Gold Price Reacts Strongly at 3,350.During the trading session on June 19, gold (XAUUSD) experienced significant volatility, breaking below the short-term support zone around 3,370 USD/oz and sharply dropping to an intraday low of approximately 3,350 USD/oz. This support level had been tested multiple times in previous sessions and has often led to price rebounds.
Following the sharp decline, buying pressure emerged, as shown by a strong reversal candlestick accompanied by a volume spike — indicating that buyers are stepping in at this attractive price zone.
Technical Breakdown – 15-Minute Chart
Chart type: XAUUSD, 15-minute timeframe
Support zone: 3,350 (tested and showing reaction)
Nearby resistance: 3,365 – 3,370
Volume: Surged at the bottom, suggesting buying interest.
Pattern: Signs of a temporary bottom (bullish pin bar + supporting volume).
Suggested Trading Strategy
Based on today’s price action and chart structure, consider:
Short-term buy around 3,351 – 3,353 with a stop loss below 3,348.
Take profit targets: 3,365 – 3,372.
Extended strategy: If EMA5 crosses up and locks above 3,370, extend targets to 3,388 – 3,395 during the US session.
Conclusion: 3,350 is Acting as the Final Support Wall
Today’s session shows that sellers are still in control, but technical reactions around 3,350 have formed a strong defense. If price continues to hold this level and volume remains positive, a short-term rebound is highly likely.
However, traders should manage positions with flexibility as the broader trend still leans bearish — only a break and hold above 3,370–3,380 could signal a clearer trend reversal.
GOLD-TRADE
Gold Price Update – XAUUSDGold FX:XAUUSD has experienced rapid and intense volatility but overall remains stable, as investors weigh the escalating conflict between Israel and Iran while focusing on this week’s U.S. Federal Reserve policy meeting.
At the time of reporting, spot gold CAPITALCOM:GOLD remains steady at $3,380/oz, down from yesterday’s (Tuesday) high of $3,403/oz.
Israel and Iran continued exchanging fire into a fifth day on Tuesday, as U.S. President Donald Trump called for the evacuation of Iran’s capital, Tehran, and cut short his trip to the G7 summit in Canada. Reports claim he had instructed the National Security Council to prepare in the Situation Room.
According to Reuters, Tehran has requested Oman, Qatar, and Saudi Arabia to urge Trump to push Israel toward a ceasefire in exchange for Iran’s willingness to show flexibility in nuclear negotiations.
Trump’s latest post on Truth Social stated:
"I have had ZERO communication with Iran in any way, shape, or form regarding (peace talks). It’s fake news! If they want to negotiate, they know how to contact me. They should take the deal on the table—it will save many lives!!!"
Forexlive commented that anyone familiar with Trump knows he will definitely wait for Iran to approach him. Reports suggest Iran is attempting to negotiate a ceasefire, but no substantive developments have emerged yet.
Gold, a non-yielding asset, is widely seen as a hedge against geopolitical and economic uncertainty, and it tends to perform well in low interest rate environments. Therefore, fundamentally, gold should maintain a positive outlook in the current market context—even though sudden pullbacks can unsettle new traders. Personally, I’ve had many moments this year when I doubted myself and didn’t trust the uptrend—only to suffer bad outcomes… sigh.
The Fed’s interest rate decision and Chair Jerome Powell’s speech are scheduled for today (Wednesday). Traders currently expect the Fed to cut rates twice by year-end.
According to CME’s “Federal Reserve Watch” on June 18:
There is a 97.3% chance the Fed will keep rates unchanged in June, and a 2.7% chance of a 25bps rate cut.
In July, there is an 85.3% chance of holding rates steady, a 14.4% chance of a cumulative 25bps cut, and a 0.3% chance of a 50bps cut.
Technical Outlook for Gold (XAUUSD)
On the daily chart, gold has been oscillating around the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level and the psychological price of $3,400—previously highlighted as key support/resistance in our earlier analysis.
However, the overall technical structure remains unchanged, with the dominant trend still bullish. The 21-day EMA continues to act as a crucial support line, and trendline (a) remains the primary trend direction. Meanwhile, the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement serves as the nearest support, with price channel (b) defining the short-term trend.
In terms of momentum, the RSI (Relative Strength Index) remains above 50, which is also acting as a support level in this case. The distance from the overbought zone suggests further upside potential remains.
