GOLD - XAUUSDWe will look at the logarithmic chart of gold starting from 1975.
We see the two cycles. I drew a line along the tops of these peak values and made a parallel one, thereby forming an upward trend channel.
If we talk about the Elliott Waves, then we'd the peak of the third wave in 2011 - the strongest wave and it's during the 2007-2008 crisis.
Now we're on the cusp of a real breakthrough and amid of the potential instability in the world, gold will be a protective asset. There are many fundamental factors for its growth.
On the other hand, if we talk about local movement, then we've broken through the resistance of triangle below and made the first wave up, after which there should be a correction - either in a small triangle or to the support line of the global channel, and after that, there'll be the strongest impulse of the third wave which will break 1900+.
In my analysis, I say that it's the global 5th uptrend wave and we'll see some updating of new highs over the next few years.
Best Regards EXCAVO.
Gold
Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish ChannelThe XAU/USD pair on the H1 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent Formation of a well-defined Channel Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around close to the Channel. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2709
2nd Support – 2729
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CADJPY Rising Wedge Breakout and Targeting Support LevelCADJPY is currently trading at 108.300, with a target price set at 106.000, offering a potential gain of 200+ pips. The analysis is based on a support and resistance pattern, indicating the pair’s key price levels. A rising wedge breakout has already occurred, a bearish signal pointing to further downside potential. The price is now positioned below a major resistance level, confirming sellers' dominance in the market. With this setup, the pair is likely to continue its downward movement toward the main support level, which aligns with the target price. The bearish momentum is expected to persist as long as the resistance level holds strong. Traders should watch for any confirmation of increased selling pressure to solidify this trend. This setup highlights a favorable opportunity for bearish trades with a defined risk-reward ratio. The focus remains on the target support level as the next key price point.
GOLD/XAUUSD BIG SELL COMINGI provided a buy signal from 2630 to 2690, generating 600+ pips in the recent week. Building on this success, I’ve identified new trading opportunities based on current market dynamics.
Market Dynamics
Resistance Zone (2710 - 2720):
Price has previously faced rejection at this level twice, marked by a red circle, indicating strong selling pressure. This is a supply zone where sellers are likely to dominate.
Support Zone (2656 - 2664):
A green circle marks a demand zone where buyers have consistently stepped in. This level is expected to hold, providing a potential bounce opportunity.
Projected Price Movement
1. Scenario 1 – Reversal at Resistance:
Price hits 2710 - 2720, faces rejection, and falls back to support near 2656.
2. Scenario 2 – Support Bounce:
Price rebounds from 2656 - 2664 and targets resistance at 2710 - 2720.
3. Alternative Breakout:
A breakout above 2720 signals continued bullish momentum, invalidating the sell setup.
Trade Strategy
1. Sell between 2710 - 2720
Stop-Loss: 2728
Target: 2656
2. Buy between 2656 - 2664
Stop-Loss: 2646
Target: 2710
Conclusion
This strategy focuses on high-probability trades within defined ranges, using precise entry points and stop-loss levels for risk management.
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GOLD MICRO ANALYSISAnd this is what the micro view looks like. If you've not seen our precedent post on the macro view, you should check it out so you get the global scheme of the move.
The red line has to be reached at some point over the next few weeks, maybe even days, because Gold has a "desert area" to cross : this is the area where there's no blue lines, which are basic KL.
What we believe is that when there 's no or not enought KL, the price moves way faster, hence the green drawing.
GOLD GLOBAL VIEWThis is what it looks like for us : a huge rally where the price is to reach at least 2780 pretty soon.
Look at our next post to get the micro view and the daily signal.
The idea is to compensate the green top area, which acts like a super KL, making the price come back to such high levels.
On the other hand, since the economy in the US seems to get more and more stable, the Gold Index should not grow that much on the next few years, only in case of a major event.
Which is why you can observe the red dotted line going back to the ground, to another super KL.
Continue to be bullish, buy above 2683 todayGold maintains a bullish trend structure intact, and the daily chart continues to close strongly. The price runs along the middle and upper rail channel of the Bollinger Bands, and the MA10/7-day moving average continues to open upward and gradually moves up to 2668/80, and the RSI indicator turns upward above the middle axis. The short-term four-hour moving average system also keeps opening upward, and the price gradually moves up along the high point of the 10-day moving average. The Bollinger Bands keep opening upward and the price runs in the middle and upper rail channel.
