Gold-trading
Will Gold Hold at 2630? Key Levels for Bulls and BearsI'm eyeing a sell opportunity in gold (XAUUSD) , targeting the 2660 level for an ideal short entry. The price is expected to dip towards 2630 , a significant support zone, where a potential reversal could occur. If the market finds strength there, we may see a bounce as buyers step in.
Geopolitical tensions continue to support gold's safe-haven appeal, but a stronger dollar or global risk-off sentiment may keep downward pressure in the short term. Monitoring price action closely around these levels for potential setups.
World gold was sold off and plummetedGold sold off and plunged to its lowest level in 3 weeks after the unexpectedly decisive victory of Republican US presidential candidate Donald Trump.
The Federal Reserve's FOMC meeting appears to be overshadowed but also in the spotlight this week. The meeting began Wednesday morning and ended Thursday afternoon with a statement from the FOMC and a press conference from Fed Chairman Powell. Most people believe the Fed will cut its key interest rate by 0.25%.
“While the market expects a 25 basis point rate cut, any sign of a pause or slowdown in cuts will put further pressure on gold, which is already sensitive to rising interest rates and a stronger dollar",
“With a stronger dollar and rising yields, gold faces immediate downside risks, potentially extending towards the 50-day moving average at $2,636.66 an ounce if the Federal Reserve State signals more caution about future interest rate cuts.”
This puts a lot of pressure on Gold and we can completely believe that gold will fall even deeper
🔥 XAUUSD BUY LIMIT 2649 - 2647🔥
✅TP1: 2660
✅TP2: 2670
✅TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2638
🔥 XAUUSD SELL LIMIT 2676 - 2674🔥
✅TP1: 2665
✅TP2: 2655
✅TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2685
Gold price today, November 8: Reversing to go upGold prices jumped today as the US Federal Reserve (FED) cut interest rates by 0.25% as the market had predicted. Accordingly, the US base interest rate fell to 4.5-4.75%. This is the second time in 2024 that the FED has cut interest rates to reduce inflation to the 2% target and boost economic growth.
Lower interest rates have put pressure on the value of the USD and bond yields to fall, after rising sharply on November 7 - the time Donald Trump was elected US President. Since then, gold prices have become attractive to investors.
Bloomberg news agency reported that central banks around the world are concerned that Mr. Trump's policies could lead to slower global economic growth and higher inflation.
Analysts say that in the long term, the world gold price will continue to heat up because President Donald Trump intends to impose high import taxes. At that time, the price of goods in the US will increase, affecting inflation, causing the USD to depreciate, pushing the price of gold up.
🔥 XAUUSD BUY 2683 - 2681🔥
✅TP1: 2690
✅TP2: 2700
✅TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2675
The world gold price suddenly went into limboMarex analyst Edward Meir said: "Investors are buying when gold prices are on the rise. This strategy was maintained throughout the US election because there was a lot of volatility."
Ms. Kamala Harris - Vice President of the Democratic Party - currently has a support rate of 46%, temporarily leading former President Donald Trump who has a support rate of 43%.
Gold prices rose more than 4% in October as investors poured money into safe assets, partly due to tensions in the Middle East and uncertainty in the US election. Markets are now focusing on the US nonfarm payrolls report for clues about the health of the world's largest economy.
Traders see a 95% chance that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week, according to CME's FedWatch tool. Zero-yielding gold thrives in a low interest rate environment.
Data just released US labor costs recorded the smallest increase in more than three years in the third quarter, while the number of Americans filing new unemployment claims fell to a five-month low last week. before.
Even as the Fed ramps up adjustments, gold still risesGold Talking Points:
I went over gold in-intensity in yesterday`s webinar, and this morning updates given the metal`s persevered charge motion with bulls pushing as much as some other ATH simply interior of the 2790 degree.
The contemporary pullback feels just like the earlier episode, whilst gold stalled in advance of a check of the 2700 mental degree. In that iteration, expenses then constructed a bull flag formation as 3 weeks of sideways grind regarded earlier than consumers had been in the end capable of pressure a push up and thru the subsequent large discern at 2700.
The banner 12 months for gold has persevered and this morning delivered but some other sparkling all-time-excessive into the mix. At this point, charge held highs simply about $10 interior of the subsequent important mental degree of 2800 and this resembles closing month`s episode whilst gold bulls shied farfar from 2700, at the least initially. The excessive then held at 2685 and a bearish channel advanced thereafter, which, whilst all for the earlier bullish fashion made for a bull flag formation.
Given the resistance that has been in region so far, simply across the 2800 degree, I assume this is the subsequent degree that wishes to be accepted. And we formerly had reputation on the 2750 degree after guide confirmed there, which is clear at the two-hour chart below. So, ideally, any corresponding retracement will stay above the preceding better low to hold the door open for bullish momentum setups.
