Analysis of the latest gold market trend on May 28:
I. Key points on the news
The US dollar rebounded strongly
The US dollar index (DXY) rebounded from a low in the past month, reaching a high of 99.42 (+0.4%), suppressing gold demand.
If the US dollar continues to rebound, gold may be further under pressure.
Risk aversion sentiment cools down
Market concerns about the international trade situation have eased, weakening gold's safe-haven buying.
If risk sentiment deteriorates again (such as escalation of geopolitical conflicts), gold prices may rebound quickly.
Fed policy expectations
The market pays attention to US economic data and speeches by Fed officials. If "hawkish" signals are released (such as rising expectations of interest rate hikes), it will be bearish for gold.
II. Key technical analysis
(1) Trend structure
Daily level:
The adjustment structure since $3,500 is still continuing, and it may currently be in the a-wave decline after the X-wave rebound.
If it falls below the 3280-3292 support, it may accelerate downward, with a target of 3270→3250, or even test 2956 (bottom of wave 4).
If 3280 is held, it may rebound at the 4-hour level and test the resistance of 3320-3330.
Key resistance:
3320-3330 (ideal area for short-term short positions)
3365-3370 (previous top and bottom conversion + 76.4% Fibonacci retracement level, strong resistance)
Key support:
3280-3292 (short-term long-short watershed)
3270 (breaking will confirm further decline)
(2) Short-term trend judgment
If the US dollar continues to strengthen → gold breaks below 3280 and looks to 3270-3250.
If the US dollar pulls back or risk aversion heats up → gold rebounds and tests 3320-3330.
3. Today's trading strategy
(1) Short order strategy (main idea)
Entry point: 3320-3330 area
Target: 3290→3270
Stop loss: above 3335
(2) Long order strategy (auxiliary idea)
Condition: Gold price stabilizes at 3280-3292 (need to combine K-line signals, such as hammer line, etc.)
Target: 3300-3310
Stop loss: below 3270
(3) Breakthrough strategy
If it falls below 3270 → go short, target 3250-3230.
If it breaks through 3330 → wait and see whether to further test 3365-3370.
4. Summary
Short-term trend: bearish, pay attention to the breakthrough of 3280-3330.
Key drivers: US dollar trend, market risk sentiment, and Fed policy expectations.
Operation suggestions:
Main strategy: short when the price rebounds to 3320-3330.
Secondary strategy: try to buy with a light position at the support level of 3280-3292 (strict stop loss).
Breakthrough follow-up: short when the price falls below 3270, or wait for higher resistance after breaking through 3330 before shorting.
Gold
Gold key levels to watchLast week saw gold bounce back after holding its one-year old bullish trend line and support around $3,120-$3,167 range. As well as that, this area was also the point D of an AB=CD move, sometimes called a bullish Gartley pattern. This area will be key on any future dips – bearish if we go below it.
For now, gold is consolidating, but starting to look a bit heavy again. The lower highs from the past several weeks suggests appetite for the safe haven assets is waning.
Interim support is now seen around $3,300. Things will get interesting if gold now breaks decisively below this level.
If that happens, the next stop could be at $3,250, which as the last resistance pre breakout last week. Below that, $3,200 and the support trend of the larger consolidation pattern will come into focus.
Resistance comes in at $3,325, followed by $3,360, with the latter marking the resistance trend of the consolidation pattern. Above it, $3,400 and then the all-time high of $3,500 are the next key levels.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
GOLD: Local Bearish Bias! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 3,306.07 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 3,296.72 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Gold XAUUSD Move 27 May 2025Price is currently hovering around the 3300 level after a sharp decline from the recent highs near 3360. The market has now entered a crucial support zone at 3280–3290, which previously acted as a strong demand area.
This zone is expected to act as initial support. However, if this area fails to hold, the next major support lies in the 3240–3250 region, which aligns with historical demand and a previous accumulation zone.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 3320–3324 (possibly a short position)
Support 1: 3280–3290 (current zone)
Support 2: 3240–3250 (next demand area)
The market is currently at a decision point. Watch for a reaction at 3280–3290 — a bounce may signal short-term relief, while a break lower could open the path to deeper downside toward 3240.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 5-28 : Inside Breakaway PatternToday's Inside-Breakaway pattern suggests the markets may attempt to rally above yesterday's close on strong news or earnings. Today is the NVDA earnings day (after the close). I suspect trading will be somewhat flat ahead of these highly anticipated earnings.
