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Gold-trading

After the US pivoted monetary policy : ??At the beginning of the trading session on December 19 (US time), the world gold price continued to decrease after the US announced the number of unemployment benefit applications was 220,000, down from the forecast of 230,000 applications. This prompted the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to slow down the process of cutting interest rates in the future. Previously, gold investors were disappointed when the Fed sent out an unfavorable signal right after the monetary policy meeting on December 18. The US Central Bank issued a new forecast, showing that there will be 2 rounds of 25 basis point interest rate cuts next year. According to independent metal trader Tai Wong, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell revealed that he will slow down the process of cutting interest rates in the context of persistent inflation. This message from the Fed will make the gold price trend worse in the long term. According to analysts, the gold market has been volatile at times after the US pivoted its monetary policy. Specifically, the FED is expected to cut interest rates by a total of 0.5 percentage points only twice in 2025. This is a big change compared to the FED's announcement in September 2024 that there would be 4 interest rate cuts next year. This move has stimulated a very strong increase in the price of the USD and US bond interest rates. Because gold is priced in USD, when the "health" of this currency is stronger, it will put pressure on the price of this precious metal. Higher US bond interest rates have attracted investors to put capital into bonds, reducing demand for gold.
TVC:GOLDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
The economy is looking to the FedThe Fed has started its two-day policy meeting and is expected to cut interest rates by another 25 basis points. However, the focus will be on the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) and dot plot, which provide guidance for interest rates in 2025. While US Treasury yields and real yields both edged lower, the US dollar remained steady. The 10-year Treasury yield fell to 4.379%, while the DXY index rose 0.07% to 107.01. On the technical front, gold prices maintain their long-term uptrend but are under pressure in the short term. The key support level now is $2,600/ounce, which corresponds to the 100-day simple moving average (SMA). A break of this level could send prices lower to $2,531 – the August 20 high. Conversely, if the price breaks above $2,650, the next target will be $2,670 (50-day SMA), and then $2,700. In addition to the Fed’s decision, investors are awaiting the release of the core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, to gauge the future direction of policy. Signs that the incoming Trump administration may push for expansionary fiscal policy have raised expectations of a change in the Fed’s stance in the near term.
TVC:GOLDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
World gold price todayGold prices continued to weaken today due to stronger-than-expected important US economic news. The US retail sales report for November showed an increase of 0.7%, 0.2 percentage points higher than the forecast increase of 0.5%. This information made some gold investors worry that the FED may postpone the 0.25 percentage point interest rate cut after the end of the monetary policy meeting in the early morning of December 19. Since then, many people have temporarily stopped trading gold. On the other hand, gold is also likely to have limited purchasing power due to some forecasts of rising inflation in the US, a slowing labor market..., prompting the FED to stop cutting interest rates early in 2025. At that time, the USD could increase in value very strongly, negatively affecting the world gold price trend. The question now is whether the Fed will be more hawkish or dovish than the market has been expecting. Investors are now expecting the Fed to be more cautious in easing monetary policy, given the impact of Donald Trump’s agenda on inflation.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
XAUUSD - Daily | BREAKOUT IncomingSimple Trading - Ascending Triangle Gold is overall bullish so if the pattern breaks, it should break to the upside. Of course, if gold can not maintain bullish momentum, it may result in a further decline in the price. This pattern may not break out until the end of Dec. maybe into Jan. with this in mind we are still about to take price action trades on the smaller time frames. Levels to look out for: BULLISH: 2673 - 4hr FVG low 2683 - 4hr FVG High 2700 - supply and demand BEARISH: 2624 - 1hr Head and Shoulder Target 2610 - Daily FVG High 2590 - Daily FVG Midpoint 2575 - Daily FVG Low 2560 - Daily Double Bottom
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
by nikdobii
Gold price forecast December 17, 2024World gold prices increased slightly as the USD dropped. Recorded at 9:45 am on December 17, the US Dollar Index measuring the fluctuation of the greenback with 6 major currencies was at 106,470 points (down 0.08%). The gold market is cautious as investors prepare to receive the decision of the US Federal Reserve (FED), which is expected to reduce interest rates with a "hawkish" message after the monetary policy meeting. last of the year. Although gold prices maintained a sideways trend ahead of Wednesday's decision, one analyst said the message from the Fed could lead to a larger correction in the precious metals market. This medium-term upward trend is mainly driven by new economic policies, including deeper corporate tax cuts and increased tariffs on imports to the US. These policies could cause inflation to increase in 2025 and beyond. Wong also highlighted that real yields on the 10-year note have rebounded sharply after testing the 1.9% support level last week. If it increases to 2.29%, the opportunity cost of holding gold will be higher, making gold less attractive to investors.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by FalCol_TradingMaster
An exciting week with many important economic data.World gold prices decrease when the USD increases. Recorded at 9:40 a.m. on December 16, the US Dollar Index measuring the fluctuation of the greenback with 6 major currencies was at 106,570 points (down 0.11%). According to Naeem Aslam - investment director of Zaye Capital Markets, gold investors should mentally prepare for the possibility of gold prices weakening next week. The main reason comes from the US Federal Reserve (FED) reducing expectations about cutting interest rates, in the context of inflation still being "persistent". Lukman Otunuga - market analyst at FXTM - gave a neutral comment on gold prices in the short term. According to him, the trend of this precious metal will largely depend on the policy message that FED officials give in the upcoming meeting. Otunuga emphasized that, if the FED continues to maintain its "hawkish" stance, this could limit the ability of gold prices to increase as investors gradually narrow their expectations for stronger interest rate cuts next year. 2025. On the contrary, if the FED signals to loosen policy in 2024, gold prices could increase to 2,700 USD/ounce or higher. 🔥 XAUUSD SELL 2656 - 2654🔥 💵 TP1: 2630 💵 TP2: 2610 💵 TP3: OPEN 🚫 SL: 2665
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Investors predict the Fed will lower interest ratesAccording to a report by the World Gold Council (WGC), the People's Bank of China (PBOC) bought gold for reserves in November after a 6-month pause. China's gold reserves rose to 72.96 million ounces of pure gold at the end of November, up from 72.8 million ounces the previous month. In November, gold prices dropped sharply due to the sell-off after the US election results. WGC said that central banks' demand for gold continues to be positive. The main motivation for buying gold is to diversify foreign exchange reserves and reduce dependence on the USD. In the US, the market is looking towards an interest rate adjustment by the Federal Reserve (Fed). According to MT Newswires, strong labor market data reduces immediate pressure on the Fed to accelerate interest rate cuts. 🔥 XAUUSD SELL 2676 - 2678🔥 💵 TP1: 2650 💵 TP2: 2640 💵 TP3: OPEN 🚫 SL: 2686 🔥 XAUUSD BUY 2653 - 5651🔥 💵 TP1: 2665 💵 TP2: 2675 💵 TP3: OPEN 🚫 SL: 2646
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Gold prices fluctuate in a narrow rangeCurrently, gold prices are said to be "stuck" in a medium-term correction cycle, while the long-term price chart and macro fundamentals still support this safe-haven metal's price increase after the correction. Adjustment lasting 6 weeks ends. According to Kitco's latest survey, with 12 Wall Street analysts suggesting that price fluctuations are unlikely in the short term, only 17% of experts believe that the price of this precious metal will decrease, while the proportion forecast increases and decreases. equal at 42%. World gold prices have increased more than 27% this year, reaching a record high after the Fed loosened interest rates and geopolitical tensions escalated. According to the assessment of head of foreign exchange Christopher Vecchio at Tastylive, the long-term outlook for gold is still positive. If it overcomes the resistance level of 2,725 USD/ounce, gold prices could experience a fierce increase. 🔥 OANDA:XAUUSD BUY 2636 2634🔥 💵 TP1: 2645 💵 TP2: 2655 💵 TP3: OPEN 🚫 SL: 2628
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
World gold prices increasedSpeaking in an interview with the press hosted by the New York Times yesterday, Chairman of the US Federal Reserve (FED) - Jerome Powell - said the US economy is now stronger than when the FED started cutting interest rates in September. According to Mr. Powell, the positive news is that the FED can be more careful in setting neutral interest rates - interest rates that do not promote or inhibit growth. However, the FED Chairman did not directly mention the FED's policy direction at the meeting from December 17 to 18. However, some analysts believe that the FED's interest rate reduction process may slow down. Gold prices often react sensitively to changes in the FED's interest rate policy. When interest rates fall, the opportunity cost of holding gold - a non-interest-bearing asset - also decreases, increasing the appeal of gold as an investment channel. Conversely, if the Fed slows down in reducing interest rates or keeps interest rates at a higher level than expected, this could reduce demand for gold, leading to downward pressure on prices. 🔥 OANDA:XAUUSD BUY 2643 - 2645🔥 💵 TP1: 2655 💵 TP2: 2665 💵 TP3: OPEN 🚫 SL: 2637
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
The short-term gold market is difficult to predictLast week, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure was the newly announced personal consumption expenditure index (PCE). PCE increased 2.8% over the past 12 months, higher than expected. The US central bank indicated in its latest meeting minutes that higher-than-expected inflation could force it to adjust the pace of its easing cycle. The market still predicts the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December and will continue cutting until early 2025. In addition to Trump's social media posts, markets will focus on key economic data this week such as jobs data. If the employment situation is not as expected, gold prices may increase again. A stronger labor market could make an interest rate cut unlikely this month. Investors who record profits can rest assured. In the long term, market sentiment is quite optimistic. Many analysts believe that gold price will reach 3,000 USD/ounce next year. 🔥 XAUUSD BUY 2627 - 2625🔥 💵 TP1: 2640 💵 TP2: 2650 💵 TP3: OPEN 🚫 SL: 2618
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
World gold price todayWorld gold prices continued to increase slightly, with spot gold increasing by 3.2 USD to 2,632.8 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at $2,660.40 an ounce, up $4.80 from the bright spot. USD weakness added momentum to gold on Wednesday. Accordingly, the US Dollar Index fell 0.8%, hitting a two-week low, increasing the appeal of gold to holders of other currencies. However, the growth rate of this precious metal has been limited by the release of new data showing the potential distribution of chlorophyll. This indicates that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) could be very important in cutting interest rates. According to the report, US consumer spending increased sharply in October, but the slowdown appears to have been patchy in recent months. According to the minutes of the recent policy meeting released on Tuesday, there is currently uncertainty about the direction of the economy. That increased market expectations for an interest rate cut in December after the minutes were released. According to CME's FedWatch tool, the market currently forecasts a 70% chance of a 0.25 percentage point rate cut.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
World gold price decreasedDespite the decrease, world gold still maintains the level of 2,630 USD/ounce. Neils Christensen - an analyst at Kitco News commented that gold prices are anchored high as this precious metal continues to reflect uncertain geopolitical changes related to the upcoming administration of President-elect Donald Trump. . However, one market analyst still expects the gold bullish trend to continue until 2025. In a recent interview with Kitco News, Nitesh Shah - Head of Macroeconomics & Commodities Research Model at WisdomTree, said he expects the US dollar to fall by 2025, creating favorable conditions for gold prices to rise. At the same time, Shah said that the Federal Reserve's (FED) easing cycle will help push bond yields lower, another positive factor for higher gold prices. The newly released minutes of the FED's November meeting provide important information about the central bank's economic outlook. Fed officials expressed growing confidence in the economy's trajectory, especially regarding inflation and the labor market. The minutes showed policymakers believe inflation is gradually moving toward the Fed's 2% target and that the labor market is currently strong.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Russia-Ukraine tensions appear to be spreadingRussian President Vladimir Putin today, November 22, announced that the test of a medium-range missile complex carrying an Oreshnik supersonic warhead was successful. A day earlier, Russia attacked the Southern Machine Manufacturing Factory (Yuzhmash) in Dnipro (Ukraine), saying this was a move in response to Ukraine's use of ATACMS missiles supplied by the US with Storm Shadow missiles from the UK. This week, gold prices increased by 5.7% - recording the strongest weekly increase since March 2023 - when the local banking crisis in the US broke out. The price has increased for 5 consecutive versions, for a total of more than 170 USD. Gold is the preferred tool during any political, economic upheaval and low interest rates. The price went up despite the Dollar Index reaching a 2-year peak today and Bitcoin setting a new record at 99,768 USD per coin. The gold market also ignores that the probability of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) easing monetary policy next month is gradually decreasing. Investors currently forecast that the possibility of the Fed cutting interest rates is only 53%, down sharply from 82% last week. 🔥 XAUUSD BUY 2672 - 2670🔥 💵 TP1: 2680 💵 TP2: 2690 💵 TP3: OPEN 🚫 SL: 2660
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Despite the barrier of USD price increase, GOLD still increasesThe latest US weekly macroeconomic data showed 213,000 new unemployment claims, down sharply from the previous week. This further increases the market's expectation that the US Federal Reserve (FED) will further lower interest rates in December. In response to this information, the USD–Index surpassed the 107 point mark, meaning the USD increased in price very strongly, which could have a negative impact on the gold market. However, today's gold price continues to increase. The reason for the Russia-Ukraine military conflict is still tense. Investors look to gold for a safe haven for capital. 🔥 GOLD SELL 2698 - 2700🔥 💵 TP1: 2685 💵 TP2: 2675 💵 TP3: OPEN 🚫 SL: 2708 🔥 GOLD BUY 2673 - 2675🔥 💵 TP1: 2685 💵 TP2: 2695 💵 TP3: OPEN 🚫 SL: 2668
TVC:GOLD
by FalCol_TradingMaster
World gold prices rebounded strongly as tensions escalatedGold prices increased due to bottom-fishing demand skyrocketing in the context of increasing Russia-Ukraine tensions. President-elect Donald Trump is unlikely to end the Ukraine conflict soon after coming to power on January 20. Currently, investors' attention is also focused on some officials of the US Federal Reserve (FED), who are expected to give speeches this week. Market expectations for a December rate cut have dropped significantly, with odds now at 55.7%, down from 82.5% just a week ago. Ms. Lisa Cook - member of the FED Board of Governors said that the country's inflation continues to decline, with wages and the job market "cooling down", rising prices mainly in the housing sector. With this trend, the FED's continued interest rate cuts are considered still appropriate. However, she did not confirm the possibility that the FED will cut interest rates at its next meeting in December. Goldman Sachs - one of the world's leading investment banks, has just raised its gold price forecast to 2,900 USD/ounce, about 89.2 million VND/tael in early 2025, an increase of 200 USD compared to the previous forecast. there. 🔥 XAUUSD SELL 2698 - 2700🔥 💵 TP1: 2685 💵 TP2: 2675 💵 TP3: OPEN 🚫 SL: 2708 🔥 XAUUSD BUY 2673 - 2675🔥 💵 TP1: 2685 💵 TP2: 2695 💵 TP3: OPEN 🚫 SL: 2668
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
The yellow precious metal recovered as the USD weakened.The yellow precious metal recovered as the USD weakened. The DXY index measuring the greenback's strength fell to 106.21 points. However, US Treasury bond yields continue to rise, leading many experts to limit gold's gains. According to analyst James Hyerczyk at FX Empire, the gold recovery occurred when the USD temporarily paused below its highest level in a recent year, making gold more attractive to investors who do not use it. Use USD. Hyerczyk emphasized that the 2,604.39 resistance mark is “an important technical level” that traders are watching closely. “If this level is sustained, the price could rally sharply, towards the 50-day moving average at 2,653.63 and the retracement zone from 2,663.51 to 2,693.40,” he said. However, Hyerczyk warns that if there is renewed selling pressure at higher levels, this could indicate continued downward pressure on gold prices. Conversely, he said a fall in gold prices below 2,536.85 would signal weakness and the potential for a deeper decline towards the 200-day moving average at 2,403.46. He also added that traders will closely monitor comments from Fed officials this week for a clearer view of monetary policy. “Upcoming US economic data, such as housing and manufacturing reports, will also influence the direction of gold prices,” he said.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
XAU/USD: Is the Bull Run Over? Gold's recent dip to a two-month low has raised questions about whether its rally has run its course. Technical indicators suggest the metal could see further downside, with key support around $2,540 aligning with the 100-day moving average and highs from August. Also, we have weak (but growing) expectations that the Federal Reserve will push back its easing cycle due to fiscal policies under Trump. Additionally, we have U.S. annual inflation ticking up to 2.6% in October from 2.4% the prior month. Traders now estimate a 60% probability of a December rate cut, down from 80% pre-election, reflecting heightened caution over policy shifts and inflationary pressures.
BLACKBULL:XAUUSD
by BlackBull_Markets
Gold's long-term trend is still forecast to increase in price.Geopolitical tensions are expected to cool down under Donald Trump. And the US economy will attract international capital flows. Cash flow poured heavily into many high-risk assets such as the stock market, cryptocurrency market,... thereby putting more pressure on gold. However, in the medium and long term trend, gold is still forecast to increase in price. Many organizations have not changed their forecasts that gold will reach 3,000 USD/ounce by 2025. Many experts believe that public debt, leverage and extreme taxes of Mr. Donald Trump have the ability to bring gold prices back to before. After a period of time, many private investors will overcome the debt situation and the pressure to control the US budget. Gold will then increase again. With the recent sharp decline, it is likely that bottom-fishing demand from the "big players" in the market will increase again. China has stopped buying gold for 6 consecutive months, but may return to buying when prices fall deeply. China, Russia and many other countries are still accelerating the process of reducing the proportion of reserve assets denominated in USD. 🔥 OANDA:XAUUSD BUY 2590 - 2592🔥 💵 TP1: 2600 💵 TP2: 2610 💵 TP3: OPEN 🚫 SL: 2583 🔥 OANDA:XAUUSD SELL 2628 - 2630🔥 💵 TP1: 2620 💵 TP2: 2610 💵 TP3: OPEN 🚫 SL: 2637
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Gold continues to decline according to the technical chart.Gold prices continue to decline according to the technical chart. World gold prices dropped sharply last Wednesday after Mr. Trump won the election to the White House. The USD skyrocketed after this event, and the gold market experienced sell-offs. Bond yields rose as investors worried that the tariffs and tax cuts that Mr. Trump promised before his election could cause inflation to rise again. Morrison said, USD and interest rates increased. Gold prices fell sharply and found a bottom, then increased slightly in the last session of the week, gold was under strong selling pressure. Gold prices hold support from 2,635 to 2,675 USD/ounce. This is the resistance level of gold prices in the last week of September and early October. This week, the market is interested in some economic information such as US core CPI - data for the Fed to monitor inflation, weekly unemployment benefit data, US retail sales,... Owner Fed Chairman Jerome Powell will also speak on Thursday. According to Adam Button, Director of Currency Strategy at Forexlive, the market is watching who will be America's next finance minister. He expects the price of gold to increase again if John Paulson is chosen, because he is a gold price speculator.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Gold price today, November 8: Reversing to go upGold prices jumped today as the US Federal Reserve (FED) cut interest rates by 0.25% as the market had predicted. Accordingly, the US base interest rate fell to 4.5-4.75%. This is the second time in 2024 that the FED has cut interest rates to reduce inflation to the 2% target and boost economic growth. Lower interest rates have put pressure on the value of the USD and bond yields to fall, after rising sharply on November 7 - the time Donald Trump was elected US President. Since then, gold prices have become attractive to investors. Bloomberg news agency reported that central banks around the world are concerned that Mr. Trump's policies could lead to slower global economic growth and higher inflation. Analysts say that in the long term, the world gold price will continue to heat up because President Donald Trump intends to impose high import taxes. At that time, the price of goods in the US will increase, affecting inflation, causing the USD to depreciate, pushing the price of gold up. 🔥 XAUUSD BUY 2683 - 2681🔥 ✅TP1: 2690 ✅TP2: 2700 ✅TP3: OPEN 🚫SL: 2675
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
World gold was sold off and plummetedGold sold off and plunged to its lowest level in 3 weeks after the unexpectedly decisive victory of Republican US presidential candidate Donald Trump. The Federal Reserve's FOMC meeting appears to be overshadowed but also in the spotlight this week. The meeting began Wednesday morning and ended Thursday afternoon with a statement from the FOMC and a press conference from Fed Chairman Powell. Most people believe the Fed will cut its key interest rate by 0.25%. “While the market expects a 25 basis point rate cut, any sign of a pause or slowdown in cuts will put further pressure on gold, which is already sensitive to rising interest rates and a stronger dollar", “With a stronger dollar and rising yields, gold faces immediate downside risks, potentially extending towards the 50-day moving average at $2,636.66 an ounce if the Federal Reserve State signals more caution about future interest rate cuts.” This puts a lot of pressure on Gold and we can completely believe that gold will fall even deeper 🔥 XAUUSD BUY LIMIT 2649 - 2647🔥 ✅TP1: 2660 ✅TP2: 2670 ✅TP3: OPEN 🚫SL: 2638 🔥 XAUUSD SELL LIMIT 2676 - 2674🔥 ✅TP1: 2665 ✅TP2: 2655 ✅TP3: OPEN 🚫SL: 2685
OANDA:XAUUSD
by FalCol_TradingMaster