SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 10-7 - SPY Cycle Patterns RoadmapThis week, I'm trying something I started over the last week or two - a "Roadmap" of what I expect to see price do going forward 7-10+ days.
Now, this is something most people won't do because it presents a "live or die" outcome. Either I'm going to be right (or somewhat right) about price action and can live with my expectations - or, I'm going to be completely wrong about all of my expectations and it will prove to be a failed exercise in the use of my SPY Cycle Patterns.
So, at this point - you know I'm hoping price does exactly what I expect it to do.
I started doing this about 2 weeks ago. I just started calling it the "Roadmap" for traders (tieing into the Plan Your Trade concept).
What I'm trying to do is to show you how I use my SPY Cycle Patterns (and other analysis techniques) to try to stay ahead of market trends. And you can learn to do this as well.
It just takes time, practice, and knowledge.
So, as we start the week out in early October - let's see how this plays out and if we get any surprises with price action.
I spend quite a bit of time going over BTCUSD today - pay attention.
Get some.
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GOLD-SILVER
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade 10-4 End Of Week Wrap-upWhat a great week overall! My SPY Cycle patterns worked fairly well to target buy/sell zones 4-7+ days in advance and really provided some much-needed guidance for traders this week.
I've been getting emails and messages from many traders telling me how my research and SPY Cycle Patterns have changed their lives.
It sure makes things easier when you have this level of information about the future of price trends/ranges, right?
As we head into the weekend - let's take some time to help those around us that need our assistance. After the recent Hurricane, I'm sure people within your reach need a little assistance.
Remember, this is when we, as Americans, need to stand up and help fellow Americans.
Be safe, and see you on Monday.
Get some.
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Understanding Excess Phase Peak Patterns In More DetailThis video helps traders identify and understand Excess Phase Peak patterns in more detail, particularly in relation to current market trends.
Remember, these patterns are the constructs of all price action/activity. So, if you can learn to see, understand, and trade these patterns, you should be able to pick apart any chart - on any interval.
What's most important is for you to build your knowledge and understanding of price data. Price is the ultimate indicator.
Indicators and other systems are great to help you see and understand what price is doing - but PRICE is the real RAW SOURCE of all data. So, learning to understand better what price is doing is critical to improving your skills and trading abilities.
Hope this video helps.
Get some.
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Gold Shakeout - Fed Comments/UD-Dollar - Rally TimeGold saw a huge shakeout this morning, as the Fed commented, and the move in the US dollar put some extreme pressure on metals.
The funny thing is this move ended almost as fast as it started - and now metals are rallying again.
Why?
The Fed is trying to transition into a more global friendly position - allowing foreign nations to become more competitive with the US Dollar. China recently went ALL IN on a resurgence economy - betting the US Fed is going to move towards more Dovish rate cuts. This bet may be the downfall of China if the Fed changes direction near the end of 2025.
The US dollar is still the biggest, badest currency on the planet. As Gold rises while the US Dollar rises - you are seeing global traders attempt to hedge global risk factors in precious metals while the US Dollar/Economy continues to be the 900lb Gorilla of the world's economies.
Things could get very interesting through the US election. Sit tight - buckle up and prepare for some very big moves in the markets over the next 60-90+ days.
Get some.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 10-4 :Up-Down-Up Pattern (Counter)Today's pattern is an Up-Down-Up in Counter Trend mode. Thus, I expect to see and Dn-Up-Dn pattern today.
This pattern reflects today and the previous two days - as Down - Up - Down in range.
Overall, I expect today to be rather muted in terms of total range. Price should stay muted, sideways and drift downward overall.
Additionally, I believe the markets will be attempting to settle into support headed into dual base/bottom/momentum rally patterns setting up this weekend. I believe these patterns reflect a momentum shift that will launch the markets upward next week.
Gold and Silver will melt-upward today - likely attempt to settle the week near weekly highs.
BTCUSD is struggling to start forming a base near the 59k-20k levels. It will likely take 4-5 days for BTCUSD to actually build enough momentum to roll out of this basing pattern.
So, today is a day to prepare for the weekend and for next week's trading activity.
Sit back and take it easy today as price settles into the weekend's shifting momentum.
Get some.
