If this trend continues, the Fed will be forced to fight inflationary trends again aggressively, which will most likely put extreme pressure on global credit/debt markets.
As a trader/investor - this should present some great opportunities for skilled traders.
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 11-14 : Temp Bottom In Trend ModeToday's pattern suggests the SPY will attempt to continue to flag sideways and slightly higher after finding support in early trading.
Watch my video in detail. I go into a lot of longer-term price pattern detail and discuss the post-election setup of my Anomaly Event expectation.
As I see the markets right now, they have moved, and continue to move in a direction that is likely to present a very real moderate crisis event over the next 3 to 6+ months.
The stronger US Dollar is very likely to put pressure on foreign markets/debt related to the "carry trade" that was abundant before and after COVID. The Trump win is sending the markets into a Super-Predator mode (maybe I'll create a new video about this), where global markets, central banks, and global financial institutions may be at risk related to their long-term debt positions.
At this point, The SPY and the QQQ will likely slide into a consolidation phase (a type of FLAGGING related to the broader Excess Phase Peak pattern) over the next 3+ days. Then, I expect the Anomaly Event to start to take shape and for the SPY/QQQ to begin a downward price trend.
Gold and Silver are struggling to find a bottom as the US Dollar continues to rally. Don't expect any relief for metals as along as the US Dollar is rallying like this.
This is a predatory shift related to global assets and Gold/Silver are going to stay weaker for as long as this shift continues.
BTCUSD may rally up to $108k~120k if my research is correct. BTCUSD is in a "rally to the ultimate high" mode based on a very large Weekly Excess Phase Peak pattern.
Remember, everything you need to know is already on the price chart. You just have to learn to identify these patterns and spend some time looking around at various intervals to figure out what is going to happen next.
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 11-13 : Consolidation PatternToday's SPY Cycle Pattern is a Consolidation pattern. I believe the SPY will continue to attempt to form a "rolling top" pattern over the next few days and attempt to move into my Anomaly event over the next 15+ days.
This Anomaly event is likely to prompt a fairly strong downward trend related to the recent post-election rally.
I believe Gold and Silver MAY HAVE found the ultimate low. It sure looks like Gold and Silver are attempting to base with a near-perfect Excess Phase Peak pattern Ultimate Low setup.
Time will tell. If gold and silver fall further, the rallying of the US dollar will likely be the cause.
I'm watching BTCUSD for a toping formation as I spent quite a bit of time going over the dual Excess Phase Peak pattern in BTCUSD. This is very interesting because it aligns with Fibonacci Price Theory very cleanly.
Today, it seems traders can kind of take a break from the markets. If my analysis is correct, today will be a fairly quiet Consolidation day - where price attempts to trade in a bit of a sideways price mode - searching for the next big move.
Pay attention to the BTCUSD chart where I highlight the 13:00 to 15:00 ET Flag Apex time. It appears BTCUSD may move into a volatile price phase near this time - possibly associated with some news or event.
Get some.
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Understanding Gold Panic Selling Reactions BetterThis video is designed to help you better understand how Gold works as a hedge instrument and how to attempt to measure Panic Selling phases in Precious Metals.
Metals offer an incredible opportunity when Panic Selling hits. But it can also present some very real risks because of price volatility.
Panic selling in the markets is usually an event-driven sell-off in almost all markets (including metals).
This type of selling is usually related to traders pulling assets (CASH) away from all market sectors because of some crisis or geopolitical event. It is a way for traders to react to the fear of the event while sometimes ignoring how metals will react to the future revaluation event.
Yet, who wants to hold Gold when it may fall 8.5% to 15% throughout this panic selling process?
If you learn how to spot the base/bottom efficiently (using my Excess Phase Peak patterns), you'll be able to pinpoint some incredible opportunities in metals.
I hope this video helps you to understand exactly how these Panic Selling events unfold - and lear to spot/trade them more efficiently.
The reality of the current market environment is that the Trump win is the event (call it a crisis or not - I don't care). This event is causing markets to revalue current asset classes (notice the strength of the US Dollar since Election Day).