Intraday, a breakout above the psychological $3,400 level would provide a bullish signal, with the next target seen around $3,435 in the short term.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: $3,371 – $3,350
Resistance: $3,400 – $3,435
Top 5 Most Effective Forex Trading StrategiesTop 5 Most Effective Forex Trading Strategies Used by Professional Traders
Forex trading requires not just knowledge, but discipline and a clear strategy. So what are the most effective forex trading strategies that professional traders consistently use to achieve sustainable profits?
Let’s explore the 5 most trusted strategies that have stood the test of time – helping you level up your skills and reduce risk in this trillion-dollar market.
1. Breakout Strategy – Catching the Wave When the Market Explodes
A breakout occurs when price moves beyond a key support or resistance level after a period of consolidation. This usually signals the start of a new trend.
Best for: Traders who love strong momentum.
Pro tip: Confirm breakout with volume or candlestick patterns (e.g., engulfing).
Caution: Avoid entering right after the breakout – wait for a retest.
2. Trend Following Strategy – Trade with the Market, Not Against It
“Trend is your friend” – one of the most famous sayings in trading. This strategy helps traders ride the main trend, buying in uptrends and selling in downtrends.
Recommended tools: MA 20, MA 50, RSI, MACD.
Insider tip: Combine with pullback entries (enter when price retraces to dynamic support/resistance).
3. Price Action Strategy – Reading the Market Without Indicators
Price Action focuses on interpreting pure price behavior, without relying on indicators. Many pro traders prefer this approach to understand market psychology in real time.
Advantages: Clean, flexible, sharpens decision-making.
Popular candlestick patterns: Pin Bar, Inside Bar, Fakey, Engulfing.
4. News Trading Strategy – For Quick Thinkers and Fast Hands
When major news events like CPI, NFP, FOMC, or rate decisions hit the market, volatility surges. This creates both high-profit opportunities and high risks.
Common tactic: Straddle – place Buy Stop & Sell Stop before news release.
Risk warning: Watch out for slippage and widened spreads.
5. Fibonacci & Confluence Strategy – High-Probability Entries
This strategy combines tools like Fibonacci retracement, trendlines, support/resistance zones, and moving averages to find high-probability entry points.
Strength: Optimizes Risk: Reward ratio.
Tip: Focus on Fib levels 0.382 – 0.618 (commonly used retracement zones).
Conclusion: The Best Strategy is the One That Matches Your Style
There’s no perfect strategy – but understanding and applying the one that best fits your trading style will help you avoid emotional decisions and build long-term consistency.
Remember: Risk management – Emotional control – Systematic discipline = Long-term trading survival.
Gold Price XAU/USD: Downtrend and OpportunitiesGold FX:XAUUSD Price XAU/USD Analysis Today: Downtrend Signals, What Opportunities for Investors? Updated at 13:57 on 09/06/2025 (+07) - The 1-hour trading view chart for the XAU/USD (Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar) pair indicates that gold prices are experiencing a significant decline, drawing attention from investors. Let’s dive into a detailed analysis of the current trend and short-term outlook based on the latest data.
Current Gold Price and Recent Movements According to the chart, the spot gold price is currently fluctuating around 3.322.44 USD/ounce, down 0.24% in the latest trading session (as of 13:56 UTC-7). The highest point in the past hour reached 3.323.020 USD, while the lowest was 3.312.570 USD. A clear downtrend began from a local peak near 3.344.70 USD, with dominant red candlesticks reflecting strong selling pressure.
Technical Analysis Support and Resistance: The nearest support level is around 3.300 USD, where the price may find buying interest to rebound. The next key resistance level is 3.350 USD, a threshold that the price has failed to break in the recent session. If selling pressure persists, a deeper support level could be 3.280 USD. Trading Volume: Trading volume spiked during the decline, particularly between 6 AM and 7 AM (UTC), indicating significant participation from investors offloading their positions. Market Momentum: The price is currently below the short-term moving average, signaling a bearish trend in the short term. However, if the price holds above 3.300 USD, it could open opportunities for a recovery toward 3.330-3.350 USD. Factors Influencing Gold Prices Recent U.S. economic data, particularly the non-farm payrolls report, may be the primary driver behind the pressure on gold prices. A stronger U.S. dollar and rising bond yields have reduced gold’s appeal. Additionally, global market sentiment, including geopolitical factors and the upcoming CPI data release on June 11, 2025, will also impact the next trend.
