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GOLD-SILVER

Is still the Energy a Good Bet in perspective of recessionEnergy sector it’s the best performing market sector in 2022 instead of the latest evolution of Oil. Evolution of energy sector its close correlated with war between Russia & Ukraine. But we need to recap last week’s events. Russia shut down its Nord Stream 1 natural gas pipeline last week for “maintenance” and will thereby provide Europe with a preview of how will looks winter this year. Instead of opening terminal in Estonia from Norway and new delivery from Spain, or imports from Canada & Qatar Europe can’t replace completely Russian energy and Europeans will have higher bills for energy-related products. Its expected price caps but this will result in more shortage of Gas & Oil. There is a growing possibility in the case of a regime change in Russia that could disrupt the crude oil and natural gas markets. We support this idea because of latest development of war, Ukrainian soldiers regain 6000 KM2. Also, six of Putin’s allies have been shot or blown up, so Putin’s inner circle is becoming increasingly isolated. “Special operation” support is lowering because of Europe sanctions from 85% to 68% according to Levada.ru press agency. In the event that there is a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine, post-Putin, the stock market could explode 40% to the upside. However, as long as Putin remains in power, the Ukrainian war is expected to persist in a long, and we will have high price of energy. We reduce our profitable positions this week in anticipation of pervious scenario. After last days of Ukrainian Army advance we can see already a turning point of conflict. We closed some energy positions like Alvopetro (Alvof) and Petroleo Brasil (PBA) +30% opened in March because we had important gains from price appreciation and large dividends, with higher risk of president Jair Bolsonaro intervention in companies’ administration. We anticipate Corporate Earnings to decline except Energy. We remain skeptical that a new Iranian nuclear deal will be announced in the upcoming weeks because this will affect Bidden administration and relationship between USA and Israel. What About US Inflation U.S. inflation may have peaked, but at high levels thus forcing the Fed to remain restrictive. Strong dollar, high mortgage rates, lower commodity prices, lower demand, and reduced supply chain pressures are likely to help reduce inflation over the next year. The U.S. dollar should stabilize over the medium-term amid hawkishness from other central banks and slowing economic data this is positive for growth stocks in short term. Right now, CPI was published and is above expected values but market overreacted this bad news. Today’s CPI report wasn’t a game changer. A “better balance” in the labor market would be a game changer for CPI next months because higher vacancies-to-unemployment ratio fuels inflation. Just read Societe Generale opinion below: Societe Generale Research discusses the USD outlook and sees the currency rally close to its peak. "Aggressive fiscal reaction to higher energy prices encourages our belief that while the euro and pound won’t stage significant rallies until the we’re closer to the end of the energy crisis (and the end of the war in Ukraine), the dollar’s peak isn’t very far away," SocGen notes. "A period of EUR/USD and GBP/USD trading in low ranges is more likely than fresh 10% fall from here and it’s much more likely the next 10% move in USD/JPY is down, rather than up, too," SocGen adds. We can see at the end of the year decline in USD and we acquired new positions on Gold, Silver and Banks European Index (EXX1), also new positions in Citi (C) Societe Generale Bank (GLE). Right now, we have a late cycle development and we prefer equities instead of fixed income like bonds. Not all equities are good to own right now, we select just strong companies with large cash flow from sectors like Healthcare, Consumer Samples and Utilities, Renewable Energy. We favor commodity and companies that mine uranium and lithium for Green Energy Industry. Good green Companies: ENPH Enphase Energy, Inc. SEDG SolarEdge Technologies, Inc. VWS Vestas Wind Systems A/S PLUG Plug Power Inc. FSLR First Solar, Inc. ED Consolidated Edison, Inc. ORSTED Orsted RUN Sunrun Inc. EDP-Energias de Portugal SA 968 Xinyi Solar Holdings Ltd. 541450 Adani Green Energy Limited 9502 Chubu Electric Power Company,Incorporated BE Bloom Energy Corporation Class A SGRE Siemens Gamesa Renewable Energy, S.A. DQ Daqo New Energy Corp Sponsored ADR Best Lithium Producers Albemarle Corporation (NYSE:ALB:US) Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium (OTC Pink:GNENF,SZSE:002460) Lithium America Corp (LAC) Sociedad Quimica y Minera S.A. (NYSE:SQM:US) Allkem (ASX:AKE, OTC Pink:OROCF) Some of the problems that markets will have to face in the near future: Increased food and energy prices are causing acute trade imbalances and civil disorder in the most vulnerable countries. Europe will enter to recession. China, COVID pandemic continues, massively affecting its economy. Simultaneously, the Chinese property complex – key to Chinese economic growth – is now under dire stress. Greatest fiscal tightening in history as governments withdraw COVID stimulus will impact companies’ margins and profitability. Population decline will pose threats to economic growths. No single G7 country’s is producing new born at replacement rate. Climate problems, higher temperatures, on all continents will have a major impact for agriculture next years. We see now all vectors for an epic super-bubble because all of the assets, stocks, bonds, houses are overvalued. Right now we experience first stages with inflation and interest’s rates surge but will have sooner than later lower corporate margins and unemployment.