There is no change in the technical side, buy at a low price, and the trend is rising. Gold is strong in the Asian session, gold has broken through the previous high point, and gold bulls are better. Gold bulls have broken the shock pattern. Since gold bulls are stronger, then take advantage of the bulls.
Gold's 1-hour moving average has entered the golden cross upward pattern again. After falling last night, gold has bottomed out and rebounded again, and set a new high. Gold fell to 2676 in the US market and then bottomed out and rebounded. The gold moving average support moved up to 2683. Buy on dips above 2683. You can enter the market first when gold falls back to 2685.
First support: 2690, second support: 2683, third support: 2672
First resistance: 2708, second resistance: 2718, third resistance: 2730
Operation ideas:
BUY: 2683-2685
SELL: 2718-2720
Gold rises and then consolidates
Currently, the price of gold is around $2,695, and the overall trend is fluctuating upward. From a technical point of view, the price is gradually climbing along an obvious upward trend line, which shows that the bulls are still dominant. The price has recently hit a high of $2,701.66 and then pulled back, and sought support at two key support areas of $2,685.71 and $2,677.78.
From the current possible trend, the price of gold may face two scenarios:
1. Rising scenario:
If the price of gold stabilizes in the current area and gets support at the rising trend line ($2,685.71 or $2,677.78), the price may continue to rebound and test the high of $2,701.66 again. Once the high is broken, it may rise further in the future, with the target pointing to higher resistance levels, such as around $2,710.
2. Pullback scenario:
If the price fails to hold the support of $2,685.71, it may test the secondary support area near $2,677.78 downward. If this area is lost, the upward trend may be threatened, and the price may further drop to a lower support area. It is necessary to focus on the effectiveness of the trend line.
Key technical indicators:
Support level: $2685.71 and $2677.78.
Resistance level: $2701.66 and $2710.
Overall, gold is still in a bull market, but there may be a small correction in the short term to release the pressure in the rally. Traders can formulate trading strategies based on support and resistance areas, while paying close attention to the market volatility and the impact of fundamental news on gold.
XAUUSD TODAY'S NEXT MOVE?Hello traders!
I have an important gold trading update to share:
GOLD (XAUUSD) Trading Opportunity Analysis:
Entry Zone: Around $2,688
Stop Loss: $2,677 (11 points)
Target: $2,730 (42 points)
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:3.8
This setup offers an attractive risk-to-reward profile, with potential gains nearly four times the risk. As always, please:
Use proper position sizing
Respect your stop loss
Consider taking partial profits along the way
Conduct your own analysis before trading
Stay tuned for updates on this setup. Trade safely!
Note: This is a technical analysis perspective and not financial advice. Markets can be unpredictable, so always manage your risk appropriately.
GOLD recovers to original target, paying attention to US CPIOANDA:XAUUSD recovered strongly and is currently traded quite narrowly. US PPI data has reinforced investor confidence in the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates further this year. In addition, Trump's report on tariffs also affected the USD, helping push gold prices higher. On Wednesday, investors are focused on the US CPI, which is expected to cause a big swing in the markets.
US PPI data and Trump's tariff report influence the USD
US PPI unexpectedly came in lower than expected in December, driven by lower food costs and firm service prices, which may help ease concerns about persistent price pressure.
Data released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics on Tuesday showed that the U.S. PPI rose 3.3% year-on-year in December, an increase less than the 3.5% expected. Core PPI, which excludes food and energy, rose 3.5% year-on-year, below expectations of 3.8%.
US PPI increased 0.2% month-on-month in December, lower than the 0.4% increase in November and below market expectations of 0.4%. Core PPI, which excludes food and energy, was unchanged from the previous month, missing economists' expectations of a 0.3% increase and the previous month's 0.2% increase.
After the US PPI data was released, the US Dollar fell again. A weaker US Dollar makes gold more attractive.
Bloomberg reports that members of US President-elect Donald Trump's incoming economic team are discussing gradually increasing taxes month by month to increase their negotiating leverage incrementally, while also helping to avoid rising inflation. mutation.
One idea is to build a progressive tax schedule with monthly increases of about 2% to 5%, said people familiar with the matter. The plan would also need to rely on executive powers granted by the International Emergency Economic Powers Act. This news also affected the US Dollar, causing gold prices to recover.
Pay attention to US CPI
Investors are now waiting for the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) released on Wednesday to analyze the Fed's policy direction.
The US CPI is expected to increase at an annual rate of 2.9% in December, higher than the previous month's 2.7% increase, while the month-on-month CPI increase in the month 12 is expected to be 0.3%. .
If Wednesday's US CPI report is lower than expected, it could increase the likelihood that the Federal Reserve will ease policy this year, which would benefit gold. And of course the opposite effect is if the data is higher than expected.
Gold is considered a hedge against inflation, but due to its non-interest-bearing nature, a high interest rate environment weakens its investment appeal.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold is still trading very narrowly but as mentioned to readers in previous publications that gold has achieved the initial technical conditions for a possible price increase.
With the short-term trend formed by the green price channel and support from EMA21, POC Volume Profile.
After the previous correction, gold has also recovered from the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level to reach the initial target at 2,676 USD, the next target will be around 2,693 - 2,700 USD. Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index maintained above 50 is a positive signal for an uptrend in the near future while still quite far from the overbought area.
During the day, the technical outlook for gold is bullish, notable points will also be listed as follows.
Support: 2,664 – 2,650USD
Resistance: 2,676 – 2,693 – 2,700USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2701 - 2699⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2705
→Take Profit 1 2694
↨
→Take Profit 2 2689
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2649 - 2651⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2645
→Take Profit 1 2656
↨
→Take Profit 2 2661
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNASDAQ
The NASDAQ closed higher, digesting the release of the CPI data. On the weekly chart, it faced resistance at the 5-week moving average, forming an upper wick. After a downtrend early this week, the market rebounded significantly. On the daily chart, the index rose to around the 20-day moving average but has yet to see the MACD cross above the signal line, making it premature to confirm a buying signal. Even if the uptrend continues, it would be prudent to wait for a golden cross in the MACD before committing to a buy position. Moreover, there is significant resistance from prior supply zones, making a sell strategy around higher levels valid.
On the 240-minute chart, as mentioned previously, a failed dead cross led to a rebound, forming an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern. The MACD is trending upwards and diverging from the signal line. However, since the signal line is still below the zero line, a sideways consolidation phase may be necessary before a sustained move higher. Today, it is advisable to focus on range-bound trading within a box, managing risks carefully with sell strategies at higher levels.
OIL
Crude oil closed higher as it absorbed inventory data and the pipeline shutdown news. On the daily chart, it found support at the 5-day moving average and broke strongly above $78 (March futures), the upper boundary of the monthly chart. However, the sharp upward move has created significant gaps between the moving averages, suggesting the potential for a corrective phase today.
On the 240-minute chart, a buy signal has triggered a sharp rise, but the MACD has not yet surpassed its previous high. A failure to rally further could create bearish divergence. A significant correction and support at previous resistance levels, such as the $74–$75 range, could present a buying opportunity. Meanwhile, profit-taking may dominate as the market digests the recent rally. A box range approach with buy strategies on dips and sell strategies at higher levels is recommended.
GOLD
Gold closed higher after digesting the CPI data. On the daily chart, both the MACD and the signal line have moved above the zero line, signaling a confirmed buy trend. Further upside is expected, as it has also broken above the resistance line of a triangular consolidation pattern. A buy-focused strategy remains valid.
On the 240-minute chart, a buy signal preceded continued gains. Should the MACD and signal line diverge further, this would increase confidence in the uptrend. Even if gold consolidates instead of continuing to rally, the signal line above the zero line indicates a neutral-to-positive outlook. Considering that the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield is showing signs of peaking and pulling back, gold’s strong upward trend is worth monitoring closely. As numerous data releases are expected today, stay cautious and trade wisely.
■Trading Strategies for Today
NASDAQ - Range-bound Market
-Buy: 21325 / 21270 / 21190 / 21140
-Sell: 21440 / 21500 / 21550 / 21590
Crude Oil - Bullish Market (March futures)
-Buy: 78.10 / 77.50 / 76.90 / 76.30
-Sell: 79.70 / 80.10 / 80.80 / 81.30
Gold - Bullish Market
-Buy: 2717 / 2709 / 2700 / 2696 / 2690
-Sell: 2726 / 2732 / 2738 / 2745 / 2754
These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks.
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Forecast UPDATES! Jan 15, WedIn this video, we will update the forecasts for the following markets:
ES \ S&P 500
NQ | NASDAQ 100
YM | Dow Jones 30
GC |Gold
SiI | Silver
PL | Platinum
HG | Copper
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
XAUUSD bullish upon holding the MA50 (1h). Targeting 2720.Gold is trading inside a Channel Up and is currently on the new bullish wave.
Today it held the MA50 (1h), which is a strong bullish sign that the wave will continue to a new higher high.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 2720 (the 1.618 Fibonacci extension).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1h) is forming the exact same pattern as the previous bullish wave, currently following the January 7th structure.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade 1-15 Followup: Rally Into Jan 20-23This video was started to highlight the incredible predictive capabilities of my SPY Cycle Patterns and longer-term Cycle Research.
It seems almost impossible to be able to somewhat accurately predict future price moves - but I'm able to do it with moderate success - sometimes months and years into the future.
What does that mean to you - well, it should mean you want to pay attention to my research/videos and learn how to take advantage of my continued research.
This video highlights why the Doom-sayers are wrong. The markets will continue to trend upward until the 2030-2033 peak. That's when traders need to be prepared for a broad market downtrend.
But, it sure is fun getting emails and announcements from all the people that are now calling for a "great reset" to take place.
It may happen in certain countries, but this is a market of economies - not a single economic market. What happens in some countries does not always happen to all countries.
As the old saying goes - this is a market of stocks, not a stock market.
Get ready - the next 5+ years should be full of incredible opportunities for skilled traders.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
Gold - 15 min ( Sell Scalping Target range 150 PIP ) The current analysis of Gold trading within the FXCM framework indicates a significant bearish reversal at the key level of 2694 points, evidenced by heightened trading volume. The identification of this critical level on the 15-minute time frame underscores the potential for market repositioning. We emphasize the provision of precise opportunities and analytical insights, prioritizing accuracy over numerical metrics in our assessments.
⚡️GOLD / FXCM
Best Break Our / Key level's 15m Tf
🚨Bearish Reversal Out key level + High Volume / 2694 Point
⚡️ We Only Sent Most Accurate Opportunity and Analysis 💲 Not by Number ..+
GOLD - Potential Pullback to Retest SupportGold is trading near a key resistance zone within an ascending channel, suggesting a potential pullback. If price rejects the resistance zone, this could present an opportunity for sellers to re-enter the market.
The immediate target for sellers lies at $2,677.99, a key support zone where buyers might re-enter. A decisive break below this level could pave the way for further downside, with the broader ascending channel potentially invalidated.
This setup reflects a clear shorting opportunity if the price fails to sustain above resistance. Traders should wait for bearish confirmations before considering short positions.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
A PIPTASTIC day on the charts once again!!!
Yesterday after completing the bearish target at 2665, we confirmed the rejection with no lock below. The bounce gave us a nice push up, all the way into 2694 our Bullish target, perfectly inline with our plans to buy dips. We were able to secure over 100 pips clean!!
We are now looking for ema5 lock above 2694 for a continuation to the next Goldturn or failure to lock above will follow with a rejection back to lower Goldlturns for a bounce.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2694 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2694 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2726
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2726 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2753
BEARISH TARGETS
2665 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2665 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2633
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2633 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2600
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold 1H Intra-Day Chart 15.01.2025Gold has started the year of really bullish. But I see this as a liquidity grab, so my next step would be to look for shorting zones.
Option 1: Shorting at current market price towards $2,650.
Option 2: Once price reaches $2,650, next target would be $2,620 or a small retracement back up towards $2,680.
GOLD – Potential Bullish ContinuationGOLD has recently broken above a key resistance level, signaling sustained bullish momentum within the broader ascending channel structure. This breakout aligns with the ongoing upward trend, reflecting the market's current bullish sentiment.
If the price revisits the $2,678.17 level for a retest and displays strong bullish confirmation—such as a rejection pattern, bullish engulfing candles, or consistent buying pressure—it would strengthen the case for further upside potential. Should this scenario unfold, the next target for buyers is the $2,691.72, a level that has previously attracted significant selling interest.
This setup reflects the broader bullish structure, offering potential opportunities for continuation trades. However, a failure to hold the retest level or a breakdown of the ascending trendline could challenge this outlook.
Traders are encouraged to monitor price action closely at the retest zone for clear signs of bullish momentum before committing to long positions.