Outlook and Investment Suggestions Short-Term: With the current decline, investors might consider buying in the support zone of 3.300 USD if reversal signals appear (e.g., a strong bullish candlestick or increased buying volume). However, caution is advised if the price breaks below 3.280 USD. Long-Term: The bullish trend for gold remains intact due to demand from central banks and its role as a safe-haven asset. This could be an opportunity to accumulate if the price corrects further. Conclusion The XAU/USD gold price is facing downward pressure in today’s trading session, but the 3.300 USD support level is a critical point to watch closely. Investors should combine technical analysis with economic news to make informed decisions. Stay updated regularly to seize opportunities in this volatile market!
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Gold Market Update Ahead of US Jobs Data
On Friday, gold edged up slightly ahead of key US jobs data (NFP). Optimism over a US-China deal and USD profit-taking are capping gold’s gains. A weak NFP (<100,000) would bolster expectations of a Fed rate cut (54% chance in September), supporting gold, while a strong NFP (>200,000) would pressure it downward.
Technically, the market is bullish, with prices consolidating in the 3300-3340 range after breaking resistance. A shakeout at support is possible before the trend resumes.
Resistance: 3375, 3391, 3414
Support: 3339, 3331
Forecasting prices before NFP is tough, so it’s best to wait for the data and monitor price reactions. Prices may stay range-bound until next week, depending on fundamentals.
Best regards,
Harmonic AB=CD Pattern Guide for TradingViewThe Harmonic AB=CD pattern is a powerful technical analysis tool used to predict price reversals in financial markets. Based on Fibonacci ratios, it helps traders identify high-probability entry and exit points. This concise guide is designed for TradingView users to apply the pattern effectively.
Pattern Overview
- Structure: Four points (A, B, C, D). AB and CD legs are equal in length or follow Fibonacci ratios.
- Fibonacci Ratios:
- BC retraces 61.8%-78.6% of AB.
- CD equals AB (1:1) or extends 1.272/1.618 of BC.
- Types:
- Bullish: Signals a buy at point D (price rises).
- Bearish: Signals a sell at point D (price falls).
How to Identify and Trade
1. Spot AB: Find a clear price swing from A to B.
2. Measure BC: Use TradingView’s Fibonacci Retracement tool to confirm BC retraces 61.8%-78.6% of AB.
3. Project CD: Use Fibonacci Extension to project CD, matching AB’s length or extending 1.272/1.618 of BC.
4. Confirm D: Check for confluence with support/resistance, candlestick patterns (e.g., doji), or indicators (e.g., RSI divergence).
5. Trade Execution:
- Bullish: Buy at D, set stop-loss below D, target point C or A.
- Bearish: Sell at D, set stop-loss above D, target point C or A.
Tips for TradingView
- Use TradingView’s Fib tools for precision.
- Confirm signals with additional indicators (e.g., MACD, volume).
- Avoid choppy markets; focus on trending or range-bound charts.
The AB=CD pattern is a reliable method for spotting reversals when used with proper confirmation. By mastering Fibonacci tools on TradingView and combining the pattern with other signals, traders can enhance their decision-making and improve trade outcomes. Practice on historical charts to build confidence.
XAUUSD – Poised for a Major Breakout After ConsolidationOn the monthly chart, XAUUSD is forming an Inside Bar pattern, signaling that the market is compressing ahead of a potential strong move. May’s candle remains within April’s range – a classic setup that often precedes a decisive breakout.
On the H4 timeframe, gold has attempted to break above recent highs multiple times but failed, forming a series of lower highs, indicating a corrective structure. However, the recent rebound from May’s low suggests potential accumulation is underway.
Currently, price is hovering around a neutral zone. A clear break above the 3,400 level could spark a fast move toward the 3,500–3,600 range. Conversely, a drop below 3,120 would open the door for a deeper pullback toward 3,000.
From a macro perspective, long-term fundamentals continue to support the bullish case for gold, driven by dovish central bank policies, geopolitical risks, and concerns about USD debasement. Still, a confirmed technical breakout is needed to establish direction in the near term.