Traders would be smart to position into a HEDGE ahead of the NVDA earnings this afternoon.
Obviously, if the earnings are good, the markets will react to the upside. If they are poor/weak, the markets could easily move aggressively downward.
All I know is the tariff moves over the past few weeks pushed gamers and others into buying high-end graphics cards back in April/May because everyone thought prices would skyrocket 30-50% or more. So, maybe NVDA will report strong revenue while costs increase.
It should be an interesting day after the close. Until then, I believe the markets will stay somewhat FLAT - anticipating NVDA data/comments.
Gold and Silver are still working through the FLAG APEX. Silver is already beyond the FLAG APEX and could make a big move higher at any moment. Gold still has one small downward price move to complete before the FLAGGING pattern is complete.
Overall, I believe Gold and Silver are forming a solid base near $3300/$33 for a strong rally in the future.
BTCUSD is stalling. In fact, the SPY/QQQ/BTCUSD are all stalling near the 0.75% Fib level (as shown on my charts). We may be setting up for that big breakdown I've been warning about. But, until we actually SEE price break out of the upward EPP Flagging channel - don't get overly confident of a BIG BREAKDOWN move.
My advice would be to HEDGE any aggressive trades you are trying to take right now. If you believe the markets are going to rally substantially, try to hedge that trade with some risk protection (longer-dated PUTS).
Today could be a catalyst day. We may get a breakout/breakdown move after NVDA's earnings/data.
Buckle up.
Get some.
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XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for May 28Gold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance level 3350, support level below 3284
Four-hour chart resistance level 3350, support level below 3284
One-hour chart resistance level 3325, support level below 3298
Gold operation structure is clear, showing a triangular consolidation pattern. The current gold price is facing a fierce battle between bulls and bears in terms of direction selection.
For this type of technical pattern, it is recommended to maintain a high-sell and low-buy range before breaking through, focusing on the conversion of upper and lower rail support and resistance levels. Keep selling high and buying low before breaking through, and follow the trend after an effective breakthrough.
BUY:3298near SL:3292
BUY:3330near SL:3325
SELL:3325near SL:3330
Daily sharing
GOLD Will Explode! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
GOL looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 3313.4 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
My Stop Loss - 3309.3
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 3321.4
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
DeGRAM | GOLD reached the resistance line📊 Technical Analysis
● Twin rejections inside the 3 300-3 340 supply, exactly where the purple retest line and rising-channel ceiling intersect, have carved a lower high and completed a bearish flag.
● RSI confirms negative divergence and the candle body is back below the 3 284 pivot, favouring a slide toward the channel median at 3 172 and, if broken, the floor/September swing low near 3 100.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Upbeat US second-estimate GDP and stronger durable-goods orders pushed 2-yr Treasury yields above 5 %, raising gold’s carry cost, while WGC logs a sixth straight week of ETF outflows and the PBoC reportedly paused reserve buying in May.
✨ Summary
Short below 3 300; objectives 3 172 → 3 100. Invalidate on a sustained close above 3 350.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Key data will be released, gold will usher in a turning point🗞News side:
1. Musk issued the "strongest" condemnation of Trump
2. Trump and Netanyahu failed to reach an agreement, and the US-Iran negotiations may be "disrupted" by Israel
📈Technical aspects:
Gold prices continued to fall this week as Trump extended the impact of increasing tariffs on the European Union. After stabilizing at 3285 and rebounding yesterday, the gains and losses at 3315 during the day are the key to the subsequent layout. The current Asian session did not stand above 3315 in the morning, which means that the short-term retracement and decline have not ended, and only by breaking through 3315 can there be a chance to continue upward. The 4H level of gold is not so strong at present. The market encountered resistance and fell back at the upper track. Now the market has touched the lower track. The Bollinger Bands have not opened and are still flat, indicating that the market is in a volatile trend in the short term. The support below 3280 just coincides with the lower track. The upper side pays attention to the resistance near the middle track of 3325. If the pressure near the middle track of 3325 is broken, it can be seen to the upper track of 3365. If the market breaks below 3280, it is expected to go to 3260-3250. The European session will temporarily maintain a high-altitude low-multiple cycle. Pay attention to 3315-3325 on the upper side and 3285-3280 on the lower side.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Gold at a Psychological Level Gold has now risen to 100 times its previously fixed price of $35 per ounce.
Is this a psychological milestone signaling a correction ahead, or is there still more upside potential?
