Is Silver About to Rewrite the Rules of the Global Financial GaIn a remarkable twist of market dynamics, silver – long overshadowed by its golden cousin – is positioning itself for what could be its most dramatic transformation in decades. Russia's unprecedented decision to add silver to its central bank reserves has sent shockwaves through the precious metals market, potentially signaling a fundamental shift in how central banks view this dual-purpose metal. This strategic move, combined with a staggering supply deficit of 663 million ounces projected through 2024, suggests we may be witnessing the early stages of a historic price realignment.
The numbers tell a compelling story: a 41% price surge year-to-date, pushing above $33.89 per ounce, with analysts projecting potential moves beyond $40 before year's end. Yet it's not just the price action that's turning heads. The convergence of industrial demand from emerging technologies, particularly in renewable energy and electronics, alongside traditional investment demand, has created a unique supply-demand imbalance. This structural deficit, coupled with major central banks' expected rate cuts in 2024, could catalyze a powerful upward price trajectory.
Perhaps most intriguing is the current gold-silver ratio of 81:1, sitting well above its historical average of 55:1. This disparity, viewed alongside Russia's groundbreaking policy shift, raises a provocative question: Are we witnessing the early signs of a new monetary paradigm where silver reclaims its historical role as a strategic reserve asset? For investors and market observers alike, the unfolding story of silver in 2024 may well represent one of the most compelling opportunities in the precious metals space – a narrative where industrial necessity meets monetary revolution.
Gold-silver-ratio
Custom PM vs Cryptos chart heavily favors gold, silverHere is a chart I put together and have been keeping an eye on for some months now. I was able to predict the recent bottoming formation which has held up nicely. The chart is adjusted to reflect the current gold-silver ratio, putting them on equal ground, and similarly with the btc-eth ratio.
As you can see, the rise in precious metals versus cryptos has happened significantly in the past, by some 637%.
I know people want hard numbers for this prediction, but that's impossible since there are 2 main factors: The price of metals and the price of cryptocurrencies (namely the top 2 here). Maybe one goes up and the other goes down, or they both up but relatively one more than the other.
What one can surmise from this chart however is that it currently looks still very bullish for precious metals versus cryptos. This is backed by fundamentals such as the shifts taking place with basel III, metals held in an extended accumulation phase, and bitcoin and etherium coming down from it's blow-off top.
Silver Has Some Catching Up to DoGold/Silver spread is still strong with a Gold/Silver ratio around 83, indicating strong bias to gold. With incoming panic in the markets, debasement of the dollar, or both, we can expect the bullish move in gold and silver to continue in the long-term despite all attempts at suppression within the futures exchange. Silver has some serious catching up to do post price fixing in the futures exchange.
"Bet against the debt, become your own central bank." - Gregory Mannarino