Bullish bounce off 38.2% Fibonacci support?The Gold (XAU/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 3,262.87
1st Support: 3,208.70
1st Resistance: 3,360.90
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Gold
2025.05.28 gold analysis
This is the daily chart analysis for gold.
After an upward move, a broadening descending pattern is forming on the daily chart.
For the past four days, price has been supported by the 20-day moving average, with rebounds and pullbacks occurring repeatedly in similar zones. However, with the May 27th candle closing as a bearish candle, it’s wise to approach the market with the possibility of a 20MA retest and potential breakdown in mind.
If the 20MA breaks, there's a high probability price will decline to clear the left-hand blue demand zone. At that point, the Ichimoku Cloud support may turn into resistance.
Looking at the 2-hour chart, we can see a bounce from the bottom of the Ichimoku Cloud.
The key turning point for gold seems to be a break below the cloud.
Currently, the important level to watch is around 3286.
If the cloud breaks and the low at 3277.8 is breached, the price could fall to the low 3200s or even down to the 3100s.
From a bullish perspective, a break above the descending resistance trendline and 3366.5 would be needed to shift the view to bullish.
If that trendline is broken, it would signal a breakout from the descending broadening pattern, and a move up to around the 3500 level — where the pattern initially started — could be targeted.
Conclusion
For now, a bearish approach seems appropriate. A breakdown of the daily 20MA could lead to a sharp drop, and its timing is uncertain.
A bullish setup is still premature. It’s better to wait for the descending broadening pattern to be invalidated before considering a long position. The pattern still favors the downside.
GOLD Move Up Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD went down and
Retested a horizontal
Support level of 3283$
And we are already seeing
A local bullish rebound so
We are locally bullish
Biased and we will be
Expecting a further
Bullish move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Potential Head and Shoulders Pattern on XAUUSD (Gold)Chart: XAUUSD (Gold) on the 15-minute timeframe (based on "XAUUSD-15-OANDA" in the image).
Pattern: Possible Inverted Head and Shoulders. The image highlights what appears to be a developing head and shoulders pattern.
Key Observations:
Head and Shoulders Formation: The image indicates a possible left shoulder, a head, and what could become a right shoulder.
Fibonacci Retracement: There's a Fibonacci retracement level of 0.618 marked from the head to the potential right shoulder.
Trendline: A downward-sloping trendline connects the highs of the pattern.
Support/Resistance Levels: Horizontal yellow lines suggest potential support or resistance areas.
GOLD HUNTER MODE: XAUUSD H1 OUTLOOK + DAILY PLAN (May 26, 2025)Hey GoldFxMinds crew! 🌟 Hope you’re ready for a fresh week with the kind of sniper focus that turns confusion into clarity. Let’s break down Monday’s key levels and structure, so you trade with confidence, not hope.
Current price: ~3358
Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish, but caution is king as price sits at the top of a major H1 range.
🟤 PREMIUM ZONES – SELL INTEREST
🔻 3358–3368
H1 premium supply zone (last week’s local high + FVG unfilled)
Price hit premium, strong reactions likely
🦅 Eyes on — watch this area for potential sharp rejections or fakeout spikes!
🔻 3380–3395
M15/M30 extension, just above the current HH, in unmitigated OB + FVG
High risk for wicks and “bull trap” inducement
🦅 Aggressive sellers: this is your upper defense — don’t get faked!
🟢 DISCOUNT ZONES – BUY INTEREST
🟩 3325–3335
H1 demand/FVG + retest zone, previous breakout base
CHoCH confirmed, so first bounce possible here
🦅 Eyes on — look for bullish PA or quick rebounds, but wait for confirmation!
🟩 3295–3312
M15/M30 deep demand, oversold last week, zone of confluence with 50 EMA
If price nukes through first demand, this is the next major long trigger
🦅 This is where real buyers step in — be patient, don’t rush!
🟠 INTRADAY MID-ZONE
⚡ 3340–3348
Intraday equilibrium, lots of chop expected
Not ideal for entries; instead, use this zone to judge direction after NY open
🦅 Eyes on — let price tell the story, don’t force trades in the middle!
📊 STRUCTURE RECAP (H1 + M15/M30 Confluence)
Bullish structure intact above 3325–3330, but buyers need to defend each demand zone or we retrace lower.
Premium zones above 3358 are loaded with liquidity and can reverse fast. If price fakes out above 3368–3395 and rejects hard, expect a selloff to next demand.
If buyers defend 3325–3335 with a strong CHoCH/BOS, we can see a new impulse leg higher.
👋 Final Note: Watch, Don’t Chase!
This is a week for patient, sniper-style entries. Watch the 3358–3368 zone like a hawk — every wick, every fakeout counts!
Don’t get trapped in the chop; let price come to your key POIs and wait for confirmation.
If you found this plan helpful, smash that like, follow, and drop your questions or thoughts below! Your feedback fuels the next level of analysis.
Let’s crush the week, team! 🚀
— GoldFxMinds
GOLD - WAVE 4 CORRECTION TO $2,800 (UPDATE)After hitting both of our buying targets of $3,274 & $3,318, Gold pushed a little higher than expected. But price came back down again & is following our sell bias very nicely!
With Wave B now supposedly complete, Wave C bearish momentum can now continue down. Gold has been extremely bearish since the start of this week.
XAU/USD: Bull or Bear? Let's Find Out! (READ THE CAPTION)By examining the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after our previous analysis, the price first corrected to the $3323 area and is currently trading around $3336. As mentioned in the previous analysis, as long as the price remains above $3313, we can expect further upside for gold. Based on the prior analysis, the next bullish targets are $3342, $3358, $3366, and $3394.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Analysis of gold trend at night and how to arrange it🗞News side:
1. Trump's view on Russia is not optimistic
2. Trump boasted in a post that his threat to impose tariffs on the EU worked
📈Technical aspects:
Gold does not seem to have a strong rebound. After touching 3305, the rebound momentum has weakened and it has been hovering between 3300-3290. Judging from the hourly chart, I think it is still in a state of correction. Then we may see another drop in the evening to accumulate momentum. This is why I chose to manually close the position near 3300 while waiting for the rebound just now. In the evening, bros can pay attention to the support line of 3280-3270 below to look for entry trading opportunities.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Please see update on our 1H chart route map, playing out as analysed.
We started the week with a bearish gap at 3352 being hit, followed by ema5 cross and lock below 3352, which opened up the next level at 3317, also hit perfectly. We are now seeing ema5 cross and lock below 3317, opening the retracement range, which is currently being tested. We are expecting a reaction within this retracement range, aligning with our plan to buy dips.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3389
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3389 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3428
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3428 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3478
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3478 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3517
BEARISH TARGETS
3352 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3352 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3317 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3317 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3282
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3282 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3233
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3233 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3185
3146
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD: Bulls Are Winning! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 3,292.52 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Narrow trading range, medium and long term outlook is bullishGeopolitical tensions have pushed gold prices higher, with the medium- to long-term outlook still pointing to upside potential, and a recovery in Chinese demand could provide potential support.
OANDA:XAUUSD edged up in early Asian trade on Tuesday. Russia recently launched its largest-ever drone and missile attack on Ukraine, ignoring President Trump’s call to stop the bombing, according to Ukrainian officials.
Gold prices fell nearly 1%
On Monday, international gold prices were under pressure and fell nearly 1%. Affected by US President Trump's decision to postpone the imposition of a 50% tariff on EU goods, the market's risk-off sentiment has cooled significantly, and the appeal of gold as a traditional safe-haven asset has weakened.
