XAUUSD-07/03/2023Preferred direction: BUY
Comment: Since writing the last metal idea (on Friday), buyers have been able to overcome the 1912 level, as we expected, and as we needed to fulfill the buy condition. Now, one of the best setups is located at the level of 1920, where one can place a pending buy order. The price area near this level will make nervous a large proportion of sellers, who will close their positions. Long potential is located at the level of 1938.915, that is very important in the medium term for buyers.
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GOLD-SILVER
$TNX looks interesting on the Weekly ChartThe consensus is LOWER #interestrates
(I mean, they have been around 3.2ish)
Every time the 10Yr #yield was in this same situation it FOLDED.
Easier to see on daily.
However, something looks lil different this time around.
Can't make it out on the daily.
Let's see the weekly chart.
Hmmm...
Not yet, but gaining momentum...
If the 10 Yr yield starts pumping this could be good for $DXY.
Likely mean the inverse for precious metals like #Silver & #Gold.
#stocks #crypto
TUDTudor Gold has reached my price projection zone for bottom of current wave structure but not quite to the time target yet . I'm thinking it could touch the daily gap in the next week or so . Anyway i've began adding shares at these levels . Tudor is one of the biggest players in the Golden Triangle area of BC .
tudor-gold.com
XAUUSD-06/30/2023Preferred direction: BUY
Comment: A potential BUY-position can be considered for GOLD if the price closes above the level of 1912. This level has a local significance, since it was from it that buyers were forced to exit the market and the price failed by 1893. The target in case of a purchase is at the level of 1938.915.
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$TNX in range and a comparison of Yields around 2008#Yield is moving well today.
1Yr is bouncing back better than 2 and 10Yr.
$TNX is not bouncing as much but has not sold off as much as the others. The 10Yr is trading between 3.80 - 4.08.
Did we see the top in short term #yields a few days ago?
10Yr on the other hand did not break the most recent high. Interesting to say the least.
The last picture shows the highs of the 2 yr and 10 yr right before the crash of 2008.
Interesting that almost everything happened in the month of June. Even when it was 3 different years! Hmmm.
***
Now let's compare what yields did around the 2008 crash.
***
The 2yr yield peaked @ 5.28% and it did it much earlier. It was almost 2 years before the 10Yr yield did. The 2yr also formed a lower higher in 2007 (5.13%) & peaked in June 2008, much lower @ 3%, before the real crash happened.
The 10yr didn't peak until June 2008. way after short term rates peaked. We also see that the peak was around 4.3%.
Stocks peaked in Oct 07 and the lower high was May 2008.
***
We are seeing something similar today. However, IMO everything happens faster today. We're keeping a close eye on lower highs in short term yields and we could be seeing this now. Time will tell.
This data is just like other data. Just past info to help weather the current & future storms.
UKOIL (BRENT)-06/29/2023Preferred direction: BUY
Comment: Oil has been trading in the range of 72.36 - 77.39. The most pleasant entry points are certainly located at the extremes, however, the current price attracts those formed by accumulation. Accumulated selling can well push the price up to the level of 76.30.
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Stubborn MarketsThe markets simply refuse to give up. The birds are speaking to them, but nobody listens.
Gold, still living inside a massive bearish wedge pattern, is almost ready to print a death cross.
The 1M, 2M and 3M timeframes print a similar picture.
The 2M chart is beginning to give in. Volatility between MAs is keeping these still glued together, unable to figure out the next move.
Either the best Golden Cross prints or the worst Death is soon to come.
Markets are weird. I always found incredibly interesting the period before the .com bubble.
Equities had just printed a death cross. After the post-1988 prolonged weakness, all support seemed to have been lost. Instead, the markets boomed.
It is at these extremes when the good and bad stuff happens.
I am getting annoyed from all the birds speaking, many of them bullish on gold, others bullish on equities.
The Gold Bird
Everybody wants to keep this fella alive!
The SPX Bird
Everybody wants to kill this poor fella!
With both birds SCREAMING, we cannot reach conclusions.
Gold Bulls are buying into their ultimate doom.
SPX Bears are selling into one of the most powerful bull runs we have witnessed.
It is the duel between them that will clear the picture.
Honestly, it looks like a Gold Cross is about to shape for equities, not for Gold!
Gold may instead take the black death-ish color.
Again, Buffett may be right after all... Japan + Oil = love-4-many-years
US Yield Rates show significant signs of strength.
The end of the 2nd Big Tech bubble is right around the corner...
Bird might be Peter's word. Don't be like Peter.
Remember: Trend is the trader's word.
(DXY) collapse of the US dollar?DXY is at a critical point right now at the end of May, The fact the United States is continuing to print cash non-stop and the fact our economy is slowly dying due to Cov-19, I believe the DXY is about to go on a harsh downtrend and maybe even revisit 2008 lows drastically affecting the strength of the USD and the economy as a whole. For sure gold and silver will be the safest bets for this upcoming crisis but how would Stocks and Crypto be affected by the result of the US dollar becoming weaker, and how can an average investor profit off this major event?
(Everything down below are for educational purposes only nothing i say is financial advice)
Stocks:
Overall most stocks will have a-lot of selling pressure and will most likely will continue to bleed intill the economy recovers
Gold and Silver:
Simple, When the dollar gets weaker gold and silver goes up thats why i its smart to have a good amount of savings into silver and gold assets so that you can maintain and grow your wealth during a crisis.
Cryptocurrency:
This is where a-lot of investors are divided and disagree about the future of Cryptocurrency. One half believe's that its the future and the market has huge potential while the other half believe's that most Cryptocurrency's are scams/Ponzi schemes and its not a real asset. in my opinion if the DXY does continue to go on a downtrend it will cause more buying pressure for Cryptocurrency's because of the fact nobody smart wants to hold cash if the value is decreasing rapidly over time. If your skeptical about Cryptocurrency 's I highly recommend you do research on both sides and then make your decision about the matter instead of just closing a blind eye too it.
Yields are beginning to push higher, not good for marketsYellow arrows show the #bank crisis.
Short term #yields are higher or at the same level.
They are showing signs of wanting to push higher again.
The 2Yr is lower & looks as if it's curling a bit higher.
The TVC:TNX or 10Yr is consistently lower & looks to be weakening.
Wall St may finally be listening to #Fed & more hikes coming.
XAUUSD-06/23/2023Preferred direction: Neutral
Comment: The sell-idea by 1900 is working out very well, and the approach to this level in the short term is highly likely. In the case of holding shorts, you should at least move to breakeven. For longs - you can gradually gain, or wait for the approach to 1900 and buy more aggressively.
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$DXY bouncing, as called. Other assets selling off, sans BTCThe US #Dollar looked like it was done selling off, @ least for now.
TVC:DXY has been pumping since the call we made on the 17th, Sat night.
The 4Hr looks like it may still have some more leg room. Likely pump a lil more.
Unless there's a change, #gold may sell off more from these levels.
Heavy selling in #silver as well.
#BTC holding, but it did fall more than the others. It is a higher volatility name.
#crypto
$DXY, Dollar, strength has been weakening for some time now,TVC:DXY has been weaker since our last call, cratering even
Lower highs since peak of Sept last year
Lower highs in recent trend since Nov 2023
Relative Strength breaking lower
AMEX:UUP also shows this as well
(The following is not seen here, sorry, pls check profile for more info)
Weekly TVC:DXY shows the weakness clearer
RSI hasn't been able to break past 50 (middle area)
This is the LONGEST US #Dollar has taken to break under the breakout area (blue arrows)
Historically, RSI @ these levels has stopped rallies
At the very least temporarily
Yields diverging, Yield Curve over? Bad news for stocks soon?We made a call that bond #yields were topping in early June
6M has cratered since then
1Yr sold off, bounced, pulling back again
2Yr & 10Yr TVC:TNX we stated likely topped long ago
HOWEVER, we recently stated that they looked stronger than the SHORT term #bonds
INTERESTING INDEED
#Yieldcurve coming to an end?
It's about POWER, not regulation, $BTC still in pattern!!!Haven't seen 1 account speak on what we've said for about 2 years now, in reference to gov & #CBDC and them not liking competition
NOT 1
Many #CEXs have asked for guidance & what have they received? NOTHING!
This is NOT about #crypto protection!
This is about CONTROL!
#DEX #BTC #GOLD #SILVER
ANYWAY
CRYPTOCAP:BTC still looks good.
Pattern we highlighted some time ago is STILL in PLACE.
Picked some #BTC up after hours last night.
Check the BUYS on 4Hr chart.
Shorts were not heavy so this is outright BUYING!
#Bitcoin still looks good imo!
#crypto
$DXY pumped as we called it, now what?Been away so didn't make calls on #yields after the expected run.
We called them going higher & stated same for the US $$$.
Now what?
#DXY still clawing higher
Although US #dollar is oversold it looks like it wants to keep going a bit more
#GOLD also moving higher
#Silver looks as if it wants to reverse as well
CRYPTOCAP:BTC moved but giving some back
#Commodities
Cup and Handle Breakout by 2025?: Bitcoin, Gold and Silver ReadyThrough meticulous analysis, the three charts displayed side by side present a captivating comparison between silver ( TVC:SILVER XAGUSD), gold ( TVC:GOLD XAUUSD), and Bitcoin ( BNC:BLX BTCUSD). Spanning from the 1970s to the present day, these charts provide a comprehensive view of the remarkable journeys undertaken by these assets.
The first two charts depict the price movements of silver and gold over the course of five decades, while the third chart illustrates the relatively short but remarkable trajectory of Bitcoin since its inception in 2010. What immediately catches the eye is the astonishing pace at which Bitcoin has achieved in just 13 years, what took silver and gold a staggering 53 years to accomplish.
However, the most striking aspect that commands attention is the unmistakable presence of a colossal "cup and handle" pattern, poised to complete its formation within the next two to four years. This pattern has been dissected into five distinct phases, revealing intriguing similarities across all three commodities.
1/ The initial phase witnessed a rapid surge in prices for all three assets, setting the stage for what was to come.
2/This was followed by a minor correction before another sharp increase in price.
3/ Subsequently, a prolonged period of slow and gradual correction ensued, testing the patience of investors.
4/ However, this was eventually followed by a steady bull phase, characterized by sustained upward momentum.
5/ As the cycle neared completion, another corrective phase emerged, followed by a steady rise once again. (Note: This phase is marked by a smaller cup and handle forming within the larger cup and handle, with completion at around the same time).
The question that naturally arises is: what lies ahead? Will there be a breakout to the upside after the completion of the cup and handle formation, expected to materialize within the next two to three years? The simultaneous indication of such a breakout across all three commodities is undeniably intriguing and warrants further exploration.
Furthermore, as we examine the intriguing cup and handle formations across silver, gold, and Bitcoin, it is crucial to take into account the profound shifts occurring in the global economic landscape. The traditional dominance of the petrodollar is facing significant challenges, with emerging trends indicating a potential end to its reign. BRICS nations, for instance, are increasingly engaging in domestic currency transactions, bypassing the need for the U.S. dollar as a medium of exchange.
The advent of Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) across numerous nations have introduced a new dimension to the evolving financial ecosystem. As these digital currencies gain traction, they have the potential to reshape the dynamics of international trade and cross-border transactions. This transition towards CBDCs further underscores the changing paradigm of global finance.
However, it is important to acknowledge the mounting tensions and conflicts that permeate the geopolitical arena. Wars, both physical and cyber, as well as potential hacking scandals between nations, have the capacity to disrupt and fracture the fabric of the current economic climate. These events have the potential to cause significant fluctuations in financial markets, including the prices of silver, gold, and Bitcoin.
When analyzing the broader financial and economic landscape, it is essential to consider the interplay between political developments, economic policies, technological advancements, and market dynamics. Geopolitical shifts and power realignments among nations can have far-reaching implications for asset valuations and investor sentiment.
In conclusion, as we explore the cup and handle formations in silver, gold, and Bitcoin, we must recognize the wider context of global transformations. The potential demise of the petrodollar, the growing influence of domestic currency transactions among BRICS nations, the rise of CBDCs, and the geopolitical tensions reshaping the world order are all factors that can significantly impact the future trajectory of these commodities. It is within this intricate interplay of forces that we seek to discern the catalysts that will drive potential breakouts and subsequent price movements. As the global economic landscape continues to evolve, adaptability and astute analysis remain essential for navigating the uncertainties and seizing opportunities in the ever-changing financial markets.
Disclaimer: Keep in mind that market predictions are about as reliable as a weather forecast in outer space. Use this analysis as a conversation starter, not as financial advice. Investing in cryptocurrencies carries risks, so do your homework and make informed decisions. Remember, no crystal balls here—just a pinch of insight and a dash of caution
🔥 Bitcoin = Digital Gold - More selling Ahead?Bitcoin has often been described as digital gold, even though the price has more closely followed the stock market. However, BTC has closely been following Gold since Sillicon Valley Bank went insolvent.
In my view, this has to do with the fact that people are hedging themselves against further banking crises and potentially losing large parts of their investments. Since Gold is highly liquid rare mineral which is always in demand, it makes a popular hedging product. Same goes for Bitcoin. Limited supply, highly liquid and great potential future growth.
I'm going to look at Gold for a while to try to predict Bitcoin's price action. Main question remains, for how long will BTC follow Gold? My best guess is that it will follow Gold until the banking sector is safe.
Do you think Bitcoin = Digital Gold? Share your thoughts.
GOLD, SILVER, COPPER. Is the latter leading the way?On this 1D chart we see Gold (XAUUSD) against Silver (XAGUSD) and Copper (HG1!) displayed by the orange, blue and black trend-lines respectively. There is a lot of worrying lately with Gold's pull-back since the mid-April High.
Even though Gold and Silver have made Higher Highs, Copper has been declining since since its late January High. On this chart we see that Copper has been a leading indicator to the other two in the past 2 years. When it started rising earlier, the other two followed shortly after. Similarly when is started falling and the others lagged, they followed suit.
As mentioned, Copper has started falling in the past 4 months while the other two lag and made Higher Highs. Does this mean we are about to see Gold and Silver start a strong decline?
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