Under the Gold Reserve Act of 1934, gold was officially priced at $35, a rate maintained until 1971, when President Nixon suspended the dollar’s convertibility into gold, effectively ending the gold standard. This historic move, known as the “Nixon Shock,” allowed gold to trade freely in the market. By December the same year, the market price had already climbed to around $43–44 per ounce.
So why has gold risen from $35 to $3,500?
Gold is widely recognized as a hedge against inflation—but in reality, it has proven to be more than that.
Let’s consider this:
If inflation had compounded at the target rate of 2% per year since 1971, gold should be priced at $102 today.
But at $3,500, the also implied that the compounded annual growth rate is around 8.9%.
So, what explains this outperformance?
One key driver is the expansion of the money supply, especially through debt, and more critically, debt financed by money printing.
Periods of high inflation are can be preceded by an unjustified increase in the money supply, not backed by corresponding income or production output.
In 2018, we saw the beginning of Trump’s Tariff 1.0. Since the anticipation of Trump’s Tariff 2.0, I’ve incorporated a framework I call the QTD Matrix—which stands for Quantitative Easing, Tariffs, and Debt—to track the trajectory of gold prices.
As long as we continue to see:
• Central banks deploying Quantitative Easing during crises,
• Ongoing or escalating Tariff wars, and
• Persistent growth in national Debt,
It is reasonable to expect gold to remain firm and potentially break into new highs.
Historical Observations:
• Let’s start with Gold vs QE. Each major wave of QE has triggered a significant rally in gold—from Japan’s QE in 2001, to US QE1, QE2, and QE3 following the 2008 crisis, and the massive Covid-era QE in 2020.
• Next Gold vs Tariffs. When Trump’s Tariff 1.0 was announced in August 2018, gold pivoted on that very day and began trending higher.
In October 2022, Biden’s export controls on advanced chips acted as a tariff-equivalent event, once again prompting gold to rise.
After Trump's re-election in November last year, markets began pricing in Tariff 2.0, and gold responded by trending upward once more.
• Finally Gold vs Debt. Gold has also moved in close tandem with the rising US debt over the years.
As of now, I believe that QE (Q), Tariffs (T), and Debt (D) will remain in play.
Hence, it's reasonable to expect:
• The cost of living to remain elevated,
• Inflationary pressures to persist, and
• Gold prices to continue their long-term uptrend.
That said, I’m also noticing technical and psychological resistance in the mid-term after it reached $3,500.
This is a quarterly chart, once I have identified its primary uptrend line, I would like to mirror it to its significant peak (going back way back the 1980s, a period of high inflation), which appears to intersect around the psychological level of $3,500.
With the trade war currently on pause, gold may temporarily take a breather. But as long as QTD remains intact, it may just be a matter of time before gold tests its recent resistance—and, if broken, continues its upward trajectory.
We should also ask:
Is there any possibility that the Q, T, or D could shift in the opposite direction?
If so, that could be a positive sign for equity markets.
Micro Gold Futures & Options
Ticker: MGC
Minimum fluctuation:
0.10 per troy ounce = $1.00
Disclaimer:
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A Brief Overview of Price Patterns in TradingPrice patterns are technical analysis tools that help identify price behavior on charts to predict future trends.
Common patterns include continuation and reversal formations. Continuation patterns such as flags, triangles, and rectangles often appear during strong trends and indicate the likelihood of the trend continuing after a period of consolidation. Reversal patterns like head and shoulders, double tops and bottoms, and wedges signal potential changes in trend direction. Recognizing these patterns allows traders to optimize entry points, stop-loss levels, and take-profit targets. The clearer the pattern and the higher the timeframe it appears on, the more reliable it tends to be. However, no pattern guarantees success, so it's important to combine them with other factors like volume, support and resistance zones, and confirmation signals before making trading decisions. Each pattern has its own identifying characteristics such as shape, length, and breakout zones, so consistent observation and practice are essential. Price patterns not only assist in technical analysis but also reflect market psychology and crowd behavior. For best results, traders should combine pattern recognition with risk management and patiently wait for clear signals instead of reacting emotionally. A deep understanding of price patterns can increase the probability of success and reduce risk in the trading process.
Wishing you effective trading and strong discipline!
XAUUSD Technical Outlook – Golden Cross in FocusGold is showing signs of recovery on the H1 timeframe, rebounding from the critical $3,290 support zone after a brief consolidation phase. A notable development is the 50-period moving average crossing above the 200-period MA — forming a Golden Cross, which is a classic bullish signal suggesting upward momentum may strengthen in the near term.
