A Brief Overview of Price Patterns in TradingPrice patterns are technical analysis tools that help identify price behavior on charts to predict future trends.
Common patterns include continuation and reversal formations. Continuation patterns such as flags, triangles, and rectangles often appear during strong trends and indicate the likelihood of the trend continuing after a period of consolidation. Reversal patterns like head and shoulders, double tops and bottoms, and wedges signal potential changes in trend direction. Recognizing these patterns allows traders to optimize entry points, stop-loss levels, and take-profit targets. The clearer the pattern and the higher the timeframe it appears on, the more reliable it tends to be. However, no pattern guarantees success, so it's important to combine them with other factors like volume, support and resistance zones, and confirmation signals before making trading decisions. Each pattern has its own identifying characteristics such as shape, length, and breakout zones, so consistent observation and practice are essential. Price patterns not only assist in technical analysis but also reflect market psychology and crowd behavior. For best results, traders should combine pattern recognition with risk management and patiently wait for clear signals instead of reacting emotionally. A deep understanding of price patterns can increase the probability of success and reduce risk in the trading process.
Wishing you effective trading and strong discipline!
GOLD-TRADE
Trading Strategy (XAUUSD) – May 27, 2025The situation unfolded after President Donald Trump threatened to impose a 50% tariff on European goods starting June 1st—a move he later postponed to July 9th to allow more time for negotiations.
However, sentiment remains cautious as investors closely monitor global developments—including the growing U.S. budget deficit, ongoing trade negotiations, and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Ukraine—all of which could influence gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset.
Investors are currently awaiting the release of the latest FOMC meeting minutes on Wednesday and the PCE inflation data on Friday for further insight into the Federal Reserve’s interest rate outlook.
XAUUSD Trading Strategy Around Key Price Levels:
SELL XAUUSD around 3363–3365
Stoploss: 3370
Take Profit 1: 3358
Take Profit 2: 3352
Take Profit 3: 3348
BUY XAUUSD around 3326–3328
Stoploss: 3320
Take Profit 1: 3332
Take Profit 2: 3338
Take Profit 3: 3342
Note: Always set a Stoploss in all situations for safety.
Gold’s Rally Faces Exhaustion: A Technical Pause or Trend ReversTVC:GOLD Gold has been on an impressive bullish run in recent months, driven by heightened geopolitical tensions, inflationary concerns, and macroeconomic uncertainty. However, recent price action suggests that the trend may be entering a critical turning point. Despite strong underlying sentiment, gold has failed to set a new high—often a clear indication of trend fatigue and the potential start of a technical correction.
The inability to push beyond resistance signals that gold may be entering what market theorists refer to as an "exhaustion phase." In this phase, bullish momentum begins to slow down as the market runs out of buyers willing to chase higher prices. This often results in a pullback, not necessarily a full reversal, but a pause that allows the market to reset.
Volume dynamics also support this view. A decline in volume during recent rallies suggests waning conviction among buyers—a subtle but telling clue that demand may be weakening.
From a technical standpoint, if this pullback extends further, gold is likely to test a key structural support zone. This level has historically served as both resistance and support, making it significant not only technically but also psychologically for market participants. This area also aligns with several other technical confluences: a Fibonacci retracement zone (possibly the 38.2% or 50% level), trendline support, and even the potential completion point of a Bullish Bat harmonic pattern.
The Bullish Bat pattern, a well-known formation in harmonic trading, is especially worth noting. Based on precise Fibonacci measurements, it typically forecasts a reversal near the 88.6% retracement of the initial XA leg. When this pattern completes near major support and is accompanied by price action confirmation (e.g. bullish engulfing candle, divergence, or base-building), it can offer a high-probability setup for long entries.
However, technicals alone are not sufficient. A comprehensive view of the macroeconomic environment is essential. Several factors are in play: upcoming U.S. inflation data, evolving expectations around the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy, geopolitical uncertainty, and movements in real bond yields. Any of these variables can either validate or invalidate the technical setup, and traders need to stay alert to news that might affect the overall risk appetite.
From a tactical perspective, this is a time for patience. Aggressive entries without confirmation can expose traders to unnecessary risk. Waiting for clear signals near support, aligning trades with higher timeframes, and adhering to disciplined risk management will be essential for success.
In conclusion, gold is at a potential inflection point. Whether this is just a healthy correction in a broader uptrend, or the beginning of a deeper shift, remains to be seen. Both technical and fundamental perspectives are required to build a well-informed trading thesis.
I welcome your insights—whether you analyze from a chart-based or macroeconomic angle. Let’s continue the conversation, share strategies, and grow together as traders.
Gold Market Analysis – May 26The gold market is showing signs of a modest recovery following the recent decline, but the price action remains cautious and lacks strong momentum.
