XAUUSD 4/8/24This week in gold, we have the potential for another sell-off through trendline liquidity, as we’ve seen before. However, all price action is trending upwards, making this our main scenario. As shown on our chart, we have a liquid high that is close to the current price, with liquidity built up below the lows.
We know that on a high timeframe, we are strongly bullish. The price tested last week’s high and then fell significantly, indicating a potential pullback before the high is taken. Key points to note include the heavy sell-off from the supply area, leaving an untapped supply zone, and creating the first sell-side imbalance during the upward trend. This suggests a chance for price to hold and potentially drop below the trendline mark. If this occurs, we will look towards the demand area shown on the chart in red. We will monitor this area to see if it pushes the price back into the higher timeframe trade alignment or fails, leading to a sell-off and a change in our bias on the given timeframe.
If the bullish trend continues, we will monitor the supply area above the current price, expecting it to fail. If it does, we may see a new all-time high for gold. Overall, the price is bullish, so a fallback would be preferable if we aim to take buys from this price section.
Watch the trendline liquidity being created below the untapped supply area and the liquid high just above it. Also, if the trendline breaks, watch the demand area to see if it goes higher within our range.
Trade safely, stick to your risk management, and follow your plan.
Gold-trend
GOLD - ATH Amid Middle East Unrest and Fed Rate Cut Signals Gold Futures Surge Amid Middle East Tensions and Fed Rate Cut Speculations
Gold futures soared to a new all-time high last week, driven by escalating tensions in the Middle East and increased expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut. The geopolitical situation remains highly volatile, maintaining a bullish outlook for gold prices.
Technical Analysis: Gold
Current Outlook: Gold prices have stabilized within a bullish zone, currently targeting $2,475 with a potential correction towards $2,428.
Bullish Scenario: If gold remains stable above $2,428, the bullish trend may extend towards $2,466 and $2,475, with an ultimate aim for an all-time high (ATH) around $2,493.
Bearish Scenario: Conversely, stabilization below $2,420 could support a decline towards $2,397, and potentially further down to $2,378.
Key Levels:
- Pivot Line: $2,428
- Resistance Levels: $2,450, $2,475, $2,493
- *upport Levels: $2,428, $2,420, $2,397
Today's Expected Trading Range: Prices are anticipated to fluctuate between the support level at $2,428 and the resistance level at $2,493.
This advanced analysis considers the impact of geopolitical events and central bank policies on gold's market performance, reflecting both immediate trading opportunities and potential risks.
GOLD Price Consolidation Between 2378 & 2356 with Bearish BiasGOLD Price dropped perfectly as we mentioned in the previous idea
For Today the price will trade between 2378 and 2356 till breaking, as long as trades under 2378, the means will continue dropping to get 2356, and reversing should stabilize above 2379.
Bullish Scenario:
The price should stabilize above 2379 by closing 4h candle above it, to be bullish trend toward 2388 and 2397
Bearish Scenario:
The price will drop to get 2366 and 2356, by stabilizing under 2378
Key Levels:
- Pivot Line: 2378
- Resistance Levels: 2366, 2356, 2342
- Support Levels: 2388, 2397, 2420
Today's Expected Range:
The price is anticipated to fluctuate between the support at 2356 and the resistance at 2388, with a bearish inclination.
previous idea:
XAUUSD daily analysis 03/07/2024our yesterdays analysis on xauuad was perfect and all our signals hit take profit. today the market is going to have various news and these news are going to put market in volatility.
▶️Long positions above 2319.00 with targets at 2337.00, 2348 2355 2362 2376 2385
▶️Below 2319.00 look for further downside with 2311.00 , 2306 2296 2288 2282
Supports and resistances
2355.00
2348.00
2337.00
2332.00
2319.00
2311.00
2306.0
more detailed analysis will be posted soon
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GOLD (Bullish with Key level 2320)Technical Analysis: Gold
The price reached our fully bearish support which is 2292 as we mentioned and reversed, again...
Current Outlook:
The trend remains bullish today, with the price stabilizing above 2302. As long as it stays above these level, it is expected to reach 2323 and 2337.
Bullish Scenario:
As long as the price trades above 2302, it is likely to maintain a bullish trend towards 2320. then to start the next bullish area should break 2323 to get 2338, A break above 2338 could extend the bullish trend to 2357.
Bearish Scenario:
A 4-hour or 1-hour candle closing below 2302 would indicate a downtrend, with the price expected to trade in the bearish zone between 2292 and 2278.
Key Levels:
- Pivot Line: 2302
- Resistance Levels: 2323, 2337, 2357
- Support Levels: 2292, 2278, 2260
Today's Expected Range:
The price is anticipated to move between the support at 2292 and the resistance at 2338, with a bullish tendency.
Gold's Bullish Momentum:Eyes on 2342 Amid Strong Support at 2320Technical Analysis: Gold
Current Outlook:
The trend remains bullish today, with the price stabilizing above 2320. As long as it stays above these levels, it is expected to reach 2337 and 2342.
Bullish Scenario:
As long as the price trades above 2320, it is likely to maintain a bullish trend towards 2342.
Bearish Scenario:
A 4-hour or 1-hour candle closing below 2320 would indicate a downtrend, with the price expected to trade in the bearish zone between 2302 and 2320.
Key Levels:
- Pivot Line: 2320
- Resistance Levels: 2335, 2342, 2357
- Support Levels: 2311, 2303, 2392
Today's Expected Range:
The price is anticipated to move between the support at 2302 and the resistance at 2342.
xauusd first buy and sell targets for monday marketthe last week our prediction of xauusd become 100% true, for monday we are posting a simple buy and sell target. more detailed analysis will be followed.
buystop ;
entry 2322
tp2332
sl better to hedge
sell stop
entry 2320
tp 2312
sl better to hedge
The US Dollar emerged as the clear winner on Friday, buoyed by a robust performance in the latest S&P Global PMI data. In contrast, Gold prices tumbled after the data signaled continued resilience in the US economy, dampening expectations for aggressive interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.
The Markit PMI data, a key gauge of business activity, surprised analysts across the board. The composite PMI for June clocked in at a healthy 54.6, exceeding expectations of 53.5 and remaining steady compared to the previous month's reading of 54.5. This broad-based strength suggests the US economy is likely on track for a solid second-quarter performance.
Manufacturing Resilience: The manufacturing PMI also impressed, rising to a three-month high of 51.7. This figure surpassed forecasts of 51.0 and the prior reading of 51.3, indicating continued expansion in the sector despite ongoing global supply chain challenges.
Booming Services: The services sector, which accounts for a larger share of the US economy, delivered an even stronger performance. The S&P Global Services PMI for June surged to a 26-month high of 55.1, exceeding expectations of 53.7 and the previous month's reading of 54.8. This robust expansion reflects healthy consumer spending and business investment, underpinning optimism for continued economic growth.
Gold Feels the Heat: The robust PMI data sent shockwaves through the Gold market. Investors, anticipating a dovish pivot from the Fed due to potential economic slowdown, had flocked to the safe-haven asset in recent months. However, the PMI results suggest that the Fed may hold off on aggressive rate cuts, dampening the appeal of Gold. Spot Gold prices plunged after the data release, falling by over 1% in a single day and slipping below the crucial $2,330 mark.
GOLD / Bullish Momentum Aims for Higher TargetsTechnical Analysis: Gold
The price has risen from 2323, as mentioned yesterday, and has successfully reached our target of 2357.
Current Outlook:
The trend remains bullish today, with the price stabilizing above 2357 and 2362. As long as it stays above these levels, it is expected to reach 2377 and 2386.
Bullish Scenario:
As long as the price trades above 2357 and 2362, it is likely to maintain a bullish trend towards 2377 and 2386. A break above 2386 could extend the bullish trend to 2397.
Bearish Scenario:
A 4-hour or 1-hour candle closing below 2357 would indicate a downtrend, with the price expected to trade in the bearish zone between 2357 and 2344.
Key Levels:
- Pivot Line: 2357
- Resistance Levels: 2377, 2386, 2397
- Support Levels: 2344, 2333, 2323
Today's Expected Range:
The price is anticipated to move between the support at 2357 and the resistance at 2386, with a bullish tendency.
Summary
Gold has reached 2357 from 2323. Today’s outlook is bullish if the price stays above 2357 and 2362, targeting 2377 and 2386, potentially reaching 2397. A close below 2357 may turn the trend bearish towards 2344. Expected range: 2357 to 2386 with a bullish bias.
previous idea:
Gold Market Reacts to Powell's Inflation Warning!!!Technical Analysis: Gold
The price of gold recently reached 2341 before declining in response to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's statement that "inflation is still too high." Based on this, the market is expected to trade within a bearish tactical outlook.
Current Outlook:
Gold is likely to touch 2302 and then consolidate between 2302 and 2321 until a breakout occurs.
Bullish Scenario:
As long as the price remains above 2302, it is expected to attempt to reach 2311 and 2321. A break above the 2321-2327 range would indicate a shift to a bullish area, targeting 2337 and 2357.
Bearish Scenario:
Should the price stabilize below 2302, confirmed by a 1-hour candle close, it is expected to drop to 2292. A subsequent 4-hour candle close below 2292 would confirm a bearish trend, targeting 2278 and 2260.
Key Levels:
- Pivot Line: 2302
- Resistance Levels: 2321, 2337, 2357
- Support Levels: 2292, 2278, 2260
Today's Expected Range:
The price is anticipated to move between the support at 2278 and the resistance at 2328.
In summary, maintaining a position above 2302 suggests a potential bullish movement towards higher resistance levels, while trading below 2302 indicates a bearish trend with lower support targets in focus.
US DOLLAR INDEX The us dollar index opened with a gap. today the us dollar index which was closed at 104.94 opened at 105.5 with 11 point gap.
this gap may be an indication that us dollar is going to resume its upward momentum this week which it has started on last Friday.
if this momentum continues it will be a fall for xauusd.
more clear cut analysis will be posted soon .
but please post your comments which will be helpful to understand what the crowd thinks and thus understand market sentiments.
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GOLD (Sensitive bullish Volume )Technical Analysis of Gold
The price dropped from its resistance line around 2361 and has already reached the support line at 2344.
Now, the price is likely to attempt to reach 2354 and 2361, given the bullish volume stability in the current 4-hour candle. However, if a 4-hour or 1-hour candle closes below 2344, the price is expected to drop to 2327. Stability above 2344 will support a rise towards 2354 and 2361.
Pivot Price: 2344
Resistance Levels: 2354, 2369, 2388
Support Levels:** 2327, 2318, 2304
Today's anticipated trading range is between the support level at 2327 and the resistance level at 2369.
🥇 GOLD - Resistance test before falling Gold can't overcome the resistance as the market has no potential at the moment against the backdrop of a strong dollar. Perhaps the whales are waiting or the market maker is aiming to take the price even lower before further growth, but the gold is currently showing signals for further decline rather than growth.
Reasons for further declines:
1) Consolidation near support.
2) Price continues to update local lows
3) Bearish trend
4) Dollar is strengthening
5) Retest of resistance may send price to support
6) Another retest of 2016.82 support will break it and price may continue the bearish trend
GOLD: bearish pattern created Hey guys, last week I was bullish on gold, but after the recent PA I changed my bias to short.
-First, the price formed the so-called "Bearish Flag" formation, this is a pattern that is a trend continuation and the TP is the duplication from the initial leg.
-Second, looking at the DXY I am more for a strong dollar for the near future judging by the recent candles and the strength of the momentum.
I won't be rushing to enter a position because gold and DXY are at a very indecisive point right now, so I will wait for a good correction that will at least give me a good RR