$MAYwatching for a push above the breakout line for entry signal,
Green box is the target if we get entry signal.
currently backtesting the low for that "daily range" that sent the market lower into the 1 month consolidation.
A push above the ema's and into 95-96 price range will be but signal.. lets see.
FYI a lot of news coming from the US this month so got to be cautious.
GOLD-SILVER
$BTC crypto winters still here 👁🗨*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management
!! This chart analysis is for reference purposes only !!
Expect $DXY to rise and place even more pressure on crypto markets.
If you want to see more, please like and follow us @SimplyShowMeTheMoney
GDP RealityThe Federal Reserve will suggest they projected a slowdown in Economic activity.
Effect Indicated, Effect Observed.
Solid work.
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Outside of the Matrix, the Depression slumbers on within the confines of Real Sentiment.
....The Deal Breaker.
"7" was misstated - "6" is the GDI hedonic, it's been a long overnight Session, apologies.
XAUXAU breaks the Value area high and pulls back on a retest, we had this accumulation stage where XAU was very balanced as you can see on the VRVP we have this nice distribution curve.
We can look for a little pullback and try to buy the market if we see price start transacting above this ranging market.
Divide the SPX by the Producer Price Index = Wunderbar!Look at this investment roadmap between equities vs Gold and SIlver and their opposite correlation when inflation is running hot.
If you divide the SPX by the PPI (producer price index) of goods and services you get an amazing chart. While PPI is elevated, the broad equity market has major headwinds outperforming PPI but Gold and Silver shine very well in this time period.
The time to buy equities is when the broad market is outperforming PPI upon the "breakout" of these downtrends.
Happy Investing!
Every rally starts with a short coverPlatinum has been trending lower for more than four months, the March peak, and is finally showing signs of a potential bottom. Yesterday's whipsaw helped complete the right shoulder of an inverse head and shoulders pattern. Upon doing that, it also back-tested the trend line from its June peak, holding it as support perfectly. The large range consolidation over the last three days created a flag-like pattern, brining a coiling of strength to help pierce through the 21-day moving average this morning. The cherry on top is that Managed Money, hedge funds, have been net-short Platinum. This tells us that upon strength there will be short-covering. Not only in Platinum but SIlver and Gold too. In fact, Managed Money went net-short Gold as of last Tuesday for only the second instance in history. The first was at the exact 2015 low and the second was in the later innings of the 2018 sell-off. Managed Money going net-short metals is a contra indicator.
📉GOLD 21/07/2022: under $1700❗️📉 Priority direction: Downward.
📝 Description: Sellers broke support at $1700, thus confirming their dominance in the market. Sales priority is maintained. At the moment, we should expect a small pullback upwards, but it is unlikely that the price will be able to rise much above $1700 (be careful with longs). The $1690-$1700 price area is an interesting area to look for shorts. The fall is now limited to $1670.
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NAS100 BreakoutNAS100 breaks out of decending wedge and is now currently restesting top of trendline as support which happens to land on a Fib date .
Targets could be 0.5 at 13.8k , was waiting for retest to post and now it seems we might have that with a very strong open.
Amazing time fib reaction .
EURO U.S. DOLLAR FXCM : EURO BREAKOUT & USD BREAKDOWN IMMINENT!!FOLLOW, LIKE, AND COMMENT IF YOU APPRECIATE THIS ANALYSIS AND CONTENT. THANK YOU
Euro to USD is in a falling/descending wedge and has been for years against the dollar. In October of 2020 Euro had a failed breakout and came back down into the wedge. The apex of the wedge is nearing and I believe the EURO will break out of this wedge with a measured move of 1.48 and possibly higher after that level is reached. There is probably still a touch of the bottom support line of the wedge which could bring the EURO to .96 or so before the final move to the upside with the break of the upper resistance line of the wedge.
The USD has been in a bear flag/descending channel for years now against the EURO. The dollar looks like it has one more bullish drive to about 114 by around September of this year, before dropping to the bottom support of the channel/flag and retesting 96. At that point the dollar will either break right through without a bounce or if it bounces may try for 103 before its final descent down to about 67 which is the measured move of the bear flag.
