GOLD, SILVER, COPPER. Is the latter leading the way?On this 1D chart we see Gold (XAUUSD) against Silver (XAGUSD) and Copper (HG1!) displayed by the orange, blue and black trend-lines respectively. There is a lot of worrying lately with Gold's pull-back since the mid-April High.
Even though Gold and Silver have made Higher Highs, Copper has been declining since since its late January High. On this chart we see that Copper has been a leading indicator to the other two in the past 2 years. When it started rising earlier, the other two followed shortly after. Similarly when is started falling and the others lagged, they followed suit.
As mentioned, Copper has started falling in the past 4 months while the other two lag and made Higher Highs. Does this mean we are about to see Gold and Silver start a strong decline?
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GOLD-SILVER
Weekly FOREX Forecast: April 24 - 28th (Part 1)Welcome to another Forex Daily Forecast!
We will be preparing for the trading week ahead:
- Analysis of the individual currency Futures, to identify the strong and the weak
- Analysis of the FX pairs (EURUSD, EURCAD, ...)
- Analysis of Gold, Silver, and OIl too!
- Plot and plan for the best setups.
I'm taking my time with this analysis with the viewer in mind. I want you to see the markets through my eyes, so the analysis is fresh, done live, for you to learn how to do this yourself. I want to raise independent traders, capable of reading the markets and planning their own trades. I'm hoping we can end up raising each other's level, in an "iron sharpens iron" kind of way, coming together and sharing trade ideas in our community of traders.
Always remember, just because they aren't setting up now, doesn't mean it won't set up later! So stay tuned for updates!
We are going to look in depth at the forex market, using top down analysis. If you have a question on any of the content, please leave a message in the comments section. For beginners, this is how you analyze forex markets, identify supply and demand zones, key levels of support and resistance, and look for swing trade setups.
Smash a LIKE and tell me what you think in the comments section! These things help to grow this channel! I appreciate your support and feedback, my people! It encourages me to continue to provide free content to the public, in hopes to grow a community of sharp traders.
Weekly Momentum On Major Pairs (Week 16/2023)
First Thing First: This analysis is for “general overview only” as it is solely based on price action. That’s why it is called momentum analysis in the first place. Support/Resistant, Volume Macro view nor any other factors are not used during write up. Refer to the individual pair analysis for a more comprehensive write up.
XXX/USD: Mixed
Gold & Silver: Mixed
XXX/JPY: Very Bullish
Stock Indexes: Mixed
BitCoin: Very Bullish
WK 16 (15 Apr 2023)
Gold - $2,000 Is ImminentGood news for goldbugs: GC Gold futures is projected to take out $2,000.
Bad news for goldbugs: I still believe that both price action and fundamentals are short/medium-term bearish on gold and that this swing will amount to an exit pump before lower prices forecast in the below post are achieved.
Gold GC1 - Discard Greed, Enjoy the Tranquility of Rationality
I also believe that Silver is about to rip over $25 for roughly the same reason
Silver SI - A Simple Trendline and Levels Scalp
And oil to $88
WTI Crude - Step 1) $88 --> Step 2) $5
Some key fundamentals on gold is that the Chinese Communist Party has been accumulating. I've heard that central banks tend to accumulate gold when their economy is in severe trouble and they want to make a bad situation look good. This is also a classic play in the CCP toolkit, trying to appear as if everything is great and the Party is very smart and stable even as tens of millions of citizens and technicians have died from the pandemic.
Another reason for amassing gold is to convert foreign reserves/national currency into something they can trade for oil on the dark market.
The CCP is not in a good situation. If you look at the stats the Party is reporting, they say that Wuhan Pneumonia (COVID) has totally disappeared from the country since Jan. 10. Not a single case, not a single death in two months, if you believe what the least credible regime on the planet has to say, at least, it's really a miracle.
But you should never believe anything the CCP says. The Party is addicted to lying.
There's data that says the Shanghai vault saw 140 tonnes leave in January, the largest withdrawal since 2018.