Strategy Summary
Buy zone to watch: 3,307 – 3,320
Bullish trigger: Holding above 3,300
Target: 3,435
Risks: False breakouts or failure to hold above the breakout zone
XAUUSD - Key Inflection Point AheadLooking at this gold spot chart, the precious metal appears to be consolidating within a defined range after experiencing significant volatility throughout May. The price is currently trading near the upper boundary of the marked support zone around $3,250-$3,260, following a recent pullback from higher levels. Given the technical setup and the proximity to this key support area, there's a strong probability that gold will retest this support zone in the coming sessions. This retest will be critical in determining the next directional move - if the support holds and buyers step in, we could see a bounce back toward the upside targeting previous resistance levels, potentially challenging the recent highs. However, if the support fails to hold under selling pressure, gold could continue its downward trajectory, opening the door for further declines toward lower support levels. The market's reaction at this support zone will likely dictate whether the current consolidation resolves bullishly or bearishly.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
COOLING PCE – GOLD REBOUNDS ON EXPECTATIONS OF FED POLICY EASINGIf the upcoming PCE report shows that inflation continues to cool or comes in below expectations (e.g., core PCE under 0.2% m/m), this could reinforce market expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) may have room to begin cutting interest rates sooner—potentially as early as September instead of year-end.
This would weaken the US dollar and push down Treasury yields, both of which typically support gold prices, as the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold decreases.
Short-term forecast:
Gold may rebound to the $3,330 – $3,340/oz range.
A breakout above the psychological resistance level of $3,345 could signal a medium-term uptrend.
Trading volume is likely to rise as ETF funds begin accumulating positions again.
Suggested strategy:
Buy XAUUSD around the 3310 – 3313 area
Stoploss: 3300
Take Profit 1: 3325
Take Profit 2: 3335
Take Profit 3: 3345
Gold prices fell below for a weekly.Gold FX:XAUUSD prices fell below $3,310 an ounce on Friday, on track for a weekly decline of more than 1%, as investors remained cautious ahead of the U.S. PCE inflation report, which could provide new insight into the Federal Reserve’s interest rate path.
On Thursday, bullion prices rose nearly 1% after a federal appeals court allowed President Donald Trump's sweeping tariffs to temporarily take effect, just one day after the U.S. Court of International Trade blocked their implementation, deeming the method used to enact them "unlawful." Meanwhile, San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly said on Thursday that policymakers could still deliver two rate cuts this year, as expected in March, but emphasized that rates should remain steady for now to ensure inflation is on track to meet the Fed’s 2% target.
XAUUSD TVC:GOLD Trading Strategy Around Price Levels:
SELL XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD around the 3326–3328 area
Stoploss: 3333
Take Profit 1: 3322
Take Profit 2: 3317
Take Profit 3: 3310
BUY XAUUSD around the 3278–3280 area
Stoploss: 3273
Take Profit 1: 3284
Take Profit 2: 3289
Take Profit 3: 3295
Note: Always set a Stoploss in all situations to ensure safety.
A Brief Overview of Price Patterns in TradingPrice patterns are technical analysis tools that help identify price behavior on charts to predict future trends.
Common patterns include continuation and reversal formations. Continuation patterns such as flags, triangles, and rectangles often appear during strong trends and indicate the likelihood of the trend continuing after a period of consolidation. Reversal patterns like head and shoulders, double tops and bottoms, and wedges signal potential changes in trend direction. Recognizing these patterns allows traders to optimize entry points, stop-loss levels, and take-profit targets. The clearer the pattern and the higher the timeframe it appears on, the more reliable it tends to be. However, no pattern guarantees success, so it's important to combine them with other factors like volume, support and resistance zones, and confirmation signals before making trading decisions. Each pattern has its own identifying characteristics such as shape, length, and breakout zones, so consistent observation and practice are essential. Price patterns not only assist in technical analysis but also reflect market psychology and crowd behavior. For best results, traders should combine pattern recognition with risk management and patiently wait for clear signals instead of reacting emotionally. A deep understanding of price patterns can increase the probability of success and reduce risk in the trading process.
Wishing you effective trading and strong discipline!
Trading Strategy (XAUUSD) – May 27, 2025The situation unfolded after President Donald Trump threatened to impose a 50% tariff on European goods starting June 1st—a move he later postponed to July 9th to allow more time for negotiations.
However, sentiment remains cautious as investors closely monitor global developments—including the growing U.S. budget deficit, ongoing trade negotiations, and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Ukraine—all of which could influence gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset.
Investors are currently awaiting the release of the latest FOMC meeting minutes on Wednesday and the PCE inflation data on Friday for further insight into the Federal Reserve’s interest rate outlook.