These scenarios will both be invalidated if USD breaks to the upside and closes above 120ish on a weekly candle. I don't see this happening though because of many factors. Hyperinflation is right around the corner, if you think things are expensive now just wait and see when the printers really turn on. We haven't seen anything yet my friends, they were just testing the water to see how we would react to this inflation. What comes next will be epic.
This is not financial or trading advice this is just my opinion, thank you and good luck out there.
EURO U.S. DOLLAR FXCM : EURO BREAKOUT & USD BREAKDOWN IMMINENT!!FOLLOW, LIKE, AND COMMENT IF YOU APPRECIATE THIS ANALYSIS AND CONTENT. THANK YOU
Euro to USD is in a descending wedge and has been for years against the dollar. In October of 2020 Euro had a failed breakout and came back down into the wedge. The apex of the wedge is nearing and I believe the EURO will break out of this wedge with a measured move of 1.48 and possibly higher after that level is reached. There is probably still a touch of the bottom support line of the wedge which could bring the EURO to .96 or so before the final move to the upside with the break of the upper resistance line of the wedge.
The USD has been in a bear flag/descending channel for years now against the EURO. The dollar looks like it has one more bullish drive to about 114 by around September of this year, before dropping to the bottom support of the channel/flag and retesting 96. At that point the dollar will either break right through without a bounce or if it bounces may try for 103 before its final descent down to about 67 which is the measured move of the bear flag.
These scenarios will both be invalidated if USD breaks to the upside and closes above 120ish on a weekly candle. I don't see this happening though because of many factors. Hyperinflation is right around the corner, if you think things are expensive now just wait and see when the printers really turn on. We haven't seen anything yet my friends, they were just testing the water to see how we would react to this inflation. What comes next will be epic.
This is not financial or trading advice this is just my opinion, thank you and good luck out there.
BMIX BRAZILIAN MINERALS : PARABOLIC CURVE & DOUBLE BOTTOM! FOLLOW, LIKE AND COMMENT IF YOU APPRECIATE THIS CONTENT. THANK YOU
BMIX has a massive upside potential here. The double bottom W formation signaled the bottom and reversal into a bullish impulse. BMIX is going parabolic and could see 4 digit price for Brazilian Minerals before it tops out. This is just my opinion and not financial advice. Thank you and good luck.
USD Index versus Gold and Silver in EUR 2008-2011Most of the times, when USDX goes up, Gold and Silver go down. However, there are time periods in which USDX goes down along with gold and silver. Or times when USDX goes down and gold and silver go down. Such bad market times for gold and silver happen, however these tend to be somewhat short-lived. For longer periods of time, gold and silver tend to go up strongly especially when USDX goes down. It feels like we are in July-October 2008 all over again as USDX is up while gold and silver down. A year-long upward trend may be in the making shortly thus representing buying times now. When this happens, gold starts to move up first with silver lagging behind to find a bottom while USDX consolidates at high level to eventually drop
In less than half a day, I realized that silver still a scam!In search of a bottom in silver, I realized that protective actives will not protect anyone.
I looked at the historical chart of silver and was horrified.
The asset that can be bought during the great depression (if lived at that time) is gold and silver. Silver had its own hype in 1865. But before that, silver was worth the dollar, 1 dollar is one ounce. After the release, silver fell in price right up to the Great Depression and depreciated by 80%.
Since 1932, gold has made 83x, silver from the bottom until today 66x. But that doesn't mean you have to buy now. Indeed, since 1865, silver has grown in price only 5.5 times. It is absolutely clear that earlier silver and gold were beaten with money, then they lost their value, but through various crises they turned into a defensive asset, but again did not turn into money. On the contrary, people only began to understand at the beginning of the 20th century that value can beat not only in metals, but in stocks and other various assets. Perhaps this led to the Great Depression, too high hopes for the growth of the economy, caused that people began to buy new financial instruments in bulk. After that, it turned out that gold and silver still have some value as an asset when there is stagnation and no development. But look around, technologies are developing, innovations are being created every day. Maybe someday it will end, but definitely not today.
Now there is a distribution of precious metals, and gold and silver have huge cycles.
This is how I'm being clever after I realized from the chart that gold and silver can only protect against inflation in the LONG TERM. The key word is long term. And after such a gigantic growth, an ordinary correction can hit against the background of which no one will receive any protection from inflation, but only kills.
Because against the backdrop of an increase of 8000% since 1932, even 20% inflation looks ridiculous.