Some analysis says the CCP has over 4,300 tonnes of gold in reality, twice as much as they report, making them the second largest holder behind the United States.
So this tells us that the US is the market maker and the CCP, a crumbling regime that is the government of the one country everyone wants to seize control of, has decided to take a huge position, and at relatively high prices.
There's good reason to believe, then, that the US has +alpha to be gained from dumping gold. But first, the MM and its custom algorithms need to take out the shortsellers who have stops above the $1,975 pivot and the buyers who will go long over the $2,000 psychological level while dreaming of a new all time high.
The CCP is going to fall soon. But the skeletons in its closet from the 23.5 year long persecution and genocide against Falun Gong linger like a guillotine over not only its head, but over the heads of all the governments and corporations that have supported the Party and helped it to survive all these years.
This means that the wish for China's opponents is to ensure a controlled demolition of the Party so that the truth of what's been going on all these years can be buried.
The problem with getting ahead of ourselves based on last week's price action in terms of a long is that it's the beginning of the month and gold already went up 3%.
So, in my opinion, I'm looking for a pullback into the $1,820 range to go long and with a target slightly over $2,000. Time horizon is by early April.
Monthly candles show that February was an outside bar:
Daily <--> 4H <--> 1H candles show that February took out its low of the month right at the end of the month as well.
So ultimately, I expect the February low to hold, so long as I'm reading it right and price action is actually bullish, and so long as the fundamentals overall are actually bearish.
And there's no reason to be immediately bearish. Although price was rather abruptly rejected at $1,975, on the way up, there were no pivots or imbalances created. The pivot was just drawn at $1,810~. We can tell this because last week's candle was also an outside bar.
What I'm thinking is going to happen is that $2,000 will be achieved to clear out shorts and to trap breakout longs and hysterical top buyers.
After that, the US market maker will dump metals hard to put greater economic pressure on Xi Jinping's PBOC and CCP as the world attempts to make the Party fall so that they can invade China and establish globalism, which will lead to real worldwide communism.
Think of dumping metals as something of a soft sanction against China and Russia.
The idea of globalism is to have the CCP's social credit scheme become standardized everywhere on the planet, and then humanity will live in a two class system: one where there is a very small group of Gates/Clinton-type elites who lord from their "holy" ivory towers over a very large garbage dump of slaves scurrying around for scraps.
This is the plan. But over the very long course of history, a lot of governments and organizations have attempted to take over the world. World government has never worked out, and has always ended in disaster. Disaster, followed by a change of scenery.
This is why we find buildings from old cultures at the bottom of the ocean and buried in the Earth.
Be careful, and good luck.
An overview of the markets Overview of many markets - tech may be the canary for the overall stock market, oil could continue to 84-87 area, Gold is at heavy resistance and Dollar is a strong support, Bonds still look strong and maybe a safe haven play, BTC may tag 30k before all is said and done.
Good luck!
The 4th Dimension Trading i) 2D = Time / Price = Chart = Technical analysis
ii) 2D = Macro or / and Micro or / and other analysis
3D = Combining the above (i) & (ii)
4D = Projected time and price based on the past data and market developments
3 types of gold for trading:
• COMEX Gold
0.10 per troy ounce = $10.00
• E-mini Gold
0.25 per troy ounce = $12.50
• Micro Gold
0.10 per troy ounce = $1.00
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Gold targeting $2250 or higher - then a PauseAre you following my research? It amazes me that I can post a chart/video predicting something to happen 3 to 6+ months in advance, then sit back and watch it play out.
Gold has entered a new phase - much different than everyone thinks.
This is not 2009~2011 all over again. This is 2003~05 repeating.
The next phase of the US market trend, and Gold, will blow everyone away.