SP:SPN
by topfxinvest
Market update: megacaps stay down, metals hold up $qqq $slvMega caps make large percentages in the indices now a days. So if mega caps sell off, you better be certain the rest of the market is going with it. this 5% ish drop in nasdaq and tech related stocks places some of the megacap at significant levels. I hope they can hold their support, or else bad things happen. And doesnt it make sense that if inflation theme is sticking around, that the precious metals do their job and keep up with inflation? I mean what a battle between interest rates rising and overall money supply, am i right :D Come one people, silver for example is in the same price range it was 2008 and still is below all time highs from the 70s and 80s. Precious metals havent done anything in a decade. Either precious metals dont work as inflation hedges, or the party is just getting started. Ill have the answer in a decade, cuz thats how long it takes historically to find out, (not a joke). META SLV PLTM AAPL QQQ
NASDAQ:META
by ValuePig
$AERC back in after selling the top 👁‍🗨*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks* *My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences* *Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management My team entered interior air space purification company Aeroclean Technologies $AERC today at $10.60 per share. Last time we entered we didn't intend for it be a tradingview trade, but we ended up walking away with a 20.9% gain before it fell to its current share price. If $AERC starts running, we do not intend to hold it for very long. We would like to be out before Thursday. OUR ENTRY: $10.60 STOP LOSS: $10 If you want to see more, please like and follow us @SimplyShowMeTheMoney
ALong
by SimplyShowMeTheMoney
4
Called it Perfectly. August 27 till now - LOVE IT. Were you following my research? On August 27, 2022, I predicted Bitcoin would fall to below $18,800 near a critical inflection point (9-6~9-8), then form a quick base and begin an incredible new rally phase up to $35k to $30k. Watching Bitcoin move downward and struggle near the $18,800 level was incredible. I posted a comment that we should see Bitcoin begin a new rally phase very quickly on Wednesday (9-7). Waking up today to see Bitcoin +$1700 and seeing the size of this rally phase confirmed my analysis was SPOT ON. All of this was done with my ADL predictive modeling system. It can be an incredible resource when interpreted accurately. Stay tuned; more to come - and keep an eye out for the $30k+ range/top for Bitcoin.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by BradMatheny
Bitcoin should be very close to a major bottom right nowMy analysis suggests Bitcoin needed to move below the $18.9k level in order to setup a new momentum base - then launch to levels above $25k (possibly targeting $30k or higher). I suggest Bitcoin traders start to look for a base/bottom setup below $18.8 (if possible) as I expect a very big rush to safety taking place over the next 60+ days. I believe this flight to safety will be the result of some geopolitical event - not a Fed event. Possibly China/Russia or somewhere else. My research suggests the second half of 2022 is highly likely to include a major cycle inflection trigger. Watch OIL, GOLD, SILVER, US Dollar and other major indexes. Something very big is going to hit between now and the end of September 2022. Bitcoin should start to bottom and then move above $23k fairly quickly - possibly within 10+ days.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by BradMatheny
UKOil (Brent) 4H TA : 09.01.22 In this chart, we can see the possible price trends of Brent oil! 2 scenarios are specified on the chart based on the probability of each occurrence! Follow us for more analysis & Feel free to ask any questions you have, we are here to help. ⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ... 👤 Arman Shaban : @ArmanShabanTrading 📅 09.01.2022 ⚠️(DYOR) ❤️ If you apperciate my work , Please like and comment , It Keeps me motivated to do better ❤️
TVC:UKOILLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
33
Gold & Silver - Best Investment Options in a RecessionWhen the stock market takes a nosedive, people tend to flock to safe investment options such as gold and silver. As a result, these precious metals tend to see an increase in demand during economic downturn, as well as following them. This makes sense because there are many advantages that come from investing in gold and silver during turbulent times. They’re non-correlated assets with low correlation to other asset classes, which makes them ideal for those who want to diversify their portfolio. Moreover, both of these commodities have inherent value. Even if the economy tanks and stock prices plummet, gold and silver will always be worth something – which isn’t true for stocks or most other financial assets. Gold is a safe haven in times of recession Gold’s role as a safe haven in times of recession can be seen in both the 2001 and 2008 global financial crises. When the US and many other countries were experiencing recessions, gold’s price increased. This is because many investors use gold as a defensive investment. In fact, many financial advisers recommend that one should own at least 10% of their portfolio in gold during economic downturns. When other investments such as the stock market aren’t doing well, it’s nice to have a