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ES Setting Up Excess Phase Peak Pattern - Stay Cautious Today.This price volatility has setup some very interesting price patterns on the chart. Particularly multiple Excess Phase Peak patterns on the ES chart.
My analysis suggests the ES must attempt to find support above the 5738 level, otherwise the ES (and NQ) will likely attempt to move downward into the #3, #4 and #5 stages of the Excess Phase Peak pattern.
This short video highlights how to use the Excess Phase Peak Patterns for your trading.
Stay cautious today. Price is very volatile and it is likely that we are seeing capital react to external news (again).
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 10-3 : Reversal Rally DayOver the past few days, I've posted 4-5+ videos highlighting my SPY Cycle Patterns and how these help traders plan and prepare for future price action/trades.
Today's Reversal Rally pattern should prompt a moderately strong upward price move in the SPY/QQQ. I'm expecting the SPY to attempt to rally up into the 572-573 range today - maybe a bit higher. The QQQ may attempt to rally up into the 487-489 range today.
Gold and Silver are working through a Temporary Bottom pattern today. This pattern usually starts with a moderate downward price move (setting up a base) and then rolls upward. So, I expect Gold to attempt to move back up to the 2680-2685 level today, and I expect Silver to rally up to the 32.12-32.25 level today.
BTCUSD is stuck in the Excess Phase Peak setup's downward (rolling base) pattern. This rolling base will likely take more than 2-4 days to resolve before we'll start to see BTCUSD move into the FLAGGING stage of the Excess Phase Peak pattern.
This suggests BTCUSD will struggle over the next 4 to 7 days before resolving into a moderate uptrend (the FLAGGING stage) - leading to a make-or-break price move sometime near October 15-19 or so. That make-or-break move could be huge depending on how BTCUSD resolves the end of the FLAGGING phase.
Get Some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade 10-2 End Of Day Review.For those of you following my research and SPY Cycle Patterns, this video helps to understand where we are within the SPY Cycle Patterns (and also the GOLD Cycle Patterns) while providing context and information related to future trends.
I suspect the price will follow my "Buy Here" and "Sell Here" levels very closely, as this week's price rotation seems very clear.
Most traders should have no problem trying to understand where opportunities exist after the recent Harami and CRUSH patterns collided into one bigger downward sweep of price. Over the last few days, the Israeli/Lebanon conflict became a focal point, and prices reacted to this news.
Now that the issue seems to have passed (a bit), the markets will return to doing what they do.
Watch this video and post any questions you may have.
The rest of this week should be a great opportunity for skilled traders.
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade 10-2 CRUSH Pattern UpdateThe SPY is searching and seeking support early in trading today.
I believe this attempt to find support will fail, and the price will continue downward, attempting to find lower support.
Watch this video as price attempts to identify direction and trend.
Get Some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 10-2 : CRUSH Pattern TodayPlease take a minute to watch this video related to my SPY Cycle Patterns and today's CRUSH pattern.
Although I expect the markets to find support over the next 2-3 days and resume the rally higher, today's CRUSH pattern will likely prompt the markets to sell downward, looking for support.
I've clearly laid out the rotations I expect for the SPY/QQQ, and Gold/Silver in this video.
I've also shown why I believe BTCUSD will struggle to move away from the $57k to $61k level over the next 10 to 15+ days. It is likely trapped in a rolling base/bottom pattern, moving into the Flagging stage of the Excess Phase Peak pattern.
The markets are struggling for direction right now, but I believe the outcome for the SPY/QQQ is still bullish and I believe Gold and Silver will make a very big move higher into the end of this year.
Bitcoin is another story. It is searching for support and may break downward if this Excess Phase Peak pattern unfolds correctly.
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 10-1 : Amazing Harami PatternI wanted to create a video highlighting some of the success my SPY Cycle Patterns have had over the past few weeks and months for all of you.
Many of you don't comment on my videos but follow my research intently. I see my videos getting 250 to 400+ views daily - so I know many of you are seeing my content. And that makes me happy because I'm doing this to help you become a better, more skilled trader.
Yet, after the last few days of price rotation, and particularly today's big news day, I'm absolutely amazed that if the SPY closes above 750.45, we may end up with a true Harami-Inside price pattern.