XAUUSD Trading Strategy Around Key Price Levels:
SELL XAUUSD around 3363–3365
Stoploss: 3370
Take Profit 1: 3358
Take Profit 2: 3352
Take Profit 3: 3348
BUY XAUUSD around 3326–3328
Stoploss: 3320
Take Profit 1: 3332
Take Profit 2: 3338
Take Profit 3: 3342
Note: Always set a Stoploss in all situations for safety.
Gold’s Rally Faces Exhaustion: A Technical Pause or Trend ReversTVC:GOLD Gold has been on an impressive bullish run in recent months, driven by heightened geopolitical tensions, inflationary concerns, and macroeconomic uncertainty. However, recent price action suggests that the trend may be entering a critical turning point. Despite strong underlying sentiment, gold has failed to set a new high—often a clear indication of trend fatigue and the potential start of a technical correction.
The inability to push beyond resistance signals that gold may be entering what market theorists refer to as an "exhaustion phase." In this phase, bullish momentum begins to slow down as the market runs out of buyers willing to chase higher prices. This often results in a pullback, not necessarily a full reversal, but a pause that allows the market to reset.
Volume dynamics also support this view. A decline in volume during recent rallies suggests waning conviction among buyers—a subtle but telling clue that demand may be weakening.
From a technical standpoint, if this pullback extends further, gold is likely to test a key structural support zone. This level has historically served as both resistance and support, making it significant not only technically but also psychologically for market participants. This area also aligns with several other technical confluences: a Fibonacci retracement zone (possibly the 38.2% or 50% level), trendline support, and even the potential completion point of a Bullish Bat harmonic pattern.
The Bullish Bat pattern, a well-known formation in harmonic trading, is especially worth noting. Based on precise Fibonacci measurements, it typically forecasts a reversal near the 88.6% retracement of the initial XA leg. When this pattern completes near major support and is accompanied by price action confirmation (e.g. bullish engulfing candle, divergence, or base-building), it can offer a high-probability setup for long entries.
However, technicals alone are not sufficient. A comprehensive view of the macroeconomic environment is essential. Several factors are in play: upcoming U.S. inflation data, evolving expectations around the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy, geopolitical uncertainty, and movements in real bond yields. Any of these variables can either validate or invalidate the technical setup, and traders need to stay alert to news that might affect the overall risk appetite.
From a tactical perspective, this is a time for patience. Aggressive entries without confirmation can expose traders to unnecessary risk. Waiting for clear signals near support, aligning trades with higher timeframes, and adhering to disciplined risk management will be essential for success.
In conclusion, gold is at a potential inflection point. Whether this is just a healthy correction in a broader uptrend, or the beginning of a deeper shift, remains to be seen. Both technical and fundamental perspectives are required to build a well-informed trading thesis.
I welcome your insights—whether you analyze from a chart-based or macroeconomic angle. Let’s continue the conversation, share strategies, and grow together as traders.
Gold Market Analysis – May 26The gold market is showing signs of a modest recovery following the recent decline, but the price action remains cautious and lacks strong momentum.
In this morning’s session, gold bounced back from the $3,320–$3,330 support area and is now hovering around $3,347, which aligns with a previously rejected resistance zone. This rebound appears technical rather than a confirmed shift in trend, as trading volume during the upward move is still relatively low, signaling buyer hesitation.
The $3,350 level is a critical resistance area. Unless we see a clean breakout above it with strong volume, any attempt to buy here may be premature. However, a confirmed break above $3,350 could open the path toward retesting $3,435 and potentially $3,500 in the medium to long term. On the other hand, failure to hold above the $3,330–$3,320 range, and especially a drop below $3,290, would likely trigger a deeper correction down to the $3,200 support.
In terms of strategy, traders looking to go long should avoid chasing current prices and wait for either a confirmed breakout above $3,350 or a pullback to the $3,320–$3,290 zone. Look for signs of bullish continuation such as higher lows and strong candle confirmation. For those considering short positions, keep an eye on the $3,350 area for bearish rejection patterns like pin bars or engulfing candles on the 4H or daily chart, but only act if clear confirmation appears—don’t guess tops.
In summary, the market is currently in a pivotal consolidation phase. How price behaves around the $3,350 level will shape the next move. While the longer-term outlook remains bullish, traders should remain patient and disciplined, avoiding impulsive entries until the market provides clear signals.
Warm regards,
Understanding the Economic Calendar: A Must-Have Tool for EveryThe economic calendar is an essential tool that helps traders track economic events and indicators that may impact financial markets such as Forex, gold, and stock indices.
Common data listed in the calendar include interest rates, GDP, inflation (CPI), unemployment rates, retail sales, consumer confidence, FOMC minutes, and speeches from central bank officials. Each event shows the release time, the issuing country, detailed content, and an impact rating from low to high. Traders need to check the economic calendar daily to anticipate periods of high market volatility.
For example, when the U.S. releases interest rate decisions or the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report, CAPITALCOM:GOLD gold and USD pairs often experience fast and strong price movements. Based on the calendar, traders can avoid trading right before major news to reduce risk, or take advantage of the volatility if they have experience. In addition, the economic calendar supports building medium- and long-term strategies based on economic cycles. Understanding macroeconomic trends allows traders to be more proactive and confident instead of reacting to price movements. Combining the economic calendar with technical analysis improves decision-making and risk management. Traders can access the calendar for free on reputable websites like Forex Factory, Investing, or directly within MT4 and MT5 platforms. This is a must-use tool for anyone aiming to trade professionally and with discipline.
Wishing you success and clarity in every trade.
Popular Trading Styles in ForexHere are some common trading styles used in the Forex market:
Trend Following: Traders identify and follow the main market trend, buying in an uptrend and selling in a downtrend.
Reversal Trading: Traders look for points where the trend may reverse and enter positions against the current trend.
Range Trading: Traders buy near support and sell near resistance when the price moves within a defined range.
News Trading: Traders capitalize on strong market movements following major economic news releases.
Scalping: Traders open and close trades very quickly, aiming to profit from small price movements.
Swing Trading: Traders hold positions from several days to weeks, taking advantage of short-term price swings within a larger trend.
Technical Analysis Trading: Decisions are based on indicators, price patterns, and volume analysis.
Fundamental Analysis Trading: Traders analyze economic and political factors affecting currency values to make trading decisions.
If you have any questions or need further explanation on any style, feel free to ask.
Good luck and happy trading!
Global gold rises over 1% as the US dollar and US economic data Global gold OANDA:XAUUSD rises over 1% as the US dollar and US economic data weaken
Gold prices rose more than 1% on Thursday (May 15), supported by a weaker US dollar and weak US economic data, while Russian President Vladimir Putin’s absence from peace talks prompted some safe-haven buying.
At the close of trading on May 15, spot gold $TVC:XAU-AMEX:USD contracts gained 1.2% to $3,226.6 per ounce, after touching a more than one-month low earlier in the session. Gold FX:XAUUSD futures advanced nearly 1% to $3,218.70 per ounce.
The US dollar index fell 0.1%, making gold, which is priced in the greenback, less expensive for holders of other currencies.
Data showed that the US Producer Price Index (PPI) unexpectedly declined in April, while retail sales growth slowed. Earlier this week, a report showed that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose less than forecast in April.
The market is pricing in the expectation that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates in September. Lower interest rates boost gold’s appeal as it is a non-yielding asset.
Thursday’s data added to the chances of a Fed rate cut, with more dovish expectations forming in the market.
Gold is under pressure as the US dollar strengthensGold $TVC:XAU-AMEX:USD is under pressure as the US dollar strengthens and trade optimism spreads across the market. Prices slipped slightly early Wednesday as investors took profits after a rise from last week’s lows. Although US inflation came in lower than expected, the Fed’s lack of plans to cut interest rates anytime soon keeps gold OANDA:XAUUSD from gaining momentum. At the same time, optimism about new trade agreements between the US, China, the UK, and other countries, along with hopes for peace talks between Russia and Ukraine, are reducing demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Technically, the overall trend looks bearish. There’s no significant rebound from the support zone, indicating that selling pressure still dominates. Currently, prices are consolidating sideways before potentially testing the 3200 level.
Key resistance levels are at 3243, 3257, and 3269, while support is concentrated around 3222 and 3200.
If prices continue to fluctuate within the current range and test the 3222-3200 support zone, the downtrend is likely to persist in the short to medium term. However, it’s important to note that the market may create short-term “short squeezes” around resistance zones to challenge traders before prices fall further.
Wishing everyone successful and effective trading!
