XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for May 26Gold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3350-3400, support below 3284
Four-hour chart resistance 3350, support below 3322
One-hour chart resistance 3350, support below 3322
Gold news analysis: Last Friday (May 23), spot gold continued its strong rise in the US market. After a technical retracement from a two-week high in the previous trading day, it attracted bargain-hunting buying again, and the trading price remained above $3350. Fundamental factors continue to provide upward momentum for precious metals. Previously, Moody's rating agency downgraded the US credit rating from the highest level "Aaa" last week, and the weak 20-year Treasury auction results on Wednesday showed that the market demand for US assets weakened. These factors, combined with the uncertainty of the US economic outlook, continue to suppress the US dollar and provide support for gold denominated in US dollars. .
Gold operation suggestions: From the current trend analysis, the lower support is the 3284 level daily line support near the four-hour 3322, and the upper pressure is the four-hour level 3350 level suppression. The short-term long and short strength watershed is the 3284 level. If the daily level stabilizes above this position, continue to buy at a low level.
Buy: 3322near SL: 3317
Buy: 3330near SL: 3322
Gold
GOLD → Descending Channel and Triangle Appear on H4 Gold Technical Analysis
EMA 200
Last Thursday, gold broke below the 200 EMA, signaling a potential trend reversal to bearish, followed by a rejection at 3,128.00 — an H4 order block area. However, on Tuesday, price action pushed back above the 200 EMA and held, indicating a return to bullish momentum.
Chart Pattern
Price movement is currently constrained by several trendlines, forming a descending channel and triangle pattern, creating a sideways market structure.
Order Block Mapping
A new H4 order block has formed, representing a key area to look for potential buy entries. If this zone is broken, it may offer a strong opportunity for a sell entry.
🟢 Bullish Scenario
If gold reaches the 3,318.00 level — an H4 order block area — it may present a potential buying opportunity. A breakout above the upper trendline would confirm bullish continuation, with the first target at 3,366.00 (TP1), followed by a second target at 3,440.00 (TP2), which is also an H4 order block area.
🔴 Bearish Scenario
If gold breaks below the H4 order block at 3,290.00 and breaches the lower trendline, it may offer a selling opportunity, with the next downside target at 3,055.00 — a key daily order block level.
Best Regard
GOLD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,335.28
Target Level: 3,136.44
Stop Loss: 3,467.43
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 3439.37.Colleagues, Last time, I suggested that the five-wave movement was not yet complete. It seems that this is indeed the case.
Wave "5" of the higher degree is unfolding, and I expect the price to reach the resistance area around 3439.37, which marks the top of wave "X".
Within the smaller five-wave structure, I believe wave "3" is currently in progress.
A correction toward the 3248.38 area is possible.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
NZDJPY BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISNZDJPY has just completed a clean breakout from its descending channel, and we are now setting up for a potential bullish continuation. The breakout above the channel resistance confirms a reversal of the prior downtrend, signaling fresh bullish momentum in play. Price is currently hovering around 85.90, and I’m targeting a move toward 91.90 in the coming weeks as market structure shifts in favor of buyers.
Fundamentally, the New Zealand dollar is gaining strength following the RBNZ's recent hawkish stance. Despite global rate cut expectations, the RBNZ has held firm, emphasizing inflation remains elevated and may require prolonged tight policy. This divergence from other central banks, particularly the BoJ, gives NZD an upper hand. On the flip side, the Japanese yen continues to show weakness due to the BoJ's ultra-loose monetary stance, and there's still no concrete signal of a shift toward tightening. Yield differentials remain wide, fueling carry trades in favor of NZD.
Technically, the breakout is supported by strong bullish candles and increasing volume. The breakout level around 85.60 is now acting as fresh support, and as long as we hold above that zone, the bullish bias remains valid. The structure suggests momentum is building toward 88.50 as the next minor resistance, and a break above that could accelerate the rally to our full target at 91.90.
From a risk-reward perspective, this setup remains favorable. I'm closely monitoring bullish continuation patterns on lower timeframes to scale in. NZDJPY appears primed for a potential upside surge, supported by both fundamentals and technicals, and I’m looking to ride this trend as long as the current momentum holds.
DeGRAM | GOLD moving in the range📊 Technical Analysis
● Rebound has met triple confluence: the H4 rising-wedge apex, the red 3 300-3 350 supply, and the roof of the broader descending channel – the same zone that capped rallies on 7 & 9 May.
