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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Video For 4-17 : Another BLANK dayToday's BLANK pattern in counter-trend mode is nothing to worry about. As I research and document these patterns, there are patterns that appear frequently on the Daily price chart and there are others that appear more infrequently. If I have not already marked these patterns and documented them, they have not appeared anywhere in the 11+ years of the Daily price data I use within the Lookup Engine. Therefore, these are VERY RARE types of patterns - Extremely infrequent. I will add that the secondary looking criteria show yesterday and today could be similar to "key top/bottom" types of price rotation. So, I do believe the current price level on the SPY (520-535) could prove to be very critical support/resistance going forward. Tomorrow is Good Friday (no trading). So if you are going to take any trades today, make sure you remember to plan your exits for TODAY or NEXT WEEK (or later). You will not be able to exit stock/ETF trades tomorrow (sorry). Gold is moving into a Momentum Rally, and I really want to see how that pattern plays out before the long holiday weekend. Fingers crossed we see a BIG RALLY again today. BTCUSD is still rolling into a downward price trend based on my EPP pattern structure. This downward trend aligns with my May 2 Major Bottom pattern for the SPY/QQQ. So I would expect BTCUSD to start to roll downward sometime near the middle/end of next week. Remember, this weekend should be about your family, your friends, and your beliefs. Relax and enjoy. Get some... #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver #xauusd
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
5
HelenP. I Gold will make correction movement to support zoneHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After a strong breakout from the ascending structure, price continued its bullish momentum and reached a fresh local high near 3340 points. This impulsive rally was preceded by a steady upward trend inside a rising channel, where the price showed multiple rejections from the lower boundary and the trend line, particularly near the 2970 level, which also matched with the key support zone at 2950 - 2970 points. The upward movement accelerated once Gold broke through the previous resistance zone around 3160 points, which is now acting as support. That level also coincides with the upper edge of the earlier consolidation area, making it a key zone for potential future reactions. At the moment, the Gold is trading far above the trend line and is extended from its last confirmed support structure. Given the sharp vertical impulse and the lack of significant pullbacks, I expect a downward correction toward the 3175 - 3160 support zone, which is my current goal. This area remains critical for evaluating the next buyer reaction and further trend continuation. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FirstNameHelen
6
XAU/ USD) bullish trend analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update analysis for XAUUSD (Gold vs. USD) on the 2-hour timeframe appears to suggest a bullish continuation setup after a correction. Here's a breakdown of the idea: Key Points from the Chart: 1. Rising Channel: The price is moving within an ascending channel. After a breakout and strong rally, it is currently in a flag or wedge-like correction pattern. 2. Correction Zone: The price is consolidating downward inside a small descending wedge (a bullish pattern), potentially forming a bull flag. This is typically a sign of continuation after a strong upward impulse. 3. Support Zone: A 4H support level is marked around 3,301.416, which aligns with the lower boundary of the flag pattern. This is a potential buy zone for price to react and bounce. 4. Target Point: The target is projected at 3,404.254, implying a breakout to the upside if the support holds. 5. RSI Indicator: RSI is currently around 65, with previous values near 80, suggesting a slight cooldown but still in bullish territory. A slight drop in RSI might occur before the next bounce. 6. EMA 200: The EMA 200 is well below current price (around 3,137), indicating a strong bullish trend. Mr SMC Trading point Possible Trade Idea: Entry: Around the 3,301–3,305 support area. Confirmation: Wait for a bullish reversal pattern (engulfing candle or strong bounce). Target: Around 3,404 (as per the marked target zone). Stop Loss: Below the support zone (e.g., below 3,295), depending on risk tolerance. Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
4
GOLD (XAUUSD): Updated Support & Resistance Analysis With a strong bullish rally that we saw on Gold since the beginning of the week, I prepared for you the updated support & resistance analysis. Resistance 1: 3340 - 3357 area Resistance 2: 3390 - 3406 area Resistance 3: 3440 - 3450 area Support 1: 3235 - 3246 area Support 2: 3135 - 3167 area Support 3: 2957 - 2983 area Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by VasilyTrader
1
DeGRAM | GOLD Will Test Support Before Growth📊 Technical Analysis Gold is moving steadily inside an ascending trend. After reaching the upper boundary $3343, a pullback is forming. Support is seen near 3,280–3,290. Resistance zone lies between 3,360–3,380, where the price may reach after the correction and rebound from support. 💡 Fundamental Analysis Fed Policy Shift: Markets are pricing in potential rate cuts in coming months, weakening the USD and favoring gold. Geopolitical Risks: Ongoing global tensions and post-tariff trade friction. ✨ Summary A short-term pullback may offer a new buying opportunity around 3,280, with targets at 3,360–3,380. Macro uncertainty and Fed easing expectations support the trend. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DeGRAM
XAUUSD: Gold is making new highs!Gold is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 1-hour timeframe and is in its ascending channel. A downward correction of gold towards the demand ranges will provide us with the next buying opportunity with a good risk-reward ratio. We expect a fluctuation of $10-15 in each range. • Revised Year-End Outlook: The bank attributes the bullish outlook to increased central bank purchases, inflows into gold ETFs, and continued geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainty. • Risk Scenario: Should the Fed shift course due to concerns over U.S. debt or weakening confidence in the dollar as a reserve currency, gold could climb to $4,500 per ounce. One of the major forces behind this rally has been the weakening U.S. dollar under the Trump administration. Market participants are voicing three primary concerns fueling this sentiment: subpar U.S. economic growth, elevated inflation, and declining productivity. These fears stem from several core issues: 1. Tariffs: While intended to support domestic industry, tariffs are increasingly viewed as disruptive, raising fears of inflationary shocks and fragile supply chains—lessons painfully learned during the COVID era. 2. Economic Growth: Trump’s original growth agenda, centered on tax cuts and deregulation, has been overshadowed by other political developments. Many economists are uneasy about a government that seems willing to defy conventional economic principles—raising fears of repeating the failures of protectionist policies. 3. Budget Deficits: The U.S. is running a staggering 7% budget deficit relative to GDP despite low unemployment (~4%). This raises questions about how Trump’s proposed policies would be funded. 4. Erosion of International Norms: The U.S. dollar’s dominance relies on institutions like NATO, the WTO, and the United Nations, as well as global faith in the rule of law. These foundations are reportedly weakening. There are also emerging concerns from places like Beijing, pointing to American vulnerabilities—especially around intellectual property. In a world where IP rights are no longer respected, what value do American corporations really have? 5. Immigration: It remains unclear how much of Trump’s crackdown on illegal immigration is substantive versus symbolic. What is clear, however, is that undocumented migrants have played a crucial role in suppressing inflation in key sectors like agriculture and hospitality. Without a clear plan to replace this workforce, cost pressures could intensify.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
3
XAUUSD: 17/4 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyTechnical analysis of gold Daily chart resistance 3400, support below 3193 Four-hour chart resistance 3358, support below 3292 One-hour chart resistance 3326, support below 3300 Analysis of gold news: On Wednesday, as US President Trump ordered an investigation into import tariffs on key minerals, market risk aversion quickly heated up, and gold prices broke through the $3,300 per ounce mark for the first time. Spot gold rose 2.76% after hitting an all-time high of $3,357 during the session. The dollar index fell 0.5%, making gold cheaper for overseas buyers, further pushing up gold prices. In this tariff war, various favorable factors continue to "escort" gold. With this rally, gold has risen 26% so far this year and is on the verge of surpassing its full-year 2024 performance. Gold operation suggestions: Yesterday's single-day increase reached 120 $, and the overall technical pattern has completely entered the bullish rhythm. At present, all technical aspects are overbought, and short-term technical indicators have lost their effect. The overall logic of the rise is greatly affected by the external risk aversion sentiment, and the bullish momentum still exists. From the current trend analysis, today's upper short-term resistance focuses on the vicinity of the 3326 mark, and the lower support focuses on the four-hour level 3292 first-line support. In terms of operation, continue to buy and trade with the trend when stepping back to this position. At the same time, gold is currently in a serious overbought pattern and beware of a sharp correction. Selling is suitable for quick entry and exit, and the stop loss risk is relatively high! Buying with the trend is the right approach! Sell: 3326near SL: 3330 Buy: 3292near SL: 3288 Buy: 3250near SL: 3245
TVC:GOLDLong
by ActuaryJ
April 17, 2025 - Powell, Japan & TrumpHello everyone, it’s April 17, 2025. Yesterday’s U.S. trading was pure market carnage. Semiconductors ( NASDAQ:NVDA , NASDAQ:AMD , NASDAQ:ASML ) were steamrolled as AI chip bans to China kicked in and Trump dropped another tariff bomb, hiking duties to 245%. That wiped $200 billion off Nvidia alone. In Chicago, Powell stoked the flames, warning tariffs will fuel inflation and choke growth, and insisted he’s in no rush to cut rates. The CME_MINI:NQ1! tumbled 3%, the CME_MINI:SOX1! lost 4.1%, and bond futures plunged. This morning, U.S. futures are up about 0.75% on headlines that Trump’s talks with Japanese negotiators are “going very well,” sparking rallies across Asia: Nikkei +1%, Hong Kong +2.7%, Shanghai +1%. It seems even a whiff of détente with Japan sends everyone scrambling back into risk assets. On commodities, BLACKBULL:WTI jumps to $63.35 amid fresh U.S. sanctions on Iran and OPEC output cuts; OANDA:XAUUSD rockets to $3,352 /oz; INDEX:BTCUSD hovers near $83,500. Today watch the ECB’s rate cut, Powell’s next speech, Philly Fed and jobless claims before the Good Friday shutdown. With Trump’s erratic tariff theatrics and Powell’s warning of higher inflation and slower growth, volatility is set to reign supreme. Buckle up.
AMEX:SPY
by SmartApingAI
4
XAU/USD) Flag Analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update Analysis presents a bullish outlook for XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) on the 1-hour timeframe, based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC). Here’s a breakdown of the key elements: --- Key Analysis Points: 1. Order Block + Key Support Zone: Price recently tapped into a bullish order block around the $3,166.74–$3,208.62 zone. This area is also marked as a "key support level", suggesting a strong demand zone. The confluence of the Fair Value Gap (FVG) and order block gives this zone higher validity for potential reversal. 2. Bullish Market Structure: The chart shows higher highs and higher lows, indicating a bullish trend. Price action broke above a small consolidation, showing bullish momentum is resuming. 3. Projected Target: The target point is set at $3,283.01, suggesting about a 55-point upside from the current price. This target sits above a previous high, indicating anticipation of a liquidity grab or breakout. 4. RSI (Relative Strength Index): RSI is at 57.94, which is a neutral-to-bullish zone. It supports the idea that there's still room for price to move up before being overbought. 5. EMA 200 (Exponential Moving Average): The price is well above the 200 EMA, confirming a bullish bias in the higher timeframe. Mr SMC Trading point --- Possible Strategy: Long (Buy) Entry Zone: Between $3,166–$3,208 (ideal near the order block/FVG). Target: $3,283 Stop Loss: Below the order block, ideally below $3,166 to avoid getting wicked out. --- Final Thoughts: This is a well-structured bullish setup based on institutional concepts like order blocks and FVGs. The price is aligned with the trend, and RSI supports more upside. However, watch for any major news catalysts (especially with those economic event icons shown). Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
FX:XAUUSDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
4
GOLD short-term analysis, buy setupFrom a macro perspective, the daily chart gold price has formed a lasting upward trend since the low of $2536, with the highest price at $3357.8, which is significantly higher than all major moving averages, indicating that the long-term bullish momentum is still strong. The MACD indicator golden cross pattern on the daily chart continues to develop, indicating that the long-term trend momentum is still upward. This year, the upward trend cannot be changed. If there is a callback squat or sideways consolidation, it is a bullish opportunity; then once it continues to rise today, the retracement above 3315 is a buying opportunity. As for where the target is, the monthly chart is calculated to be around 3444, which is also the target of the next stage. Gold has been crazy recently, and gold bulls have been rising all the way. Every day when I wake up and open it in the past two days, it is a new high. The strength of gold bulls is very strong. The 1-hour moving average of gold continues to form a golden cross with upward bullish divergence. It is difficult for the strong gold bulls to have a big correction. After gold began to fall back and fluctuate near 3315 yesterday, the gold US market continued to break upward directly, so the short-term 3315 of gold formed support again, and gold fell back to 3315 and continued to buy on dips. Before there are no particularly obvious signs of a sharp decline, buying on dips has become our only choice, and it is also the best and safest choice! While looking at the bulls, pay attention to the opportunity to fall back. Unless the strength is suddenly strong at that time, don't easily chase the high position. Wait patiently for the opportunity to fall back. How long can the gold bulls be crazy? Don’t guess the top when it goes up, no one knows this. Since gold is so crazy, all we have to do is follow it. It is difficult for gold to fall sharply before there is a large-scale short signal! Key points: First support: 3315, second support: 3294, third support: 3246 First resistance: 3360, second resistance: 3377, third resistance: 3386 Operation ideas: Buy: 3317-3320, SL: 3308, TP: 3340-3350; Sell: 3387-3390, SL: 3398, TP: 3370-3360;
TVC:GOLDLong
by Jun-GoldAnalyst
DeGRAM | GOLD Growth in the Channel📊 Technical Analysis - Uptrending channel XAU/USD steadily climbs within a clear ascending channel, rebounding from support towards resistance. - Key resistance Main barrier at $3225; a breakout here confirms bullish momentum. - Predictive scenario Breaking $3225 opens doors for further upward movement. 💡 Fundamental Analysis Trump's imposition of trade duties, has caused geopolitical instability, which has contributed to further demand for GOLD. ✨ Summary Positive technical setup combined with supportive fundamentals. Break above $3225 signals continued bullish momentum! ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DeGRAM
3
Gold hits resistance at highs, is the bull market over?The highest price hit the 3358 line in early trading, but we need to be wary of the risks of chasing higher prices. Tomorrow is Good Friday and the market will be closed for one day. There is a high probability that those who hold long orders may take profits and exit. Yesterday, the price of gold rose sharply after opening at US$3,230, with a single-day increase of more than US$100. The daily line closed positive, but it has fallen slightly after rising in early trading. From a technical perspective, if the price of gold falls below the early morning low of 3343, it may turn into a volatile pattern; if it holds this support, there is still a chance to challenge new highs. The key support is located at the top-bottom transition level of the 3310-3305 first-line area. If it falls further to $3270, we need to be alert to the risk of a short-term correction. The upper resistance is clearly at the intraday high of 3358 Intraday gold operation advice 1. In the short term, you can go short, target the 3310 line, and hold if you break the position. 2. If the support below is strong, go long 3300-3310, with the target at 3335-3345. If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldHunter_Allen
1
Gold short-term analysisGold fell back to 3229 yesterday and stopped climbing. After breaking the integer mark of 3300 in the European session, the US session accelerated its rise. The daily line reached 3343 at its highest. The daily line finally closed at 3342 with a basically saturated big positive line. The current market trend is strong. The upward trend continued on Wednesday without a correction. The intraday increase reached 110 points again, which is exactly the same as the trend of last Wednesday. The hourly line basically maintains an upward trend. It can only be said that if the strong market retreats more than 20 points, it will inevitably continue its increase. Before there is no particularly obvious sign of a sharp decline, going long has become the only choice, and it is also the best and safest choice. The current support is the top and bottom conversion around 3320-3305. If these positions are not broken, you can go long. Overall, today's short-term operation strategy is mainly to go long on pullbacks, supplemented by shorting on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3370-3380 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3330-3320 support. Operation strategy: Range buy: 3320--3325 SL:3310 TP: 3335---3340
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldenViewJake
GLD Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-04-16GLD Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-04-16) Below is a consolidated view of the various model reports and our resulting trade rationale: ────────────────────────────── Comprehensive Summary of Each Model’s Key Points • Grok/xAI Report  – Notes that GLD closed around $306.52 with recent upward momentum and bullish daily indicators.  – Technicals (moving averages, Bollinger Bands, and MACD on daily charts) support a moderately bullish bias despite some near-term caution from 5‑minute signals.  – Recommends buying the $311 call (premium ~ $0.99) with a plan to exit if the price breaks key support or slides 20% in premium. • Claude/Anthropic Report  – Highlights strong daily uptrend fundamentals with GLD well above its key moving averages, although the daily RSI is high (76.59) which raises a caution flag.  – Points to robust call open interest at nearby strikes ($310) and suggests a bullish trade via the call option—even though a slightly lower strike ($310) is mentioned, the overall picture is bullish.  – The recommended entry is at market open with a target around a 50% premium gain and a stop if the premium retracts significantly. • Gemini/Google Report  – Emphasizes strong longer‐term bullish momentum but expresses caution given immediate overbought conditions (daily RSI above 70 and price trading above the upper Bollinger Band).  – Also notes the strangely low max pain ($275) in contrast to the current price, warning of potential early pullbacks.  – Concludes that the overall picture is too conflicted to recommend a trade at the open at this time. • Llama/Meta Report  – Combines technical indicators (EMA, RSI, Bollinger Bands) with strong news sentiment to determine GLD is in a bullish phase.  – Identifies the $311 call (premium ~$0.99) as attractive given its liquidity and distance from the current price (about 1.46% above).  – Recommends market-open entry with targets set at roughly 150% of the premium and stop-loss based on a percentage of the premium. • DeepSeek Report  – Provides a balanced trade plan noting the very strong 30‑day price performance and bullish daily MACD while cautioning on the overbought RSI reading.  – Recommends the $311 call (midpoint premium ~$0.99) with a profit target of roughly a 50% gain and a stop tied to technical support breaks (around $304.90).  – Maintains a moderate confidence level (around 65%) because of the chance that short‑term pullbacks may materialize. ────────────────────────────── 2. Areas of Agreement and Disagreement • Agreement:  – Most models agree on an underlying moderately bullish trend for GLD based on daily technical indicators and positive news (e.g., fund inflows and safe‑haven demand).  – A majority favor a call option trade on the weekly expiry, with many models arriving at the vicinity of the $311 strike (with premiums around $0.99) as an optimal entry. • Disagreement:  – The Gemini/Google report raises concerns about overbought conditions on the daily chart and highlights a very low max pain level that suggests downside pressure, recommending against an immediate open trade.  – Claude mentions a slightly lower strike ($310) but still a call trade; however, the bulk of reports lean toward the $311 call as a balanced choice, accepting the premium being a bit above the ideal $0.30–$0.60 range. ────────────────────────────── 3. Conclusion and Trade Recommendation Overall Market Direction Consensus:  Most models point to an overall moderately bullish outlook on GLD. While the daily trend is robust, some short‑term technicals (e.g., the overbought RSI and near-term MACD signs) advise caution. Nevertheless, the prevailing momentum and strong news sentiment favor a bullish call—even if a temporary pullback remains possible. Recommended Trade:  Trade Idea: Buy a single‑leg, naked CALL option on GLD.  • Strike: $311.00 (this strike shows sufficient liquidity with about 1,055 open interest and a traded premium of roughly $0.99)  • Expiration: Weekly options expiring 2025‑04‑17  • Premium: ~ $0.99 (slightly above the ideal range, but justified by good risk/reward and high liquidity)  • Entry Timing: At the open  • Profit Target: Approximately a 50% increase (target premium ~ $1.50)  • Stop Loss: Approximately 20% drop in the premium (≈ $0.79)  • Confidence Level: Moderately confident (≈70%) given the bullish trend tempered by the risk of an intraday pullback  • Key Risks/Considerations:   – The daily RSI is in overbought territory, so be alert for any pullback.   – The inherent conflict with the very low max pain point ($275) suggests potential short-term volatility.   – Monitor support levels (e.g., $304.90 on the 5‑minute chart) for early signs of reversal. ────────────────────────────── 4. TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format) { "instrument": "GLD", "direction": "call", "strike": 311.0, "expiry": "2025-04-17", "confidence": 0.70, "profit_target": 1.50, "stop_loss": 0.79, "size": 1, "entry_price": 0.99, "entry_timing": "open" } Disclaimer: This newsletter is not trading or investment advice but for general informational purposes only. This newsletter represents my personal opinions based on proprietary research which I am sharing publicly as my personal blog. Futures, stocks, and options trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of any profit whatsoever is made. In fact, you may lose everything you have. So be very careful. I guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Owners/authors of this newsletter, its representatives, its principals, its moderators, and its members, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CFTC, or with any other securities/regulatory authority. Consult with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. By reading and using this newsletter or any of my publications, you are agreeing to these terms. Any screenshots used here are courtesy of TradingView. I am just an end user with no affiliations with them. Information and quotes shared in this blog can be 100% wrong. Markets are risky and can go to 0 at any time. Furthermore, you will not share or copy any content in this blog as it is the authors' IP. By reading this blog, you accept these terms of conditions and acknowledge I am sharing this blog as my personal trading journal, nothing more.
AMEX:GLDLong
by quantsignals