🔍 Momentum Insights:
Resistance Check: On the micro-level, XAUUSD is approaching short-term resistance — the 50-MA itself — which may offer temporary friction.
MACD Confirmation: The MACD histogram has crossed above the signal line, reinforcing bullish divergence and signaling growing upward momentum.
Structure: Price is maintaining higher lows while respecting the moving average structure — a sign of controlled bullish development.
📈 #TradeIdea – Breakout Strategy
We are watching for a buy opportunity above the $3,320 breakout level, aligning with a shift in both momentum and structure.
🔼 Long Setup:
📍 Entry: Buy on breakout above $3,320
🎯 Target 1: $3,350
🎯 Target 2: $3,365
🛡️ Stop-loss can be trailed below $3,290 (support turned invalidation)
GOLD → Consolidation ahead of news. Retest of resistanceFX:XAUUSD remained above the key support level of 3280 and is testing intermediate resistance. Against the backdrop of the dollar's decline, the metal has a chance to continue its growth...
Gold is trading in consolidation ahead of the Fed meeting minutes. Easing trade risks and the dollar's recovery triggered a correction from the recent peak of $3366. Against the backdrop of the dollar's correction, the metal is entering a phase of local rally and testing resistance at 0.5f
The Fed is maintaining a cautious tone, and the market is waiting for signals on interest rates. The escalation of the conflict in Ukraine and the threat of new sanctions from Trump did not cause significant concern in the markets. Investors are waiting for drivers
Resistance levels: 3322, 3348, 3363
Support levels: 3290, 3282, 3265
A small correction may form from 3322 before growth continues. The market is interested in liquidity in the 3348-3363 zone, and the price is likely to test this zone. However, further developments depend on the fundamental background. Rising economic risks or hints of interest rate cuts could support the price of gold.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Technical Analysis: XAU/USD (Gold) Price Action📊 Technical Analysis: XAU/USD (Gold) Price Action
🕒 Timeframe: 4H (Based on candlestick structure)
📅 Published: May 27, 2025
💰 Current Price: 3,303.860
🔴 Major Resistance Zone
📍 3,480 – 3,500
📌 Seen with red arrows and price rejections.
📉 Strong selling pressure has occurred twice from this level (double top-like behavior).
❗ Until price breaks above this, bulls face a major hurdle.
🟣 Key Mid-Level Zone (S/R Flip)
📍 3,340 – 3,360
🔄 This area has flipped between support and resistance.
🔸 Price tested this level recently and pulled back (orange circle), suggesting sellers are active.
🔮 This is the pivot zone – watch for break/rejection to determine next trend leg.
🟪 Main Support Zone
📍 3,180 – 3,220
✅ Multiple bounce reactions visible (green arrows and circles).
💪 This zone has held strong; indicates solid buyer interest.
📉 If price returns here and breaks below, we could see further downside to 3,120 or lower.
🧭 Market Structure Summary
🔁 The market is in a range-bound structure between 3,220 – 3,360, with spikes towards 3,480.
🔃 The recent higher low followed by rejection at mid-resistance suggests potential distribution.
🧠 Forecast Scenarios
🔵 Bullish Scenario (Blue Path)
Break above 3,360 → Retest as support → 📈 Potential rally to 3,480
📍 Target: 3,480+
🟢 Confirmation: Strong bullish engulfing candle + volume surge
🔻 Bearish Scenario (Blue-Arrow + Orange Circle)
Rejection at current resistance → Drop toward 3,220
📍 Target: Main Support zone
❗ Watch for bearish candle pattern confirmation at 3,340
⚖️ Trading Strategy Tips
🔍 Wait for confirmation at the mid-resistance before entering.
🛡️ Place stops below support zones for long positions.
💥 Aggressive short sellers may look to enter near 3,340 with tight stops above.
🧩 Conclusion
The asset is in a critical decision zone. Whether it breaks higher toward the resistance or retraces to support will shape the next directional move. Traders should remain cautious, and let price action confirm bias before committing.
USD/JPY Poised for Upside: Momentum Building Toward Key TargetsBy examining the USD/JPY chart on the daily timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading around 144. Given the momentum, I expect this pair to rise soon. The potential bullish targets are 145.5, 147.35, and 148.65 respectively.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Trading Strategy (XAUUSD) – May 27, 2025The situation unfolded after President Donald Trump threatened to impose a 50% tariff on European goods starting June 1st—a move he later postponed to July 9th to allow more time for negotiations.