In this morning’s session, gold bounced back from the $3,320–$3,330 support area and is now hovering around $3,347, which aligns with a previously rejected resistance zone. This rebound appears technical rather than a confirmed shift in trend, as trading volume during the upward move is still relatively low, signaling buyer hesitation.
The $3,350 level is a critical resistance area. Unless we see a clean breakout above it with strong volume, any attempt to buy here may be premature. However, a confirmed break above $3,350 could open the path toward retesting $3,435 and potentially $3,500 in the medium to long term. On the other hand, failure to hold above the $3,330–$3,320 range, and especially a drop below $3,290, would likely trigger a deeper correction down to the $3,200 support.
In terms of strategy, traders looking to go long should avoid chasing current prices and wait for either a confirmed breakout above $3,350 or a pullback to the $3,320–$3,290 zone. Look for signs of bullish continuation such as higher lows and strong candle confirmation. For those considering short positions, keep an eye on the $3,350 area for bearish rejection patterns like pin bars or engulfing candles on the 4H or daily chart, but only act if clear confirmation appears—don’t guess tops.
In summary, the market is currently in a pivotal consolidation phase. How price behaves around the $3,350 level will shape the next move. While the longer-term outlook remains bullish, traders should remain patient and disciplined, avoiding impulsive entries until the market provides clear signals.
Warm regards,
Understanding the Economic Calendar: A Must-Have Tool for EveryThe economic calendar is an essential tool that helps traders track economic events and indicators that may impact financial markets such as Forex, gold, and stock indices.
Common data listed in the calendar include interest rates, GDP, inflation (CPI), unemployment rates, retail sales, consumer confidence, FOMC minutes, and speeches from central bank officials. Each event shows the release time, the issuing country, detailed content, and an impact rating from low to high. Traders need to check the economic calendar daily to anticipate periods of high market volatility.
For example, when the U.S. releases interest rate decisions or the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report, CAPITALCOM:GOLD gold and USD pairs often experience fast and strong price movements. Based on the calendar, traders can avoid trading right before major news to reduce risk, or take advantage of the volatility if they have experience. In addition, the economic calendar supports building medium- and long-term strategies based on economic cycles. Understanding macroeconomic trends allows traders to be more proactive and confident instead of reacting to price movements. Combining the economic calendar with technical analysis improves decision-making and risk management. Traders can access the calendar for free on reputable websites like Forex Factory, Investing, or directly within MT4 and MT5 platforms. This is a must-use tool for anyone aiming to trade professionally and with discipline.
Wishing you success and clarity in every trade.
Popular Trading Styles in ForexHere are some common trading styles used in the Forex market:
Trend Following: Traders identify and follow the main market trend, buying in an uptrend and selling in a downtrend.
Reversal Trading: Traders look for points where the trend may reverse and enter positions against the current trend.
Range Trading: Traders buy near support and sell near resistance when the price moves within a defined range.
News Trading: Traders capitalize on strong market movements following major economic news releases.
Scalping: Traders open and close trades very quickly, aiming to profit from small price movements.
Swing Trading: Traders hold positions from several days to weeks, taking advantage of short-term price swings within a larger trend.
Technical Analysis Trading: Decisions are based on indicators, price patterns, and volume analysis.
Fundamental Analysis Trading: Traders analyze economic and political factors affecting currency values to make trading decisions.
If you have any questions or need further explanation on any style, feel free to ask.
Good luck and happy trading!
Global gold rises over 1% as the US dollar and US economic data Global gold OANDA:XAUUSD rises over 1% as the US dollar and US economic data weaken
Gold prices rose more than 1% on Thursday (May 15), supported by a weaker US dollar and weak US economic data, while Russian President Vladimir Putin’s absence from peace talks prompted some safe-haven buying.
At the close of trading on May 15, spot gold $TVC:XAU-AMEX:USD contracts gained 1.2% to $3,226.6 per ounce, after touching a more than one-month low earlier in the session. Gold FX:XAUUSD futures advanced nearly 1% to $3,218.70 per ounce.
The US dollar index fell 0.1%, making gold, which is priced in the greenback, less expensive for holders of other currencies.
Data showed that the US Producer Price Index (PPI) unexpectedly declined in April, while retail sales growth slowed. Earlier this week, a report showed that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose less than forecast in April.
The market is pricing in the expectation that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates in September. Lower interest rates boost gold’s appeal as it is a non-yielding asset.
Thursday’s data added to the chances of a Fed rate cut, with more dovish expectations forming in the market.