The most actively traded June 2025 gold futures closed at $3,342.2/ounce, down $23.6 (-1.45%) on the day, with intraday fluctuations ranging from $3,322.9 to $3,356. Due to the Memorial Day holiday in the United States, COMEX did not announce settlement prices on that day, and the UK and US markets were closed at the same time.
Policy changes affect short-term trends, narrow-range trading is likely to bring big changes
Trump’s extension of the US-EU trade talks deadline from June 1 to July 9 has directly undermined the market’s safe-haven demand for gold. The holiday-induced liquidity crunch has further exacerbated price volatility.
The move is in stark contrast to gold’s performance last Friday, when the OANDA:XAUUSD price recorded its biggest one-day gain in six weeks as Trump threatened to impose tariffs on EU goods and Apple’s iPhones.
Geopolitical risks have not disappeared and institutions remain bullish on the outlook
Reasons include the ongoing changes in US tariff policy, the continued escalation of the Ukraine geopolitical crisis and fiscal concerns. Data shows that Russia has launched airstrikes on Ukraine for three consecutive nights, including the largest attack since the conflict began in 2022, and the intensity of the war has not abated.
With what is available in terms of trade, geopolitical and monetary policy risks, gold still has a lot of upside potential in the coming period.
China’s demand is showing signs of recovery, which could be the latest factor
The latest trade data showed that mainland China’s gold imports via Hong Kong in April hit their highest level since March last year. The recovery in physical gold purchases in Asia could support lower gold prices, especially amid increasingly volatile investment demand in the West.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold traded in a fairly narrow range in the early Asian session today, Tuesday (May 27), with technical conditions still leaning towards the upside, with spot gold currently trading around $3,341/oz. After falling from $3,371, the target price point is the price point of the temporary 0.236% Fibonacci retracement. The bullish momentum of gold prices remains unaffected as the nearest support is the confluence of the (EMA21 with the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement).
On the other hand, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remaining above 50 should be considered a positive signal as the RSI is still quite far from the overbought zone indicating that there is still room for upside ahead.
Next, if gold breaks above $3,371 it will be in a position to continue its rally towards the short-term target of $3,400, more so $3,435 and then the all-time high of $3,500.
As long as gold remains above the EMA21, it still has a short-term bullish outlook, and the long-term trend continues to be noticed by the price channel.
During the day, the gold price's bullish trend will be interested by the following technical positions.
Support: 3,300 – 3,292 – 3,250 USD
Resistance: 3,371 – 3,400 – 3,435 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3391 - 3389⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3395
→Take Profit 1 3383
↨
→Take Profit 2 3377
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3283 - 3285⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3279
→Take Profit 1 3291
↨
→Take Profit 2 3297
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 5-27-25 : Blank PatternToday's SPY Cycle Pattern is BLANK. This suggests the market will trend similarly to what we've seen over the past few days - likely melting upward.
A BLANK pattern is a price structure I have not identified as some type of price structure yet. I will check the data to see if I can find anything that correlates with this pattern throughout today.
Generally, we are rolling into a consolidation phase that may attempt to break higher or continue consolidating and roll downward.
Overall, the alignment with the Fibonacci trigger levels suggests the markets will continue to struggle near the ranges I've shown on my charts.
Gold and Silver are rolling downward - likely as a result of the EU tariff pause. That move to pause EU tariffs takes quite a bit of pressure off the metals markets.
I do believe the Gold/Silver will continue to try to rocket higher - but this week metals may stay somewhat flat and trend downward a bit.
BTCUSD is setting up a MASSIVE Excess Phase Peak pattern. This is a very big price rotation that could either INVALIDATE (upward) or CONFIRM (downward). If we get confirmation, BTCUSD could fall back below $75k very easily. If we get invalidation, the sky is the limit to the upside.
Ultimately, I believe the global markets need another 60-90+ days to settle with all the global trade/tariff and other issues before moving into a more bullish price trend.
We'll see if I'm right or not over the next 60-90+ days.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
GOLD Will Go Down! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 3,354.87.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 3,290.54.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
3300 becomes the dividing line between long and short positions🗞News side:
1. The situation in the Middle East and between Russia and Ukraine has escalated again
2. Pay attention to the opening of US stocks today
📈Technical aspects:
Good morning, bros. Gold is currently testing the important support of 3300. Once it falls below 3300, it can be officially confirmed that the correction trend is coming. Today's opening of the U.S. stock market is critical. If the U.S. stock market opens higher, it is very likely to pull down gold prices. The stable operation suggestion for the day is to go long when it retreats to 3295-3290, and then rely on the upper side of the previous low point for protection, that is, look at the vicinity of 3325-3330. If it encounters resistance and pressure near 3330-3340, you can consider entering a short position and continue to be bearish. At present, the first focus below is the support of 3290-3280. If it continues to fall, it may touch the 3266 line.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Gold Daily Plan – 27 May 2025 | Sniper Eyes OnlyHey GoldMinds! Hope you’re ready – price action is about to get spicy. We’re coming off a slow Monday, but Tuesday’s bringing a real battlefield between bulls and bears. Here’s what you need to watch like a hawk:
Key Structure Zones to Watch
ABOVE PRICE
3,347 – 3,353:
First real resistance — expect quick reactions. If price stalls here, scalp sellers could step in.
Eyes on for short-term fade, but not the main battle zone!
3,360 – 3,370:
The premium supply and real strong high zone.
If price pushes here, watch for fakeouts, stop hunts, or sharp reversals. This is where the big bears get interested!
BELOW PRICE
3,339 – 3,342:
Micro support and flip area.
If bulls hold this, we can see another push up. If it breaks, momentum likely shifts down fast.
3,328 – 3,335:
First solid demand for sniper entries.
Best spot for a confirmed buy if price sweeps this area and shows rejection.
3,310 – 3,318:
Deep discount demand — the last real defense before we talk about a bigger correction.
If we get here, expect a wild reaction or “nothing zone” if broken.
Bias & Confluence
Trend: Bullish bias, but momentum is fading and liquidity is thick up top.
EMAs (5/21/50/100): Tightening up, watch for a fresh cross if volatility spikes.
RSI: Neutral, with hidden bearish divergence possible at 3,360+.
FVG/OBs: Marked in the key zones, especially above 3,347 and below 3,335.
Liquidity: Above 3,353 and below 3,335 — sweeps are highly likely before real direction.
Sniper Plan for Tuesday
If price pushes into 3,347–3,353, don’t chase — wait for a reaction or sweep, then short only with confirmation.
If price rockets to 3,360–3,370, eyes wide open for a sweep and sharp rejection. This is “hunt zone” for high-probability shorts.
If price dips to 3,339–3,342, monitor for bounce, but don’t rush buys unless you see confirmation.
True buy interest at 3,328–3,335 — best sniper long setups if price wicks this area and rejects hard.
Final support at 3,310–3,318 — “do or die” for the bulls.
Quick Take
📉 Don’t get chopped in the middle — play the real zones! Wait for the market to give you confirmation at the extremes. Sniper trading only, no FOMO.
📈 If you’re not sure, let the dust settle. Remember, patience = profits.
🔥 Drop a 🚀 if you’re ready to catch the next big move! What’s your bias for Tuesday? Follow & Comment below and let’s crush this week together.
— GoldFxMinds
Gold Enters PRZ and TRZ – Correction is Coming!?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) moved as I expected in the previous Idea and reached the Resistance zone($3,387-$3,357) and Resistance lines .
Gold is moving near the Resistance lines , Resistance zone($3,387-$3,357) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Time Reversal Zone(TRZ) .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Gold appears to be completing microwave 5 of Main wave 3 , so Main wave 3 could have an extended structure .
I expect Gold to experience at least one correction after entering the PRZ and TRZ , the correction could continue to $3,329 . If the Support lines are broken, the next target could be the Support zone($3,280-$3,245) .
Note: If Gold touches $3,420, there is a possibility of further pumping and breaking the Resistance zone($3,435-$3,406).
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 2-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
XAUUSD Elliott Wave . Wave (5) Targeting $3,700 After Pullback!The chart you’ve shared is a **2-hour Gold Spot (XAUUSD) analysis** using **Elliott Wave Theory**. Here's a clear breakdown of what’s happening:
---
### 🧠 **Technical Summary:**
* **Larger Structure:** The chart shows a 5-wave Elliott Wave sequence. Waves (1) to (4) have already completed.
* **Current Situation:** The market is likely in a subwave structure of wave (5), with a small 5-wave formation labeled in **red** within the final wave (5).
* **Trend Channel:** The price broke out of the descending channel formed between waves (3) and (4), signaling a bullish breakout.
* **Pullback Zone:** A minor correction is expected before the final push upward, targeting the **\$3,650–\$3,700** area.
---
### 🔍 **Key Observations:**
* 📉 **Corrective Wave Complete:** The drop from (3) to (4) formed a falling wedge/channel — typical in wave 4 corrections.
* 📈 **Impulse Wave Starting:** A new 5-wave upward impulse appears to be forming within wave (5).
* 🧱 **Demand Zone Highlighted:** A retracement into the support zone (\~\$3,250–\$3,270) is anticipated before a rally.
* 🎯 **Target Zone:** The final wave (5) is projected to hit between **\$3,650–\$3,700**, marked by the green target box.
---
### 📌 **Outlook:**
* ✅ **Bullish Bias:** Long-term wave structure favors more upside.
* ⚠️ **Short-term Dip Possible:** A drop toward the demand zone is expected before further rally.
* 🕰️ **Timing:** Expect the final wave (5) to complete by early June, based on current structure.
---
### ⚠️ **Disclaimer:**
This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always manage risk properly and consult your own analysis or financial advisor before trading.
Let me know if you'd like a trading plan or want this chart translated into a Pine Script/EA.
GOLD (XAU/USD) : SHORT IDEAThe chart shows a classic bearish pennant formation after a strong downward move. Gold has been consolidating in a tight triangular pattern with converging trend lines, indicating decreased volatility before the next directional move. This technical pattern emerged following a significant decline from the 3,350+ highs, with price action now squeezed between narrowing support and resistance levels.
The pennant structure is textbook - we see the characteristic flag-like consolidation with declining volume and compressed price range after the initial sharp selloff. The upper boundary shows consistent rejection of higher prices, while the lower boundary has provided temporary support. This coiling action typically precedes a continuation of the prior trend, which in this case points to further downside.
From a fundamental perspective, the setup aligns with potential policy shifts that could pressure precious metals. Market expectations around tariff pauses or delays in trade war escalation would likely reduce demand for safe-haven assets like gold. When geopolitical tensions ease or trade uncertainties diminish, investors typically rotate out of defensive positions and back into risk assets. Gold, being a primary safe-haven play, tends to suffer during these periods of reduced fear and uncertainty.
The current consolidation may be reflecting this underlying shift in sentiment - from crisis-driven demand to a more stable economic outlook. If tariff implementations are indeed paused or softened, we could see accelerated outflows from precious metals as investors no longer feel the need for portfolio insurance. This fundamental backdrop supports the technical bearish bias, as both chart patterns and potential policy changes point toward continued weakness in gold prices.
The tight range also suggests that a significant move is imminent, with the technical setup favoring a break to the downside based on both the pattern structure and the evolving macro environment.
GOLD - Price can continue to fall and exit from triangle patternHi guys, this is my overview for GOLD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago, price entered to rising channel, where it turned around and made a correction to the support line.
Then it continued to grow and rose to the $2975 level, which continued with a support area, and continued to grow.
Later price rose to the resistance line, but then made a correction movement, thereby exiting the channel.
Next, Gold turned around and started to trade inside the triangle, where it at once made an upward impulse.
Price broke $3265 level, rose to resistance line, after which in a short time declined to this level.
But recently it has come back, so I expect that Gold can continue to fall to $3150, breaking the support level.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
HelenP. I Gold may break trend line and continue to fallHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. The trend line on this chart has consistently acted as a dynamic support for price, with multiple clean rebounds confirming its strength. As the price continued respecting this diagonal line, the structure gradually began tightening, forming a large symmetrical triangle. This pattern suggests a buildup of pressure between buyers and sellers. Once inside the triangle, the price action turned more volatile, with higher lows pushing against a strong resistance zone around the 3365 - 3390 range. Despite multiple attempts to break through, the market failed to sustain any move above this level. Each rally was met with rejection, and bearish momentum slowly started to emerge. Recently, the price reached the upper boundary of the triangle and touched the resistance zone again, but it quickly pulled back without breaking out. Currently, Gold is trading close to the intersection of the resistance zone and the trend line, where a decisive move is likely to occur. Given the weakening bullish momentum and the triangle’s narrowing formation, I expect the price to exit the pattern to the downside. A break of the trend line may trigger stronger selling, leading to a move toward the 3225 level - my current goal based on this potential bearish breakout. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
SELLERS TAKE CONTROL – BUYERS WAITING BELOW 3300? XAUUSD TRADING PLAN – 27/05 | SELLERS TAKE CONTROL – BUYERS WAITING BELOW 3300?
Gold has sharply reversed after failing to break through the key 3364 – 3366 resistance zone. Price action now suggests a corrective structure is in play, potentially setting the stage for further downside before NFP week.
🌍 MACRO & FUNDAMENTAL CONTEXT
The Federal Reserve maintains a hawkish stance with U.S. 10-year yields holding above 4.5%, placing short-term pressure on safe-haven assets like gold.
U.S.–EU Trade Tensions have temporarily eased after Trump postponed 50% tariffs on EU goods until July 9. However, this pause may be short-lived, keeping geopolitical risk priced into gold.
Key data this week will influence market sentiment:
• U.S. Core PCE (April) – critical for inflation outlook
• EU HICP (May) – will shape ECB rate cut expectations for June
Gold remains caught between macro-driven demand and technical exhaustion — creating opportunities for range-based trading.
📉 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK (H1/H4)
Price broke below the rising trendline and is now trading under the EMA 13, 34, and 89, confirming a bearish shift in short-term momentum.
The 3284 – 3286 region aligns with a previous Fair Value Gap (FVG), EMA200 (H4), and structural support — a strong potential buy zone.
If this level fails, deeper pullback toward the 3247 – 3250 region (major FVG zone) becomes likely.
🔑 TRADE SETUP ZONES
🟢 PRIMARY BUY ZONE:
Entry: 3286 – 3284
Stop-Loss: 3280
Take-Profit: 3290 → 3294 → 3298 → 3302 → 3310 → 3320
🟢 BUY SCALP:
Entry: 3298 – 3296
Stop-Loss: 3292
Take-Profit: 3302 → 3306 → 3310 → 3314 → 3320 → 3330
🔴 SELL SCALP:
Entry: 3346 – 3348
Stop-Loss: 3350
Take-Profit: 3342 → 3338 → 3334 → 3330 → 3320 → 3310
🔴 STRONG SELL ZONE:
Entry: 3364 – 3366
Stop-Loss: 3370
Take-Profit: 3360 → 3356 → 3352 → 3348 → 3344 → 3340 → 3330
⚠️ STRATEGIC INSIGHTS
Selling on retracements below 3348 is favorable unless a strong breakout above 3366 occurs.
Buying is only valid near 3284 with confirmation of bullish structure (EMA support bounce or bullish engulfing pattern).
Avoid trading the mid-range between 3310–3330 unless a clear reversal setup forms — price action here remains noisy and indecisive.