I want all of you to consider something for just a few minutes. My SPY Cycle Patterns are built on Fibonacci and GANN technology, which attempts to map out price patterns in a matrix. From this matrix, I can develop complex lookup engines (an inference engine) that attempt to map the current price pattern with known data from the matrix.
By doing this, I can map out any construct or type of price action/pattern that happens within price—now, in the past, or in the future. And, with my complex inference engine, I can map the Fibonacci/GANN structures nearly forever into the future.
For example, here are the SPY Price Patterns for the first two weeks in November 2036...
11/1/2036 Top/Resistance
11/2/2036 GAP Potential
11/3/2036 GAP-Reversal
11/4/2036 GAP/BreakAway
11/5/2036 Break-Away
11/6/2036 Carryover
11/7/2036 Inside-Breakaway
11/8/2036 Break-Away
11/9/2036 WeekendGap/WeekdayFlat
11/10/2036 GapUp-Lower
11/11/2036 GAP/BreakAway
11/12/2036 Harami-Inside
11/13/2036 CRUSH
11/14/2036 GAP Potential
11/15/2036 Top/Resistance21
What amazes me is that these patterns are predicted more than 3 to 5+ years before the actual price moves.
Like today's Harami pattern, I'm amazed that my SPY Cycle patterns could attempt to accurately predict a Harami-Inside price pattern 3+ years in advance of it happening.
I don't know anyone on the planet who can do this research and attempt to accurately map out future price trends/moves/setups like this.
Watch this video and see why learning to use my SPY Cycle Patterns is absolutely incredible.
I'm going to work on a QQQ version next.
Let's go get some profits together.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 10-1 : Harami-Inside PatternToday's video spends quite a bit of time going over the next 8+ trading days and why I expect the markets to continue to move upward - with the SPY targeting 595-605.
What is important to understand is that outside new events can disrupt my SPY Cycle Patterns. So, this new move by Israel to encroach into Lebanon may present some real disruptions in price activity.
But, ignoring that potential news suggests my price patterns will show price ultimately wants to melt upward.
My own personal opinion is the world has already discounted The continuing conflicts between Israel and these terrorist groups. I believe the world already knows Israel will do what is necessary to prevent further rocket/other attacks from these groups. And that's that.
So, I don't see it being a big distraction for the markets.
In fact, I see it as the natural order of how things must play out to reach a conclusion.
And I see the world's global markets moving higher as a result of these conflicts and the pending US elections.
Follow my research and ...
Get Some.
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Gold Builds Base : Look For Support Below $2650 For LongsMy research shows Gold will make another big move upward over the next 10-15+ days - targeting $2740-2750. But first, Gold will attempt to base/bottom near or below $2650 over the next two trading days.
My research suggests Oct 3 and Oct 4 will likely be the start of a rally phase for Gold targeting the $2750 level by Oct 14-15.
I believe traders should attempt to look for long entries below $2645-2655 and view any move below $2640 as a deep low opportunity.
Gold is still hedging the global risk factors at play throughout the world and will attempt to move above $3050 before the end of 2024.
Get ready. This is the start of the big rally phase I've been warning you about for the past 3-4+ years.
Everything I suggested would happen is taking place right now. You just have to be able to take the trades to benefit from these moves.
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 9-30 : 2 Week ExpectationsThis video highlights two weeks of SPY Cycle Patterns and what I believe is the most likely outcome over the next 10+ trading days.
I urge traders to stay cautious as the current capital shift (related to the Fed rate cut) is transitioning. This is a process where capital is actively seeking undervalued and ignored global market sectors.
This transitioning process may mute some price action related to the US markets and forward expectations. This is almost a certainty related to the pending US elections only 30+ days away.
I'm suggesting the current melt-up trend will continue until a potential topping pattern setup near October 18-24. I still believe a topping pattern is likely just before the elections which will send the markets moving downward. Traders must be aware of this topping pattern's potential downward price move.
I do see a solid upward price move in the SPY/QQQ over the next 7 to 10+ days. There is a CRUSH pattern on Wednesday this week, but the next two weeks show identical SPY Cycle Pattern setups.
I believe this week will be somewhat volatile for traders. But the next two weeks will be rock solid to the upside.
Gold and Silver will contract a bit in early trading this week, but should start moving higher on Wednesday/Thursday. Gold will target $2750 and Silver will target $33.50-34.00.