Gold futures prices have reached a new all-time highThe first factor that draws interest at the every day chart is the breakout above the top border of the pink consolidation (…)
What does this suggest for gold futures?
The capacity bullish situation should take the rate to the $2,800 barrier or maybe around $2,825, wherein the dimensions of the rally could correspond to the pinnacle of the cited pink consolidation.
From the cutting-edge factor of view, we see that the scenario evolves in keeping with the above situation and the shoppers have done the primary goal cited in advance today.
Thanks to this rate movement, gold futures fees additionally reached a brand new document excessive of $2,801.65.
However, given the breakouts cited above throughout all 3 formations, we should see a upward push to around $2,786, wherein the dimensions of the rally could correspond to the peak of the consolidation brown (2d upside goal). At this factor, it's far really well worth noting that during this place there may be additionally the 127.2% Fibonacci extension level (primarily based totally at the October 23 excessive and low), which serves as technical resistance. Therefore, it's far really well worth looking the conduct of the bulls on this place - mainly whilst we keep in mind the closeness to the formerly damaged decrease border of the very brief grey uptrend channel term (presently at around $2,787.30), which can entice dealers to the exchange.
Gold Price Maintains Uptrend With EMA SupportGold is currently trading around $2,787/ounce, supported by the EMA(34) and EMA(89), indicating that the uptrend is dominant. The chart shows that the price is in a stable uptrend channel, with strong buying pressure.
The nearest resistance level may create a short-term correction, but if the price continues to break and maintain above the EMAs, the long-term uptrend is likely to continue.
The driving factor for gold's rise comes from the upcoming US presidential election on November 5, raising concerns about the possibility of political instability. The market is reflecting these concerns by increasing demand for gold - a safe-haven asset amid geopolitical risks.
World gold prices increased again, towards 2,800 USDSince the beginning of the year, gold prices have increased more than 34%, due to the conflict in the Middle East, the US Presidential election and the US Federal Reserve (Fed) reducing interest rates. Investors are currently waiting for a series of US economic data to be released this week, including the employment report and the personal expenditure price index (PCE) - the Fed's favorite inflation measure. These data may impact the Fed's interest rate decision at its meeting on November 7.
Markets currently place the probability of a Fed rate cut of 25 basis points (0.25%) next month at 98%. "Gold prices will still tend to increase, possibly even to 2,800 USD in the next few days, because the US election is still putting pressure on the market and the possibility of the Fed reducing interest rates is almost certain," Han Tan - market strategist at Exinity Group said.
🔥 XAUUSD Sell now 2778 - 2780🔥
✔️ TP1: 2760
✔️ TP2: 2750
✔️ TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2786
Gold price forecastWorld gold prices increase when the USD index decreases. Recorded at 9:00 a.m. on October 30, the US Dollar Index measuring the fluctuation of the greenback with 6 major currencies was at 104,114 points (down 0.02%).
According to Kitco, world gold prices increased sharply, breaking the threshold of 2,780 USD/ounce when receiving many supporting factors. In one week, Americans will officially go to the polls to elect a new Congress and president. Information surrounding the election fueled instability in financial markets, causing investors to turn to gold as a safe-haven asset.
Increased safe-haven demand for gold has helped push gold prices toward all-time highs.
Today, several economic data could affect gold prices, including ADP employment data, third quarter GDP and US pending home sales. Monetary policy decisions of the Bank of Japan.
Economic data to watch this week include core PCE, personal income and spending and US weekly jobless claims on Thursday and US nonfarm payrolls and PMI measures manufacturing sector's economic performance on Friday.
🔥 OANDA:XAUUSD Sell now 2778 - 2780🔥
✔️ TP1: 2760
✔️ TP2: 2750
✔️ TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2786
Gold Price Rises Strongly Amid US Political Uncertainty ConcernsBased on the current factors, I see gold prices in an uptrend and trading within a solid bullish channel, with the EMA (34) and EMA (89) supporting below. The main driver is political uncertainty in the US, along with concerns about fiscal deficits and safe-haven demand amid geopolitical tensions. News of hedge funds buying an additional 15 tonnes of gold last week further reinforces this trend.
Currently, the price is at $2,778/ounce, but if it approaches the upper resistance line of the bullish channel, the price may correct slightly before continuing the upward trend. However, if the political situation continues to escalate, the possibility of breaking the resistance and reaching higher levels is very high.
XAUUSD Waiting for Rising Wedge BreakoutBased on the chart of XAUUSD, I see an ascending wedge pattern forming, with the possibility of a strong price increase upon breaking the resistance. The EMA(34) and EMA(89) are still below, supporting this uptrend. If the price continues to stay within the wedge pattern and then breaks above, we can expect a strong increase to the $2,800 area or higher.
Gold prices are influenced by inflation risks and political.World gold prices decreased slightly when the USD index increased. Recorded at 9:15 a.m. on October 28, the US Dollar Index measuring the fluctuation of the greenback with 6 major currencies was at 104,357 points (up 0.22%).
Nine analysts participated in Kitco News' gold survey. Last week's near-bullish consensus has narrowed. 5 experts expect gold prices to increase this week, while another 2 experts expect the price of this precious metal to decrease. The remaining two analysts remain neutral on gold's short-term prospects.
Meanwhile, 213 votes were cast in Kitco's online poll. The majority of Main Street investors believe that gold has an upward trend. 126 traders expect gold prices to increase this week. There are 47 people who expect precious metals to decrease. The remaining 40 investors said that prices will tend to move sideways this week.
🔥 XAUUSD Buy limit 2714 - 2712 🔥
✔️TP1: 2730
✔️TP2: 2750
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2706
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🔥 XAUUSD Sell limit 2740 - 2738 🔥
✔️ TP1: 2725
✔️ TP2: 2720
✔️ TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2748
It is predicted that the price will continue to rise above 2,750Last week, gold prices fluctuated strongly, reaching a record high, but also encountered many difficulties in maintaining the upward momentum, causing experts to have mixed opinions on this week's price trend.
According to a survey by Kitco News, the optimism of experts and investors has decreased significantly compared to last week, when only about 56% of experts forecast that gold prices will increase, 22% said that prices will decrease, and the remaining 22% hold a neutral opinion.
Marc Chandler from Bannockburn Global Forex believes that gold prices may adjust in the short term. He said that current risks are tilted to the downside, especially if gold breaks the threshold of 2,700 USD/ounce, which could lead to strong selling pressure. Sharing the same opinion, Colin Cieszynski from SIA Wealth Management also forecasts that gold prices may decrease next week because there is no positive news from the BRICS conference for the precious metals market. He said that gold is facing a correction after previously increasing strongly.
🔥 XAUUSD Buy limit 2714 - 2712 🔥
✔️TP1: 2730
✔️TP2: 2750
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2706
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🔥 XAUUSD Sell limit 2732 - 2734 🔥
✔️ TP1: 2725
✔️ TP2: 2720
✔️ TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2742
Gold Rises Short-Term to Close Gap Ahead of US Economic DataBased on the chart and the current situation, I see gold prices are creating a gap and tending to rise to close that gap. This may reflect the cautious sentiment of investors ahead of the release of important US economic data this week, including GDP, unemployment rate, consumer confidence index and some other important indicators on the labor market.
US government bond yields are rising sharply, pushing to 4.275%, and the Dollar-Index is also at a high of 104,400 points. These factors usually put downward pressure on gold prices because a stronger USD makes gold more expensive for investors holding other currencies. However, with the gap opening up, I expect a short-term rally to close the gap, before gold continues to test higher resistance levels.
The key support level is still around $2,730, and if the price holds at this level, there is a good chance of a short-term rally to fill the gap, giving investors a chance to find a reasonable entry point in the short term. However, I remain cautious with the possibility of a drop to lower levels if US economic data supports the strength of the USD.
XAUUSD Faces Downside Risk as Head and Shoulders Pattern BeginsIn my view, a head and shoulders pattern may be forming on the chart with:
The left shoulder is at the top near $2,755, reflecting initial buying pressure.
The head peak is prominent at $2,740, indicating strong but waning buying pressure.
The right shoulder is forming with a peak close to the right shoulder at $2,755.
If the price breaks below the neckline around $2,721, the pattern will be complete. This could lead to a deeper decline, signaling an approaching downtrend. I will monitor further for confirmation.
Gold Price Fluctuates Strongly As USD IncreasesBased on the chart and information you provided, gold prices are under downward pressure due to the continued rise in the USD and the US bond yield rising to 4.25%, which has limited the flow of investment capital into the precious metal. On the chart, after hitting the resistance level around $2,757, gold prices reversed and fell below $2,720.
Currently, gold prices are likely to continue to correct to the support zone around $2,700. If this support zone fails to hold, the price is likely to continue to fall further. However, if the price holds above the support level, there may be a recovery and retest the resistance zone of $2,750-2,760.
Gold Benefits From Political TensionsThe technical analysis of the gold chart shows that the price has increased sharply and broken the resistance level near $2,743/ounce. The EMA 34 and 89 continue to point up, reinforcing the long-term uptrend. It is expected that the gold price may have a correction to the $2,700 level before continuing to increase to higher targets around $2,800 and $2,950, corresponding to the Fibonacci levels 1.0 and 1.618.
The political news factor also contributes significantly to the fluctuations of the gold price. The US presidential election in November is strongly affecting the market sentiment. If Mr. D.T. wins, the gold price is likely to decrease due to expectations that he can resolve geopolitical tensions. However, strong economic policies from both candidates may also increase economic stimulus and money injection, further supporting the gold price increase.
Xauusd price is likely to be $3,000World gold prices increased in the context of the USD index falling. Recorded at 9:20 a.m. on October 21, the US Dollar Index measuring the fluctuation of the greenback with 6 major currencies was at 103,749 points (down 0.08%).
Over the past year, gold bars - a commodity considered a hedge against political and economic instability - have increased more than 31%, breaking many records. The US Federal Reserve's (FED) interest rate cuts combined with safe haven demand have created a perfect storm for gold.
According to senior market strategist Daniel Pavilonis of RJO Futures, developments ahead of the US election and geopolitical developments in the Middle East are supporting precious metals.
President of Phoenix Futures and Options - forecasts that interest rates will decrease and gold is ready to conquer new milestones. He believes that gold prices will reach $3,000/ounce in the first quarter of next year.
In the coming time, gold prices will still be affected by the FED's interest rate management. According to CME's FedWatch tool, US inflation has been contained, the market is expecting a 92.2% chance that the FED will cut 25 basis points and a 7.8% chance of keeping current interest rates unchanged. meeting on November 7.
💎 XAUUSD sell 2734 - 2738💎
✔️TP1: 2730
✔️TP2: 2720
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2744
Expectations for Further Gains Amid Lower Interest RatesGold prices are currently in an uptrend and have broken through the $2,730 resistance level, heading higher. The technical chart shows that the price is continuing to maintain its upward momentum within the price channel, with the 34-day EMA and 89-day EMA supporting below. However, after hitting $2,740/ounce, the price has corrected to $2,720 due to a stronger USD and profit-taking.
News from China about the PBoC cutting interest rates is an important factor driving the gold market. Meanwhile, the Fed is expected to cut interest rates in November, creating expectations that gold prices will continue to rise in the long term, although there may still be short-term corrections when major central banks cut interest rates.
Gold prices increased about 2.4% during the weekGold costs surpassed $2,seven-hundred an oz for the primary time as worries approximately escalating warfare withinside the Middle East and a traumatic US election race precipitated traders to hurry to safety.
Bullion rose as a lot as 1% to $2,720.17 an oz, surpassing an all-time excessive set withinside the preceding session. The bullish sentiment unfold to the wider treasured metals complex, with silver growing as a lot as 5.5% to its maximum considering 2012. BlackRock Inc.`s iShares Silver Trust, the most important exchange-traded product monitoring The metal, has visible a massive growth in name alternatives as traders guess on better costs.
The marketplace specializes in an increasing number of traumatic geopolitical traits after Israel introduced it had killed Hamas chief Yahya Sinwar, the person in the back of the Palestinian group's assault on southern Israel, inflicting a extended war. 12 months lengthy in Gaza.
💎 XAUUSD Buy limit 2715 - 2713💎
✔️TP1: 2731
✔️TP2: 2651
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2705
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💎XAUUSD Sell limit 2751 - 2749💎
✔️TP1: 2730
✔️TP2: 2620
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2758
Gold Price Rises Strongly Thanks to Geopolitics and Fed PolicyOn the chart, gold price has broken out of the resistance level at the $2,700 area and continues to maintain its upward momentum. The upward sloping trend line and the support of the EMA 34 and EMA 89 are further consolidating this trend. The possibility of gold continuing to move towards higher resistance levels is high.
Geopolitical factors from the Middle East, especially the tension between Hezbollah and Israel, are boosting the safe-haven demand for gold. At the same time, the monetary policy from the US Federal Reserve (Fed) with the possibility of cutting interest rates in November is also the main driver for gold to continue to grow.
In general, with a positive technical trend and support from macro news, gold prices are likely to continue to increase in the coming time.
Xauusd Technical Analysis | October 21, 2024Gold fees hold the bullish motion and print new document highs that's expected. The fee will hold the bullish motion and investors will await a bearish correction. Whenever the fee begins offevolved a bearish correction, investors should wait close to the guide degree to feature greater lengthy positions. As lengthy because the fee maintains printing new better highs and better lows, the fashion will hold bullish.
Today’s critical levels to watch:
Support: $2,685, $2,600
Resistance: $2,750, $2,800, $2,841
💎 XAUUSD Buy limit 2714 - 2712💎
✔️TP1: 2730
✔️TP2: 2650
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2705
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💎XAUUSD Sell limit 2750 - 2748💎
✔️TP1: 2730
✔️TP2: 2620
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2758