In such a situation, you can wait for growth indefinitely, and the loss is getting right now. What do we see. Only such an interpretation makes it clear that now is not the time to buy gold or silver in order to get rich next year.
Look at the chart for a potential gartley butterfly. Bottom-9. Bottom-9!
XAUUSD XAUUSD Daily is still in the range of fair price currently, but it seems the rising interest rates is seeing money leave to other assets, the upper boundary of the VRVP has been tested twice now and a strong double rejection, So have my eyes on the low at $1680, this level has lots of liquidity now, and if price breaks this level numerous stop losses are going to be triggered, how do you close a long position? by selling so this can create volatility as price breaks the boundary of VRVP, we have seen XAU rise like wildfire under the high inflation environment, the real question is, is this price fair when we head into an interest rate phase of progressively higher rates, and In my opinion it is not, if $1680 goes we see we have very limited market orders all the way back down to $1200/$1300 and as a long term target I believe this is likely to be the final destination as Inflation is countered by strong rates.
Gold Fractals Align - Could See A HUGE Price Swing HigherCycles & Fractals are aligning for an aggressive move higher in Gold & Silver.
If my research is correct, a similar fractal is setting up right now compared to the one from the GFC (2008-2011). I believe we are at a peak in the Gold/Silver ratio and we could see an aggressive move downward in this ratio over the next 6~18+ months - sending Gold and Silver MUCH HIGHER.
Follow my research and learn to protect and grow your wealth. There are still decent stocks/ETFs to trade - but now is the time to be SUPER CAUTIOUS.
Gold/Silver/Bonds should begin to move higher as FEAR takes over the markets.
Gold Chart with Bonus hidden divergence tutorial.Okay so here we have a daily chart for XAU we can see price is under the ema89, price has been ranging sidewards now since 16th May, so we need eventually for the pressure to build and a forceful expansion happen, the daily candle printing in 33 mins looks very bearish and we could look to take sell trades and attempt to sweep the longs in the market, as Interest rates start to climb, Xau can come up to considerable pressure. Rvi divergences are a simple and free method of finding hidden divergences in swing highs and lows ect, you can see in this chart how sometimes it will give you a good warning of a potential reversal.
SPX S&P 500 INDEX : MINOR CORRECTION THEN RALLY TILL 2030 $40kPLEASE LIKE FOLLOW AND COMMENT BELOW IF YOU APPRECIATE THIS CONTENT. THANK YOU
SPX is just taking a break before continuing on its rally for the next ten years. This market is just getting warmed up and all the bears and naysayers are going to be melted away when they see how high we go and how fast we get there. Its going to leave most behind, but isn't that the point of these bear traps? Not everyone can get rich so the few that stray away from the herd, and the mainstream news nonsense, will make out like bandits in the end. This is not trading or financial advice this is just my opinion.
035. PIGGISH PLAY - Long Royal Gold Inc. (RGLD)Royal Gold Inc. is now positioned for the holy grail of bullish baggers. The bags on this trade are so big that I had to steal a pot from some greedy leprechaun in order to fit all the potential gains in one location. For a visual perspective of the potential gainz on this trade, see the upper-right-hand part of the chart for the 'Pig Pot'.
I also sometimes keep weed in there, so please leave that bag alone/let me know if you happen to find it.
I. Fundamental Briefing:
This will be the second Pig Play in a row where I touch upon the fundamental situation of the underlying company's financials. I usually prefer to keep it technical because that is the only moral basis to take a trade. But the fundamental picture needs to be addressed for RGLD because it is actually undervalued. That's right - in what must be the frothiest market in American history, we have ourselves a SEVERELY UNDERVALUED stock that just released a heroic quarterly report. Not only is this company operationally best-in-class, but it just cleared the remainder of its payable notes while also securing an enormous line of credit, if needed. This is an important detail because it hints at a potentially aggressive strategy with acquisitions and property expansions galore. For those less acquainted with the precious metals industry, there is a particular category of company that operates as a collector-of-sorts, whereby it simply takes a royalty from operations on the properties it owns. These properties are usually large plots of land that contain one or multiple mines that are available for digging by the mining companies that have a contractual right to do so. Once the refined product is sold to third-party retailers (presumably by the mining companies, but could be other parties at times), Royal Gold proves its namesake by collecting a royalty at the time of sale.