● Bearish divergence appears on RSI while the wedge’s base is rising toward 3 284; a 4 h close beneath it should unlock the channel mid-line/blue trend support at 3 172, then the floor near 3 100.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● US data stay firm – weekly jobless claims held near 227 k and May flash PMIs beat consensus, keeping 2-yr yields parked just under 5 % and the dollar bid.
● World Gold Council notes a fifth straight week of ETF outflows as higher opportunity cost dents investment demand.
✨ Summary
Fade strength inside 3 300-3 350; wedge breakdown < 3 284 aims 3 172 → 3 100. Shorts invalidated on a sustained H4 close above 3 350.
-------------------
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How to plan for gold price box fluctuations🗞News side:
1. The situation between Russia and Ukraine escalated again
2. Israel in the Gaza Strip was once again criticized by the international community
📈Technical aspects:
After gold opened lower today, it fell into a small box-shaped shock in the short term. It seems that the situation in Russia and Ukraine and the Middle East over the weekend did not have further impact on the gold price. The gold daily level closed with a positive line again, injecting new vitality into the trading space last week. These two rounds of rise not only successfully crossed the resistance level of 3250 last Monday, but also further broke through the suppression of 3320, showing a clear upward trend. The current volatility is more like a correction after breaking through the previous high! Last Friday, the price failed to break through the 3370 line several times and encountered resistance continuously, which shows that the pressure from above is still relatively strong! Due to the particularity of today's market trading, the technical side of the hourly chart shows a downward trend. The European session temporarily focuses on the 3350-3355 line resistance, and the 3330-3320 support is seen below.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold Price Forecast: May - June 2025Gold is currently trading at $3,345.02. The recommendation is to sell now, targeting a bearish move down to $3,050. This outlook is supported by the formation of a rising wedge pattern in confluence with a 3rd retest on the daily chart, a technical setup that often signals a downward price movement. After reaching the target of $3,046, expect a retracement back to $3,242, where the price is likely to retest the long-term bullish trend.
GOLD M15 Intraday Chart For 26 May 2025GOLD M15 Intraday Chart just posted as you can see that there are important zone
right now market is in range so you can do couple of scalping trades in Support & Resistance range
furthermore there are 2 breakout scenarios mentioned, kindly check carefully then trade
Remember Trade always with SL
GOLD rises impressively after mid-May declineUS President Trump once again used tariffs and the market's risk-off sentiment suddenly heated up. OANDA:XAUUSD jumped nearly 2% on Friday and the weekly gain reached nearly 5%.
OANDA:XAUUSD has grown impressively after a sharp decline in mid-May, taking advantage of safe-haven flows, the recovery was mainly due to growing investor concerns about the sustainability of US government debt. The market will likely continue to react to headlines surrounding the difficult US fiscal situation, trade relations and geopolitics.
On Friday local time, US President Trump said on his social media platform "Real Social" that he proposed to impose a 50% tariff on the European Union from June 1. Trump wrote that the main purpose of the establishment of the European Union was to "take advantage of the United States on trade". In addition, on Friday local time, Trump posted on "Real Social" that he had long told Apple CEO Tim Cook that he expected Apple's iPhones sold in the United States to be produced and manufactured in the United States, not in India or anywhere else. Trump said that otherwise, Apple would have to pay at least a 25% tariff to the United States.
Assessing the situation surrounding Trump
"Trump has been vocal in the past 24 hours, threatening to impose 50% tariffs on the European Union starting June 1, imposing major sanctions on Apple and taking on Harvard University, all of which have weighed on stocks but boosted gold prices.
Recurrent tariff concerns, coupled with low liquidity ahead of the long weekend, could exacerbate volatility."
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold has achieved its initial upside target at $3,371 which is the technical confluence of the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement with the upper edge of the price channel after receiving support from the confluence of the EMA21 with the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement.
In the short term, if gold breaks $3,371 it will tend to continue its bullish trend with the next target being $3,400 in the short term, more so than the last $3,435 which is the all-time high of $3,500.
As long as gold remains within/above the channel, the overall trend outlook is bullish, and the immediate support is currently around the $3,300 raw price point area with the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level and EMA21. In case of a sell-off below $3,292, gold could still find short-term support at the $3,250 technical point and the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level.
In terms of momentum, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is pointing up from around the 50 mark, with the RSI still well above the overbought zone, suggesting room for further upside.
Looking ahead, the overall technical outlook for gold is bullish, with key points to watch out for as follows.
Support: $3,300 – $3,292 – $3,250
Resistance: $3,371 – $3,400 – $3,435
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3391 - 3389⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3395
→Take Profit 1 3383
↨
→Take Profit 2 3377
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3299 - 3301⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3295
→Take Profit 1 3307
↨
→Take Profit 2 3313
Gold Market Analysis – May 26The gold market is showing signs of a modest recovery following the recent decline, but the price action remains cautious and lacks strong momentum.
In this morning’s session, gold bounced back from the $3,320–$3,330 support area and is now hovering around $3,347, which aligns with a previously rejected resistance zone. This rebound appears technical rather than a confirmed shift in trend, as trading volume during the upward move is still relatively low, signaling buyer hesitation.
The $3,350 level is a critical resistance area. Unless we see a clean breakout above it with strong volume, any attempt to buy here may be premature. However, a confirmed break above $3,350 could open the path toward retesting $3,435 and potentially $3,500 in the medium to long term. On the other hand, failure to hold above the $3,330–$3,320 range, and especially a drop below $3,290, would likely trigger a deeper correction down to the $3,200 support.
In terms of strategy, traders looking to go long should avoid chasing current prices and wait for either a confirmed breakout above $3,350 or a pullback to the $3,320–$3,290 zone. Look for signs of bullish continuation such as higher lows and strong candle confirmation. For those considering short positions, keep an eye on the $3,350 area for bearish rejection patterns like pin bars or engulfing candles on the 4H or daily chart, but only act if clear confirmation appears—don’t guess tops.
In summary, the market is currently in a pivotal consolidation phase. How price behaves around the $3,350 level will shape the next move. While the longer-term outlook remains bullish, traders should remain patient and disciplined, avoiding impulsive entries until the market provides clear signals.
Warm regards,
XAUUSD H4 I Bullish ContinuationBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling toward our buy entry at 3291.31, which is an overlap support.
Our take profit will be at 2309.19, which is a swing high resistance level.
The stop loss will be placed at 3244.86, a pullback support.
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GOLD Local Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD made a retest a
Horizontal resistance
Of 3,366$ and we are
Already seeing a local
Bearish reaction so a
Further local pullback
Is expected with the
Target being 3,337$ level
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAU/USD Technical Analysis – 4H Chart Overview🔍 Current Market Position
Price: $3,358.125
Currently near resistance zone ($3,420–$3,470)
Historical reaction in this zone shows multiple rejections 🛑
📌 Key Levels
🔺 Resistance Point: ~$3,420–$3,470
Rejected here 3 times ➡️ strong supply zone
🔻 Support Level: ~$3,150
Past price bounced here multiple times 🟠
💪 Strong Support: ~$2,950
Major bounce seen in early May 👊
🧭 Pattern Outlook
Repeated resistance test 🔁 ➡️ potential double/triple top
📉 Blue arrow suggests bearish projection towards $3,050–$2,950
If support at $3,150 fails 🔓, expect deeper drop to strong support
🔮 Forecast
🔽 Bearish Bias
High chance of reversal from resistance
Target: $3,050 and possibly $2,950 🎯
⚠️ Watch for
Price Action at Resistance: Rejection = short opportunity 🔧
Break of $3,150 Support: May accelerate bearish move 🧨
📌 Summary:
Market shows clear resistance rejection history. If it plays out again, we may see a strong drop toward lower support zones. Ideal for short setups 📉💼
Big bill, big debt, bullish goldGold recently broke above a descending trendline and reclaimed the 0.382 Fibonacci level at $3,333.05. The bullish momentum now faces resistance near the 0.618 retracement at $3,366.29 and the $3,389.94 zone (0.786). A clean breakout could open the way toward the $3,440–$3,507 area, aligning with the 1.0 and 1.618 Fib extensions.
The rally follows rising trade tensions, as President Trump announced 50% tariffs on EU imports from June 1st and threatened Apple with 25% tariffs unless it relocates iPhone production to the U.S.
Further fuel for gold comes from the proposed ‘One Big Beautiful Bill Act,’ which includes major tax cuts and spending reforms. Expected to add $3–5 billion to U.S. debt, the bill passed the House and now moves to the Senate.
Gold swing trade idea target 1000 pips
* **Pair**: XAUUSD
* **Timeframe**: 1H (1 Hour)
* **Platform**: TradingView (OANDA feed)
* **Trade Type**: Long (Buy)
* **Entry**: 3,318.36
* **TP (Take Profit)**: \~3,419.30
* **SL (Stop Loss)**: Likely in the 3,290–3,295 range (based on visual zone)
---
## 🔍 Trade Breakdown
### ✅ **1. Pattern Recognition: Symmetrical Triangle Breakout**
* The white converging trendlines form a **symmetrical triangle** — classic continuation or reversal structure.
* **Breakout occurred to the upside**, triggering the long entry at 3,318.
* **Volume Delta Box** just below shows accumulation, suggesting smart money positioning pre-breakout.
---
### 🧠 **2. Confluence Zone for Entry**
* **Entry** level (3318.36) is:
* **Just above 0.618 Fibonacci retracement**
* Sits at the **triangle apex breakout retest**
* Inside a high **delta volume node** (buyers outpaced sellers)
This suggests **institutional accumulation** and a **"discounted" long entry** relative to prior range.
---
### 🔁 **3. Fibonacci Levels**
* The chart includes multiple Fib retracement overlays:
* From most recent **impulse wave down** and **overall swing**
* 0.5 and 0.618 retracement zones align with:
* **Rejection-to-support flip**
* Breakout confirmation levels
* This is a classic **smart money technique**: wait for structure break, enter on retrace to equilibrium (0.618/0.5).
---
### 📦 **4. Order Blocks and Imbalance Zones**
* Several **red and orange blocks** highlight prior **liquidity zones**:
* The large red zone below entry (around 3,295) was swept, likely inducing stop hunts → now **demand zone**
* Entry avoids this volatility and lands **just above reaccumulation zone**
* Also a visible **imbalance fill area** around 3,318, now tested and held — supporting bullish case.
---
### 🧮 **5. Risk-Reward and Positioning**
* **TP** at \~3,419.30 (just below 3,435 structure high) gives **R\:R over 3:1**, possibly even 4:1.
* SL is **tight under recent minor low** and under discount zone, which is key.
* Clear definition of:
* **Premium pricing** (target)
* **Discount pricing** (entry)
* Fits within a **smart money concept (SMC)** framework.
---
### 💡 Summary of the Method Used
| Element | Technique Used | Notes |
| ---------------- | --------------------------- | ---------------------------------------- |
| **Structure** | Symmetrical Triangle | Breakout to upside confirmed |
| **Volume** | Delta Volume & Order Blocks | Accumulation below breakout |
| **Fib Tools** | Multi-layered retracements | Entry at 0.618 area, TP at Fib extension |
| **SMC Concepts** | Discount/Premium Zones | Entry in discount, targeting premium |
| **Risk-Reward** | \~3:1 to 4:1 | SL tight, TP near major structure high |
---
### 🟢 Professional Verdict
This trade setup is **technically sound** and based on **smart money concepts**, **volume profile**, and **price structure breakout**. It uses:
* Entry at value (post-breakout retest)
* Strong confluences (Fib, trendlines, volume delta)
* Defined risk, clean target
* Logical narrative: **accumulation → breakout → retest → expansion**
If price holds above 3318 and momentum continues, the **3419–3435 zone is very reachable**.
XAUUSD - Poised for Fresh Highs After Healthy Correction?Looking at this gold (XAU/USD) 4-hour chart, the precious metal appears to be in a strong bullish trend that has carried it from around $2,960 in early April to current levels near $3,356. After reaching a significant peak around $3,480 in mid-April, gold has undergone a healthy correction and consolidation phase, which is typical behavior in strong uptrends as markets digest gains and reset momentum indicators. The recent price action shows gold has found support around the $3,120 level and has begun to recover, with the current move higher suggesting the correction may be nearing completion. The overall chart structure, characterized by higher highs and higher lows, remains intact despite the recent pullback. Given the strong underlying uptrend, the successful defense of key support levels, and the recent renewed buying interest, the higher probability scenario appears to favor a continuation of the bullish momentum toward new highs, potentially targeting the previous peak around $3,480 and possibly extending toward the resistance zone highlighted in the blue rectangle near $3,500.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD BULLISH TRADE IDEAChart Patterns Identified:
Cup and Handle Pattern (highlighted in red/pink):
The left half shows a rounding bottom (the “cup”).
The right side forms a descending wedge (the “handle”), typically a bullish continuation pattern.
Falling Wedge (inside the handle):
The price consolidates in a narrowing range, suggesting a potential breakout.
A breakout is projected upward.
Key Levels:
Support: Around $2,955.111
Current Price: $3,327.259
Resistance:
Intermediate: Around $3,500.200
Target (based on breakout projection): $3,733.873
Bullish Scenario:
If the breakout above the falling wedge is confirmed (as suggested by the arrow), the price target is near $3,733, which aligns with the height of the cup projected from the breakout point.
This aligns with classic cup-and-handle theory.
Technical Implication:
The setup is bullish and suggests continuation of the upward trend if volume supports the breakout.
Ideal entry would be on a retest of the breakout above the handle resistance.
XAUUSD H4 STRUCTURE OUTLOOK – MAY 26, 2025📍 Price: 3,358
Bias: Bullish, but watch for major resistance and fakeouts at highs
🔎 STRUCTURAL ZONES TO WATCH
Zone Type Price Range Reason / Confluence
🟥 PREMIUM SUPPLY 3,415–3,440 H4/H1 OB + FVG, unmitigated supply, previous HH sweep, top risk
🟥 SELL INTEREST 3,390–3,410 FVG + micro supply, previous LH zone, NY session high trap
🟦 MID FLIP ZONE 3,344–3,360 Recent CHoCH, local S/R flip, base of last impulsive move
🟩 SUPPORT #1 3,309–3,325 H4 OB + FVG, prior bounce, 21/50 EMA zone
🟩 SUPPORT #2 3,279–3,295 H4 demand, sweep + FVG, retest of previous structure
🟦 DEEP DEMAND 3,254–3,265 Strong OB, last HL, aligns with deep liquidity sweep on HTF
📈 QUICK CONTEXT (PA/RSI/EMA)
Trend: Still bullish on H4, but approaching exhaustion into supply
PA: Clean HH/HL, but sellers are waiting at the top
RSI: Overbought zone – potential for sharp rejection near premium
EMAs: Price above all EMAs (5/21/50/100/200), short-term stretched
🌍 MACRO CONTEXT
Geopolitics: Middle East, US inflation, global uncertainty still fueling safe haven flows
News: Monday open – watch for liquidity grabs and fakeouts in both directions
⚡️ HOW TO TRADE THESE ZONES
Only react to confirmation (BOS, CHoCH, or engulf) on M15/M5 at key levels
Avoid chasing candles at highs – best trades come from liquidity sweeps or trap zones
Be patient around NY session for high-volume fakeouts
🎯 KEY LEVELS RECAP
POI Price Range Bias
Premium Supply 3,415–3,440 Sell trap / reversal zone
Sell Interest 3,390–3,410 Short if rejection confirmed
Mid Flip Zone 3,344–3,360 PA magnet, S/R reaction
Support #1 3,309–3,325 Buy bounce on structure
Support #2 3,279–3,295 Demand, look for sweep bounces
Deep Demand 3,254–3,265 Extreme liquidity zone, last line of bulls
Friendly Tip:
Mark your key levels and watch price like a true sniper – don’t chase, wait for the trap! Which zone are you watching for the next big move? Drop your thoughts below, give a like if you value this structure, and follow for real-time gold plans and no-nonsense market insight. Stay sharp, team! 💡✨
— GoldFxMinds
XAUUSD DAILY OUTLOOK – MAY 26, 2025📍 Current Price: 3,358
Bias: Bullish momentum with “caution” – ready for liquidity sweeps and potential intraday trap moves.
📈 Quick PA/Trend/Risk Check
Trend: Bullish, but price hit major supply; expect high volatility.
Price Action: Multiple daily wicks = indecision, liquidity traps both sides.
RSI: Still in overbought territory on D1, but not at extremes.
EMAs: All trending up, with 21/50 EMA as bounce supports below price.
🌍 Macro/Mood/News
Geopolitics: Middle East + Fed talks = increased headline risk, no clear direction.
News: US inflation, FOMC, and “risk-off” spikes could trigger traps into supply or deep sweeps into demand.
⚡️ How to Use
Don’t chase breakouts!
Wait for M5/M15 confirmation (BOS/CHoCH or engulf) at the above zones.
Watch for liquidity sweeps and fakeouts, especially into 3,415–3,440 and 3,305–3,325.
Use RSI/EMA/FVG as extra confluence for your entry confirmation.
🎯 Key Levels Table – Copy/Paste Ready
POI Level Bias
Premium Trap 3,415–3,440 Watch for fake breakout/sell
Sell Zone 3,388–3,408 Short if rejected strongly
S/R Flip 3,360–3,375 PA Magnet
Support #1 3,305–3,325 Bullish bounce
Support #2 3,199–3,220 Bullish bounce
Deep Discount 3,012–3,040 Last-resort buy
Stay focused, don’t force trades – sniper mode only!
Drop a comment, follow, and join the conversation!
— GoldFxMinds (GoldMindsFX)