I believe this revaluation event is nearly over and prices will begin to adjust into what I'm calling my "Anomaly Event" - where price levels settle back into a reversion (normal) type of contraction event before moving into a late-stage Santa Rally.
If I'm right, we'll see a base/bottom in metals happen after November 15-19, 2024.
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 11-12 : Top/Resistance PatternToday's video is filled with great content.
Near the end of the video, I review the 11 SPDR sectors related to my deep research into my Anomaly price pattern.
Right now, I see the markets as very over-extended (overbought). I believe the markets will attempt to contact over the next 15-20+ days - setting up a base/bottom before a very late-stage Santa Rally sets up.
I've been very busy over the past few day and have a family member in the hospital right now. So, I'll be away from my PC for a bit today.
Remember, protect capital at all times.
I've been getting messages from people suggesting some traders are trying to go ALL-IN on some of these bigger price moves.
My suggestion more than three weeks ago (and even right now), is you should be in 85% CASH unless you can take the LUMPS related to trading through a hotly contested election event.
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 11-11: Gap Potential In Trend ModeHappy Veterans Day.
Thanks to all the current and past service members who have dedicated so much time and effort to protect all of us from the evil in the world. If you have anyone in your family that has served in the military, please take a moment to call and thank them for their service today.
As today is a Federal holiday, I expect the markets to be somewhat muted in terms of trends.
We are still seeing BTCUSD rally higher as the Trump win delivers a clear mandate related to global crypto/blockchain opportunities.
We are still dealing with a market in a post-election rally phase. I believe this rally phase will diminish over the next 5 to 7+ days and move into the early stages of my Anomaly phase.
My research suggests the US and global markets are likely to move into a consolidation phase before attempting to move into a very late phase Santa Rally.
So, at this point, with the SPY breaching 600 in pre-market trading, I would suggest traders start to PULL PROFITS and prepare for what I believe will be a moderate consolidation of price over the next 5-7+ trading days.
Gold and Silver are still FLAGGING in an inverted Excess Phase Peak pattern. This is currently a bearish price trend - attempting to break higher to move into a rally to Phase #3 (consolidation).
We could see some big price rotation today if Gold and Silver break above the FLAGGING trend.
Buckle up.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
GOLD, SILVER, PLATINUM & COPPER Weekly Forecast Nov. 11thThe Metals are at areas of supportive discount arrays, but will they move higher.
The latest COT Report indicates the institutional traders are betting on higher prices, even when the assets seem to be in consolidation.
Monday is a US bank holiday, and Tuesday may start slow, but I suspect the price action will be clearer come Wednesday.
Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
R2F Weekly Analysis - 10th November 2024 (ICT Concepts)Welcome to another R2F Weekly Market Analysis using ICT Concepts along with my own discoveries. I'm going to go through various assets/markets, and give a real-time view of how I perform my analysis on the weekends. I'll give my take on what has been happening, and what I'm expecting in either the coming days, weeks, or months. Without further ado, let's get into it!
This video will be a special "The Leap" edition.
- R2F
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 11-8 : Counter-trend RallyHappy Friday everyone,
Today's SPY Cycle Pattern is a Rally in Counter-trend mode.
I interpret this as a moderate downward price trend for the SPY - possibly pulling the SPY into the GAP created after yesterday's opening GAP rally.
I got into deep detail related to the potential anomaly event setting up over the next three weeks for the SPY & QQQ in this video.
I also go into a fairly deep analysis of Gold and Silver - relating my expectations and how these moves align cleanly with an inverted Excess Phase Peak pattern.
And, I even go into broad detail for BTCUSD and how I see multiple aligned Excess Phase Peak Patterns setting up to drive big trends over the next 3-4 weeks.
As I stated near the end of this video, the next 5-7+ years are going to be filled with opportunity. I suggest everyone get ready for the biggest opportunity of your life.
I hope you enjoy my videos and research. I know some of you have already experienced tremendous success following my research.
I'm urging to you consider the opportunity that will be available as the markets continue to trend through my window of opportunity - and how you want to try to profit from these moves.