Aside from Royal, the other major royalty player in this space is Franco Nevada, which I also personally like, but is not nearly as undervalued as our guy here. The bottom fundamental line is that it's great! If you want to know more or don't believe me, take a glance at their latest quarterly numbers and guidance for 2022.
II. Technical Picture:
Much like what RGLD does, I have discovered the locations of the largest mines in the chart and identified them as such. The geometric form on the left side of the chart is a rather complicated arrangement of triangles and circles that are drawn to form golden rectangles and other such sacred angles. This sort of 'geometric' style of technical analysis is both difficult to teach and actually use for accurate projections. It is not a set of techniques that is practical to use intraday because of how time consuming it is to get precise projections. In any case, I have manipulated and contorted a few of the angles and distances to project out where the bullish and bearish landmine hits are likely to occur in time and in price.
It just so happens that there are a string of harmonically-spaced LANDMINES set to explode in perfect order in the days and weeks to come. I will say that I've never seen such a perfect array of bullish line extensions like this and am very excited to buy and hold and do nothing for once. For the record, its laughable that people actually brag about their success with this strategy when there is legitimately nothing to it - especially if it is an alt-coin.
To wrap this up before the opportunity disappears, the reason why this is so special is because there is a very high chance that you can use short-term options like you would any run-of-the-mill pure equity play. That is, between the dates of ~ February 11th and July 18th, there is hardly any resistance that will cause this move much trouble. If anything, it might delay the inevitable continues rally to 150+, but that can be easily dealt with by having the right options strategy (see next section).
III. Pig Spec's and Other Entry Details:
Unlike most of my plays, this one has farther-spaced contract expiration dates. There are only 4 to choose from between now and July 18th. They are as follows:
a) March 18th
b) April 14th
c) June 17th
d) July 15th - (its as if the makers know about the July 18th cutoff)
The way I am going to play this is to distribute all of my allotted capital to the April 14th expiration. That is, 100% of the capital is going toward three different strikes, all for April 14th. I am going to enter these three strikes tomorrow, see below for details:
BUY LONG CALLS ON RGLD (80% of Total Capital)
BUY LONG CALLS ON RGLD (20 % of Total Capital)
That is all for now, see reasoning section below for strategic explanation.
IV. Options Strategy Explained:
The way I would like to play this is to mimic the process of buying and holding equity with the expectation of higher prices and steady gains. This is mainly because of the very low probability that the stock trades below 115 for the period between now and mid-July. I am making this assumption based on some of the characteristics of the particular geometric structure of the chart and the timing of the major underlying trends in precious metals.
As far as strike selection goes, 110 is an extremely safe level from here on out. As it stands today, the premium structure is such that you can pay proportionately the same for the 115 and 120 strikes without incurring an additional cost for this safety. This deal exists for the 4/14 110 strike, but it will not last, so I advise entering swiftly at some point during the trading day tomorrow. The only barrier for this strike is the higher cost per contract, which is why the saying goes, "it takes money to make money." Still, with the protection it offers in this spot, Id much prefer to own half the number of contracts with less than a quarter of the implied risk.
To this last point of having to tradeoff between safety and number of contracts owned - the solution lies in the remaining 25% of allotted capital going towards the much more aggressive 130 strike for the same expiry. While I say "aggressive" with a straight face, it is a little comical to call it as such given some of the other plays I've made in the past. The point is that this trade is golden and proof of this lies in how un-aggressive the aggressive portion of the position is.
Unlike the SBUX play, this one is slower and more methodical and may last until mid-July. Therefore, I do not foresee making many changes to the above setup, in terms of the options held. I will provide an updated plan around mid-March depending on how much RGLD moves from now until then. Otherwise, I will not provide mid-play guidance for this one, unless something extremely strange happens where gold gets outlawed or something in the next couple of months.
America has outlawed gold before, so it wouldn't totally shock me. Sort of kidding, but whats great is that it represents the biggest risk that I can see with this trade.
= Bagz Galore
-King-Pig
NASDAQ:RGLD
AMEX:GLD
TVC:GOLD
TVC:SILVER
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
COMEX:GC1!
MCX:SILVER1!
AMEX:GDX
AMEX:GDXJ
FTX:PAXGUSD