XAUUSD - Preparing for Healthy Pullback?Gold has exhibited remarkable strength in recent days, surging from around $2,960 to establish new all-time highs above $3,230. After this vertical move and having reached overbought conditions, the 4-hour chart indicates a likely correction phase is imminent, with price projected to retrace toward the highlighted support zone around $3,160-3,170, which previously acted as resistance. This pullback represents a natural technical rebalancing after such an explosive upward movement and would provide an opportunity to test the market's conviction about the current bull trend. The highlighted lower support zone near $2,960 should contain any deeper corrections, though the immediate focus is on the upper support level as a probable target for this corrective wave before potentially resuming the larger uptrend. Traders should monitor price action around these key levels for signs of stabilization and renewed buying interest.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD - Will the trendline HOLD? Gold has reached a critical juncture as prices have sharply retreated to test the major uptrend line that's been in place since late January. Currently trading at $3,038.98, the precious metal has experienced a significant pullback from its recent all-time highs above $3,160. This trendline has supported gold's impressive rally for months, making this test particularly important for determining the near-term direction. If buyers step in at these levels, we could see a bounce and continuation of the broader uptrend; however, a decisive break below this trendline could trigger a more substantial correction, potentially targeting previous support zones around $2,950-$3,000. The sharp nature of the recent decline suggests increased selling pressure, making the next few trading sessions crucial for determining whether this is merely a dip in an ongoing bull market or the beginning of a deeper retracement.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GOLD 30m CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR DAILYGold (XAU/USD) Outlook for the Upcoming Week:
The outlook for XAU/USD in the coming week depends on a combination of technical, fundamental, and economic factors, including the Federal Reserve's policy, economic data, and the strength of the U.S. dollar. Here's an analysis based on the provided chart:
Technical Analysis:
Overall Trend:
The chart shows a medium-term uptrend, with higher highs and higher lows forming.
A small pullback is observed toward the end of the chart, which could potentially act as a retracement before resuming the uptrend.
Key Levels:
Support Levels:
$2,700 is the nearest support level.
A deeper support is located at $2,685.
Resistance Levels:
Immediate resistance lies between $2,715 and $2,720.
A breakout above this zone could push prices toward $2,735.
Indicators (if applicable):
Indicators such as RSI or MACD (not shown in the chart) can confirm whether gold is in overbought or oversold territory. If RSI is above 70, it might suggest selling pressure could emerge soon.
Fundamental Analysis:
U.S. Economic Data:
Key economic releases, such as inflation data (CPI) or employment reports, could influence the dollar. Weak U.S. data typically supports gold prices.
Federal Reserve Policy:
Any dovish signals from the Fed, such as reluctance to raise interest rates further, would be bullish for gold as a non-yielding asset.
Geopolitical Risks:
Heightened geopolitical tensions could increase demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Forecast for the Week:
If prices hold above the $2,700 support level and break the $2,720 resistance, a continuation of the uptrend is likely.
Failure to hold $2,700 could lead to a decline toward $2,685 or even $2,665.
2025 roadmap for gold xauusd by my strategyAs we look ahead to 2025, this analysis outlines a comprehensive roadmap for trading XAU/USD (gold) based on my proprietary strategy. With a focus on key market drivers, technical indicators, and geopolitical factors, this roadmap aims to provide traders with actionable insights and a clear vision of Potential price movements for gold.
In this report, I will delve into the fundamental and technical aspects that are likely to influence gold prices in 2025, including expected shifts in monetary policy, inflation trends, and global economic conditions. I will also highlight critical support and resistance levels, chart patterns, and relevant indicators that could guide buying and selling decisions.
Additionally, the analysis will explore the impact of external factors such as interest rates, currency fluctuations, and market sentiment on gold’s performance. By implementing my strategy, traders will be better equipped to navigate the complexities of the gold market and identify profitable opportunities in the coming year.
Join me on this journey to uncover the potential pathways for XAU/USD in 2025 and refine your trading approach in alignment with emerging trends.
these price is the Key Points for changing the trend and will be nice for swing position .
i wish you the best in 2025 and you will be make more money than past...
XAU Gold 4H TradeFriends, the first trade on gold begins. I’m taking a long position on gold with a 4-hour timeframe, which I believe will show results in the next three to four days. There will be daily updates added to the analysis based on 30-minute intervals, so it’s a good idea to follow me to also see trades on lower timeframes.
For this trade, I’ve hypothetically invested $500 with 20x leverage. You can adjust these amounts based on your own strategies and techniques. The main goal is to identify trends in gold across various timeframes and share insights.
If you have any thoughts or suggestions, I’d be happy to hear them in the comments.
Thank you!