However, sentiment remains cautious as investors closely monitor global developments—including the growing U.S. budget deficit, ongoing trade negotiations, and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Ukraine—all of which could influence gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset.
Investors are currently awaiting the release of the latest FOMC meeting minutes on Wednesday and the PCE inflation data on Friday for further insight into the Federal Reserve’s interest rate outlook.
XAUUSD Trading Strategy Around Key Price Levels:
SELL XAUUSD around 3363–3365
Stoploss: 3370
Take Profit 1: 3358
Take Profit 2: 3352
Take Profit 3: 3348
BUY XAUUSD around 3326–3328
Stoploss: 3320
Take Profit 1: 3332
Take Profit 2: 3338
Take Profit 3: 3342
Note: Always set a Stoploss in all situations for safety.
Bears Win the Battle for GoldGold had been stuck between the orange downward trendline and the shorter-term upward trend channel (white), with a decisive move imminent as discussed in earlier posts. That decision now appears to favor the bears, as the upward trend channel has broken.
Following the break, gold quickly dropped to the 3,270–3,290 support zone, which is currently being tested. This zone also includes the 200-hour moving average, adding to its significance. The main support to watch is the yellow trendline visible at the bottom of the chart, which originates from late December. This trendline currently sits near 3,150 and could be the key medium-term target if bearish pressure continues.
In the shorter term, if the 3,270–3,290 zone fails to hold, the next downside target is likely 3,200.
XAUUSD H4 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 3323, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit is set at 3266.73, a pullback support that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibo retracement.
The stop loss is set at 3366.41, a swing high resistance.
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Gold’s Rally Faces Exhaustion: A Technical Pause or Trend ReversTVC:GOLD Gold has been on an impressive bullish run in recent months, driven by heightened geopolitical tensions, inflationary concerns, and macroeconomic uncertainty. However, recent price action suggests that the trend may be entering a critical turning point. Despite strong underlying sentiment, gold has failed to set a new high—often a clear indication of trend fatigue and the potential start of a technical correction.
The inability to push beyond resistance signals that gold may be entering what market theorists refer to as an "exhaustion phase." In this phase, bullish momentum begins to slow down as the market runs out of buyers willing to chase higher prices. This often results in a pullback, not necessarily a full reversal, but a pause that allows the market to reset.
Volume dynamics also support this view. A decline in volume during recent rallies suggests waning conviction among buyers—a subtle but telling clue that demand may be weakening.
From a technical standpoint, if this pullback extends further, gold is likely to test a key structural support zone. This level has historically served as both resistance and support, making it significant not only technically but also psychologically for market participants. This area also aligns with several other technical confluences: a Fibonacci retracement zone (possibly the 38.2% or 50% level), trendline support, and even the potential completion point of a Bullish Bat harmonic pattern.
The Bullish Bat pattern, a well-known formation in harmonic trading, is especially worth noting. Based on precise Fibonacci measurements, it typically forecasts a reversal near the 88.6% retracement of the initial XA leg. When this pattern completes near major support and is accompanied by price action confirmation (e.g. bullish engulfing candle, divergence, or base-building), it can offer a high-probability setup for long entries.
However, technicals alone are not sufficient. A comprehensive view of the macroeconomic environment is essential. Several factors are in play: upcoming U.S. inflation data, evolving expectations around the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy, geopolitical uncertainty, and movements in real bond yields. Any of these variables can either validate or invalidate the technical setup, and traders need to stay alert to news that might affect the overall risk appetite.
From a tactical perspective, this is a time for patience. Aggressive entries without confirmation can expose traders to unnecessary risk. Waiting for clear signals near support, aligning trades with higher timeframes, and adhering to disciplined risk management will be essential for success.
In conclusion, gold is at a potential inflection point. Whether this is just a healthy correction in a broader uptrend, or the beginning of a deeper shift, remains to be seen. Both technical and fundamental perspectives are required to build a well-informed trading thesis.
I welcome your insights—whether you analyze from a chart-based or macroeconomic angle. Let’s continue the conversation, share strategies, and grow together as traders.
GOLD M30 Intraday Chart Update for 28 may 2025Hello Guys, as you can see that GOLD intraday chart just shared with levels
you may do some scalping in the ranging zone, however today strong zone is 3265-3280 which also buying zone but must check confirmation before enter
as well as once market will break SBL level then you may also look long position
Remember always trade with SL
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky