SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For The Week Of April 20-25 : CautionI want to thank all of you for the great comments and questions over the past few months.
I'm very impressed by all of you and how well many of you are picking up my techniques to improve your trading results.
This video is more of a Pre-Week review - telling you why I expect the markets to trade/trend a certain way over the next 5 to 25+ days (or longer).
Additionally, I want to remind all of you my research goes much deeper (behind the scenes) than what you see in these Plan Your Trade videos.
I know many of you rely on my morning videos and some of you have messaged me about how important my videos are in helping you prepare for the day's price range/trend.
Ultimately, I started doing these Plan Your Trade videos to highlight my SPY Cycle patterns and to prove my research is accurate and helpful. Obviously, if my technology/techniques were failures, I would be hearing about it from lots of people by now.
But that is not the case. It appears my SPY Cycle Patterns and other techniques/tools are very well appreciated and are really helping traders learn to build better skills for greater success.
And that is what this is all about.
Remember, I've been lucky enough to rub shoulders with some of the greatest traders/minds on the planet for the past 35+ years. Sometimes, we would sit down for Coffee and share ideas. Sometimes, they would hire me to explore something they thought was important (coding/research). At other times, we would simply show up at an event together and chat about life and the markets.
I was lucky.
I got into this industry in the late 1980s (a long time ago) and have continued to learn new things and build my skills over the past 35+ years.
Now, I'm trying to share some of that knowledge with all of you so you can carry this information forward and make a real difference in your life (finding success while trading).
One of the biggest things I continue to try to teach all of you is PATIENCE.
Right now, the markets are in a unique phase (consolidation in a downward trend). You are going to have to learn to WAIT for the best trade setups and try not to force the markets do to what you want.
If you are not sure what to trade, sit on the CASH until you see a better opportunity.
OK. This week, after Easter, should be fairly quiet. Tax day and Easter usually fall fairly close to one another. This year, they were on the same week.
The markets are usually very flat near Tax Day - so don't expect much in terms of trending.
Volatility is still elevated. So, we may see some wild price action this week. Trade smaller amounts if you are still unsure about direction/setups.
Get some...
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Gold
The Brightest Metal Right NowGold isn’t just shining, it’s on fire, burning through resistance levels as investors seek shelter from global chaos.
Figure 1: Gold Prices Climbing to New Highs
Gold surged past $3,000 per ounce this March, setting 16 record highs this year alone. While it took more than a decade for gold to gain 1,000 points previously, this time it took less than two years.
Figure 2: Correction in the Equities and Cryptocurrencies
In stark contrast, the S&P 500 has dropped 10% since its February peak, marking its first correction since 2023. Bitcoin has also plunged to $81,000, a 25% decline since U.S. President Donald Trump’s inauguration. The AI-driven momentum that propelled tech stocks and the broader equity market higher in 2024 appears to have faded.
Figure 3: Historical Reactions to Crisis
The correction in equities and crypto stands in sharp contrast to gold’s rally—an outcome that should come as no surprise given gold’s reputation as a safe-haven asset. Historically, financial crises and major market pullbacks have consistently triggered capital flows into gold as investors seek refuge from economic uncertainty.
This time, gold’s outperformance is driven by a “perfect storm” of prolonged geopolitical tensions, escalating trade disputes, political uncertainty under Trump’s second term, and a weakening U.S. dollar.
The CNN Business Fear & Greed Index, a widely used measure of market sentiment, has remained in the “fear” and “extreme fear” zones. This stems largely from Trump’s protectionist policies, which have sparked swift retaliation from U.S. trading partners. With new tariff headlines surfacing almost daily, the future of economic policy and inflation has become increasingly uncertain, injecting heightened volatility into global markets. This has, in turn, strengthened gold’s appeal as a hedge against instability.
Figure 4: Gold’s Demand is not Limited to Investors
According to the World Gold Council, investment demand for gold doubled year-over-year in 2024. However, central banks have been the real drivers of demand, purchasing over 1,000 tons of gold for three consecutive years; accounting for 21% of global demand in 2024.
The rising U.S. budget deficit and Trump’s "America First" policies have created additional risks for central banks holding large reserves of U.S. Treasuries. The ongoing tariff war not only undermines confidence in the U.S. as a reliable trade partner but also raises concerns about the U.S. dollar’s long-term stability as a safe-haven asset. This has accelerated the de-dollarization process, prompting many central banks to stockpile gold as a hedge against dollar exposure.