Bitcoin is rolling, just as I expected, to the downside. I believe BTCUSD will fall to 59k-60k before finding support. I also think BTCUSD will stay rather muted throughout the end of this year (at least into and through the elections).
Here we go—another week of opportunities.
Get some.
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$40 Silver in Sight? BofA Says Yes The Gold-Silver Ratio (XAU/XAG) measures how many ounces of silver are needed to purchase one ounce of gold, providing a clear example of the relative performance of each metal.
Bank of America (BofA) has argued there could be an opportunity to short gold against silver at its current ratio of 83.50, targeting a move down to 78.50 or 75.00, with an upside stop at 87.50.
A decline in the ratio can occur either if silver rises faster than gold or if gold falls more sharply than silver.
BofA’s 2024 gold price targets of $2,368, $2,538, and $2,643 have already been hit, with the next target set around $2,733. However, the bank advises caution on gold, instead hinting traders could focus on silver, which is nearing eleven-year highs. According to the bank, the ratio recently formed a double top, signaling a bullish outlook for silver. Silver’s potential upside targets range between $36.02 and $40.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 9-27 : Gap Potential PatternToday's Gap Potential will likely resolve in an opening price gap to the upside.
I believe the current price bias, which is still to the upside, will prompt a higher opening price gap followed by a moderate bullish trend today.
I will warn you that an afternoon consolidation period heading into the weekend is not out of the question. So, be prepared for a flat trading range after Noon (NY) lasting possibly 60-90 minutes.
The close of trading today could prompt a fairly big price trend (an end-of-day Squeeze). This is capital moving out of the markets before the weekend, and it could prompt a big opportunity for traders. My guess is it would be to the upside, but it really depends on how price reacts throughout the day.
Right now, I would guess the upward price squeeze will change by 55 to 65% at the end of the day.
Overall, I believe today will be rather muted for the SPY, QQQ, Gold, Silver, and BTCUSD. Yesterday's big CRUSH bar is the volatility event this week (setting new higher highs and higher lows), followed by today's price action, which will settle ahead of next week.
So, today, it will likely show moderate trending with periods of flat/consolidation. The end of the day may show a more aggressive "Squeeze" trend - but we'll see if that happens.
Either way, play the chart. Play what is in front of you, and don't get trapped in any longer-term expectations. There will be lots of opportunities next week for bigger trends.
Get Some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 9-26 : CRUSH In Trend ModeAnd here we go..
If you've been following my research/videos for the past few weeks, you already know how accurate and valuable my research/content is for traders.
I'm using common techniques: Fibonacci Price Theory, Technical Analysis, Candlesticks, and quite a bit of my own proprietary research to share insights and information with all of you.
The point behind all of this is to help you become a better, more skilled trader - and to learn to be patient while waiting for the best trade setups.
Today, we'll see the benefits of waiting out the last 5+ days of price consolidation and how price moves in only two modes: trending or flagging.
Today is a trending phase.
It seems like all the pressure of capital flow (after the Fed rate cut) is finally starting to hit as the US markets attempt to make a big move.
Remember, the top in the SPY should be between 595-605. The top in the QQQ should be near 505. The top in Gold (temporary peak) should be near 2720-2735. And the top in Silver should be near 34.50-35.00.
I'm still expecting BTCUSD to roll downward over the next 2-3 weeks - targeting 60,150.
Get some.
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QQQs Break Above Unique High Level On Moderate VolumeAnother sign the markets are attempting to break away from sideways/topping patterns is today's closing price on the QQQs.
Today's close above the Unique Fibonacci Price Theory High suggests the QQQs are attempting to break away from the Excess Phase Peak pattern and will likely attempt to move up into the 501-502 price range.
Remember, the first rule of Fibonacci Price Theory is Price must always attempt to reach new higher highs or lower lows.
When it fails to make a lower low, it must roll over and attempt to reach a new higher high.
In this case, as we neared to top of the Excess Phase Peak pattern, the Ultimate High, price would either fail to make a new higher high (and attempt to roll downward) or it would break to a new higher high (thus confirming price is still in a Rally Phase).
Today's close means my analysis of the general markets moving into a "cleared for takeoff" rally phase is starting to become much more valid. We have broken above the Ultimate High on the QQQs with moderate volume.