backup that will still hold its value. Contrary to popular belief, gold’s performance isn’t tied to the health of the US economy. In fact, gold tends to do better during times of economic instability. This is because the precious metal is seen as a safe haven when the rest of the economy struggles. Performance of Gold during 01 & 08 Gold pays dividends Yes, We know what you’re thinking. But in a literal sense, gold pays dividends. If you own physical gold (not just certificates), you can actually sell it to a gold refiner and receive cash. While doing this won’t earn you a passive income, it will allow you to turn your gold into money. Because gold has a relatively low interest rate, it’s not a good idea to invest in a gold-backed financial instrument. However, some companies mine gold, and you can buy shares in these companies. Essentially, you will be receiving dividends from these companies, some of which are large global firms. While there are a few gold stocks worth investing in, most aren’t worth the risk. This is because many companies that mine gold are risky, unstable investments. That said, some gold stocks pay large dividends, making them a good choice for investors who want to earn passive income from their investments. Our projections for Gold Minning ETFs Barrick Gold (NYSE:GOLD) Gold is a hedge against inflation As we mentioned earlier, gold is a hedge against inflation. What this means is that when inflation rises, gold’s value tends to increase. In the United States, consumers have experienced inflation in the past. In fact, inflation rates have been steadily rising since 2009, and they show no signs of slowing down. As the Federal Reserve continues to increase interest rates, consumers can expect to see more inflation in the near future. As a result, it’s a good idea to hedge against inflation by investing in gold. While inflation makes it difficult to pay off debts, it’s actually a good thing for gold investors. That’s because a little bit of inflation is actually good for gold prices. Silver is also worth considering during recessions Like gold, silver is a precious metal. During recessions, silver tends to increase in price, and it’s often a good investment choice for people who want to diversify their portfolio. Silver has several advantages over gold, making it ideal for some investors. For one thing, silver is less expensive than gold. That makes it cheaper to buy and sell. Silver is also more plentiful than gold, making it easier to find and mine. While both gold and silver are great investment options, silver also tends to do better in times of economic instability. DXY Conclusion All in all, there are a number of reasons that gold and silver are the best investment options during a recession. Both of these commodities have inherent value, unlike stocks and many other financial assets. Furthermore, they’re non-correlated assets that are less likely to be affected by economic downturns than most other assets. During times of economic instability, demand for gold and silver increases, causing their prices to rise. This makes them ideal for investors who want to diversify their portfolio without incurring too much risk.
TVC:SILVERLong
by EQTSHARES
$BTC short idea Plan and Trigger This is not a prediction this is a plan.. If this happens do this.. The plan here is IF BTC 1. breaks below PWO - Previous Week Open, 2.Breaks below rising Trendline, 3.Breaks below R2-H (Range 2 High(thats the trigger to go short with Targets marked on chart. Target 1 = R1-L (Range 1 Low) Target 2 = R2-Mid (Range 2 Mid) Notice the inefficient and fast move up noted on the chart. these usually get filled so if we trade in to this candle range i suspect a fast down move to follow.
by gillman_hugh
$XAUUSD Gold going to plummet due to $DXY dollar wrecking ballPlease check out my analysis on DXY I did which explains the time tables and variables. If I was any other currency (but Swiss) - I'd be buying gold and silver (physical). Your central banks will print away to appease the plebs as they start to install a ecurrency social credit score system. If I was American I'd wait a bit to buy gold and silver at least if you're going to do it - buy half physical now, buy some puts on some miners (they fall harder when gold falls) and then use any dry powder to buy more physical. I anticipate that there will also be nationalization of resources and sectors - so mining stocks won't be a good go to unless you're investing in $NEM, since America will be the last to nationalize. Some countries may just tax windfall profits like they're considering with oil companies. This would drop the stock so physical is the only way to go. If you make money on the puts, use that also to buy more physical.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by EmptyEternity
$GAL $GAL.AXThis is how i would play GAL. So much to explain could do with a video. But anyway il try explain. Identified three ranges. R1 R2 and R3.. H=High, L=Low and Mid = Mid range. Price rejected R2 High and is currently consolidating between R2 H and R2 Low... Plan A looking for entry on retest of R3 H or deep to R3 Low. This level has not been retested yet. Will look for entry on 15 or 5 minute tf using the EMA cross and some sort of falling resistance break. T1 = 1.255 T2 = 1.330 If it trades below the MID range and holds im not interested and will have to re-evaluate.
ASX:GAL
by gillman_hugh