Unlike investors who may hesitate to buy gold at record highs, central banks operate based on mandates, making them less price-sensitive. They are willing to continue accumulating gold at elevated levels, reinforcing sustained demand for the precious metal.
Figure 5: A Weakening Dollar
Since most gold futures contracts are denominated in U.S. dollars, a weaker dollar makes gold relatively cheaper for non-U.S. buyers, supporting its price. This negative correlation between the two assets has been a key driver of gold’s recent surge.
The Trump administration has long argued that the U.S. dollar’s global dominance has kept it too strong for too long, hurting American manufacturers and contributing to deindustrialization. Further, a strong dollar reduces the price competitiveness of U.S. exports and has widened the trade deficit, leading the administration to pressure the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates.
While the Fed maintains its independence and data-driven approach, inflation trends continue to justify further easing. The market has already priced in three quarter-point rate cuts for this year, with expectations that the first cut could come as early as June.
Gaining Access to Gold
Historically, the London over-the-counter (OTC) market, operated by the London Bullion Market Association (LBMA), has been the largest gold trading center. Traders use the LBMA gold price as the global benchmark for gold transactions, including central bank purchases.
On the other hand, the futures market is the preferred choice for hedge funds, bullion dealers, refineries, and mints to hedge against price fluctuations. Retail investors also typically gain exposure to gold through futures contracts, most commonly via the COMEX gold futures market.
However, executing arbitrage strategies between the OTC and futures markets is capital-intensive and logistically challenging. Traditional arbitrage requires buying physical gold in the LBMA market at a lower price while simultaneously selling COMEX futures at a higher price. This involves storing, insuring, and shipping gold to COMEX-approved vaults, making it difficult to determine the fair value of the spread.
Figure 6: B3 Gold Futures Contract
A more accessible alternative is emerging: Brazil’s B3 Exchange will soon list a new gold futures contract referencing the LBMA gold price.
This new contract offers several advantages:
Easier arbitrage execution: Traders can capitalize on price discrepancies between the B3 contract and COMEX futures.
Lower capital requirements: The contract size is just one troy ounce, 1/100th of the standard COMEX contract, allowing for greater flexibility in position sizing and risk management.
Financial settlement: Both the B3 and COMEX one-ounce contracts are cash-settled, eliminating the logistical challenges of physical delivery.
Putting into Practice
Case Study 1: Arbitrage Strategy
Figure 7: Current Available Gold Futures
A comparison of the existing gold futures contracts highlights key differences in specifications, including fineness, contract size, and settlement methods. While these variations cater to the diverse needs of hedgers managing different gold inventories, they pose challenges for traders looking to establish arbitrage strategies due to mismatches in contract structures.
The introduction of B3’s new gold futures contract addresses these limitations by aligning closely with the COMEX 1-ounce gold contract. This structural similarity simplifies the process of determining fair value in spread pricing, making arbitrage strategies more feasible. The primary distinction between the two lies in their price settlement methods, which, interestingly, also forms the basis of arbitrage opportunities between futures and spot prices.
Additionally, traders can now take advantage of price discrepancies between the two LBMA daily fixing prices by utilizing the B3 Gold and TFEX Gold Online futures contracts. This expands the range of arbitrage opportunities and enhances market efficiency for gold traders.
Case Study 2: Directional Strategy
By considering all the factors – gold’s safe-haven appeal, geopolitical tensions, central banks accumulation, and a weakening dollar – we believe that this is not the end of the gold rally. An investor looking to express a bullish view on gold could do so by buying the B3 one-ounce futures contract, gaining exposure to gold’s price movements in a more accessible and cost-effective manner.
Conclusion
As global uncertainties mount, gold’s resilience remains undeniable. Whether as a hedge against inflation, a refuge from geopolitical turmoil, or a tool for strategic trading, gold continues to prove its value in times of crisis. With central banks stockpiling at record levels, the metal’s rally may still have room to run. For investors navigating today’s volatile landscape, gold is not just a safe-haven, it’s a strategic asset poised for continued strength. It is extremely timely to have new trading instruments like B3’s gold futures providing more accessible opportunities for investors.
For traders looking to enhance liquidity and capitalize on bid-ask spread, B3 also offers a market-making program. Interested participants can reach out to the exchange for further details.
XAUUSD H1 | Bearish Fall Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is testing our sell entry at 3380, aligning with the 127.2% Fibo extension.
Our take profit will be at 3351.16, a pullback support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 3408.16, above the 161.8% Fibo extension.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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GOLD Bullish Continuation - Is $3,600 the Next Stop?OANDA:XAUUSD is trading within a well-defined ascending channel, signaling strong bullish momentum. The price has consistently respected the channel boundaries, forming higher highs and higher lows, which aligns with the continuation of the uptrend.
It has recently broken above a key resistance zone and is now pulling back for a retest. This area previously acted as resistance and may now serve as support, aligning with a potential bullish continuation.
If buyers confirm support at this level, the price is likely to move upward toward the $3,600 level, which aligns with the upper boundary of the channel. This setup reflects the potential for further bullish movement as buyers continue to dominate the market.
Traders should monitor for bullish confirmation signals, such as bullish engulfing candles, strong rejection wicks from the support zone, or increased buying volume, before considering long positions.
SILVER – Wave 3 Breakdown Using Elliott Wave Theory3-Day Silver Chart Analysis
We're analyzing the full structure of Wave 3, which itself consists of 5 smaller waves, following the Elliott Wave impulsive pattern:
Impulse Wave Structure (5 Waves):
Wave 1: 5 subwaves (either impulse or leading diagonal)
Wave 2: 3-wave correction
Wave 3: 5 subwaves (impulse)
Wave 4: 3-wave correction
Wave 5: 5 subwaves (can be impulsive or corrective)
Right now, we’re in Wave 5 of Wave 3, and within that, we’re in subwave 1, expecting a subwave 2 correction next.
Trade Plan:
- Watch for the subwave 2 correction to develop
- Once wave C of the correction forms, draw a trendline and enter on the breakout
- Set hard stops below the invalidation level, or under Wave 2 after the breakout
- Take profit levels: 35, 37, 39
Good luck and as always, trade safe!
Take a look at our earlier Silver setups below:
Free Setups
SILVER:
SILVER:
SILVER:
VIP Setups
SILVER:
SILVER:
SILVER:
SILVER:
XAUUSD | Strength Intact – First Support at the Blue BoxGold continues to show impressive resilience, holding onto most of its recent gains. The first area I’m watching for buyers to step in is the blue box below current price—this zone has acted as a reliable springboard in past pullbacks.
🔵 Why This Zone Matters
• Buyers have consistently proven up here that they’re willing to defend these levels.
• When gold revisits the blue box, it often finds momentum to lift back toward new highs.
🧠 How to Trade It
Wait for Lower‑Time‑Frame Confirmation
Let price dip into the blue box, then look for a neat higher‑low on a 5‑ or 15‑minute chart. A pause there, coupled with positive CDV shifts, is your cue to join the move.
Be Ready to Adapt
If gold breaks below the blue box without giving a solid bounce, I won’t force a long. Instead I’ll step back, wait for the next known support, and reassess.
Capture the Reaction – Don’t Chase
Imagine catching that sweet spot where buyers push off the blue box—getting in early before the crowd follows. That’s how these setups pay off.
🤝 Why You’ll Want to Follow This
I share these levels because they work again and again. You’re not just copying numbers; you’re aligning yourself with a clear, tested approach that keeps you ahead of knee‑jerk moves. Trade with the confirmations, let the market show its hand, and you’ll see why staying patient pays off.
📌I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
📌My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
📌If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge.
🔑I have a long list of my proven technique below:
🎯 ZENUSDT.P: Patience & Profitability | %230 Reaction from the Sniper Entry
🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move
🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month
💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace
🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge
📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone
🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential
🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade
🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones
🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River
📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones
🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum
🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision
🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs
🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity
🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked
🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer
🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan
⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One
💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas
🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence
🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results
🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB
📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total
🌟 FORTHUSDT: Sniper Entry +%26 Reaction
🐳 QKCUSDT: Sniper Entry +%57 Reaction
📊 BTC.D: Retest of Key Area Highly Likely
📊 XNOUSDT %80 Reaction with a Simple Blue Box!
📊 BELUSDT Amazing %120 Reaction!
I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on.
GOLD'S CRITICAL DECISION ZONE: The $100+ Swing Play of the Week!The Golden Opportunity That Elite Traders Are Watching NOW 💰
The 4-hour Gold chart reveals a masterfully developing technical setup that demands immediate attention. This isn't just another gold analysis—it's the precise roadmap for what could be the most significant price swing of April 2025.