Now, we should expect the QQQs to attempt to move higher - toward the 501-502 level.
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 9-25 : Carryover in Carryover ModeToday's carryover trend will likely prompt a moderate meltdown in the SPY and QQQ. Pay attention to how the QQQ is still transitioning away from the shorter-term (blue) Excess Phase Peak pattern while the SPY has broken both the long-term and short-term Excess Phase Peak patterns.
In my opinion, this suggests the markets are still struggling to move higher overall.
The recent Fed rate cut will prompt the markets to shift attention towards more undervalued stock sectors. This will prompt a fairly broad-market rally phase to settle into place.
However, the US elections, which are only about 35 days away, act as an "uncertainty factor" for the markets.
Thus, we have a very interesting dynamic. The markets want to transition into a fairly broad rally while uncertainty and concern related to US policy and leadership are becoming increasingly contentious.
This translates into volatility, and I believe the markets are set up for a DEEP-V type of Flash Price move over the next 30 days. This is why I'm urging traders to stay cautious of a big volatility event after October 10-14.
In the meantime, the SPY and QQQ should attempt to rally a bit higher, and Gold will try to reach $2710-2720.
BTCUSD, on the other hand, looks like it will roll downward, targeting the $60,150 level.
Get some.
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GOLD Makes A Big Move Targeting $2720Even though my Gold Cycle Patterns suggested Gold would consolidate a bit in early trading this week, the big breakout move today shows just how undervalued Gold really is.
Yes, my Gold Cycle Patterns did not predict this upward price move clearly.
This is an example where my patterns/expectations did not match exactly what price did. it happens.
You could say my expectations were a bit behind the trend or the trend was a bit ahead of my expectations - but either way this move surprised me.
Clearly, gold is making a big move and my upper target is 2710-2720.
Today's move will likely stall out near 2685, then contract to levels near 2670-2675.
Remember, Gold really wants to rally up to 2710-2720+. So, you have quite a bit of time to play this move efficiently.
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 9-24 : Counter-Trend BreakawayToday's counter-trend Breakaway pattern suggests the markets will attempt to move downward (counter to the current Bullish trend) and attempt to find support.
I believe the downward price move in the SPY will target the 565-566 level for a low today - setting up a solid reversal rally phase going into the rest of the week.
We didn't see much downward trending yesterday - so, today could be the day the markets attempt to flush downward a bit.
I'm still urging traders not to overreact to this minor downward price move (potentially today). My analysis suggests the SPY is still on a path to target 595-605 before Oct 10th or so.
Gold/Silver will likely move downward today - setting up a nice base before the next rally phase higher. The strengthening US Dollar will continue to put pressure on Gold/Silver - but I don't believe the US Dollar will rally above 102 at this point.
BTCUSD appears to be rolling over into a consolidation phase. I believe we could see $60k to $62k before the end of this week as a base/bottom.
Now if not the time to be foolish. Just sit back, time your entries, and prepare for the next rally phase in the markets.
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 9-23 : GAP Breakaway PatternToday, I believe the SPY will consolidate downward after last week's Fed rate cut. I believe the next move for the SPY/QQQ will be higher, but I feel the markets need a pause phase to settle before moving into the rally phase near Wednesday (9-25).
Overall, I believe the SPY/QQQ and Gold/Silver will pause in early trading this week, then move into a continued rally phase as the markets digest the Fed rate cut.
Remember, this 50bp cut won't translate into any real immediate move of 2-4%. The way the markets work is they transition into the opportunities created by the rate cut. That means we'll see technology and speculative stocks attempt to bounce higher going into October 14-15 - maybe a bit further.
But, I do expect a wave of selling to hit just before the elections - so I'm warning everyone to stay cautious after October 11-14 as I believe the likelihood of a moderate Flash-Crash (Deep-V) type of event is very high.
Right now, the markets seem like they want to settle and attempt to break away from recent resistance areas. This is more evident on the QQQ chart.
Your opportunity to buy into lows over the next 2-3 days will allow you to really benefit from the next upward rally phase.
BTCUSD appears to be stalling/topping and will likely roll downward towards the 58k to 60k level over this same time. BTCUSD needs to settle into the next low before attempting to make another move higher (probably very late in October - after October 25-28).
Get some.
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