Gold is under pressure as the US dollar strengthensGold $TVC:XAU-AMEX:USD is under pressure as the US dollar strengthens and trade optimism spreads across the market. Prices slipped slightly early Wednesday as investors took profits after a rise from last week’s lows. Although US inflation came in lower than expected, the Fed’s lack of plans to cut interest rates anytime soon keeps gold OANDA:XAUUSD from gaining momentum. At the same time, optimism about new trade agreements between the US, China, the UK, and other countries, along with hopes for peace talks between Russia and Ukraine, are reducing demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Technically, the overall trend looks bearish. There’s no significant rebound from the support zone, indicating that selling pressure still dominates. Currently, prices are consolidating sideways before potentially testing the 3200 level.
Key resistance levels are at 3243, 3257, and 3269, while support is concentrated around 3222 and 3200.
If prices continue to fluctuate within the current range and test the 3222-3200 support zone, the downtrend is likely to persist in the short to medium term. However, it’s important to note that the market may create short-term “short squeezes” around resistance zones to challenge traders before prices fall further.
Wishing everyone successful and effective trading!
XAUUSD - Preparing for Healthy Pullback?Gold has exhibited remarkable strength in recent days, surging from around $2,960 to establish new all-time highs above $3,230. After this vertical move and having reached overbought conditions, the 4-hour chart indicates a likely correction phase is imminent, with price projected to retrace toward the highlighted support zone around $3,160-3,170, which previously acted as resistance. This pullback represents a natural technical rebalancing after such an explosive upward movement and would provide an opportunity to test the market's conviction about the current bull trend. The highlighted lower support zone near $2,960 should contain any deeper corrections, though the immediate focus is on the upper support level as a probable target for this corrective wave before potentially resuming the larger uptrend. Traders should monitor price action around these key levels for signs of stabilization and renewed buying interest.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD - Will the trendline HOLD? Gold has reached a critical juncture as prices have sharply retreated to test the major uptrend line that's been in place since late January. Currently trading at $3,038.98, the precious metal has experienced a significant pullback from its recent all-time highs above $3,160. This trendline has supported gold's impressive rally for months, making this test particularly important for determining the near-term direction. If buyers step in at these levels, we could see a bounce and continuation of the broader uptrend; however, a decisive break below this trendline could trigger a more substantial correction, potentially targeting previous support zones around $2,950-$3,000. The sharp nature of the recent decline suggests increased selling pressure, making the next few trading sessions crucial for determining whether this is merely a dip in an ongoing bull market or the beginning of a deeper retracement.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GOLD 30m CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR DAILYGold (XAU/USD) Outlook for the Upcoming Week:
The outlook for XAU/USD in the coming week depends on a combination of technical, fundamental, and economic factors, including the Federal Reserve's policy, economic data, and the strength of the U.S. dollar. Here's an analysis based on the provided chart:
Technical Analysis:
Overall Trend:
The chart shows a medium-term uptrend, with higher highs and higher lows forming.
A small pullback is observed toward the end of the chart, which could potentially act as a retracement before resuming the uptrend.
Key Levels:
Support Levels:
$2,700 is the nearest support level.
A deeper support is located at $2,685.
Resistance Levels:
Immediate resistance lies between $2,715 and $2,720.
A breakout above this zone could push prices toward $2,735.
Indicators (if applicable):
Indicators such as RSI or MACD (not shown in the chart) can confirm whether gold is in overbought or oversold territory. If RSI is above 70, it might suggest selling pressure could emerge soon.
Fundamental Analysis:
U.S. Economic Data:
Key economic releases, such as inflation data (CPI) or employment reports, could influence the dollar. Weak U.S. data typically supports gold prices.
Federal Reserve Policy:
Any dovish signals from the Fed, such as reluctance to raise interest rates further, would be bullish for gold as a non-yielding asset.
Geopolitical Risks:
Heightened geopolitical tensions could increase demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Forecast for the Week:
If prices hold above the $2,700 support level and break the $2,720 resistance, a continuation of the uptrend is likely.
Failure to hold $2,700 could lead to a decline toward $2,685 or even $2,665.
2025 roadmap for gold xauusd by my strategyAs we look ahead to 2025, this analysis outlines a comprehensive roadmap for trading XAU/USD (gold) based on my proprietary strategy. With a focus on key market drivers, technical indicators, and geopolitical factors, this roadmap aims to provide traders with actionable insights and a clear vision of Potential price movements for gold.
In this report, I will delve into the fundamental and technical aspects that are likely to influence gold prices in 2025, including expected shifts in monetary policy, inflation trends, and global economic conditions. I will also highlight critical support and resistance levels, chart patterns, and relevant indicators that could guide buying and selling decisions.