Remember, the markets will always be there - but these opportunities are unique to the next 5-7+ years.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
Are Silver Miners Poised to Outperform Gold Miners?Introduction:
At the start of 2024, we were strong advocates for precious metals, and this strategy is paying off. Gold is consistently reaching new all-time highs, while silver is surging to levels not seen in over twelve years, finally capturing public attention. However, during a genuine bull run in precious metals, it's crucial to watch for mining stocks to outperform the spot prices of the metals. The lesser-known secret among gold enthusiasts is that investing in mining stocks often yields higher returns than holding physical metals.
Analysis:
Spot Prices vs. Mining Stocks: While gold and silver spot prices are making impressive gains, the true potential lies in mining stocks. Historically, mining stocks outperform physical metals during strong bull runs because of their leveraged exposure to rising metal prices.
Silver Outperformance: We focus on the potential for silver to outperform gold, especially as silver has been gaining momentum. In this context, it's key to monitor the performance of silver miners (SIL) compared to gold miners (GDX).
Broadening Wedge Pattern: Currently, the ratio between SIL and GDX is forming a broadening wedge pattern. A breakout from this pattern could signal a surge in silver mining stocks, indicating a shift where silver miners may start to outshine their gold counterparts.
Conclusion:
As precious metals continue their strong performance, the focus shifts to mining stocks, where the potential for higher returns lies. A breakout in the SIL-to-GDX ratio could mark the beginning of a new phase, with silver miners taking the lead. Traders and investors should keep a close eye on this ratio as a key indicator of the next big move in the precious metals sector. What are your thoughts on this potential shift? Share your insights below!
Charts: (Include relevant charts showing the SIL-to-GDX ratio, the broadening wedge pattern, and potential breakout targets)
Tags: #Gold #Silver #MiningStocks #PreciousMetals #SIL #GDX #TechnicalAnalysis
Fibonacci/Gann & 3-6-9 Chart Play: The TOP may be IN I was trying to identify if/how the market may be topping in relation to the post-election rally phase and started with a blank Daily SPY chart.
After drawing a few line of the chart, I started with an idea that Broad market pullbacks may be the key to identifying/timing market expansion phases (coupled with a bit of logic).
This video highlights this theory going back to 2018 and examines a number of price pullback trends as well as Fibonacci Timing structures related to Fibonacci Price Expansion blocks.
I think you will find this very useful as I continue to delve deeper into the 3-6-9 structure, polarity shifts (binary shifts) and trying to unlock the secrets of price trends/extensions.
Hope you enjoy...
Oh.. and it looks like the US markets are about to top if my research is correct.
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 11-7 : Rally Pattern DayGood morning,
Although I would argue the post-election rally may already be moving into exhaustion, the SPY Cycle Patterns suggest today is a Rally pattern in Trending mode. So, I expect the markets to attempt a bit of a carryover rally phase today - moving into a Counter-trend Rally pattern tomorrow.
That counter-trend rally pattern suggests the markets will try to find a peak/top and roll downward into the close of the week.
Gold and Silver appear to be basing with a potential for another move downward today - retesting recent lows. Based on my estimate related to Fibonacci Time Cycles, I believe Metals is looking for a momentum base to rally off of. Thus, I suggest traders prepare for a big move upward in Gold and Silver over the next 4 to 7+ trading days.
Bitcoin is still in a Bullish trending phase after breaking into new highs. Today, I spent quite a bit of time going over the Excess Phase Peak pattern related to how the price is trending and what to expect.
It is critical to understand that the markets will move away from this post-election relief rally phase over the next week or so. Ultimately, what has changed is that we have a new POTUS with new policies and objectives in 2025. Right now, everything is still pretty much the same as it was last week.
Volatility is still high and I urge traders to stay cautious. The time for adding more liquidity will come after November 25-30.
Remember, the number 1 rule for traders is to Protect Capital. You can still trade, just trade much smaller allocation levels for now.
We are about to move into a period of moderate consolidation. Sit back and wait out this sideways trend. The real opportunity will come after November 25-30.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold