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Gold

SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 1-17-25 : Gap Up Higher PatternToday's pattern is a Gap Up Higher in Counter Trend mode. I believe this pattern would have resulted in a Gap Down Lower price trend related to the counter-trend setup. But it looks like the foreign markets drove the SPY/QQQ higher. The obvious disruption to the SPY Cycle Patterns recently has come from the post-election concerns and the expectations of a broader credit/debt market crisis (which seems to be subsiding). I believe we have to get past the Inauguration before we'll be able to see if the markets attempt to establish any defined price trend or continue to trade in a sideways price mode. Gold and Silver are struggling to muscle higher - which I believe is the likely outcome for metals. BTCUSD has moved back above $100k - but may struggle above the downward-sloping price channel. Overall, at this point, I would suggest traders pull profits on any trades they have open as we move into the new Trump Administration and a slew of new EOs and new policies that may disrupt the markets. We are very likely going to see some new price volatility over the next 30+ days. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
3
Gold will little correct and then to continue grow in channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. The chart shows how the price entered to seller zone, where it reached the mirror line and then dropped to the buyer zone, breaking the 2710 level. After this, the price bounced up from the buyer zone but soon corrected back. Then Gold made a strong upward impulse to the seller zone, breaking the mirror line again. In the seller zone, the price started to decline inside the downward pennant, where it broke the 2710 level one more time and fell to the support line of this pattern, breaking the support level too. Gold some time traded below the support level and later it exited from the pennant pattern, reached this level, and broke it, after which continued to grow. When the price reached 2662 points, the price corrected the buyer zone and then started to grow inside the upward channel. In the channel, Gold rose to the resistance line and then corrected to the support line, after which continued to move up to the resistance level. Recently price reached this level and even try to break it, but failed. For this moment, I think that Gold can correct to support line of the channel and then rise to the resistance level back. After this, XAU can break this level and continue to move up inside the channel. For this case, I set my TP at 2740 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by LegionQ8
1
GOLD - Price can break support level and fall to $2660 pointsHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 A not long time ago price entered to wedge, where it at once made an upward impulse to resistance line, breaking $2695 level. Next, price in a short time declined to support line, breaking $2695 level again and then exiting from a wedge. After this, price fell below $2625 level and started to grow in a rising channel, where it traded between $2625 level. Later, Gold broke this level and rose a little, after which made correction and then continued to grow. Price reached $2695 level, but at once made a small correction, after which backed up and broke this level. At the moment, I think that Gold can start to decline from resistance line of a channel to $2660, breaking support level. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WalterMoon
6
XAU/USD H4 Analysis: Bullish Continuation with Key Target!H4 Analysis – XAU/USD Current Price: $2,668 Gold is currently consolidating within a well defined upward channel on the 4h timeframe. The market has exhibited steady bullish momentum after bouncing off a key support zone around $2620. Recent price movements show strong bullish momentum, pointing towards a possible move to higher resistance levels. Key Features: - Resistance Zone: Around $2730, where price could face selling pressure. - Support Zone: Around $2660, aligning with the trendline, acting as a potential entry point. - Trendline Support: The trendline drawn indicates a steady bullish climb, with price respecting this dynamic support. - Target Zone: The ultimate target for this analysis is at $2,760, which aligns with a historical resistance level. There are a few news events this week that could impact our analysis. I will update this idea with any potential entry opportunities.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Profit-Scalper
9
USD/JPY: Key Pullback After 320-Pip Drops, Another Decline AheadBy analyzing the USD/JPY daily chart, we observe that after a significant drop to 155 (yielding 320 pips), the price has reacted to a key psychological level and is currently in a pullback phase. Following a short upward move, we can look for a suitable trigger to align with another potential downside move. This chart will be updated again soon—stay tuned! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Short
by ArmanShabanTrading
9
EUR/USD Poised for Growth: Key Levels and Targets Ahead! (READ)By analyzing the EUR/USD chart on the three-day timeframe, we observe that the price is still trading around the 1.030 level, and I expect an upward move from this pair soon. With the Dollar Index likely to decline further, this could support EUR/USD's growth. As mentioned in the previous analysis, the key upside target remains 1.044, while the significant demand levels are at 1.020, 1.005, and 0.99. Keep an eye on these levels for potential opportunities! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban The Main Analysis :
Long
by ArmanShabanTrading
1
Gold to stall at previous highs?Gold - Intraday Selling posted close to the previous high of 2726.0. 2721.3 has been pivotal. Offers ample risk/reward to sell at the market. Bearish divergence is expected to cap gains. Early optimism is likely to lead to gains although extended attempts higher are expected to fail. We look to Sell at 2718.5 (stop at 2738.5) Our profit targets will be 2668.5 and 2658.5 Resistance: 2724.5 / 2735.0 / 2750.0 Support: 2709.7 / 2700.0 / 2690.0 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by OANDA
3
EURCAD Falling Wedge Breakout and Support Bounce EURCAD is currently trading at 1.484, with a target price of 1.505, indicating a potential gain of over 200 pips. The analysis is based on a support and resistance strategy, highlighting a key level of support where the price has recently bounced. A falling wedge breakout has already occurred, signaling a bullish reversal pattern. This breakout suggests increased buying momentum as the price moves away from the support. The support level appears to be holding strongly, reinforcing the likelihood of upward movement. Traders are targeting the next resistance zone near 1.505 as the projected price. The setup reflects a well-defined risk-to-reward ratio, favoring long positions. Monitoring price action at key levels is crucial to confirm the trend. Overall, the pair shows strong bullish potential based on technical patterns and market dynamics.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
1
The upward trend is good, waiting for buying opportunitiesGold continued to rise and close on the daily chart, and the price continued to run in the trend. The MA10/7-day moving average of the daily chart kept opening and moving up to 2678/2690, and the RSI indicator kept turning upward and running above the central axis. The price of the short-term four-hour chart continued to move up along the 7-day moving average, and the Bollinger Bands kept opening upward, and the price continued to run along the middle and upper tracks. The trading idea remains unchanged, and the trend is low and long to participate in the transaction Gold is still in a bullish trend now. The decline is an opportunity to go long. Gold has hit a recent high again. The bulls are better. Gold is directly long near 2700! Now it is the home court of the bulls, so continue to go long with the trend. The gold 1-hour moving average continues to diverge upward, and the gold bulls will continue. The gold highs continue to set new highs, and the lows are also raised in turn. Gold is still in an obvious bullish trend in 1 hour. After gold broke through 2700 yesterday and stood firm at 2700, gold held 2700 today and continued to go long. Gold can enter the market near 2700 first. First support: 2707, second support: 2701, third support: 2693 First resistance: 2725, second resistance: 2736, third resistance: 2748 Operation ideas: BUY: 2698-2700, SL: 2690, TP: 2720-2730; SELL: 2728-2730, SL: 2739, TP: 2700-2710;
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jun-GoldAnalyst
1
GOLD → Correction after a false breakout. What's next?FX:XAUUSD reaches a key resistance that stops a strong rally. A false breakdown triggered a correction, which could be a chance for comfortable buys. The gold price stabilized around $2,725 after a three-day climb, remaining under profit taking pressure. Strong data on China's economy failed to inspire the market as real estate concerns and possible U.S. tariffs dampened optimism. Expectations of Fed rate cuts continue to support gold despite mixed data on the US labor market and retail sales. The Fed chief's statements about possible rate cuts in the first half of the year are adding support to the metal. Next week, traders' attention will be focused on US housing and industrial production data. Support levels: 2700, 2697 Resistance levels: 2712, 2721 Global and local trend is bullish. Counter-trend correction is being formed. Technically, the correction may reach the zone of interest 2700 - 2697, from which we should expect a rebound, for example, to 2712, or even the recovery of the bullish trend. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
6
XAUUSD - Gold reached above $2700!Gold is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 1-hour time frame and is in its ascending channel. If gold climbs to the top of the channel, we can look for positions to sell it at the target of $2,700. The loss of the midline of the channel will lead to the continuation of this corrective process. Gold is expected to continue its growth trajectory in 2025, although this growth may not match the impressive performance seen in 2024. Juan Carlos Artigas, the Head of Research at the World Gold Council, discussed the reasons behind this trend and outlined three possible scenarios for gold’s future in an interview with Kitco News. Artigas attributed gold’s record-breaking performance in 2024, which included 40 new highs, to the metal’s dual role as an investment asset and a consumer commodity. He stated, “Gold is an extremely effective risk management tool. Investors have turned to it due to rising market volatility and geopolitical risks.” For 2025, Artigas predicted three distinct scenarios for the gold market: • Limited growth with low volatility: This would occur if expectations for interest rates, inflation, and economic growth remain stable. • Downward pressure: If interest rates remain high or rise further, gold’s investment appeal could diminish. Additionally, weak economic growth might lower consumer demand. • Significant growth: In the event of heightened market volatility and geopolitical risks, investors would likely view gold as a safe haven, driving prices higher. Artigas cautioned that government debt could emerge as a “black swan” event in 2025. He explained that rising global government debt levels and difficulties in securing financing pose a significant risk to the global economy. He further emphasized that gold’s performance against various currencies highlights its role as a hedge against inflation and currency devaluation. For example, gold’s returns against the Turkish lira reached 50% in 2024 due to the lira’s depreciation against the US dollar. Additionally, Artigas pointed to increased demand from central banks and Western investors in the second half of 2024. This surge in demand was attributed to lower central bank interest rates and reduced opportunity costs for holding gold. Among all commodities, gold remains one of the few assets that analysts at BMO Capital Markets are optimistic about for 2025. They predict that central banks will continue purchasing gold to reduce reliance on the US dollar. Furthermore, BMO expects gold to remain a dynamic asset, serving as an effective hedge against inflation, geopolitical uncertainty, and stock market risks. Next week, Donald Trump will be sworn in as the next President of the United States. Meanwhile, the global community is bracing for the new administration, which has announced plans to impose tariffs to promote and protect domestic policies under the “America First” agenda. BMO analysts believe the Trump administration will be “inherently” inflationary. Their report noted, “The new administration has highlighted two clear policies that will dominate Trump’s second term. The first is that 2025 will be a year of tariff increases. Since tariffs function as a domestic tax on consumption borne by consumers, the economic consensus is that tariffs are inherently stagflationary.” They added, “The second key policy involves continued increases in government spending. Trump won the election on promises of tax cuts for corporations and individuals. According to an analysis by the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget, these promises are expected to add approximately $7.75 trillion to the US national debt between 2026 and 2035.” BMO analysts also noted that rising inflationary pressures will likely lead to a decline in real interest rates, eroding the appeal of short-term bonds, which were a favored risk-free option in the previous year.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Ali_PSND
The golden is aggressive! The gold price trend recently showed that the price of gold has shown a relatively stable upward trend for a period of time. It can be seen in the one -hour chart: 1. Rising channel: The price of gold is running in a clear rising channel as a whole, which indicates that the current market trend is too much and the buyer's power is strong. 2. Key price points: several important price points, 2,664, 2,619 and 2,724. These points show the fluctuation law of gold prices in the channel, forming a series of high and low points, which reflect the market resistance and support. 3. Return recovery and breakthrough: The current gold price has just fell from the resistance level at the top of the channel, and the support area of ​​the channel midline was close. The price is expected to continue to rebound after being supported near the midline, further testing higher resistance. Based on the current trend, the price of gold in the future may show the following situations: 1. If the gold is supported from 2,710 to 2,698 near the middle line of the channel, it is expected that the price may rise further. The target is the upper area of ​​the channel, which may touch 2,730 or higher. 2. Low risk: If the price falls below the central line support, it may be further adjusted to the lower edge of the channel near 2,665. But considering the upward trend, such situations may only be brief adjustments. 3. Key support and resistance: supporting positions around 2,698 and 2,685, and the resistance levels are 2,724 and 2,730. In terms of operation suggestions, short -term traders can pay attention to the opportunity to rebound in the mid -line support, while medium and long -term investors can continue to watch more gold prices, but they need to be alert to the risk of failed support. The current macroeconomic environment and market emotions, such as the US dollar index and inflation data, may become the main driving force affecting the trend of gold, and should pay close attention to the release of relevant data. Advice Gold once again rushed to participate in the vacant order under the pressure of 2720, stop loss of 2735. The downlink target 2710, 2700. Below the golden recovery supports the rise of 2698-2695, and participate in multiple single layouts. Raise the situation on the 2720. Break 2685 under the stop loss as the basis for stop loss.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by RonPeter_Trading
Gold will have a correctionThe US core CPI was lower than expected, a positive sign for gold, increasing the likelihood that the Fed will continue to cut interest rates this year. The market now expects the Fed to cut interest rates by 40 basis points by the end of the year, compared to around 31 basis points before the inflation data. Meanwhile, gold is stuck in the crosshairs of Donald Trump, who is about to start his second term next week. Experts say that imposing tariffs on many types of imports could increase inflation and further limit the Fed's ability to cut interest rates. Many believe that precious metals will have no shortage of bullish catalysts in 2025. According to Chris Mancini, portfolio manager of Gabelli Gold Fund, the main catalyst he is watching is economic uncertainty and the impact on consumer prices.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
XAUUSD; long-term analysis pre-NFPHere is our in-depth view and update on XAUUSD . Potential opportunities and what to look out for. This is a long-term overview on the pair sharing possible entries and important Key Levels. Alright first, let’s take a step back and take a look at XAUUSD from a bigger perspective. For this we will be looking at the H4 time-frame . XAUUSD is currently trading at around 2670s. Our scenarios are in play after the NFP data is out. Let’s take another look at them with more in-depth outcomes. These scenarios are written from just a TA (Technical Analysis) point of view. Scenario 1: long-term BUYS -We broke above 2675. With the break of 2675 we can expect a possible move up to 2690. With a retest back at 2700s, that would confirm continuation buys and we would have to keep our eye out on our next KL (Key Level) at around 2714 or previous highs at 2726. Scenario 2: long-term SELLS -We respected our KL and stayed below 2675.700. If we start making our way down to 2646 and manage to break below it, we could see more sells in play down to 2604. NFP DATA! WHAT’S COMING? With the NFP data coming out tomorrow , we can expect huge volatility. Spikes are to be expected. With the Jobless claims report we got yesterday, we can possibly anticipate more positive numbers for the TVC:DXY and potentially leading into more sells on OANDA:XAUUSD which would play by our Scenario 2 ! If on the other hand the NFP data comes in lower than expected, we should follow by our long-term Scenario 1 . IMPORTANT KEY LEVELS: - 2690 ; breaks above would result in gold revisiting previous highs - 2675 ; breaks above would result in more upside - 2646 ; breaks below would result in sells - 2633 ; breaks below confirming lower levels - 2620 ; breaks below confirming lower levels - 2604 ; breaks below would confirm gold is bearish and we should see lower levels (2590..) Personal opinion: As the new financial year is here, and we are barely in the first weeks of trading, the direction for now is unclear until we break our mentioned key levels. The spikes we had last few days on XAUUSD did not give us the best or most optimal trading conditions. The market is undecided on the direction, until we get the NFP Data out. Stay patient and be smart. KEY NOTES - XAUUSD breaking above 2675 would confirm buys. - XAUUSD failing to break above 2675 could result in lower prices. - Breaks below 2646 would result in sells. - The market has no directions until we get the NFP Data out on Friday 10th. - Positive NFP Data would result in stronger DXY and lower prices on XAUUSD, potentially following our long-term scenario 2. - Negative NFP Data would result in weaker DXY and higher prices on XAUUSD, potentially following our long-term scenario 1. Happy trading! FxPocket
OANDA:XAUUSD
by FxPocket
3
World gold price increased slightly after CPIGold prices rose sharply on the back of a fresh US inflation report that showed the pace of growth was not too hot. Key US economic data released recently showed that the consumer price index (CPI) in December rose 2.9% year-on-year, in line with market expectations, compared to a 2.7% increase in the November report. The core CPI (excluding food and energy prices) rose slightly more than expected, rising just 0.2% compared to a forecast of 0.3% month-on-month. US stock indexes are expected to open sharply higher in New York trading, supported by more moderate US inflation data. In overnight news, the Japanese yen rose sharply on fresh speculation that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates at its monetary policy meeting later next week. UK consumer prices came in slightly below market expectations, raising hopes of a resumption of rate cuts when the Bank of England meets early next month.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
1
Hellena | GOLD (4H): Long to area of 2726.976.Friends, it's been pretty hard lately to draw waves on a gold chart and I realize that not everyone likes it, but I'm trying to be objective. The downtrend has not been confirmed and at this point it means that a five-wave upward movement is expected to complete. I expect that the correction will be completed in the middle-order wave “2” (2640 area), then we will see the beginning of the wave “3”. But it is also possible that wave “1” will continue and then the correction will be a little later - this is a risky entry. In both cases I expect to reach the area of 2726.976. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Hellena_Trade
8
GOLD is close to the target level of 2,730 USDIn the Asian trading session, today's weekend January 17, OANDA:XAUUSD Spot delivery maintains a strong trend, gold price is currently around 2,716 USD/ounce, close to the previous target increase at 2,730 USD/ounce. OANDA:XAUUSD rose to a more than one-month high on Thursday as the latest U.S. economic data weighed on U.S. Treasury yields and dovish comments from Federal Reserve officials. The U.S. Department of Labor reported Thursday that initial jobless claims for the week ended Jan. 11 increased by 14,000 to a seasonally adjusted level of 217,000. Economists had expected 210,000 initial jobless claims last week. Slightly weaker-than-expected US core CPI data led to a sharp fall in real yields, which should support further gains in gold prices on inflation fears and repricing of taper expectations interest rate. Federal Reserve officials said data showed inflation in the US was continuing to slow, but they also noted growing uncertainty in the coming months as they wait for early policy signs. from the incoming administration of US President Donald Trump. Potential tariffs from the Trump administration could exacerbate inflationary pressures. The dollar fell, moving slightly from recent highs, as cooling US inflation data pulled bond yields down, continuing to support gold prices. And this is what we can most easily see about the alignment in these correlations in the market. Meanwhile, geopolitically, the ceasefire and hostage agreement between Israel and Hamas has weakened demand for gold as a safe haven asset. Last year, as tensions in the Middle East increased, gold hit several new highs on safe-haven demand and expectations that major central banks like the Federal Reserve would ease monetary policy further. again. But this is not enough because geopolitical factors can have a sudden impact, but they are never sustainable long-term causes. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD Gold has continued to break out, approaching the target level of 2,730 USD. Note to readers in the previous edition the price point of the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level. Along with that, the uptrend is still dominating the daily chart, the uptrend price channel is highlighted by the green price channel, and the uptrend RSI maintains its above activity. The 50 level is still quite far from the overbought area, showing that there is still wide room for price increases ahead. The main support is still at the POC Volume Profile level and the EMA21 line. As long as gold remains above the EMA21, it still has the potential to increase in price in the near future. Currently, the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level has also become the closest support currently. During the day, the uptrend of gold prices will be noticed again by the following notable technical levels. Support: 2,700 – 2,693USD Resistance: 2,730USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2736 - 2734⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2740 →Take Profit 1 2729 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2724 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2684 - 2686⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2680 →Take Profit 1 2691 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2696
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
Will the USD pressure last?On the 4-hour chart, gold prices remain within the uptrend channel established since late December 2024. Despite the sharp corrections in the recent session, the current price ($2,670/ounce) is still above the dynamic support zone of the EMA 34 and EMA 89, indicating that the uptrend has not been broken. However, the pressure from the USD Index – which rose to a 2-year high of 109.35 points – is causing gold to lose short-term momentum. On a closer look, the important resistance zone at $2,696/ounce, corresponding to the recent peak, has triggered strong selling pressure. Meanwhile, the RSI in previous analyses has shown signs of overbought conditions, increasing the possibility of a correction. However, the main trend line and the $2,660/ounce support zone are still acting as psychological support for the bulls. In terms of news, the strength of the USD comes from two factors: positive US economic data and high bond yields (nearly 4.8%). These yields have attracted capital flows away from gold to invest in bonds. In addition, investors are worried about financial instability before Donald Trump returns to the White House on January 20. This uncertainty could spur some gold buying to hedge against risks, creating support for gold prices in the short term. Personal trading strategy: Bullish scenario: If the price holds above the $2,660/ounce support zone, I expect the price to bounce back to test the $2,696 zone. A breakout of this zone could push the price towards the target of $2,720. Bearish scenario: If price breaks the $2,660 zone and the 89 EMA, I expect price to fall further to the $2,640/ounce support zone, or even $2,620.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by nini_gone