Additionally, the analysis will explore the impact of external factors such as interest rates, currency fluctuations, and market sentiment on gold’s performance. By implementing my strategy, traders will be better equipped to navigate the complexities of the gold market and identify profitable opportunities in the coming year.
Join me on this journey to uncover the potential pathways for XAU/USD in 2025 and refine your trading approach in alignment with emerging trends.
these price is the Key Points for changing the trend and will be nice for swing position .
i wish you the best in 2025 and you will be make more money than past...
XAU Gold 4H TradeFriends, the first trade on gold begins. I’m taking a long position on gold with a 4-hour timeframe, which I believe will show results in the next three to four days. There will be daily updates added to the analysis based on 30-minute intervals, so it’s a good idea to follow me to also see trades on lower timeframes.
For this trade, I’ve hypothetically invested $500 with 20x leverage. You can adjust these amounts based on your own strategies and techniques. The main goal is to identify trends in gold across various timeframes and share insights.
If you have any thoughts or suggestions, I’d be happy to hear them in the comments.
Thank you!
Initiated a short position in GOLD, successfully reached target Gold may show bullish momentum at today’s open due to several key factors:
Safe-Haven Demand: Rising inflation or economic instability often drives investors toward gold, bolstering its appeal.
Weaker Dollar: A softer dollar makes gold more attractive to international buyers, supporting price gains.
Interest Rate Outlook: Speculation around potential rate cuts or pauses makes holding gold more favorable, reducing its opportunity cost.
Geopolitical Uncertainty: Tensions or instability in global markets can increase demand for gold as a safe asset.
Technical Factors: A recent break above resistance or strong support levels can trigger technical buying, reinforcing an uptrend.
XAU-USD | 4H | SHORT | TECHNICAL CHARTHello traders, I have determined my FOREXCOM:XAUUSD target on the chart. I expect traders to buy from the supply and demand zone. I have marked the key level.
Thank you very much for supporting me with your likes.
If you traders want to receive constant updates under this post, there should be at least 50 likes.
Note: I have been in the forex, crypto, and stock financial sector for 14 years. I do day trading with harmonic patterns, smc, chart formations, and Elliot wave strategies. I am sharing signals from some of my operations with you.
weekly analysis of gold with my personal st based on WMPwe made almost 730 pips from our area on gold by 2-3 positions a day on NEWYORk session last week.
gold make an uptrend move from 2045 to 2085 on friday know we have some plan to trade gold this week. we trade on newyork session by our new area and i wish more profit from last week.
"Using the data we get from the gold weekly chart and my special calculation program, we identify these waypoints as key gold points and based on that we can enter long and short positions. In this method, stoploss setting is based on your personal money management and is flexible, but the most logical stop is between 20 and 35 pips from the entry point on the drawing lines.
Every week we will recalculate and send you the lines and we hope to get between 200 and 500 pips of profit with this strategy.
Until further notice, this program will be run for free and after you believe in our method, the supplementary strategy along with the calculation program will be available for sale . and for those people who are not interested in calculation and training in the coming weeks of the channel, We will have a daily trading signal on gold."
XAUUSD 4h4H - On Wednesday, after updating the local minimum, the price aggressively changed the context to a long one in the news. After that, Thursday and Wednesday passed in a correctional movement. The context is still long at the moment, and we are currently in an imbalance. Compression in the form of equal maxima often leads to aggressive reversals.
Gold break his highest resistance ever ! (XAUUSD)All technicals shows that OANDA:XAUUSD will keep running higher and higher , fundamentals too as we can see this is a war cycle , first ukraine then gaza those are a real factors that will push the gold higher and higher , the chart shows a strong bulls breakout . For me this week will probably see 2100 !
GOLD 4H price achieves the extended targetHello everyone, The price of gold rose strongly yesterday to succeed in achieving our expected target of 1985. We notice that the price begins today with more positivity to try to penetrate this level, which leads the price to achieve more expected gains during the coming sessions, paving the way for heading towards the levels of 1991 and then 2009 as stations—next main.
Moving average 50 continues to support the proposed bullish wave, taking into account that failure to consolidate above 1977.25 will stop the expected rise and put pressure on the price to turn lower.
Pivot Price: 1977
Resistance Price: 1991 & 2009 & 2024
Support price: 1957 & 1943 & 1929
timeframe: 4H
NZDUSD FX:NZDUSD
Suggestion: sell point below 0.5851 with the first profit tick of 0.5803 and the second profit tick of 0.5791
Alternative offer (if the price trend changes) when the price penetrates above 0.5851, the price will first start its movement towards 0.5871 and 0.5884.
Support point and 30-minute time frame price chart
(Today's pivot, support and resistance levels of the forex market)
0.5884
0.5871
0.5851
———
0.5803
0.5791
0.5779