🔍 TECHNICAL PRECISION POINTS:
⚜️ Expanding Channel Perfection
- Gold trapped within pristine ascending channel (purple boundaries)
- Current price ($3,320.925) testing first support zone
- Channel width expanding—signaling increased volatility ahead
⚜️ Two Critical Consolidation Zones
* Historical accumulation zone ($3,220-$3,245) provided springboard for recent rally
* Current decision zone ($3,300-$3,330) serving as near-term battleground
* Both zones perfectly align with channel support tests
⚜️ Predictive Blue Path Analysis
* Forecasting tactical pullback to $3,225 (channel support confluence)
* Subsequent powerful reversal targeting $3,320+ retest of highs
* Final move potentially challenging the $3,357.775 all-time high
The STRATEGIC ADVANTAGE Most Traders Will Miss
This pattern isn't just about direction—it's about precision timing. The blue forecast line reveals a classic "shake-and-bake" pattern that institutional traders use to accumulate before significant moves.
🔱 Why This Week Is Different:
* April 21-27 window represents peak volatility zone
* Volume profile showing 40.31K contracts with diverging price action
* Bullish bias maintained despite -0.47% daily change (distribution, not weakness)
🔱 The $100+ Opportunity:
Traders positioned at channel support could capture the entire $100+ swing from lower support (~$3,225) to upper resistance (~$3,330), representing a potential 3% move—extraordinary for gold's typical volatility profile.
The EXECUTION BLUEPRINT For Maximum Gain 📊
1. Primary Entry Zone:$3,225-$3,235 (channel support confluence)
2. Conservative Stop: Below $3,210 (channel break invalidation)
3. First Target:$3,275 (mid-channel equilibrium)
4. Final Target: $3,320-$3,330 (upper resistance retest)
{ Risk:Reward = 1:3.5 at minimum } 🚀
The Hidden Geopolitical Catalyst
The technical setup coincides perfectly with next week's critical economic data releases and geopolitical tensions—creating the perfect storm for gold's next explosive move. FOLLOW ME 🔥
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3341 and a gap below at 3307. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3341
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3341 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3362
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3362 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3384
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3384 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3410
BEARISH TARGETS
3307
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3307 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3278
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3278 WILL OPEN THE SWING RNGE
3255
3233
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3233 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3027 - 3179
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3330 and a gap below at 3282. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We have a bigger range in play then usual.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
3330
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3330 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3372
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3372 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3414
BEARISH TARGETS
3282
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3282 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
3224
3190
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3190 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
3131 - 3077
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD DAILY CHART MID/LONG TERM UPDATEHey Everyone,
After completing our last daily chart idea please see update on our new daily chart idea. We have also updated a new Goldturn ascending channel.
We are seeing price break out of the channel but will need ema5 to lock outside of the channel to confirm the breakout vs a fakeout. If this happens then the channel top is likely to to form support for a continuation, just like we are seeing the current candles bounce from the channel top, as support.
This is the beauty of our Goldturn channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn.
We will use our smaller timeframe analysis on the 1H and 4H chart to buy dips from the weighted Goldturns for 30 to 40 pips clean. Ranging markets are perfectly suited for this type of trading, instead of trying to hold longer positions and getting chopped up in the swings up and down in the range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up using our smaller timeframe ideas.
Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we look forward to drops from rejections, which allows us to continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Please see update on our week chart idea, which has been playing out perfectly allowing us to track the movement down and trade the movement up and finally complete - BOOOOM!!!
After completed all our [previous targets on this chart, we were left with a body close above 3189 leaving a long range/term gap to 3281. This target was hit last week completed this chart idea.
We will now update a new weekly chart idea next week with more long term/range projections. Please keep an eye out for this for next Sunday or if we get a chance, we will try and get this out earlier.
However, please note if we see a rejection here on the channel top, then the lower levels within the channel, are still valid to track the movement down and up.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD 4H ANALYZEHello dear traders,
I’ve been away for a while, but I’m back now to share fresh market analysis and trading signals.
As you can see on the gold (XAUUSD) chart, we’re continuously seeing the formation of new price highs. Every price correction in key zones can offer a great buying opportunity.
The price range between 3190 and 3195 is a high-potential buying area.
Make sure to pay attention to the note highlighted in the image.