After reaching levels above $2200, Gold will stall for about 4+ months to levels just below $2000. Then, as we move past Q1:2024, Gold will begin to advance as uncertainty settles across the globe. near the end of 2024, I expect Gold to make a move higher - possibly targeting $2800 or higher. Into 2025, I suspect Gold will attempt to rally above $3000, but will quickly stall into a sideways trend as a new US President dictates policy/trends.
2026 is something we'll have to wait for to see how things play out. My research suggests Gold will continue to trend higher. But, there is a very strong possibility Gold will move above $4k before the end of 2026. So, we'll just have to see what happened with the elections in 2024.
Follow my research. Learn how I can help you stay ahead of these crazy market trends.
gold market strategic outlook bulls will target 2500 usdHello traders, today let's review a higher tf gold price chart.
Noteworthy compression into expanding triangle setup
in progress on 4days/candle price chart. Normally, this
is a bullish continuation pattern, since previously we
were in strong uptrend.
So overall, strong bull run in progress,
and the bear scenario was recently invalidated after heavy
reversal off the double bottom formation near 1625 USD.\
Heavy resistance overhead at 2 000 USD will likely provide
a pullback opportunity for the bulls, however this resistance
was tested twice already, so final re-test and then expect
resistance to break.
Based on measured move projection, bulls will target 2500 USD,
which is 40% gains setup after the pullback (entry near 1700/1740 USD).
Bulls should remain patient and not chase the current move,
short-term traders can focus on buying dips targeting 2000 USD.
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RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
Precious Metals are going places! Hi Traders
As we have been seeing very volatile markets in the past week, trading any direction currently is not easy. It is now, more important than ever, to stick to your strategy and do not let yourself be distracted from potential gains you are missing out on. The worst thing you can do to your portfolio is FOMO. Stay cool-headed and trade the obvious.
Precious metals are of interest to investors and traders currently due to arising macroeconomic uncertainties that have been evolving over the course of the past 3 years. But also recent news have been filled with a lot of FUD regarding the banking sector in the US, bailouts in a high interest rate environment and many more things happening currently. Crypto but also precious metals have seen fantastic gains since the start of the week, thanks to investor running away from the legacy markets and trying to find more safety in the digital and physical safe havens.
As Gold looks quite strong, I will be discussing a potential long trade idea below, please understand that gold is sitting on a strong resistance at 1920 USD that has historically been though to smash through, therefore sticking to the plan will be crucial for execution.
Here is my Game Plan for XAUUSD:
- Reclaim of 1910 entering range of between 1910 and 1930
- Hold above range for a significant amount of time
- Price needs to be trending upwards
- Smooth price action is a prerequisite for this trade
- Consolidation right under upper half of the violet box
- Entry upon break of box
- T1 1947 USD
- T2 1966 USD
- Stop will be disclosed once trade has been entered
Trading needs a plan, only a plan can give you orientation. Sticking to the plan means that you will have a reproducible procedure which can be assessed for mistakes and learnings. It is comparable to the scientific approach, the only difference is, a trader is not interested in facts, he is interested in gains.
Please make sure to leave a like and a comment if you liked what you have been reading.
Also follow me if you like my approach combining macroeconomic news, fundamentals and technical analysis.
Have a good one legends
Best
CH
Dollar & VIX ripping, Yields cratering, Stocks fallingGood Morning!
We've been mostly cash when it comes to #stocks. Been defensive as we have #GOLD #SILVER #BCH #BTC (#crypto #altcoins in personal) some $VIX & some bigger VALUE names, added some more today $AMGN $VZ as examples.
We've reduced the exposure as the direction seems south but anything can happen.
FEAR is the word. #Dollar ripping again & bond buying.
$DXY looks good & bounced off of support.
Look @ yields CRATERING again.
1Yr & 2Yr #yields COLLAPSING!
10Yr HOLDING MAJOR SUPPORT & back at level it was 2 days ago.
We noticed something some time ago & will post soon.
$VIX is trading in a new range now & closing in on the TOP part of range. 2 things can happen here. Either we rip through, likely causing a COLLAPSE in #stockmarket OR IT pulls back to the 23ish range and keep in this new range & fear eventually subsides.
WTI Crude Oil: Short Opportunity, Will it Back to under $60?Hello, Fellow Global Forex Trader. Here's a Technical outlook for Crude Oil!
Price Action Analysis
On the Daily Timeframe, USOIL is moving below EMA200. Then, the Commodity retested the multiple rejection area and formed a symmetrical triangle pattern, indicating a possible downside movement. The MACD Indicator made a death cross, signifying a potential downside movement to the target area.
On the H4 Timeframe, Crude OIl also created a breakout of the double top pattern, confirming the bearish scenario ahead.
All other explanations are presented on the chart.
The roadmap will be invalid after reaching the target/ resistance area.
Support the channel by smashing the rocket button and sharing your opinions in the comment below!
"Disclaimer: The outlook is only for educational purposes, not a recommendation to put a long or short position on the Crude Oil"
Precious Metals are flying, let me help you find an entryGood morning fellow traders,
With Silvergate and the Silicon Valley Bank collapsing last week, the new week will likely bring a lot of FUD and scare-mongering in the markets, fulling further macroeconomic uncertainties. As asset classes have all been trading lower in the past year, inflation is increasing to new all-time highs, and war waging in Ukraine, retail investors have already had a tough time keeping their money safe, now even the banks are collapsing, exposing even the banking sector to market risks. It is tougher than ever to keep your money safe, where do you store your values?
Understanding the macroeconomic factors, it makes a lot of sense to look at precious metals, to diversify your portfolio but also for trading. I like to trade in the same direction as the fundamental economic principle of an asset is applied. Precious metals have historically been a hedge against uncertainty and inflation, and with the downfall of Silicon Valley and its flagship banks, there hasn't been a better time to look at the shiny metals. Also, Gold and Silver have been trading in their respective ranges for more than a year now, being oversold as we speak, with all that in mind, let me help you find an entry for this potential trade opportunity!
Silver presents itself with more clear entry points than Gold.
Here is my Game Plan for Silver:
- Further consolidation around the resistance of 20.85
- Clear push above 20.85 and nearly touching 21
- Pullback onto 21.90
- Further consolidation of price between 20.80 and 20.95
- Entry upon price going through 21
- Stop: 20.6
- Target 1: 21.3
- Target 2: 21.9
I will be trying to skim most of my profits on Target 1 as precious metals did not have an easy start into the year and I am not 100% convinced so far that retail investors will panic into precious metals in a big way, for that to happen, we need a big bank going under in my opinion. But we could catch a move of spooked investors trying to save their money from further downside in the legacy markets.
With all this FUD in the markets, it is more important than ever to understand why checklists for trading are important to have, they prevent you from entering the market at the wrong moment. Be sure to follow me on my Tradingview for more checklists and ideas coming up this week.
Please like, share, and subscribe.
Have a great day champions!
Best
CH
PLATINUM SHORTWith the bank failures we've already experienced in the US and abroad, the markets are going to be volatile for the foreseeable future. We should see a sharp decline in metals as larger positions liquidate to cover other positions, as well as selling shares into the market as short positions increase could create a perfect storm.
USDOLLAR: Stronger Dollar Ahead As the Fed Remains Hawkish?Hello Fellow Global Forex Trader, Here's a Technical outlook for USDOLLAR!
Price Action Analysis
USDOLLAR is moving in the bullish continuation trend. Furthermore, a breakout of the descending broadening wedge pattern signals a potential bullish scenario. The MACD Indicator made a golden cross, signifying possible upside movement to the target area.
Fundamental Drives
- The Fed Officials Keep Up Hawkish Calls
- Rising U.S Treasury Yields
All other explanations are presented on the chart.
The roadmap will be invalid after reaching the target/support area.
Support the channel by smashing the rocket button and sharing your opinions in the comment below!
"Disclaimer: The outlook is only for educational purposes, not a recommendation to put a long or short position on the USDOLLAR"