XAUUSD: 26/3 Today’s Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3057-3100, support below 2999
Four-hour chart resistance 3038, support below 2999
One-hour chart resistance 3032, support below 3014
Gold news analysis: The market is reassessing the potential impact of the latest US tariff policy on global commodity liquidity. Yesterday, US President Trump signed an executive order announcing that a 25% "secondary tariff" would be imposed on countries that purchase oil from Venezuela, a move that could significantly increase the import cost of Indian goods. At the same time, gold ETFs saw rare inflows at the end of the first quarter, laying the groundwork for price trends in the second quarter. After experiencing a rapid rise at the beginning of this year, both gold and silver fell and pulled back in the past week. Although increased risk appetite, rising bond yields and a stronger dollar are widely used to explain recent price movements, correlation analysis suggests that there may be other factors driving prices back down. Due to the relatively light economic data release schedule and the end of the quarter approaching, the exchange market did not show a clear upward or downward trend.
Gold operation suggestions: From the current trend analysis, today's upper short-term resistance focuses on the one-hour level 3032 and the four-hour level 3038 line, and the lower short-term support focuses on the vicinity of 3014. Overall, we rely on this range to maintain a high-sell-low-buy strategy and patiently wait for key points to enter the market.
Sell: 3038near SL: 3042
Sell: 3014near SL: 3020
Buy: 2999near SL: 2994
Use small-size transactions
Gold
GOLD Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 3,024.22.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 3,056.10 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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eurusd alternative 5 wave outlook buy dips tp 1100🏆 eurusd Market Update / Wednesday
📊 Alternative Technical Outlook
🔸Bullish OUTLOOK
🔸5 waves Bullish Sequence on H12
🔸0230/0530 w1, 0530/0290 w2, 0290/0935 w3
🔸0935/0675 wave 4 pullback now
🔸0675/1100 - final wave 5 pump
🔸Recommend to BUY DIPS 0675/0665
🔸Price Target BULLS: 1100 USD in Wave5
💶📉 EUR/USD Mini Market Recap – March 2025
🔹 🛑 Fed Holds Rates
📉 No rate cut yet, but hints coming soon 🏦📊
🔹 💵 USD Strength Rising
💪 US data strong + tariff optimism = dollar gains 💼📈
🔹 📉 EUR/USD Weakens
⚠️ Testing 1.0798 support, 1.06 may come next 🚨📉
🔹 📊 Key US Data Ahead
🕵️♂️ Core PCE inflation data could move EUR/USD fast 📆📊
🔹 🌐 Trade Tensions Return
🧨 Tariff talk adds pressure to euro and dollar 💣💬
XAUUSD _ GOLD analysisTechnical Analysis:
Bearish Order Block at 3,045
A Bearish Order Block is marked at 50% of a previous price range around 3,045.
This indicates potential resistance, where price may face selling pressure.
Current Price Action
The price is currently 3,023, showing slight bullish momentum (+0.11%).
The market seems to be testing previous highs but struggling to break through.
Trade Setup (Risk-Reward Analysis)
A long position (buy trade) appears to be placed.
The Stop Loss (SL) is set at 3,018.50.
The Take Profit (TP) is set around 3,045.00.
The Risk-to-Reward (R:R) Ratio is favorable, aiming for a higher profit target.
Fair Value Gap (FVG) Around 3,021.30
The FVG at 3,021.30 suggests a liquidity area where price might react.
If price holds above this level, the bullish move may continue.
Possible Scenarios:
Bullish Case: If price maintains above 3,021.30 and gains momentum, it could reach the order block at 3,045.
Bearish Case: If price breaks below the FVG and 3,018.50, selling pressure could take it lower.
Gold is eyeing highs after a bullish daily candleThis is def a consolidation range so keep your eyes sharp and pay attention to what happens as we break into the highs. Will we displace with longs or will be be saturated by the bearish imbalances above the current hourly range?
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Golden Opportunities: Navigating the New Era of InvestmentFolks, we're witnessing something truly remarkable with XAUUSD. Gold's weekly uptrend is not just a blip on the radar; it's a beacon signaling a return to the fundamentals I've been harping on for ages. Recall my earlier insights? I pegged the long-term trend in Gold, and here we are, watching it soar. Trump's chatter about inflation and rates? It's like watching a chess game where each move by the Fed could be influenced by such rhetoric. The market, my friends, seems to be betting on this narrative, pricing in these potential shifts.
Now, let's not forget the basics. Historically, precious metals dance to the tune of real interest rates - those inflation-adjusted numbers. Sure, during times of market panic or geopolitical tension, Gold might get caught in the crossfire as either a collateral darling or a safe haven. But in these calmer waters, it's the real rates that dictate the dance. So, keep your eyes on the prize. Gold isn't just shining; it's setting the stage for what might be a golden era in investment. Watch, learn, and maybe, just maybe, enjoy the ride as we navigate these waters together. Stay vigilant, and may your investments be as golden as your opportunities.
Horban Brothers,
Alex Kostenich
Gold hit 3300 , why not ? The Conference Board (a non-profit research organization in the United States, specializing in providing reports and analysis on economic issues, jobs, labor markets and long-term trends) announced on Tuesday that the US consumer confidence index fell to 92.9, down from a revised 100 in February.
This data was weaker than expected, as economists had predicted a smaller decline, only falling to 94.2.
Société Générale (SocGen - a large multinational bank based in France) has just announced its multi-asset portfolio strategy for the second quarter. The bank still holds 7% of its portfolio in gold and forecasts that the price of gold could reach $4,000/ounce.
At 7%, gold remains the largest commodity position in SocGen’s portfolio. “Gold remains a strong asset amid the geopolitical reshaping of the US, which has triggered strong policy responses,” the analysts said.
Although gold prices are currently hovering above $3,000 an ounce, SocGen expects gold prices to continue to rise. The French bank forecasts gold prices to average around $3,300 an ounce in the fourth quarter.
Geopolitical uncertainty continues to support gold as an important global currency, the analysts said. They also pointed to conditions that could push prices to $4,000 an ounce.
Gold Trend for Today: Likely to hit its Support area 3000-2980Wednesday, March 26, 2025, with a specific scenario based on your support level at 2980 and the prior context of resistance at 3035–3060 and downside targets at 3000 and 2960. I’ll outline two plausible scenarios—a bounce at 2980 and a break below 2980—to give you a clear picture of what might unfold today. Projecting from a hypothetical opening near $3,020
GOLD short-term analysis, continue to fluctuate and consolidateTechnically, the gold daily chart rose slightly yesterday, and the price closed within the range of MA10-7-day moving average. The Bollinger Bands of the 1-hour chart and the 4-hour chart have narrowed, and the price is now adjusted near the middle track of the Bollinger Band!
The upper track of the four-hour chart suppresses the 3038 line, the lower track supports the 3003 line, the MA10/7-day moving average is glued, and the RSI indicator is flat. It is expected that the gold price will continue to fluctuate in a wide range, and the trading idea is still to sell at a high level, and then consider buying at a low price.
Gold is currently temporarily maintaining a high-level shock repair in the daily trend. After continuous shocks in the 4-hour level trend, the technical pattern has begun to gradually repair and complete, the short-term moving average has begun to gradually turn around and diverge upward, and the K-line chart has begun to slowly stand on the short-term moving average support. In the short-term trend, bulls have an advantage, but the current price is temporarily under pressure around 3035.
The overall market is still volatile. The US market reached a high of 3036 and fell under pressure. This position is the 0.618 resistance of the decline and rebound. At the same time, it has risen three times. Note that buying needs to find the right position. Today, you can pay attention to the 3005/3008 support to go long. In the short term, the market is volatile, and both long and short positions have the opportunity to participate.
On the 1-hour chart of gold, the price has fallen back after touching the previous pressure zone. In the short-term trend, the technical pattern has also begun to weaken. It tends to have some adjustment space in the short term, but the adjustment strength is uncertain.
At present, the bottom divergence pattern is formed on the hourly chart, and the short-term moving average turns upward. It is expected that gold will still have a rebound demand in the short term. If the gold price stabilizes above $3010, the short-term target will be the $3035-3045 range, and further breakthroughs are expected to test $3050.
Key points:
First support: 3013, second support: 3005, third support: 2992
First resistance: 3032, second resistance: 3038, third resistance: 3046
Operation ideas:
Buy: 3005-3008, SL: 2996, TP: 3020-3030;
Sell: 3033-3035, SL: 3044, TP: 3015-3010;
GOLD at Key Resistance: Possible Correction AheadOANDA:XAUUSD has reached a critical resistance zone. This zone has previously acted as a barrier for price, leading to strong reversals in the past. This area aligns with a significant supply zone, where the ongoing bullish momentum may face exhaustion, signaling a potential turning point.
If the price shows bearish confirmation, such as rejection candles or a bearish engulfing pattern, I expect a pullback toward the 2733.000 level, which represents a logical target within the current market structure. This scenario reflects the potential for a short-term correction within the broader trend.
If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
GOLD in a Bullish Flag – Breakout Incoming?OANDA:XAUUSD is undergoing a corrective move as it tests the lower boundary of the ascending channel, which serves as dynamic trendline support. The structure aligns with a bullish flag formation, indicating the potential for a continuation to the upside if buyers step in.
A successful rebound from this level could lead to a move toward the midline of the channel, with the next target at 3,100, aligning with the upper boundary of the channel. This scenario would preserve the broader bullish trend.
A confirmed breakdown below the trendline support, however, would invalidate the bullish outlook and open the door for further downside.
Monitoring candlestick patterns and volume at this critical zone is essential for identifying buying opportunities. Proper risk management is advised, always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
If you have any thoughts on this setup or additional insights, drop them in the comments!
XAUUSD: Channel Down about to start the new bearish wave.Gold is neutral on its 1H technical outlook (RSI = 52.608, MACD = 1.710, ADX = 25.254) which, as the price test the top of the Channel Down, indicates that it is about to start the new bearish wave. The trigger for that sell trade would be a break under the 1H MA200. Aim for a -1.88% decline (TP = 2,980).
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GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the markets today with out plans to buy dips playing out perfectly. We had the gap left open at 2999 yesterday, which had the move down but just fell short of the full gap. We were able to use the dip to ride back up to our bullish target 3032 once again.
No further lock above 3032 confirmed the rejection again. We are looking for this level to break to confirm a continuation. Failure to break this level will keep seeing rejections into the lower Goldturns for the bounces. We also need to keep in mind the full gap at 2999, inline with our plans to buy dips.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
3032 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3032 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3050
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3050 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3065
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3065 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3080
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3080 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3097
BEARISH TARGETS
3015 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3015 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2999
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2999 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2978
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2978 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2950 - 2927
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold Wave 5 Bull Complete?! (4H UPDATE)Gold is creating a schematic between Wave 3 high, Wave 4 low & Wave 5 high. Between these 3 zones we will see sellers accumulate their orders & get ready for a distribution (sell off).
We'll also see late buyers & early sellers liquidated. Don't forget the market always creates traps to liquidate the impatient traders!
Gold (XAU/USD) Holds Above $3,000, But Momentum Slowing?Gold prices are holding firm above $3,000, with the metal last trading near $3,021.80, up 0.33% on the day. The broader trend remains bullish, supported by an ascending trendline and the 50-day SMA around $2,881, but price action has flattened out in recent sessions.
🔹 MACD is still above zero, but fading slightly—momentum may be cooling.
🔹 RSI at 65.63 is elevated but no longer overbought.
🔹 Price remains well above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, reinforcing the uptrend.
Support Zones:
$2,960 (trendline support)
$2,880 (50-day SMA)
Resistance:
$3,040 (recent swing high)
$3,100+ psychological level
Gold remains in an uptrend, but the bulls may need a catalyst to extend the rally meaningfully from here. Watch for a trendline break or momentum divergence as early warning signs.
-MW
Staying above $3,000, risk cools but still supports GOLDOANDA:XAUUSD prices corrected lower and then recovered slightly, maintaining price action above the $3,000 flat level, which is an important support for the short-term bullish outlook, as US President Trump eased his stance on imposing tariffs on trade partners and market risk appetite increased significantly, putting pressure on safe-haven assets such as gold. In addition, gold prices were also dragged down by the US Dollar hitting a more than two-week high.
OANDA:XAUUSD prices have hit a record high 16 times this year, reaching an all-time high of $3,057.21/oz last week.
Trump May Exempt Some Countries from Tariffs, Wall Street Optimistic
Trading sentiment on Wall Street was positive as US President Trump suggested a partial delay in some tariffs originally scheduled to be imposed on April 2.
According to the Wall Street Journal, US President Trump said he may reduce retaliatory tariffs scheduled to be imposed on US trading partners next month and some countries may be exempted.
According to Bloomberg, US President Trump announced on April 2 that he would impose tariffs on specific countries instead of reciprocal tariffs on most countries. These measures target the so-called “Dirty 15” trading partners.
Trump’s tariff policy stance has shown signs of softening, easing investors’ concerns about the risk of a global trade war.
Gold is traditionally seen as a safe investment during times of geopolitical and economic uncertainty, and it typically performs well in low-interest-rate environments.
The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged last week, signaling the possibility of two 25-basis-point cuts this year.
U.S. and Russian officials are holding talks in Saudi Arabia in hopes of making progress on a broad ceasefire in Ukraine. Washington also hopes to negotiate a separate maritime ceasefire in the Black Sea before reaching a broader agreement.
Overall, the market is showing some signs of cooling down, providing the possibility of a correction for gold prices after a long period of consecutive increases. However, in terms of the overall market picture, gold is still fundamentally on the rise, as potential risks still appear frequently and any unexpected impact from geopolitical and trade risks will also cause gold prices to increase strongly.
Technical outlook analysis of OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold corrects lower but remains fixed above the base price of 3,000 USD, which is noted as an important support for the short-term bullish outlook, sent to readers in the previous issue.
In the short term, the upside target is around 3,021 USD, the price point of the 0.50% Fibonacci extension, once this level is broken on gold, it can continue to increase with the target of 3,051 USD in the short term, more than the all-time high then the 0.618% Fibonacci extension.
Overall, as long as gold remains within the price channel, above the EMA21, it still has a bullish technical outlook, the current price declines should only be considered as a short-term correction without changing the main trend.
During the day, the technical uptrend of gold will be focused again as follows.
Support: 3,000 – 2,977 USD
Resistance: 3,021 – 3,051 – 3,057 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3037 - 3035⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3041
→Take Profit 1 3029
↨
→Take Profit 2 3023
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2978 - 2980⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2974
→Take Profit 1 2986
↨
→Take Profit 2 2992
GOLD: Bearish Continuation & Short Trade
GOLD
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short GOLD
Entry Point - 3028.77
Stop Loss - 3035.59
Take Profit - 3013.9
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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Gold - Short Term Sell Idea Update!!!Hi Traders, on March 20th I shared this idea "Gold - Expecting Retraces and Further Continuation Lower"
We expected to see retraces and further continuation lower. You can read the full post using the link above.
The bearish move delivered, as expected!!!
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 3-25-25 : Top PatternToday's Top Pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will find resistance slightly above yesterday's closing price level and attempt to roll over into a bearish price trend.
Watch today's video to see which levels I believe will be the top for the SPY & QQQ.
I do expect metals to rally over the next 3+ weeks and I'm watching for this morning's bounce to carry onward and upward.
Bitcoin should be rolling downward off that FWB:88K top level I predicted months ago.
We are moving into a topping phase - so get ready for the markets to attempt to ROLL DOWNWARD over the next 5+ trading days into a deeper low price level.
Get some.
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XAUUSD: 25/3 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3057, support below 2999
Four-hour chart resistance 3038, support below 2999
One-hour chart resistance 3025, support below 2999
Gold news analysis: On Monday, boosted by the news that the next round of US tariffs will be more moderate, the gold price was trading around 3,030 in the US market, but as economic data hinted at the hidden risks of tariffs, the gold price fluctuated sharply, falling more than $15 in the short term. The latest data released on Monday showed that the initial value of the US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI in March was 49.8, a three-month low. The initial value of the US S&P Global Services PMI in March was 54.3, a three-month high. The initial value of the US S&P Global Composite PMI in March was 53.5, a three-month high. Although the market remains vigilant about the geopolitical reshaping that Trump may cause and the impact of tariffs, investors continue to pour into the gold market for risk aversion. Since 2025, the price of gold has risen by about 15% and fell below the $3,000 mark for the first time. According to informed officials, the Trump administration's tariff plan may be more targeted rather than the comprehensive, global taxation previously envisioned. This adjustment is expected to ease inflationary pressure and increase the room for future interest rate cuts, which is good news for gold.
Gold operation suggestions: Gold rebounded slightly in the Asian and European sessions yesterday and fell under pressure at the 3033 mark. The US session accelerated downward to break through the 3020 mark and reached near the 3002 mark. The daily chart closed with an adjustment decline for three consecutive trading days.
From the current trend analysis, today's upper short-term resistance focuses on the one-hour level 3025 and the four-hour level 3038, and the lower short-term support focuses on the vicinity of 2999. Overall, rely on this range to sell high and buy low, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Sell: 3038near SL: 3042
Sell: 3025near SL: 3030
Sell: 2999near SL: 2994
Use small size transactions to avoid risks
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis – Bearish Rejection Expected fThis chart represents an analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on a 30-minute timeframe. Below is a breakdown of the key elements:
Key Observations:
Downtrend Formation
The price is trading within a downward channel, marked by two descending trendlines.
The overall trend appears bearish, indicating potential further declines.
Supply Zone (Resistance) Around $3,025 - $3,030
The price is approaching this key resistance area.
If the price fails to break above, it could lead to a rejection and continuation of the downtrend.
Demand Zone (Support) Around $3,000 - $3,006
This is the target area where buyers may step in to support the price.
A downward move towards this zone is anticipated.
Projected Price Movement
The blue arrows suggest a bearish scenario.
A rejection from the supply zone is expected to push the price downward.
The final target is the demand zone near $3,000.
Conclusion:
Bearish Bias: The price is currently in a downtrend, with the expectation of a rejection from resistance and a move toward the lower support zone.
Confirmation Needed: Watch for price action signals, such as rejection wicks or bearish candlesticks, to confirm the downward move
GOLD to turnaround?XAUUSD - 24h expiry
Previous support at 3030 now becomes resistance.
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
Posted a Bearish Inverted Hammer Bottom on the Daily chart.
A higher correction is expected.
The RSI is trending lower.
We look to Sell at 3029.5 (stop at 3050.2)
Our profit targets will be 2970.2 and 2960.2
Resistance: 3020.8 / 3033.3 / 3047.4
Support: 3014.5 / 2999.3 / 2978.4
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