Wishing you all success and happiness!
GC1! Gold Futures Weekly Outlook. Expecting Mid week reversalCOMEX:GC1!
Expecting a massive meltdown on Gold after $3400. On the Daily Internal Range Liquidity.
Trading All Time Highs is different compare to trading when you have a data on the left. Very volatile conditions on GOLD. I will buy from a 4H orderflow upto $3400. Then would short from $3400 CME_MINI:NQ1!
E-mini S&P 500 Outlook for next week. Thought process is the same just like NQ1!. Want massive buyside expansion. But weekly profiles need to be there. Tuesday/Wednesday Low of the Week is what I' personally looking for.
So expecting an SMT Divergence on the Previous Weekly Sellside . And then a massive push up.
2nd Stage Distribution on Market Maker Buy Model. Offset it is. Crosshairs on 5529
GOLD (XAUUSD): Classic Trend-Following Pattern
Gold closed on Thursday, forming a bullish flag pattern
on an hourly time frame.
The flag reflects a correction that the market started after a completion
of a strong bullish wave.
A breakout of its resistance line and a candle close above will signify
a highly probable resumption of the trend.
With a high probability, the price will move up at least to a current ATH.
(Remember that the price may respect a trend line one or several times more
and a correction can be more extended, that is why we rely on a breakout of a reliable trigger).
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold - Bitcoin Close to a Vital Ray. Volatility Alert.Gold, in terms of Bitcoin, is getting close to an important ray that crosses through the two significant tops.
Should we expect a strong reaction?
If we take a look at the third rejection from the bottom, we can see that it was able to get below the bottom ray but quickly reversed upward. So, we should definitely expect a strong reaction to the upper ray. Especially, as the BTCUSD price was reject at the linear ray that connected the last two bull peaks, this should be treated as seriously.
The 1 day EMA400 is above the MA400, which means that price is likely to rise to hit it, although it has entered the KC (Keltner Channels/EMA Bands), so I wouldn't count on the EMA400 being hit.
Saying that, it will act as resistance at about the same place as the upper ray.
What should we expect?
If gold breaks the upper ray, then we could be in for a very significant rise in price (BTC).
If gold is rejected, then we should expect a decision on direction by the start of August at the latest. If it takes that long, then we should expect to see gold drop to about 0.0248BTC.
We can look for clues in the RSI, depending on which way it breaks out. On the weekly chart, the RSI peaked at 65, not yet in overbought territory.
What to do?
As gold, and charts in general, do not offer a BTC pairing yet (with the exception of tethered gold on a crypto exchange), you'll have to use this chart as a guide and watch both Gold and BTC priced in something like USD or, the oldest currency still in use, GBP.
Gold has been up for a significant amount of time , is overbought and recently hit a Fibonacci Retracement level when priced in USD. If gold cools off and Bitcoin rises then the lower ray won't take long to encounter.
Gold in BTC could pump very up very high and reverse. This would seem likely caused by BTC crashing in that scenario, however, Bitcoin might be entering a bear market. I suspect it will either be very short or very long, based on the 6M and 12M RSI.
Main takeaways:
The gold and bitcoin markets are about to get very volatile, so take caution/avoid high or any leverage.
Use the GOLDUSD chart and change the currency to BTC for clues on direction in the coming days or weeks.
This could lead to a long term direction, but unfortunately, you cannot add alerts to a chart with an altered pairing, so perhaps use the PAXGBTC chart and add alerts there.
[*}BTCUSD hit the 1 day MA/EMA400 at the bottom and is getting close on this chart. I suggest adding BB400 (at various SDs) and KC400 to your charts, even if you use BB20.
You might want to use HLC Area instead of candles/bars as price appears to jump around willy-nilly else.
When you find a chart difficult to read, try swapping to BTC for more clues. If the chart is Tesla, then you might even want to try Dogecoin!
In addition to these charts, the BTC Dominance chart shows that BTC has hit the same pitchfork line that it hit when the first alt season began! So, I expect a strong move there too.
So, if BTC does rise then we might get an alt season very soon.
This is my first Idea that I've published, so please forgive any mistakes, omissions or poor formatting. I am open to critical feedback.
I just wanted to put this out there as I haven't seen anyone cover this online. If you have or know of related ideas, then please
share, as I am always interested in finding ways to predict major market moves.
SILVER: Will Go Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 32.557 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 32.295..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️